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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: K Clancy

Hearts 2–1 Aberdeen

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 1.75
Draw 3.40 fair 4.87
Away 3.20 fair 4.50
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hearts Aberdeen
30 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 2
6 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).
Result Hearts to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 2.15 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
HeartsDrawAberdeen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 8.9% 2–0 7.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hearts before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.66scored / match
1.51conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 58:53
Aberdeen before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.49scored / match
1.51conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 52:53
Hearts all matches all matches Aberdeen

Per match

1.66 Goals scored 1.49
1.51 Goals conceded 1.51
3.17 Total goals 3.00
12.11 Shots 11.74
4.23 Shots on target 3.71
14.00 Shots faced 14.69
5.31 Corners 5.09
5.20 Corners against 6.29
10.23 Fouls 10.06
1.71 Yellow cards 1.83
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.66
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

40% Wins 49%
20% Draws 9%
40% Losses 43%
97% Over 0.5 goals 94%
86% Over 1.5 goals 74%
63% Over 2.5 goals 57%
40% Over 3.5 goals 46%
20% Over 4.5 goals 26%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
51% Both teams scored 43%
17% Clean sheets 37%
34% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 34%
34% Draws 43%
29% Losses 23%
74% Over 0.5 goals 69%
43% Over 1.5 goals 40%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts all matches
Aberdeen all matches
Hearts before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.35scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 40:25
Aberdeen before this match, away
0.94points / match
0.82scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 14:39
Hearts at home away Aberdeen

Per match

2.35 Goals scored 0.82
1.47 Goals conceded 2.29
3.82 Total goals 3.12
14.29 Shots 10.24
5.41 Shots on target 2.88
13.71 Shots faced 16.59
5.41 Corners 4.94
5.41 Corners against 7.18
9.82 Fouls 10.00
1.29 Yellow cards 1.94
1.12 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 1.18

How often Full Time

65% Wins 29%
6% Draws 6%
29% Losses 65%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 76%
76% Over 2.5 goals 65%
53% Over 3.5 goals 47%
35% Over 4.5 goals 18%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
53% Both teams scored 47%
24% Clean sheets 18%
24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 18%
29% Draws 35%
18% Losses 47%
76% Over 0.5 goals 76%
47% Over 1.5 goals 53%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts at home
Aberdeen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (2–0) 2.633.252.70 2.00 1.85
07.05.23 Hearts – Celtic 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
22.04.23 Hearts – Ross County 6–1 (4–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.05
15.04.23 Hibernian – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.25 1.80 2.00
08.04.23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
18.03.23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00
08.03.23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
04.03.23 Hearts – St Johnstone 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.93 1.93
19.02.23 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88

Aberdeen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.90 1.95
07.05.23 Rangers – Aberdeen 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.7512.00 1.53 2.50
23.04.23 Aberdeen – Rangers 2–0 (0–0) 6.504.001.53 1.57 2.38
14.04.23 Ross County – Aberdeen 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.02 1.83
08.04.23 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.02 1.83
01.04.23 St Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.45 2.20 1.67
18.03.23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00
04.03.23 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–3 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
25.02.23 Aberdeen – Livingston 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.02 1.83
18.02.23 Celtic – Aberdeen 4–0 (2–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.40 3.00

Hearts at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Hearts – Celtic 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
22.04.23 Hearts – Ross County 6–1 (4–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.05
08.04.23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
04.03.23 Hearts – St Johnstone 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.93 1.93
04.02.23 Hearts – Dundee United 3–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.73 2.10
01.02.23 Hearts – Rangers 0–3 (0–2) 5.754.331.55 1.62 2.30
18.01.23 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 (4–0) 2.153.403.40 1.85 2.00
13.01.23 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00
02.01.23 Hearts – Hibernian 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.503.30 1.73 2.10
17.12.22 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88

Aberdeen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Rangers – Aberdeen 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.7512.00 1.53 2.50
14.04.23 Ross County – Aberdeen 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.02 1.83
01.04.23 St Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.45 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–3 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
18.02.23 Celtic – Aberdeen 4–0 (2–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.40 3.00
28.01.23 Hibernian – Aberdeen 6–0 (3–0) 2.253.603.00 1.93 1.93
18.01.23 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 (4–0) 2.153.403.40 1.85 2.00
28.12.22 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.502.30 2.10 1.73
24.12.22 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.63 2.10 1.73
08.11.22 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hearts winsDrawsAberdeen wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
50%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23SC0 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00
18.01.23SC0 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 (4–0) 2.153.403.40 1.85 2.00
16.10.22SC0 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 1.85 2.00
02.03.22SC0 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.20 1.66
30.10.21SC0 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
22.08.21SC0 Hearts – Aberdeen 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.80 2.30 1.61

