Derby 0–2 Watford – England Championship, 18 Jan 2025

Match facts

Derby Watford

15 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 8

11 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (315 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.78

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

50% 24% 26%

DerbyDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.3% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.04points / match

1.19scored / match

1.35conceded / match

7 6 13

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 31:35

Watford before this match, all matches

1.46points / match

1.38scored / match

1.42conceded / match

11 5 10

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 36:37

Derby all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.38

1.35 Goals conceded 1.42

2.54 Total goals 2.81

10.73 Shots 11.42

3.46 Shots on target 3.88

12.00 Shots faced 13.00

5.38 Corners 5.12

5.77 Corners against 5.27

12.46 Fouls 12.58

2.00 Yellow cards 2.23

0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

27% Wins 42%

23% Draws 19%

50% Losses 38%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

77% Over 1.5 goals 77%

46% Over 2.5 goals 65%

15% Over 3.5 goals 19%

12% Over 4.5 goals 12%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

58% Both teams scored 65%

23% Clean sheets 19%

23% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 15%

38% Draws 46%

35% Losses 38%

73% Over 0.5 goals 65%

23% Over 1.5 goals 31%

4% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

L

D

4

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

4

L

1

L

Watford all matches

1

W

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

Derby before this match, at home

1.67points / match

1.58scored / match

0.92conceded / match

6 2 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:11

Watford before this match, away

0.69points / match

1.31scored / match

2.08conceded / match

2 3 8

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:27

Derby at home away Watford

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.31

0.92 Goals conceded 2.08

2.50 Total goals 3.38

13.25 Shots 9.85

4.33 Shots on target 3.15

10.50 Shots faced 14.62

5.75 Corners 4.62

5.42 Corners against 6.15

12.75 Fouls 13.23

1.83 Yellow cards 2.00

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

50% Wins 15%

17% Draws 23%

33% Losses 62%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 85%

50% Over 2.5 goals 69%

17% Over 3.5 goals 38%

8% Over 4.5 goals 23%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

50% Both teams scored 69%

42% Clean sheets 0%

8% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 15%

33% Draws 31%

17% Losses 54%

75% Over 0.5 goals 77%

25% Over 1.5 goals 38%

8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

W

2

3

L

2

W

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

4

W

2

1

W

1

L

Watford away

3

L

3

L

1

2

L

6

2

W

1

L

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Derby – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.38	1.57
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
13.12.24	Derby – Portsmouth	4–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.30	1.62
10.12.24	Burnley – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.50	5.25	2.63	1.50
07.12.24	Leeds – Derby	2–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.88	1.98
01.12.24	Derby – Sheffield Weds	1–2 (1–0)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
27.11.24	Derby – Swansea	1–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	2.20	1.67

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00
21.12.24	Burnley – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.73
15.12.24	Watford – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Hull – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.95
30.11.24	Watford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93
26.11.24	Watford – Bristol City	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.00	1.85

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Derby – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.38	1.57
13.12.24	Derby – Portsmouth	4–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.30	1.62
01.12.24	Derby – Sheffield Weds	1–2 (1–0)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
27.11.24	Derby – Swansea	1–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	2.20	1.67
09.11.24	Derby – Plymouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.80	2.00
26.10.24	Derby – Hull	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	1.90	1.95
05.10.24	Derby – QPR	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.10	1.73
28.09.24	Derby – Norwich	2–3 (0–1)	2.63	3.60	2.50	1.98	1.88
14.09.24	Derby – Cardiff	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	2.10	1.73

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80
21.12.24	Burnley – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Hull – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.95
22.11.24	Plymouth – Watford	2–2 (1–2)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.73	2.10
05.11.24	Swansea – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.83	2.03
02.11.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	2–6 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.90	1.95	1.90
22.10.24	Leeds – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.62	2.30
19.10.24	Luton – Watford	3–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.20	4.00	1.73	2.10
02.10.24	Preston – Watford	3–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsWatford wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.08.24E1	Watford – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	1.85	3.50	4.10	1.88	1.98

