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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Man City 5–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.10 fair 1.44
Draw 11.00 fair 6.05
Away 19.00 fair 7.17
Under 2.5 3.75 fair 3.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.29 fair 1.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Luton
33 Shots 4
13 Shots on target 2
12 Corners 1
7 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (314 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 2.60 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 2–0 8.3% 3–1 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.26points / match
2.29scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 71:31
Luton before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
1.41scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 45:65
Man City all matches all matches Luton

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 1.41
1.00 Goals conceded 2.03
3.29 Total goals 3.44
18.06 Shots 11.72
6.97 Shots on target 3.69
8.16 Shots faced 16.84
7.52 Corners 5.53
3.68 Corners against 5.72
7.97 Fouls 11.44
1.52 Yellow cards 1.88
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

68% Wins 19%
23% Draws 22%
10% Losses 59%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 88%
61% Over 2.5 goals 69%
42% Over 3.5 goals 41%
23% Over 4.5 goals 25%
16% Over 5.5 goals 9%
65% Both teams scored 78%
29% Clean sheets 6%
10% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 25%
29% Draws 31%
23% Losses 44%
81% Over 0.5 goals 72%
39% Over 1.5 goals 31%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Luton all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.38points / match
2.38scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 38:13
Luton before this match, away
0.63points / match
1.31scored / match
2.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:38
Man City at home away Luton

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 1.31
0.81 Goals conceded 2.38
3.19 Total goals 3.69
17.69 Shots 9.38
5.75 Shots on target 3.00
6.44 Shots faced 19.81
7.88 Corners 4.19
2.81 Corners against 6.63
8.38 Fouls 11.69
1.31 Yellow cards 1.88
1.19 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

69% Wins 13%
31% Draws 25%
0% Losses 63%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 69%
44% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 31%
19% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 75%
38% Clean sheets 0%
6% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

69% Wins 31%
19% Draws 31%
13% Losses 38%
81% Over 0.5 goals 75%
44% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–4 (1–1) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
03.04.24 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23 Man City – Sheffield United 2–0 (1–0) 1.0811.0029.00 1.30 3.50
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23E0 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 +51 71
2 Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 +42 71
3 Man City 31 21 7 3 71 31 +40 70
4 Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 +17 60
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60
6 Newcastle 32 15 5 12 69 52 +17 50
7 Man United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
8 West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
9 Chelsea 30 12 8 10 55 52 +3 44
10 Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 +2 43
11 Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 35
15 Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
16 Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nott'm Forest 32 7 8 17 40 56 -16 29
18 Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield United 31 3 7 21 30 82 -52 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 14 +29 42
2 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 38 13 +25 38
3 Man City 16 11 5 0 38 13 +25 38
4 Newcastle 17 11 3 3 43 20 +23 36
5 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36
6 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 40 22 +18 35
7 Fulham 16 9 1 6 29 16 +13 28
8 Brighton 15 7 6 2 28 19 +9 27
9 Man United 15 8 2 5 23 22 +1 26
10 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 29 25 +4 25
11 West Ham 16 6 7 3 26 23 +3 25
12 Wolves 15 7 3 5 23 23 0 24
13 Bournemouth 16 6 5 5 21 24 -3 23
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 23 23 0 19
15 Brentford 16 4 6 6 25 30 -5 18
16 Everton 15 4 4 7 16 18 -2 16
17 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16
18 Luton 16 4 3 9 24 27 -3 15
19 Sheffield United 16 2 4 10 17 47 -30 10
20 Burnley 16 2 3 11 16 36 -20 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 10 3 3 37 11 +26 33
2 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32
3 Liverpool 15 8 5 2 29 16 +13 29
4 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 26 27 -1 25
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24
6 Man United 16 7 2 7 22 24 -2 23
7 West Ham 16 7 2 7 26 33 -7 23
8 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 27 -1 19
9 Everton 16 5 4 7 16 24 -8 19
10 Wolves 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18
11 Bournemouth 15 5 3 7 24 31 -7 18
12 Brighton 16 4 4 8 23 30 -7 16
13 Newcastle 15 4 2 9 26 32 -6 14
14 Crystal Palace 16 3 5 8 15 30 -15 14
15 Brentford 16 3 2 11 20 28 -8 11
16 Fulham 16 2 5 9 18 35 -17 11
17 Burnley 16 2 4 10 16 31 -15 10
18 Nott'm Forest 16 2 4 10 17 33 -16 10
19 Luton 16 2 4 10 21 38 -17 10
20 Sheffield United 15 1 3 11 13 35 -22 6