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 35 31 2 2 105 28 +77 95
2 Rangers 35 27 4 4 85 34 +51 85
3 Aberdeen 35 17 3 15 52 53 -1 54
4 Hearts 35 14 7 14 58 53 +5 49
5 Hibernian 35 14 6 15 51 53 -2 48
6 St Mirren 35 12 9 14 41 53 -12 45
7 Motherwell 35 12 7 16 48 48 0 43
8 Livingston 35 12 6 17 33 56 -23 42
9 St Johnstone 35 10 6 19 35 56 -21 36
10 Kilmarnock 35 9 7 19 31 60 -29 34
11 Ross County 35 9 6 20 33 53 -20 33
12 Dundee United 35 8 7 20 37 62 -25 31
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 18 16 2 0 48 11 +37 50
2 Celtic 17 16 1 0 51 12 +39 49
3 Aberdeen 18 12 2 4 38 14 +24 38
4 Hearts 17 11 1 5 40 25 +15 34
5 St Mirren 18 9 5 4 23 18 +5 32
6 Hibernian 17 9 3 5 31 22 +9 30
7 Kilmarnock 17 8 5 4 23 24 -1 29
8 Livingston 17 8 4 5 19 20 -1 28
9 Dundee United 18 6 2 10 23 32 -9 20
10 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 22 26 -4 18
11 Ross County 18 5 3 10 19 27 -8 18
12 St Johnstone 18 4 4 10 16 25 -9 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 18 15 1 2 54 16 +38 46
2 Rangers 17 11 2 4 37 23 +14 35
3 Motherwell 18 7 4 7 26 22 +4 25
4 St Johnstone 17 6 2 9 19 31 -12 20
5 Hibernian 18 5 3 10 20 31 -11 18
6 Aberdeen 17 5 1 11 14 39 -25 16
7 Hearts 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
8 Ross County 17 4 3 10 14 26 -12 15
9 Livingston 18 4 2 12 14 36 -22 14
10 St Mirren 17 3 4 10 18 35 -17 13
11 Dundee United 17 2 5 10 14 30 -16 11
12 Kilmarnock 18 1 2 15 8 36 -28 5

Hearts   Aberdeen

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 35 9 26 3.0 0.8 31 2 2 105 28 95
2 2 Rangers 35 10 25 2.4 1.0 27 4 4 85 34 85
3 4 Hearts 35 13 22 1.7 1.5 14 7 14 58 53 49
4 3 Aberdeen 35 15 20 1.5 1.5 17 3 15 52 53 54
5 5 Hibernian 35 15 20 1.5 1.5 14 6 15 51 53 48
6 7 Motherwell 35 16 19 1.4 1.4 12 7 16 48 48 43
7 12 Dundee United 35 16 19 1.1 1.8 8 7 20 37 62 31
8 6 St Mirren 35 17 18 1.2 1.5 12 9 14 41 53 45
9 8 Livingston 35 18 17 0.9 1.6 12 6 17 33 56 42
10 9 St Johnstone 35 18 17 1.0 1.6 10 6 19 35 56 36
11 10 Kilmarnock 35 19 16 0.9 1.7 9 7 19 31 60 34
12 11 Ross County 35 20 15 0.9 1.5 9 6 20 33 53 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 17 4 13 3.0 0.7 16 1 0 51 12 49
2 4 Hearts 17 4 13 2.4 1.5 11 1 5 40 25 34
3 2 Rangers 18 6 12 2.7 0.6 16 2 0 48 11 50
4 5 Hibernian 17 6 11 1.8 1.3 9 3 5 31 22 30
5 7 Motherwell 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 3 9 22 26 18
6 12 Dundee United 18 7 11 1.3 1.8 6 2 10 23 32 20
7 3 Aberdeen 18 9 9 2.1 0.8 12 2 4 38 14 38
8 10 Kilmarnock 17 8 9 1.4 1.4 8 5 4 23 24 29
9 8 Livingston 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 8 4 5 19 20 28
10 6 St Mirren 18 11 7 1.3 1.0 9 5 4 23 18 32
11 11 Ross County 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 5 3 10 19 27 18
12 9 St Johnstone 18 12 6 0.9 1.4 4 4 10 16 25 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 18 5 13 3.0 0.9 15 1 2 54 16 46
2 2 Rangers 17 4 13 2.2 1.4 11 2 4 37 23 35
3 3 Aberdeen 17 6 11 0.8 2.3 5 1 11 14 39 16
4 6 St Mirren 17 6 11 1.1 2.1 3 4 10 18 35 13
5 9 St Johnstone 17 6 11 1.1 1.8 6 2 9 19 31 20
6 4 Hearts 18 9 9 1.0 1.6 3 6 9 18 28 15
7 5 Hibernian 18 9 9 1.1 1.7 5 3 10 20 31 18
8 8 Livingston 18 9 9 0.8 2.0 4 2 12 14 36 14
9 7 Motherwell 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 4 7 26 22 25
10 11 Ross County 17 9 8 0.8 1.5 4 3 10 14 26 15
11 12 Dundee United 17 9 8 0.8 1.8 2 5 10 14 30 11
12 10 Kilmarnock 18 11 7 0.4 2.0 1 2 15 8 36 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51