Inverness C 4–1 Stenhousemuir – Scotland League One, 11 Mar 2025

Match facts

Inverness C Stenhousemuir

8 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

7 Corners 5

10 Fouls 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (139 league matches this season so far).

Result Stenhousemuir to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.08 – 1.25

Home / Draw / Away

32% 28% 40%

Inverness CDrawStenhousemuir

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 0–1 12.2% 1–0 10.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Inverness C before this match, all matches

1.63points / match

1.11scored / match

1.04conceded / match

12 8 7

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 30:28

Stenhousemuir before this match, all matches

1.74points / match

1.52scored / match

0.96conceded / match

14 5 8

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 41:26

Inverness C all matches all matches Stenhousemuir

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.52

1.04 Goals conceded 0.96

2.15 Total goals 2.48

10.52 Shots 10.44

4.52 Shots on target 4.52

6.67 Shots faced 9.74

5.07 Corners 5.37

3.52 Corners against 4.37

9.70 Fouls 11.33

1.63 Yellow cards 1.85

0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.70

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

44% Wins 52%

30% Draws 19%

26% Losses 30%

93% Over 0.5 goals 89%

59% Over 1.5 goals 70%

33% Over 2.5 goals 52%

19% Over 3.5 goals 26%

11% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

44% Both teams scored 41%

41% Clean sheets 33%

22% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 37%

48% Draws 44%

22% Losses 19%

67% Over 0.5 goals 63%

26% Over 1.5 goals 37%

4% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inverness C all matches

1

4

L

2

W

3

W

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

W

3

L

1

W

1

D

1

W

Stenhousemuir all matches

1

L

3

1

W

1

D

4

L

3

W

2

1

W

2

W

3

1

W

2

W

Inverness C before this match, at home

1.62points / match

0.92scored / match

0.85conceded / match

5 6 2

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:11

Stenhousemuir before this match, away

1.50points / match

1.36scored / match

0.93conceded / match

6 3 5

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:13

Inverness C at home away Stenhousemuir

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.36

0.85 Goals conceded 0.93

1.77 Total goals 2.29

9.54 Shots 11.14

4.00 Shots on target 4.64

5.77 Shots faced 9.79

5.08 Corners 5.07

3.46 Corners against 3.57

9.85 Fouls 11.71

1.77 Yellow cards 1.71

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 43%

46% Draws 21%

15% Losses 36%

92% Over 0.5 goals 86%

62% Over 1.5 goals 71%

8% Over 2.5 goals 50%

8% Over 3.5 goals 21%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

46% Both teams scored 36%

46% Clean sheets 36%

15% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 43%

31% Draws 29%

31% Losses 29%

77% Over 0.5 goals 79%

15% Over 1.5 goals 36%

8% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inverness C at home

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

L

1

4

L

2

W

1

W

1

D

Stenhousemuir away

3

1

W

1

L

1

D

3

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

D

3

W

3

1

W

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Inverness C all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Dumbarton – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.80	1.79	1.94
01.03.25	Inverness C – Montrose	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.30	4.75	2.10	1.70
22.02.25	Kelty Hearts – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.00	2.05	1.75
08.02.25	Arbroath – Inverness C	3–0 (2–0)	2.38	3.30	2.70	1.93	1.93
01.02.25	Inverness C – Queen of Sth	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.20	2.15	1.67
25.01.25	Alloa – Inverness C	1–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.25	2.25	2.03	1.83
21.01.25	Queen of Sth – Inverness C	3–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.20	2.15	2.05	1.80
18.01.25	Annan Athletic – Inverness C	0–3 (0–1)	3.10	3.90	1.95	1.95	1.90
04.01.25	Inverness C – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
28.12.24	Inverness C – Cove Rangers	1–4 (1–2)	1.57	3.70	5.25	2.05	1.75

Stenhousemuir all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Annan Athletic – Stenhousemuir	0–2 (0–1)	3.25	3.40	2.15	1.82	1.92
01.03.25	Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–3)	2.63	3.40	2.35	1.65	2.20
22.02.25	Stenhousemuir – Arbroath	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.30	2.30	2.00	1.85
08.02.25	Stenhousemuir – Queen of Sth	2–1 (2–0)	2.38	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
01.02.25	Montrose – Stenhousemuir	0–3 (0–1)	2.70	3.50	2.25	2.05	1.80
25.01.25	Stenhousemuir – Cove Rangers	0–4 (0–3)	2.10	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
11.01.25	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir – Annan Athletic	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.20	1.88	1.98
28.12.24	Alloa – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.40	3.10	1.95	1.90
21.12.24	Stenhousemuir – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.60	2.10	1.70

Inverness C at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Inverness C – Montrose	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.30	4.75	2.10	1.70
01.02.25	Inverness C – Queen of Sth	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.20	2.15	1.67
04.01.25	Inverness C – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
28.12.24	Inverness C – Cove Rangers	1–4 (1–2)	1.57	3.70	5.25	2.05	1.75
14.12.24	Inverness C – Arbroath	0–2 (0–0)	1.90	3.40	3.70	2.10	1.70
16.11.24	Inverness C – Alloa	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	3.50	1.93	1.93
02.11.24	Inverness C – Kelty Hearts	1–1 (1–1)	1.67	4.00	4.00	1.93	1.93
19.10.24	Inverness C – Annan Athletic	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.50	4.20	1.75	2.05
28.09.24	Inverness C – Stenhousemuir	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	3.75	1.88	1.98
21.09.24	Inverness C – Cove Rangers	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.40	3.80	1.75	2.05

