Stenhousemuir 2–0 Kelty Hearts – Scotland League One, 21 Mar 2026

Match facts

Stenhousemuir Kelty Hearts

10 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 4

20 Fouls 18

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (145 league matches this season so far).

Result Stenhousemuir to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.80 – 0.90

Home / Draw / Away

59% 23% 19%

StenhousemuirDrawKelty Hearts

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.1% 1–1 10.9% 2–0 10.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Stenhousemuir before this match, all matches

1.83points / match

1.34scored / match

0.76conceded / match

14 11 4

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 39:22

Kelty Hearts before this match, all matches

0.66points / match

0.86scored / match

1.86conceded / match

3 10 16

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 25:54

Stenhousemuir all matches all matches Kelty Hearts

Per match

1.34 Goals scored 0.86

0.76 Goals conceded 1.86

2.10 Total goals 2.72

8.10 Shots 7.03

4.03 Shots on target 3.38

8.93 Shots faced 11.52

4.17 Corners 3.28

4.24 Corners against 5.45

13.62 Fouls 10.31

2.69 Yellow cards 2.52

0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.48

0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

48% Wins 10%

38% Draws 34%

14% Losses 55%

86% Over 0.5 goals 93%

59% Over 1.5 goals 86%

34% Over 2.5 goals 55%

24% Over 3.5 goals 24%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

41% Both teams scored 59%

48% Clean sheets 14%

24% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 28%

48% Draws 28%

17% Losses 45%

66% Over 0.5 goals 86%

28% Over 1.5 goals 38%

0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stenhousemuir all matches

2

W

5

W

2

W

2

D

2

D

1

D

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

W

Kelty Hearts all matches

1

D

1

3

L

2

L

D

1

D

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

D

Stenhousemuir before this match, at home

1.93points / match

1.71scored / match

0.79conceded / match

7 6 1

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:11

Kelty Hearts before this match, away

0.93points / match

1.29scored / match

1.79conceded / match

3 4 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:25

Stenhousemuir at home away Kelty Hearts

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.29

0.79 Goals conceded 1.79

2.50 Total goals 3.07

8.50 Shots 7.07

4.50 Shots on target 3.43

9.00 Shots faced 11.57

3.86 Corners 3.43

4.57 Corners against 4.93

13.50 Fouls 10.57

2.57 Yellow cards 2.93

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

50% Wins 21%

43% Draws 29%

7% Losses 50%

86% Over 0.5 goals 100%

64% Over 1.5 goals 93%

50% Over 2.5 goals 71%

43% Over 3.5 goals 36%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 79%

50% Clean sheets 14%

14% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 50%

43% Draws 21%

14% Losses 29%

71% Over 0.5 goals 100%

29% Over 1.5 goals 36%

0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stenhousemuir at home

3

1

W

3

1

W

2

D

1

W

2

W

5

W

2

D

2

D

1

W

Kelty Hearts away

2

D

3

L

2

D

1

3

L

2

3

L

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Stenhousemuir all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Peterhead – Stenhousemuir	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.45	2.00	1.80
07.03.26	Queen of Sth – Stenhousemuir	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.80
03.03.26	Hamilton – Stenhousemuir	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.10	2.08	1.73
28.02.26	Stenhousemuir – Cove Rangers	1–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.20	3.70	2.10	1.70
21.02.26	Inverness C – Stenhousemuir	1–1 (1–1)	1.48	3.70	5.75	2.00	1.80
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir – Montrose	2–2 (1–0)	1.50	3.70	5.50	1.95	1.85
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir – Peterhead	2–2 (0–1)	1.65	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.85
24.01.26	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–2 (0–2)	3.75	3.30	1.83	2.05	1.75
10.01.26	Stenhousemuir – East Fife	5–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
03.01.26	Stenhousemuir – Queen of Sth	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.10	2.90	2.08	1.73

