Hearts 3–2 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
1.85
fair 1.98
Draw
3.70
fair 4.10
Away
3.90
fair 3.98
Under 2.5
1.83
fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓
2.03
fair 1.93
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
Kilmarnock
10
Shots
15
4
Shots on target
8
3
Corners
7
9
Fouls
17
2
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (138 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.86
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
50%
24%
25%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
48%
52%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%
54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
18%
1
24%
2
22%
3
15%
4
15%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.6%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
1.09scored / match
1.35conceded / match
6
6
11
WonDrawnLost
23 played · 25:31
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.09scored / match
1.61conceded / match
6
7
10
WonDrawnLost
23 played · 25:37
Hearts all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.09
Goals scored
1.09
1.35
Goals conceded
1.61
2.43
Total goals
2.70
12.91
Shots
12.78
3.74
Shots on target
3.65
10.96
Shots faced
12.87
6.39
Corners
5.87
4.61
Corners against
5.13
11.22
Fouls
10.17
2.13
Yellow cards
1.61
0.48
1st-half goals scored
0.30
0.52
1st-half goals conceded
0.65
How often Full Time
26%
Wins
26%
26%
Draws
30%
48%
Losses
43%
91%
Over 0.5 goals
96%
70%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
48%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
26%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
9%
Over 4.5 goals
17%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
9%
57%
Both teams scored
43%
26%
Clean sheets
22%
26%
Failed to score
39%
How often Half Time
30%
Wins
22%
39%
Draws
30%
30%
Losses
48%
70%
Over 0.5 goals
70%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
17%
9%
Over 2.5 goals
9%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
1
4
L
1
1
D
2
W
1
L
2
1
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
1
W
1
W
D
Kilmarnock all matches
1
1
D
6
L
1
1
D
1
W
1
1
D
4
W
1
L
2
W
1
L
D
Hearts
before this match, at home
1.36points / match
1.27scored / match
1.09conceded / match
4
3
4
WonDrawnLost
11 played · 14:12
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.00scored / match
2.17conceded / match
2
3
7
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 12:26
Hearts at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.27
Goals scored
1.00
1.09
Goals conceded
2.17
2.36
Total goals
3.17
15.45
Shots
10.92
4.82
Shots on target
3.17
9.55
Shots faced
14.67
7.09
Corners
5.92
4.18
Corners against
6.00
10.64
Fouls
10.33
1.64
Yellow cards
1.83
0.64
1st-half goals scored
0.33
0.27
1st-half goals conceded
0.92
How often Full Time
36%
Wins
17%
27%
Draws
25%
36%
Losses
58%
91%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
73%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
45%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
18%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
9%
Over 4.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
8%
55%
Both teams scored
58%
36%
Clean sheets
0%
18%
Failed to score
42%
How often Half Time
45%
Wins
17%
36%
Draws
17%
18%
Losses
67%
73%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
18%
Over 1.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
1
L
1
1
D
4
W
1
2
L
1
4
L
1
1
D
2
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
W
Kilmarnock away
2
2
D
3
2
W
1
2
L
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
L
6
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.01.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 05.01.25 | Dundee United – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 02.01.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 29.12.24 | Ross County – Hearts | 2–2 (0–1) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 26.12.24 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 22.12.24 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 15.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.12.24 | Hearts – Dundee | 2–0 (2–0) | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 01.12.24 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.11.24 | Hearts – Celtic | 1–4 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.01.25 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 05.01.25 | Kilmarnock – Ross County | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 02.01.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 29.12.24 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 26.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 4–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 20.12.24 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 15.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.12.24 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 04.12.24 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 6–0 (1–0) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 30.11.24 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 26.12.24 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 22.12.24 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 07.12.24 | Hearts – Dundee | 2–0 (2–0) | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 01.12.24 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.11.24 | Hearts – Celtic | 1–4 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 30.10.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 19.10.24 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 28.09.24 | Hearts – Ross County | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 01.09.24 | Hearts – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.24 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 20.12.24 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 07.12.24 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 04.12.24 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 6–0 (1–0) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 23.11.24 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.11.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–2) | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.10.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 26.10.24 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 05.10.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 2–3 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 14.09.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 4 3
Hearts winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
9matches
2.00goals / match
44%over 2.5
56%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.12.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 30.10.24SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 27.04.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 30.03.24SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 02.12.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 13.08.23SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 01.04.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 17.12.22SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.10.22SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | +53 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | +26 | 47 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | +7 | 37 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
| 7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
| 11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 4 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 2 | +32 | 31 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 18 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Dundee | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Hearts | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Ross County | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 7 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 9 | +21 | 29 |
| 2 | Dundee United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 19 |
| 3 | Rangers | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Ross County | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 12 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 10 |
| 10 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 9 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
Hearts Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | St Mirren | 23 | 6 | 17 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | 27 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 23 | 7 | 16 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 60 |
| 3 | 5 | Motherwell | 23 | 7 | 16 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | 31 |
| 4 | 7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 16 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | 27 |
| 5 | 12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 7 | 16 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | 15 |
| 6 | 10 | Ross County | 23 | 8 | 15 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | 25 |
| 7 | 4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 9 | 14 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 35 |
| 8 | 6 | Hibernian | 23 | 9 | 14 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 29 |
| 9 | 2 | Rangers | 23 | 10 | 13 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 47 |
| 10 | 11 | Hearts | 23 | 12 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
| 11 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 13 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 25 |
| 12 | 3 | Dundee United | 23 | 15 | 8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 37 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Dundee | 12 | 1 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 15 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 11 | 3 | 8 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 31 |
| 3 | 8 | St Mirren | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | 10 | Ross County | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | St Johnstone | 11 | 3 | 8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | Rangers | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
| 7 | 4 | Aberdeen | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 23 |
| 8 | 5 | Motherwell | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | 6 | Hibernian | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 17 |
| 10 | 11 | Hearts | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | 3 | Dundee United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 18 |
| 12 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 13 |
| 2 | 8 | St Mirren | 11 | 2 | 9 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | Celtic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | 12 | St Johnstone | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | Aberdeen | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | Hibernian | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | Ross County | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | Rangers | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | Hearts | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | Dundee | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | Dundee United | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