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	26	16	6	4	36	17	+19	54
2	Leeds	26	15	8	3	48	19	+29	53
3	Burnley	27	14	11	2	31	9	+22	53
4	Sunderland	27	14	9	4	39	22	+17	51
5	Blackburn	26	12	6	8	31	23	+8	42
6	Middlesbrough	26	11	8	7	43	32	+11	41
7	West Brom	26	9	13	4	32	21	+11	40
8	Watford	26	11	5	10	36	37	-1	38
9	Bristol City	26	9	10	7	33	30	+3	37
10	Sheffield Weds	26	10	7	9	38	40	-2	37
11	Norwich	26	9	9	8	43	37	+6	36
12	QPR	27	8	11	8	30	34	-4	35
13	Swansea	27	9	7	11	30	33	-3	34
14	Millwall	26	7	9	10	24	24	0	30
15	Preston	26	6	12	8	28	34	-6	30
16	Coventry	26	7	8	11	34	37	-3	29
17	Oxford	26	7	8	11	29	41	-12	29
18	Derby	26	7	6	13	31	35	-4	27
19	Stoke	26	6	9	11	24	32	-8	27
20	Cardiff	27	6	9	12	29	41	-12	27
21	Hull	27	6	8	13	26	36	-10	26
22	Luton	26	7	4	15	27	44	-17	25
23	Portsmouth	25	5	8	12	30	44	-14	23
24	Plymouth	27	4	9	14	25	55	-30	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	13	10	2	1	30	7	+23	32
2	Sunderland	13	9	4	0	22	8	+14	31
3	Sheffield United	12	9	2	1	17	5	+12	29
4	Watford	13	9	2	2	19	10	+9	29
5	Blackburn	14	8	2	4	20	11	+9	26
6	Burnley	13	6	7	0	15	4	+11	25
7	Norwich	13	6	5	2	31	18	+13	23
8	Bristol City	13	6	5	2	19	10	+9	23
9	Middlesbrough	14	6	5	3	20	15	+5	23
10	Preston	14	5	7	2	16	12	+4	22
11	Oxford	13	6	4	3	19	17	+2	22
12	West Brom	12	5	6	1	13	6	+7	21
13	Luton	13	6	3	4	18	16	+2	21
14	Derby	12	6	2	4	19	11	+8	20
15	Swansea	13	5	5	3	20	14	+6	20
16	Millwall	14	6	2	6	14	11	+3	20
17	Sheffield Weds	14	5	5	4	22	20	+2	20
18	QPR	14	5	5	4	20	19	+1	20
19	Coventry	12	5	3	4	22	16	+6	18
20	Plymouth	13	4	6	3	22	20	+2	18
21	Stoke	14	4	6	4	18	17	+1	18
22	Cardiff	14	5	2	7	16	18	-2	17
23	Portsmouth	11	4	4	3	17	11	+6	16
24	Hull	14	2	6	6	14	18	-4	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	14	8	4	2	16	5	+11	28
2	Sheffield United	14	7	4	3	19	12	+7	25
3	Leeds	13	5	6	2	18	12	+6	21
4	Sunderland	14	5	5	4	17	14	+3	20
5	West Brom	14	4	7	3	19	15	+4	19
6	Middlesbrough	12	5	3	4	23	17	+6	18
7	Sheffield Weds	12	5	2	5	16	20	-4	17
8	Blackburn	12	4	4	4	11	12	-1	16
9	QPR	13	3	6	4	10	15	-5	15
10	Bristol City	13	3	5	5	14	20	-6	14
11	Hull	13	4	2	7	12	18	-6	14
12	Swansea	14	4	2	8	10	19	-9	14
13	Norwich	13	3	4	6	12	19	-7	13
14	Coventry	14	2	5	7	12	21	-9	11
15	Millwall	12	1	7	4	10	13	-3	10
16	Cardiff	13	1	7	5	13	23	-10	10
17	Stoke	12	2	3	7	6	15	-9	9
18	Watford	13	2	3	8	17	27	-10	9
19	Preston	12	1	5	6	12	22	-10	8
20	Derby	14	1	4	9	12	24	-12	7
21	Oxford	13	1	4	8	10	24	-14	7
22	Portsmouth	14	1	4	9	13	33	-20	7
23	Luton	13	1	1	11	9	28	-19	4
24	Plymouth	14	0	3	11	3	35	-32	3

Derby Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Watford	26	9	17	1.4	1.4	11	5	10	36	37	38
2	23	Portsmouth	25	8	17	1.2	1.8	5	8	12	30	44	23
3	11	Norwich	26	11	15	1.7	1.4	9	9	8	43	37	36
4	16	Coventry	26	11	15	1.3	1.4	7	8	11	34	37	29
5	22	Luton	26	11	15	1.0	1.7	7	4	15	27	44	25
6	10	Sheffield Weds	26	12	14	1.5	1.5	10	7	9	38	40	37
7	24	Plymouth	27	13	14	0.9	2.0	4	9	14	25	55	21
8	13	Swansea	27	14	13	1.1	1.2	9	7	11	30	33	34
9	4	Sunderland	27	15	12	1.4	0.8	14	9	4	39	22	51
10	18	Derby	26	14	12	1.2	1.3	7	6	13	31	35	27
11	6	Middlesbrough	26	15	11	1.7	1.2	11	8	7	43	32	41
12	9	Bristol City	26	15	11	1.3	1.2	9	10	7	33	30	37
13	12	QPR	27	16	11	1.1	1.3	8	11	8	30	34	35
14	15	Preston	26	15	11	1.1	1.3	6	12	8	28	34	30
15	17	Oxford	26	15	11	1.1	1.6	7	8	11	29	41	29
16	2	Leeds	26	16	10	1.8	0.7	15	8	3	48	19	53
17	7	West Brom	26	16	10	1.2	0.8	9	13	4	32	21	40
18	20	Cardiff	27	17	10	1.1	1.5	6	9	12	29	41	27
19	5	Blackburn	26	17	9	1.2	0.9	12	6	8	31	23	42
20	19	Stoke	26	17	9	0.9	1.2	6	9	11	24	32	27
21	21	Hull	27	18	9	1.0	1.3	6	8	13	26	36	26
22	1	Sheffield United	26	19	7	1.4	0.7	16	6	4	36	17	54
23	14	Millwall	26	20	6	0.9	0.9	7	9	10	24	24	30
24	3	Burnley	27	22	5	1.1	0.3	14	11	2	31	9	53