Kelty Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Kelty Hearts – East Fife	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	2.90	2.00	1.80
07.03.26	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	2–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.50	4.75	1.90	1.90
03.03.26	Montrose – Kelty Hearts	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.25	3.70	2.00	1.80
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts – Inverness C	0–0 (0–0)	8.50	4.50	1.29	1.70	2.10
21.02.26	Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.50	4.20	1.90	1.90
14.02.26	Kelty Hearts – Peterhead	1–1 (0–1)	2.90	3.40	2.10	1.73	2.08
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts – Hamilton	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.50	2.10	1.85	1.95
24.01.26	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–2 (0–2)	3.75	3.30	1.83	2.05	1.75
10.01.26	Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts	3–1 (0–1)	1.55	3.90	4.75	1.70	2.10
03.01.26	Kelty Hearts – Alloa	1–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.40	1.73	1.90	1.90

Stenhousemuir at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Stenhousemuir – Cove Rangers	1–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.20	3.70	2.10	1.70
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir – Montrose	2–2 (1–0)	1.50	3.70	5.50	1.95	1.85
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir – Peterhead	2–2 (0–1)	1.65	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.85
10.01.26	Stenhousemuir – East Fife	5–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
03.01.26	Stenhousemuir – Queen of Sth	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.10	2.90	2.08	1.73
20.12.25	Stenhousemuir – Inverness C	1–0 (0–0)	3.80	3.30	1.80	2.00	1.80
06.12.25	Stenhousemuir – Hamilton	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.35	1.95	1.85
08.11.25	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	2–2 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	6.50	1.83	1.98
04.10.25	Stenhousemuir – Montrose	3–1 (2–0)	2.10	3.60	2.90	1.98	1.83
20.09.25	Stenhousemuir – Peterhead	3–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	2.75	1.75	2.05

Kelty Hearts away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	2–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.50	4.75	1.90	1.90
03.03.26	Montrose – Kelty Hearts	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.25	3.70	2.00	1.80
21.02.26	Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.50	4.20	1.90	1.90
10.01.26	Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts	3–1 (0–1)	1.55	3.90	4.75	1.70	2.10
27.12.25	East Fife – Kelty Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	1.53	3.70	5.25	1.75	2.05
13.12.25	Peterhead – Kelty Hearts	3–2 (1–0)	1.65	3.90	4.20	1.62	2.25
22.11.25	Hamilton – Kelty Hearts	3–1 (1–1)	1.30	4.75	8.00	1.62	2.25
08.11.25	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	2–2 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	6.50	1.83	1.98
01.11.25	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	3–0 (2–0)	1.48	3.80	6.00	1.70	2.10
18.10.25	Inverness C – Kelty Hearts	2–2 (1–2)	1.17	6.25	13.00	1.50	2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 3 5

Stenhousemuir winsDrawsKelty Hearts wins

11matches

1.91goals / match

27%over 2.5

27%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26SC2	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–2 (0–2)	3.75	3.30	1.83	2.05	1.75
08.11.25SC2	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	2–2 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	6.50	1.83	1.98
13.09.25SC2	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–1 (0–1)	3.25	3.60	1.95	1.98	1.83
15.03.25SC2	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.70	3.80	1.88	1.98
11.01.25SC2	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
26.10.24SC2	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	2–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.85	2.00
10.08.24SC2	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	2.75	1.75	2.05
26.03.22SC3	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	1–0 (0–0)	1.40	4.20	6.50	1.72	2.07
08.03.22SC3	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.70	1.85	1.95
20.11.21SC3	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	2–0 (1–0)	1.36	4.50	7.00	1.75	2.05
28.08.21SC3	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	1–4 (1–2)	5.50	4.20	1.50	1.75	2.05

