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Scotland League One · ·Referee: G Calder

Hamilton 1–0 Alloa

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.60
Draw 3.30 fair 3.78
Away 2.25 fair 2.85
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.92
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 2.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hamilton Alloa
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 4
8 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Hamilton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
HamiltonDrawAlloa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hamilton before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.47scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:39
Alloa before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.47scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:32
Hamilton all matches all matches Alloa

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.47
1.22 Goals conceded 1.00
2.69 Total goals 2.47
9.72 Shots 9.59
4.53 Shots on target 4.66
9.94 Shots faced 9.31
4.63 Corners 4.41
5.00 Corners against 5.16
11.03 Fouls 11.28
1.81 Yellow cards 2.06
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.34

How often Full Time

41% Wins 44%
22% Draws 25%
38% Losses 31%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
75% Over 1.5 goals 69%
59% Over 2.5 goals 47%
34% Over 3.5 goals 22%
9% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
44% Both teams scored 47%
38% Clean sheets 38%
28% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
41% Draws 44%
22% Losses 19%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
41% Over 1.5 goals 22%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton all matches
Alloa all matches
Hamilton before this match, at home
1.63points / match
1.38scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:14
Alloa before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.38scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:19
Hamilton at home away Alloa

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded 1.19
2.25 Total goals 2.56
9.31 Shots 9.94
4.25 Shots on target 4.19
8.38 Shots faced 10.50
5.25 Corners 4.38
5.56 Corners against 5.63
9.75 Fouls 11.25
1.44 Yellow cards 2.19
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 44%
13% Draws 13%
38% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
69% Over 1.5 goals 63%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
19% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 44%
44% Clean sheets 38%
19% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 31%
38% Draws 50%
19% Losses 19%
81% Over 0.5 goals 63%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton at home
Alloa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamilton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Stenhousemuir – Hamilton 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.604.75 1.85 1.95
28.03.26 Hamilton – Kelty Hearts 1–2 (1–1) 1.753.503.90 1.85 1.95
21.03.26 Cove Rangers – Hamilton 2–2 (0–2) 2.353.252.63 1.98 1.83
14.03.26 Hamilton – Queen of Sth 1–3 (1–1) 3.253.401.95 1.73 2.08
07.03.26 East Fife – Hamilton 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.302.63 1.85 1.95
03.03.26 Hamilton – Stenhousemuir 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.10 2.08 1.73
28.02.26 Hamilton – Montrose 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.502.80 1.67 2.15
21.02.26 Alloa – Hamilton 3–0 (0–0) 1.913.203.60 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Hamilton – East Fife 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.503.70 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Hamilton – Inverness C 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.201.70 2.15 1.67

Alloa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Cove Rangers – Alloa 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.55 1.83 1.98
28.03.26 Alloa – Peterhead 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.403.40 1.73 2.08
21.03.26 Alloa – Inverness C 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.501.65 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Montrose – Alloa 5–4 (2–2) 3.003.302.10 1.85 1.95
10.03.26 Peterhead – Alloa 3–1 (2–0) 2.353.302.60 1.85 1.95
07.03.26 Alloa – Kelty Hearts 2–1 (0–1) 1.673.504.75 1.90 1.90
28.02.26 East Fife – Alloa 0–2 (0–1) 3.703.401.80 1.83 1.98
21.02.26 Alloa – Hamilton 3–0 (0–0) 1.913.203.60 2.05 1.75
14.02.26 Queen of Sth – Alloa 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.303.00 1.85 1.95
31.01.26 Alloa – Cove Rangers 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.253.50 1.98 1.83

Hamilton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.03.26 Hamilton – Kelty Hearts 1–2 (1–1) 1.753.503.90 1.85 1.95
14.03.26 Hamilton – Queen of Sth 1–3 (1–1) 3.253.401.95 1.73 2.08
03.03.26 Hamilton – Stenhousemuir 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.10 2.08 1.73
28.02.26 Hamilton – Montrose 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.502.80 1.67 2.15
17.02.26 Hamilton – East Fife 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.503.70 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Hamilton – Inverness C 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.201.70 2.15 1.67
24.01.26 Hamilton – Cove Rangers 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.252.60 1.85 1.95
20.12.25 Hamilton – Alloa 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.202.55 1.95 1.85
22.11.25 Hamilton – Kelty Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.304.758.00 1.62 2.25
08.11.25 Hamilton – Peterhead 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.00 1.73 2.08