Stenhousemuir away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Annan Athletic – Stenhousemuir	0–2 (0–1)	3.25	3.40	2.15	1.82	1.92
01.03.25	Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–3)	2.63	3.40	2.35	1.65	2.20
01.02.25	Montrose – Stenhousemuir	0–3 (0–1)	2.70	3.50	2.25	2.05	1.80
11.01.25	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
28.12.24	Alloa – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.40	3.10	1.95	1.90
14.12.24	Queen of Sth – Stenhousemuir	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.50	2.75	1.88	1.98
03.12.24	Cove Rangers – Stenhousemuir	0–3 (0–2)	2.10	3.80	2.88	1.88	1.98
09.11.24	Annan Athletic – Stenhousemuir	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.30	2.38	2.00	1.85
02.11.24	Arbroath – Stenhousemuir	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
05.10.24	Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (1–2)	2.00	3.40	3.30	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Inverness C winsDrawsStenhousemuir wins

2matches

0.50goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.12.24SC2	Stenhousemuir – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.60	2.10	1.70
28.09.24SC2	Inverness C – Stenhousemuir	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	3.75	1.88	1.98

Scotland League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arbroath	28	16	4	8	48	31	+17	52
2	Cove Rangers	28	14	5	9	50	32	+18	47
3	Stenhousemuir	27	14	5	8	41	26	+15	47
4	Inverness C	27	12	8	7	30	28	+2	44
5	Alloa	28	10	10	8	41	35	+6	40
6	Kelty Hearts	28	9	8	11	31	31	0	35
7	Queen of Sth	28	10	5	13	29	35	-6	35
8	Montrose	28	7	11	10	28	35	-7	32
9	Annan Athletic	28	7	6	15	29	53	-24	27
10	Dumbarton	28	5	8	15	34	55	-21	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arbroath	14	9	2	3	21	12	+9	29
2	Queen of Sth	14	9	2	3	21	17	+4	29
3	Stenhousemuir	13	8	2	3	22	13	+9	26
4	Cove Rangers	14	7	3	4	21	18	+3	24
5	Inverness C	13	5	6	2	12	11	+1	21
6	Alloa	15	5	4	6	21	19	+2	19
7	Kelty Hearts	14	5	3	6	14	17	-3	18
8	Annan Athletic	14	4	4	6	13	22	-9	16
9	Montrose	13	3	5	5	15	20	-5	14
10	Dumbarton	15	3	4	8	21	31	-10	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cove Rangers	14	7	2	5	29	14	+15	23
2	Arbroath	14	7	2	5	27	19	+8	23
3	Inverness C	14	7	2	5	18	17	+1	23
4	Stenhousemuir	14	6	3	5	19	13	+6	21
5	Alloa	13	5	6	2	20	16	+4	21
6	Montrose	15	4	6	5	13	15	-2	18
7	Kelty Hearts	14	4	5	5	17	14	+3	17
8	Annan Athletic	14	3	2	9	16	31	-15	11
9	Dumbarton	13	2	4	7	13	24	-11	10
10	Queen of Sth	14	1	3	10	8	18	-10	6

Inverness C Stenhousemuir

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arbroath	28	9	19	1.7	1.1	16	4	8	48	31	52
2	10	Dumbarton	28	10	18	1.2	2.0	5	8	15	34	55	23
3	2	Cove Rangers	28	11	17	1.8	1.1	14	5	9	50	32	47
4	3	Stenhousemuir	27	13	14	1.5	1.0	14	5	8	41	26	47
5	9	Annan Athletic	28	14	14	1.0	1.9	7	6	15	29	53	27
6	5	Alloa	28	15	13	1.5	1.2	10	10	8	41	35	40
7	7	Queen of Sth	28	16	12	1.0	1.2	10	5	13	29	35	35
8	8	Montrose	28	16	12	1.0	1.2	7	11	10	28	35	32
9	6	Kelty Hearts	28	18	10	1.1	1.1	9	8	11	31	31	35
10	4	Inverness C	27	18	9	1.1	1.0	12	8	7	30	28	44

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Dumbarton	15	4	11	1.4	2.1	3	4	8	21	31	13
2	1	Arbroath	14	5	9	1.5	0.9	9	2	3	21	12	29
3	2	Cove Rangers	14	6	8	1.5	1.3	7	3	4	21	18	24
4	5	Alloa	15	7	8	1.4	1.3	5	4	6	21	19	19
5	8	Montrose	13	5	8	1.2	1.5	3	5	5	15	20	14
6	3	Stenhousemuir	13	6	7	1.7	1.0	8	2	3	22	13	26
7	7	Queen of Sth	14	7	7	1.5	1.2	9	2	3	21	17	29
8	6	Kelty Hearts	14	9	5	1.0	1.2	5	3	6	14	17	18
9	9	Annan Athletic	14	9	5	0.9	1.6	4	4	6	13	22	16
10	4	Inverness C	13	12	1	0.9	0.8	5	6	2	12	11	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arbroath	14	4	10	1.9	1.4	7	2	5	27	19	23
2	2	Cove Rangers	14	5	9	2.1	1.0	7	2	5	29	14	23
3	9	Annan Athletic	14	5	9	1.1	2.2	3	2	9	16	31	11
4	4	Inverness C	14	6	8	1.3	1.2	7	2	5	18	17	23
5	3	Stenhousemuir	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	6	3	5	19	13	21
6	10	Dumbarton	13	6	7	1.0	1.8	2	4	7	13	24	10
7	5	Alloa	13	8	5	1.5	1.2	5	6	2	20	16	21
8	6	Kelty Hearts	14	9	5	1.2	1.0	4	5	5	17	14	17
9	7	Queen of Sth	14	9	5	0.6	1.3	1	3	10	8	18	6
10	8	Montrose	15	11	4	0.9	1.0	4	6	5	13	15	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.