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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.38 fair 1.79
Draw 6.00 fair 4.78
Away 6.25 fair 4.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.75 fair 2.94
Over 2.5 1.29 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Villarreal
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
1.43 Expected goals (xG) 0.59
9 Corners 3
8 Fouls 13
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (72 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 2.10 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.1% 2–0 7.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
2.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 18:8
Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.86scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:12
Real Madrid all matches all matches Villarreal

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 1.86
1.14 Goals conceded 1.71
3.71 Total goals 3.57
2.60 xG created 2.34
1.09 xG allowed 1.27
18.86 Shots 16.00
7.57 Shots on target 6.57
12.71 Shots faced 12.86
6.86 Corners 7.29
4.14 Corners against 3.71
8.43 Fouls 10.71
1.86 Yellow cards 1.57
1.43 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%
0% Draws 29%
29% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
86% Over 2.5 goals 86%
57% Over 3.5 goals 71%
43% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 86%
14% Clean sheets 0%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 14%
57% Draws 57%
0% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
29% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Villarreal all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 12:2
Villarreal before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:6
Real Madrid at home away Villarreal

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 1.75
0.67 Goals conceded 1.50
4.67 Total goals 3.25
2.72 xG created 2.25
0.83 xG allowed 1.02
21.00 Shots 15.00
10.00 Shots on target 6.50
14.00 Shots faced 12.50
8.00 Corners 7.50
6.00 Corners against 5.00
8.33 Fouls 11.25
1.00 Yellow cards 1.75
2.33 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
100% Over 2.5 goals 75%
100% Over 3.5 goals 75%
67% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 75%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 25%
33% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Villarreal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.44 2.75
15.09.26 Elche – Real Madrid 2–3 (0–2) 12.007.501.20 1.30 3.50
12.09.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 4–1 (3–0) 1.139.5019.00 1.29 3.75
04.09.26 Betis – Real Madrid 1–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.36 3.20
30.08.26 Real Madrid – Malaga 4–0 (3–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.33 3.40
26.08.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (1–1) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
22.08.26 Espanol – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.44 1.73 2.10
23.05.26 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 4–2 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Sevilla – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.10
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Villarreal – Levante 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.755.50 1.50 2.63
17.09.26 Malaga – Villarreal 1–3 (1–2) 3.603.701.95 1.62 2.30
14.09.26 Villarreal – Betis 1–2 (1–2) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.38
05.09.26 Villarreal – La Coruna 2–3 (1–1) 1.504.206.50 1.73 2.10
28.08.26 Alaves – Villarreal 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–2 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.88 1.98
16.08.26 Santander – Villarreal 2–2 (2–2) 3.203.602.15 1.80 2.00
24.05.26 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 5–1 (4–1) 2.453.602.75 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.63 1.73 2.10
13.05.26 Villarreal – Sevilla 2–3 (2–2) 2.103.303.60 1.80 2.00

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 4–1 (3–0) 1.139.5019.00 1.29 3.75
30.08.26 Real Madrid – Malaga 4–0 (3–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.33 3.40
26.08.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (1–1) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
23.05.26 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 4–2 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
21.04.26 Real Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 3.00
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03

Villarreal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.26 Malaga – Villarreal 1–3 (1–2) 3.603.701.95 1.62 2.30
28.08.26 Alaves – Villarreal 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–2 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.88 1.98
16.08.26 Santander – Villarreal 2–2 (2–2) 3.203.602.15 1.80 2.00
17.05.26 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.63 1.73 2.10
10.05.26 Mallorca – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
23.04.26 Oviedo – Villarreal 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.402.05 1.98 1.88
12.04.26 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.503.10 1.98 1.88
06.04.26 Girona – Villarreal 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
13.03.26 Alaves – Villarreal 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 1.91 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsVillarreal wins
10matches
3.20goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.902.00 1.50 2.63
04.10.25SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00
15.03.25SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–2) 3.103.752.15 1.50 2.63
05.10.24SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.258.50 1.33 3.40
19.05.24SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 4–4 (1–4) 3.203.752.05 1.44 2.75
17.12.23SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
08.04.23SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
07.01.23SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.62 2.30
12.02.22SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.09.21SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.57 2.37

