St Mirren 1–0 Hearts
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024
Home ✓
2.70
fair 2.29
Draw
3.30
fair 3.90
Away
2.70
fair 3.26
Under 2.5 ✓
1.73
fair 2.01
Over 2.5
2.10
fair 1.99
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
13
Shots
11
5
Shots on target
3
4
Corners
8
13
Fouls
12
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (31 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.85
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
44%
26%
31%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%
54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
18%
1
25%
2
22%
3
15%
4
13%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.1%
2–1 9%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
3
2
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 9:6
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
0.80scored / match
0.40conceded / match
2
1
2
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 4:2
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.40
3.00
Total goals
1.20
10.60
Shots
12.80
3.80
Shots on target
4.00
11.60
Shots faced
11.00
4.00
Corners
9.60
4.40
Corners against
4.40
11.00
Fouls
11.20
2.40
Yellow cards
2.40
0.80
1st-half goals scored
0.20
0.20
1st-half goals conceded
0.20
How often Full Time
60%
Wins
40%
40%
Draws
20%
0%
Losses
40%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
40%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
20%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
80%
Both teams scored
0%
20%
Clean sheets
60%
0%
Failed to score
60%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
20%
40%
Draws
60%
20%
Losses
20%
60%
Over 0.5 goals
40%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
1
2
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
3
L
3
L
3
2
W
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
1
D
1
W
Hearts all matches
2
L
2
2
D
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
1
D
2
W
D
1
L
1
L
2
W
St Mirren
before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
1
1
WonDrawnLost
2 played · 4:3
Hearts
before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
1
1
WonDrawnLost
2 played · 2:1
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.50
3.50
Total goals
1.50
14.00
Shots
13.00
4.00
Shots on target
7.00
5.50
Shots faced
10.50
4.00
Corners
8.50
3.00
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Fouls
11.50
2.00
Yellow cards
2.00
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.00
How often Full Time
50%
Wins
50%
50%
Draws
0%
0%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
100%
Both teams scored
0%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
0%
Failed to score
50%
How often Half Time
50%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
100%
50%
Losses
0%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
1
W
1
L
1
W
1
5
L
3
W
2
L
2
2
D
3
L
2
1
W
2
2
D
Hearts away
D
2
L
1
3
L
3
L
1
2
L
1
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
W
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.09.23 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 02.09.23 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 27.08.23 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–2 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 12.08.23 | St Mirren – Dundee | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 06.08.23 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 2–3 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 27.05.23 | St Mirren – Rangers | 0–3 (0–1) | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 24.05.23 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 20.05.23 | Celtic – St Mirren | 2–2 (1–2) | 1.13 | 9.00 | 21.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 13.05.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.05.23 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.09.23 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.09.23 | Hearts – Motherwell | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 27.08.23 | Dundee – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 13.08.23 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 05.08.23 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 27.05.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 24.05.23 | Rangers – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 20.05.23 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 13.05.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.05.23 | Hearts – Celtic | 0–2 (0–0) | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.08.23 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–2 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 12.08.23 | St Mirren – Dundee | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 27.05.23 | St Mirren – Rangers | 0–3 (0–1) | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 13.05.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 22.04.23 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.04.23 | St Mirren – Livingston | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 05.03.23 | St Mirren – Celtic | 1–5 (1–0) | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.02.23 | St Mirren – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 04.02.23 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 28.01.23 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.08.23 | Dundee – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 05.08.23 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 24.05.23 | Rangers – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 13.05.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 15.04.23 | Hibernian – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 01.04.23 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 18.03.23 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 08.03.23 | Celtic – Hearts | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.18 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 19.02.23 | Motherwell – Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.01.23 | Livingston – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1 2 4
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
29%over 2.5
43%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | St Mirren | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 10 |
| 4 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Hearts | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Ross County | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Dundee | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | Motherwell | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 | Dundee | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Hearts | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ross County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Rangers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 | Livingston | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | Hibernian | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | St Mirren | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Livingston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 7 | Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ross County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Dundee | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | 10 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | St Mirren | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | Livingston | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | Dundee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | Motherwell | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | Aberdeen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | Rangers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | St Johnstone | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | Hearts | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | St Mirren | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | Hibernian | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 5 | 4 | Rangers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | Livingston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 9 | 12 | St Johnstone | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | Hearts | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | Dundee | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Dundee | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | Livingston | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | St Mirren | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | Ross County | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | Aberdeen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | Motherwell | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | Rangers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | Hearts | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | St Johnstone | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51