Scotland League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inverness C	29	18	7	4	51	19	+32	61
2	Stenhousemuir	29	14	11	4	39	22	+17	53
3	Alloa	29	13	7	9	44	29	+15	46
4	Hamilton	29	13	6	10	44	32	+12	45
5	Queen of Sth	29	12	7	10	45	39	+6	43
6	Peterhead	29	11	5	13	42	52	-10	38
7	Montrose	29	10	7	12	41	54	-13	37
8	East Fife	29	8	5	16	27	52	-25	29
9	Cove Rangers	29	6	9	14	32	37	-5	27
10	Kelty Hearts	29	3	10	16	25	54	-29	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inverness C	15	11	3	1	34	10	+24	36
2	Stenhousemuir	14	7	6	1	24	11	+13	27
3	Alloa	14	7	5	2	23	10	+13	26
4	Hamilton	15	8	2	5	21	12	+9	26
5	Queen of Sth	15	7	4	4	25	18	+7	25
6	Peterhead	14	7	2	5	27	23	+4	23
7	Montrose	14	7	2	5	22	27	-5	23
8	East Fife	15	5	2	8	14	23	-9	17
9	Cove Rangers	14	3	5	6	13	17	-4	14
10	Kelty Hearts	15	0	6	9	7	29	-22	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	15	7	5	3	15	11	+4	26
2	Inverness C	14	7	4	3	17	9	+8	25
3	Alloa	15	6	2	7	21	19	+2	20
4	Hamilton	14	5	4	5	23	20	+3	19
5	Queen of Sth	14	5	3	6	20	21	-1	18
6	Peterhead	15	4	3	8	15	29	-14	15
7	Montrose	15	3	5	7	19	27	-8	14
8	Cove Rangers	15	3	4	8	19	20	-1	13
9	Kelty Hearts	14	3	4	7	18	25	-7	13
10	East Fife	14	3	3	8	13	29	-16	12

Stenhousemuir Kelty Hearts

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Peterhead	29	8	21	1.4	1.8	11	5	13	42	52	38
2	7	Montrose	29	10	19	1.4	1.9	10	7	12	41	54	37
3	4	Hamilton	29	13	16	1.5	1.1	13	6	10	44	32	45
4	5	Queen of Sth	29	13	16	1.6	1.3	12	7	10	45	39	43
5	10	Kelty Hearts	29	13	16	0.9	1.9	3	10	16	25	54	19
6	8	East Fife	29	14	15	0.9	1.8	8	5	16	27	52	29
7	3	Alloa	29	15	14	1.5	1.0	13	7	9	44	29	46
8	1	Inverness C	29	16	13	1.8	0.7	18	7	4	51	19	61
9	9	Cove Rangers	29	17	12	1.1	1.3	6	9	14	32	37	27
10	2	Stenhousemuir	29	19	10	1.3	0.8	14	11	4	39	22	53

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Peterhead	14	3	11	1.9	1.6	7	2	5	27	23	23
2	7	Montrose	14	3	11	1.6	1.9	7	2	5	22	27	23
3	1	Inverness C	15	6	9	2.3	0.7	11	3	1	34	10	36
4	5	Queen of Sth	15	7	8	1.7	1.2	7	4	4	25	18	25
5	2	Stenhousemuir	14	7	7	1.7	0.8	7	6	1	24	11	27
6	3	Alloa	14	7	7	1.6	0.7	7	5	2	23	10	26
7	4	Hamilton	15	9	6	1.4	0.8	8	2	5	21	12	26
8	8	East Fife	15	9	6	0.9	1.5	5	2	8	14	23	17
9	10	Kelty Hearts	15	9	6	0.5	1.9	0	6	9	7	29	6
10	9	Cove Rangers	14	9	5	0.9	1.2	3	5	6	13	17	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Hamilton	14	4	10	1.6	1.4	5	4	5	23	20	19
2	6	Peterhead	15	5	10	1.0	1.9	4	3	8	15	29	15
3	10	Kelty Hearts	14	4	10	1.3	1.8	3	4	7	18	25	13
4	8	East Fife	14	5	9	0.9	2.1	3	3	8	13	29	12
5	5	Queen of Sth	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	5	3	6	20	21	18
6	7	Montrose	15	7	8	1.3	1.8	3	5	7	19	27	14
7	3	Alloa	15	8	7	1.4	1.3	6	2	7	21	19	20
8	9	Cove Rangers	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	3	4	8	19	20	13
9	1	Inverness C	14	10	4	1.2	0.6	7	4	3	17	9	25
10	2	Stenhousemuir	15	12	3	1.0	0.7	7	5	3	15	11	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.