Spain La Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 8 8 0 0 34 7 +27 24 WWWWWW
2 Ath Madrid 8 6 1 1 18 8 +10 19 WLWWWW
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9 7 +2 16 WLWWWD
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18 8 +10 15 WWLWWL
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10 9 +1 13 WLDWWL
6 Alaves 8 3 2 3 12 8 +4 11 WWLLDL
7 La Coruna 7 2 4 1 10 8 +2 10 DWWDLD
8 Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10 LWDWLW
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13 12 +1 8 DLLLWW
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8 LLWWDD
11 Espanol 8 2 2 4 11 11 0 8 LDWLLD
12 Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11 16 -5 8 DLWLWD
13 Getafe 8 2 2 4 4 10 -6 8 LDDLWL
14 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6 13 -7 8 WWLLLD
15 Celta 7 1 4 2 8 6 +2 7 LLDDDW
16 Santander 7 2 1 4 11 21 -10 7 LWLWLL
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8 12 -4 5 LDWDLL
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11 17 -6 5 LLLDLW
19 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4 13 -9 4 LDDLLD
20 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4 13 -9 4 LLLLWL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Segunda División

Copa del Rey winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 17 4 +13 12 WWWW
2 Ath Madrid 4 3 1 0 10 3 +7 10 WDWW
3 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 12 2 +10 9 WWW
4 Alaves 5 3 0 2 10 5 +5 9 WWWLL
5 Betis 3 3 0 0 3 0 +3 9 WWW
6 Getafe 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8 WDDW
7 Santander 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7 DWW
8 Vallecano 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7 DWW
9 Sevilla 4 2 0 2 5 7 -2 6 WLWL
10 Ath Bilbao 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5 LWDD
11 La Coruna 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5 DWLD
12 Osasuna 4 1 2 1 2 3 -1 5 DWLD
13 Celta 4 1 1 2 7 5 +2 4 LLDW
14 Espanol 4 1 1 2 6 6 0 4 WLDL
15 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 WDL
16 Levante 2 1 0 1 7 6 +1 3 WL
17 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 6 6 0 3 LLW
18 Malaga 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3 DDLD
19 Valencia 4 0 1 3 2 9 -7 1 DLLL
20 Elche 3 0 0 3 4 11 -7 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 17 3 +14 12 WWWW
2 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9 WLWW
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7 WDW
4 Betis 4 2 1 1 6 7 -1 7 WLWD
5 Real Madrid 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6 WLWL
6 Sociedad 4 2 0 2 7 9 -2 6 LLWW
7 Elche 4 1 2 1 7 6 +1 5 DLDW
8 Villarreal 4 1 2 1 7 6 +1 5 DDLW
9 La Coruna 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5 DWD
10 Espanol 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4 LWLD
11 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 LW
12 Celta 3 0 3 0 1 1 0 3 DDD
13 Valencia 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3 LLW
14 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 4 10 -6 3 WLL
15 Alaves 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 DLD
16 Levante 4 0 2 2 1 6 -5 2 LDDL
17 Vallecano 4 0 1 3 5 12 -7 1 LLLD
18 Malaga 4 0 1 3 1 8 -7 1 LLDL
19 Getafe 4 0 0 4 0 8 -8 0 LLLL
20 Santander 4 0 0 4 4 16 -12 0 LLLL