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Coventry	12	2	10	1.8	1.3	5	3	4	22	16	18
2	11	Norwich	13	4	9	2.4	1.4	6	5	2	31	18	23
3	8	Watford	13	5	8	1.5	0.8	9	2	2	19	10	29
4	12	QPR	14	6	8	1.4	1.4	5	5	4	20	19	20
5	22	Luton	13	5	8	1.4	1.2	6	3	4	18	16	21
6	24	Plymouth	13	5	8	1.7	1.5	4	6	3	22	20	18
7	2	Leeds	13	6	7	2.3	0.5	10	2	1	30	7	32
8	23	Portsmouth	11	4	7	1.5	1.0	4	4	3	17	11	16
9	4	Sunderland	13	7	6	1.7	0.6	9	4	0	22	8	31
10	13	Swansea	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	5	5	3	20	14	20
11	18	Derby	12	6	6	1.6	0.9	6	2	4	19	11	20
12	19	Stoke	14	8	6	1.3	1.2	4	6	4	18	17	18
13	5	Blackburn	14	9	5	1.4	0.8	8	2	4	20	11	26
14	6	Middlesbrough	14	9	5	1.4	1.1	6	5	3	20	15	23
15	9	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	6	5	2	19	10	23
16	10	Sheffield Weds	14	9	5	1.6	1.4	5	5	4	22	20	20
17	17	Oxford	13	8	5	1.5	1.3	6	4	3	19	17	22
18	15	Preston	14	10	4	1.1	0.9	5	7	2	16	12	22
19	20	Cardiff	14	10	4	1.1	1.3	5	2	7	16	18	17
20	21	Hull	14	10	4	1.0	1.3	2	6	6	14	18	12
21	3	Burnley	13	10	3	1.2	0.3	6	7	0	15	4	25
22	7	West Brom	12	9	3	1.1	0.5	5	6	1	13	6	21
23	14	Millwall	14	11	3	1.0	0.8	6	2	6	14	11	20
24	1	Sheffield United	12	10	2	1.4	0.4	9	2	1	17	5	29

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Portsmouth	14	4	10	0.9	2.4	1	4	9	13	33	7
2	8	Watford	13	4	9	1.3	2.1	2	3	8	17	27	9
3	10	Sheffield Weds	12	3	9	1.3	1.7	5	2	5	16	20	17
4	7	West Brom	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	4	7	3	19	15	19
5	13	Swansea	14	7	7	0.7	1.4	4	2	8	10	19	14
6	15	Preston	12	5	7	1.0	1.8	1	5	6	12	22	8
7	22	Luton	13	6	7	0.7	2.2	1	1	11	9	28	4
8	4	Sunderland	14	8	6	1.2	1.0	5	5	4	17	14	20
9	6	Middlesbrough	12	6	6	1.9	1.4	5	3	4	23	17	18
10	9	Bristol City	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	3	5	5	14	20	14
11	11	Norwich	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	3	4	6	12	19	13
12	17	Oxford	13	7	6	0.8	1.8	1	4	8	10	24	7
13	18	Derby	14	8	6	0.9	1.7	1	4	9	12	24	7
14	20	Cardiff	13	7	6	1.0	1.8	1	7	5	13	23	10
15	24	Plymouth	14	8	6	0.2	2.5	0	3	11	3	35	3
16	1	Sheffield United	14	9	5	1.4	0.9	7	4	3	19	12	25
17	16	Coventry	14	9	5	0.9	1.5	2	5	7	12	21	11
18	21	Hull	13	8	5	0.9	1.4	4	2	7	12	18	14
19	5	Blackburn	12	8	4	0.9	1.0	4	4	4	11	12	16
20	2	Leeds	13	10	3	1.4	0.9	5	6	2	18	12	21
21	12	QPR	13	10	3	0.8	1.2	3	6	4	10	15	15
22	14	Millwall	12	9	3	0.8	1.1	1	7	4	10	13	10
23	19	Stoke	12	9	3	0.5	1.2	2	3	7	6	15	9
24	3	Burnley	14	12	2	1.1	0.4	8	4	2	16	5	28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.