Man City   Luton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60
2 4 Aston Villa 32 9 23 2.1 1.5 18 6 8 66 49 60
3 6 Newcastle 32 9 23 2.2 1.6 15 5 12 69 52 50
4 16 Brentford 32 10 22 1.4 1.8 7 8 17 45 58 29
5 18 Luton 32 10 22 1.4 2.0 6 7 19 45 65 25
6 20 Sheffield United 31 9 22 1.0 2.6 3 7 21 30 82 16
7 2 Liverpool 31 10 21 2.3 1.0 21 8 2 72 30 71
8 8 West Ham 32 11 21 1.6 1.8 13 9 10 52 56 48
9 12 Bournemouth 31 10 21 1.5 1.8 11 8 12 45 55 41
10 13 Fulham 32 11 21 1.5 1.6 11 6 15 47 51 39
11 1 Arsenal 31 11 20 2.4 0.8 22 5 4 75 24 71
12 7 Man United 31 11 20 1.5 1.5 15 4 12 45 46 49
13 9 Chelsea 30 10 20 1.8 1.7 12 8 10 55 52 44
14 10 Brighton 31 11 20 1.6 1.6 11 10 10 51 49 43
15 11 Wolves 31 11 20 1.4 1.6 12 6 13 44 49 42
16 3 Man City 31 12 19 2.3 1.0 21 7 3 71 31 70
17 19 Burnley 32 13 19 1.0 2.1 4 7 21 32 67 19
18 15 Crystal Palace 31 14 17 1.2 1.7 7 9 15 36 54 30
19 17 Nott'm Forest 32 15 17 1.2 1.8 7 8 17 40 56 29
20 14 Everton 31 17 14 1.0 1.4 9 8 14 32 42 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36
2 20 Sheffield United 16 3 13 1.1 2.9 2 4 10 17 47 10
3 2 Liverpool 16 4 12 2.7 0.9 13 3 0 43 14 42
4 4 Aston Villa 16 4 12 2.5 1.4 11 2 3 40 22 35
5 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 2.5 1.2 11 3 3 43 20 36
6 16 Brentford 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 4 6 6 25 30 18
7 1 Arsenal 15 4 11 2.5 0.9 12 2 1 38 13 38
8 7 Man United 15 4 11 1.5 1.5 8 2 5 23 22 26
9 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.5 1.7 4 3 9 24 27 15
10 11 Wolves 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 7 3 5 23 23 24
11 13 Fulham 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 1 6 29 16 28
12 9 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 4 29 25 25
13 10 Brighton 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 7 6 2 28 19 27
14 12 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 6 5 5 21 24 23
15 15 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16
16 19 Burnley 16 7 9 1.0 2.2 2 3 11 16 36 9
17 3 Man City 16 8 8 2.4 0.8 11 5 0 38 13 38
18 8 West Ham 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 7 3 26 23 25
19 17 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 23 19
20 14 Everton 15 8 7 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 16 18 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 West Ham 16 3 13 1.6 2.1 7 2 7 26 33 23
2 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24
3 12 Bournemouth 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 5 3 7 24 31 18
4 3 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32
5 4 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.6 1.7 7 4 5 26 27 25
6 6 Newcastle 15 4 11 1.7 2.1 4 2 9 26 32 14
7 9 Chelsea 15 4 11 1.7 1.8 5 4 6 26 27 19
8 10 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 4 4 8 23 30 16
9 13 Fulham 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 5 9 18 35 11
10 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.3 2.4 2 4 10 21 38 10
11 11 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18
12 16 Brentford 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 3 2 11 20 28 11
13 19 Burnley 16 6 10 1.0 1.9 2 4 10 16 31 10
14 1 Arsenal 16 7 9 2.3 0.7 10 3 3 37 11 33
15 2 Liverpool 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 2 29 16 29
16 7 Man United 16 7 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 7 22 24 23
17 17 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 2.1 2 4 10 17 33 10
18 20 Sheffield United 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 1 3 11 13 35 6
19 15 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 5 8 15 30 14
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 4 7 16 24 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51