Real Madrid   Villarreal

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 8 1 7 4.2 0.9 8 0 0 34 7 24 OOOOOO
2 2 Ath Madrid 8 1 7 2.2 1.0 6 1 1 18 8 19 OOOOOO
3 4 Real Madrid 7 1 6 2.6 1.1 5 0 2 18 8 15 OOUOOO
4 9 Villarreal 7 1 6 1.9 1.7 2 2 3 13 12 8 OUOOOO
5 16 Santander 7 1 6 1.6 3.0 2 1 4 11 21 7 UOOOOO
6 8 Sociedad 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10 OOUOOO
7 11 Espanol 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 2 2 4 11 11 8 OUUOOU
8 12 Vallecano 7 2 5 1.6 2.3 2 2 3 11 16 8 UOOOOU
9 18 Elche 7 2 5 1.6 2.4 1 2 4 11 17 5 OOOUOO
10 5 Sevilla 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 4 1 2 10 9 13 OOUUUO
11 6 Alaves 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 3 2 3 12 8 11 UOOUUO
12 17 Levante 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 1 2 3 8 12 5 OUOUOO
13 14 Osasuna 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 2 2 3 6 13 8 OUOUOU
14 20 Valencia 7 4 3 0.6 1.9 1 1 5 4 13 4 UOOUUO
15 3 Betis 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 5 1 1 9 7 16 UOUOUU
16 7 La Coruna 7 5 2 1.4 1.1 2 4 1 10 8 10 UOOUUU
17 10 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8 OUUOUU
18 13 Getafe 8 6 2 0.5 1.2 2 2 4 4 10 8 UUUUUO
19 15 Celta 7 5 2 1.1 0.9 1 4 2 8 6 7 OUUUUO
20 19 Malaga 8 6 2 0.5 1.6 0 4 4 4 13 4 OUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 4 1 3 4.2 1.0 4 0 0 17 4 12 UOOO
2 2 Ath Madrid 4 1 3 2.5 0.8 3 1 0 10 3 10 UOOO
3 4 Real Madrid 3 0 3 4.0 0.7 3 0 0 12 2 9 OOO
4 5 Sevilla 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 2 0 2 5 7 6 OOUO
5 6 Alaves 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 2 10 5 9 OUOUO
6 9 Villarreal 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 0 2 6 6 3 OOO
7 11 Espanol 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 1 2 6 6 4 OOUO
8 16 Santander 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7 OOO
9 18 Elche 3 0 3 1.3 3.7 0 0 3 4 11 0 OOO
10 8 Sociedad 3 1 2 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4 OUO
11 10 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5 OOUU
12 12 Vallecano 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7 UOO
13 15 Celta 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 1 2 7 5 4 OUUO
14 17 Levante 2 0 2 3.5 3.0 1 0 1 7 6 3 OO
15 20 Valencia 4 2 2 0.5 2.2 0 1 3 2 9 1 UUOO
16 7 La Coruna 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5 UOUU
17 19 Malaga 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3 UUOU
18 3 Betis 3 3 0 1.0 0.0 3 0 0 3 0 9 UUU
19 13 Getafe 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8 UUUU
20 14 Osasuna 4 4 0 0.5 0.8 1 2 1 2 3 5 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 4 0 4 4.2 0.8 4 0 0 17 3 12 OOOO
2 2 Ath Madrid 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9 OOOO
3 4 Real Madrid 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6 OUOO
4 8 Sociedad 4 1 3 1.8 2.2 2 0 2 7 9 6 UOOO
5 9 Villarreal 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 2 1 7 6 5 OOUO
6 12 Vallecano 4 1 3 1.2 3.0 0 1 3 5 12 1 OOOU
7 14 Osasuna 3 0 3 1.3 3.3 1 0 2 4 10 3 OOO
8 16 Santander 4 1 3 1.0 4.0 0 0 4 4 16 0 UOOO
9 3 Betis 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 2 1 1 6 7 7 UOOU
10 11 Espanol 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4 OUOU
11 13 Getafe 4 2 2 0.0 2.0 0 0 4 0 8 0 OUUO
12 17 Levante 4 2 2 0.2 1.5 0 2 2 1 6 2 OUUO
13 18 Elche 4 2 2 1.8 1.5 1 2 1 7 6 5 UOUO
14 5 Sevilla 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7 OUU
15 6 Alaves 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 UOU
16 7 La Coruna 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5 UOU
17 19 Malaga 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 0 1 3 1 8 1 UOUU
18 20 Valencia 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3 OUU
19 10 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 UU
20 15 Celta 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 0 3 0 1 1 3 UUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11