Alloa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Cove Rangers – Alloa 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.55 1.83 1.98
14.03.26 Montrose – Alloa 5–4 (2–2) 3.003.302.10 1.85 1.95
10.03.26 Peterhead – Alloa 3–1 (2–0) 2.353.302.60 1.85 1.95
28.02.26 East Fife – Alloa 0–2 (0–1) 3.703.401.80 1.83 1.98
14.02.26 Queen of Sth – Alloa 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.303.00 1.85 1.95
24.01.26 Inverness C – Alloa 3–1 (0–1) 1.503.705.75 1.80 2.00
03.01.26 Kelty Hearts – Alloa 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.73 1.90 1.90
20.12.25 Hamilton – Alloa 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.202.55 1.95 1.85
22.11.25 Cove Rangers – Alloa 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.252.30 2.00 1.80
08.11.25 Montrose – Alloa 0–4 (0–1) 2.803.302.35 1.95 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hamilton winsDrawsAlloa wins
7matches
1.71goals / match
43%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26SC2 Alloa – Hamilton 3–0 (0–0) 1.913.203.60 2.05 1.75
20.12.25SC2 Hamilton – Alloa 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.202.55 1.95 1.85
23.08.25SC2 Alloa – Hamilton 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.35 2.08 1.73
27.04.24SC2 Alloa – Hamilton 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.751.80 1.57 2.35
24.02.24SC2 Hamilton – Alloa 1–2 (0–0) 1.364.756.50 1.65 2.20
09.12.23SC2 Alloa – Hamilton 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.001.50 1.70 2.10
16.09.23SC2 Hamilton – Alloa 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.005.75 1.67 2.15

Scotland League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inverness C 31 18 9 4 53 21 +32 63
2 Stenhousemuir 32 16 12 4 46 24 +22 60
3 Alloa 32 14 8 10 47 32 +15 50
4 Hamilton 32 13 7 12 47 39 +8 46
5 Queen of Sth 32 12 10 10 49 43 +6 46
6 Peterhead 31 12 6 13 45 54 -9 42
7 Montrose 32 11 8 13 45 58 -13 41
8 Cove Rangers 32 7 10 15 37 42 -5 31
9 East Fife 32 8 7 17 31 57 -26 31
10 Kelty Hearts 32 4 11 17 28 58 -30 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inverness C 16 11 4 1 35 11 +24 37
2 Stenhousemuir 16 9 6 1 29 11 +18 33
3 Alloa 16 7 6 3 25 13 +12 27
4 Hamilton 16 8 2 6 22 14 +8 26
5 Queen of Sth 16 7 5 4 27 20 +7 26
6 Montrose 16 8 2 6 25 30 -5 26
7 Peterhead 15 7 3 5 28 24 +4 24
8 East Fife 16 5 3 8 16 25 -9 18
9 Cove Rangers 16 3 6 7 15 20 -5 15
10 Kelty Hearts 16 0 7 9 8 30 -22 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 16 7 6 3 17 13 +4 27
2 Inverness C 15 7 5 3 18 10 +8 26
3 Alloa 16 7 2 7 22 19 +3 23
4 Hamilton 16 5 5 6 25 25 0 20
5 Queen of Sth 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
6 Peterhead 16 5 3 8 17 30 -13 18
7 Cove Rangers 16 4 4 8 22 22 0 16
8 Kelty Hearts 16 4 4 8 20 28 -8 16
9 Montrose 16 3 6 7 20 28 -8 15
10 East Fife 16 3 4 9 15 32 -17 13

Hamilton   Alloa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Peterhead 31 9 22 1.5 1.7 12 6 13 45 54 42
2 7 Montrose 32 12 20 1.4 1.8 11 8 13 45 58 41
3 4 Hamilton 32 13 19 1.5 1.2 13 7 12 47 39 46
4 5 Queen of Sth 32 15 17 1.5 1.3 12 10 10 49 43 46
5 9 East Fife 32 15 17 1.0 1.8 8 7 17 31 57 31
6 10 Kelty Hearts 32 15 17 0.9 1.8 4 11 17 28 58 23
7 3 Alloa 32 17 15 1.5 1.0 14 8 10 47 32 50
8 8 Cove Rangers 32 18 14 1.2 1.3 7 10 15 37 42 31
9 1 Inverness C 31 18 13 1.7 0.7 18 9 4 53 21 63
10 2 Stenhousemuir 32 20 12 1.4 0.8 16 12 4 46 24 60
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Montrose 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 8 2 6 25 30 26
2 6 Peterhead 15 4 11 1.9 1.6 7 3 5 28 24 24
3 1 Inverness C 16 7 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 1 35 11 37
4 5 Queen of Sth 16 7 9 1.7 1.2 7 5 4 27 20 26
5 2 Stenhousemuir 16 8 8 1.8 0.7 9 6 1 29 11 33
6 3 Alloa 16 8 8 1.6 0.8 7 6 3 25 13 27
7 4 Hamilton 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 2 6 22 14 26
8 9 East Fife 16 9 7 1.0 1.6 5 3 8 16 25 18
9 8 Cove Rangers 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 3 6 7 15 20 15
10 10 Kelty Hearts 16 10 6 0.5 1.9 0 7 9 8 30 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hamilton 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 25 25 20
2 6 Peterhead 16 5 11 1.1 1.9 5 3 8 17 30 18
3 10 Kelty Hearts 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 4 4 8 20 28 16
4 9 East Fife 16 6 10 0.9 2.0 3 4 9 15 32 13
5 5 Queen of Sth 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 22 23 20
6 7 Montrose 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 3 6 7 20 28 15
7 8 Cove Rangers 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 8 22 22 16
8 3 Alloa 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 7 2 7 22 19 23
9 1 Inverness C 15 11 4 1.2 0.7 7 5 3 18 10 26
10 2 Stenhousemuir 16 12 4 1.1 0.8 7 6 3 17 13 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51