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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Derby 1–2 Ipswich

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.60 fair 2.83
Draw 3.40 fair 3.93
Away ✓ 2.01 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Ipswich
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 7
9 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (359 league matches this season so far).
Result Ipswich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawIpswich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 0–1 9% 1–2 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.47scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 44:37
Ipswich before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.69scored / match
0.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 49:28
Derby all matches all matches Ipswich

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.69
1.23 Goals conceded 0.97
2.70 Total goals 2.66
10.07 Shots 15.69
3.37 Shots on target 5.10
12.33 Shots faced 10.14
4.83 Corners 5.66
5.70 Corners against 3.93
12.17 Fouls 10.79
2.27 Yellow cards 1.59
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

40% Wins 48%
30% Draws 31%
30% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
77% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 52%
23% Over 3.5 goals 28%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 59%
23% Clean sheets 34%
7% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 38%
37% Draws 41%
23% Losses 21%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
27% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Ipswich all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.20points / match
1.20scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:21
Ipswich before this match, away
1.23points / match
1.46scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:16
Derby at home away Ipswich

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.46
1.40 Goals conceded 1.23
2.60 Total goals 2.69
10.53 Shots 13.77
3.47 Shots on target 4.23
11.53 Shots faced 11.31
5.73 Corners 5.15
5.00 Corners against 3.77
11.33 Fouls 11.38
2.07 Yellow cards 2.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

27% Wins 31%
40% Draws 31%
33% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
73% Over 1.5 goals 85%
33% Over 2.5 goals 46%
20% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 15%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 69%
20% Clean sheets 23%
7% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 8%
47% Draws 46%
27% Losses 46%
80% Over 0.5 goals 62%
33% Over 1.5 goals 23%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Ipswich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby 0–5 (0–3) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
20.01.26 Charlton – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.53
17.01.26 Preston – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Leicester – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.253.50 2.20 1.67
26.12.25 Birmingham – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.404.20 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.204.00 2.20 1.67
15.12.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.202.20 2.10 1.73

Ipswich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Ipswich – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 1.334.758.00 1.83 2.03
24.01.26 Sheffield United – Ipswich 3–1 (2–0) 2.823.402.32 2.00 1.80
20.01.26 Ipswich – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 2.00 1.85
17.01.26 Ipswich – Blackburn 3–0 (2–0) 1.494.006.25 2.00 1.80
01.01.26 Ipswich – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.304.7511.00 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Coventry – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 1.93 1.93
26.12.25 Millwall – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Ipswich – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.57 2.38
13.12.25 Leicester – Ipswich 3–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.91 1.91
10.12.25 Ipswich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.26 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.204.00 2.20 1.67
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Derby – Hull 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.30 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67

Ipswich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Sheffield United – Ipswich 3–1 (2–0) 2.823.402.32 2.00 1.80
29.12.25 Coventry – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 1.93 1.93
26.12.25 Millwall – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Leicester – Ipswich 3–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.91 1.91
02.12.25 Blackburn – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.501.96 2.00 1.80
28.11.25 Oxford – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 5.503.801.61 1.91 1.91
25.11.25 Hull – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.601.71 1.85 2.00
08.11.25 Swansea – Ipswich 1–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.01 2.05 1.80
01.11.25 QPR – Ipswich 1–4 (1–1) 3.503.502.01 1.90 1.95
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsIpswich wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25E1 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
01.04.23E2 Derby – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.08 1.73
21.10.22E2 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 30 17 7 6 63 35 +28 58
2 Middlesbrough 30 17 7 6 47 29 +18 58
3 Hull 30 16 6 8 48 40 +8 54
4 Ipswich 29 14 9 6 49 28 +21 51
5 Millwall 30 14 8 8 37 36 +1 50
6 Wrexham 30 12 11 7 44 37 +7 47
7 Derby 30 12 9 9 44 37 +7 45
8 Watford 30 11 11 8 39 35 +4 44
9 Preston 30 11 11 8 37 34 +3 44
10 QPR 31 12 8 11 42 43 -1 44
11 Bristol City 30 12 7 11 40 36 +4 43
12 Stoke 30 12 6 12 34 28 +6 42
13 Birmingham 30 11 9 10 41 38 +3 42
14 Southampton 30 10 10 10 43 41 +2 40
15 Sheffield United 30 12 3 15 43 43 0 39
16 Swansea 30 11 6 13 34 37 -3 39
17 Leicester 30 10 8 12 40 45 -5 38
18 Charlton 30 9 9 12 29 38 -9 36
19 Norwich 30 9 6 15 37 42 -5 33
20 Portsmouth 28 8 9 11 27 37 -10 33
21 Blackburn 30 8 8 14 27 38 -11 32
22 West Brom 30 9 5 16 32 47 -15 32
23 Oxford 30 6 9 15 28 41 -13 27
24 Sheffield Weds 30 1 8 21 18 58 -40 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 16 10 5 1 30 12 +18 35
3 Middlesbrough 15 10 3 2 25 11 +14 33
4 Millwall 16 9 3 4 22 18 +4 30
5 Watford 16 8 5 3 24 17 +7 29
6 Birmingham 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
7 Hull 15 8 3 4 21 20 +1 27
8 QPR 15 8 2 5 28 21 +7 26
9 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
10 Bristol City 16 7 3 6 25 20 +5 24
11 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
12 Sheffield United 14 7 2 5 24 15 +9 23
13 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
14 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
15 Portsmouth 15 6 4 5 18 15 +3 22
16 Leicester 15 6 4 5 20 19 +1 22
17 Charlton 14 6 4 4 15 14 +1 22
18 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
19 Stoke 15 6 3 6 19 14 +5 21
20 Derby 15 4 6 5 18 21 -3 18
21 Oxford 15 3 6 6 13 19 -6 15
22 Blackburn 16 3 5 8 15 22 -7 14
23 Norwich 14 4 1 9 14 20 -6 13
24 Sheffield Weds 16 0 4 12 7 33 -26 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 15 8 3 4 26 16 +10 27
2 Hull 15 8 3 4 27 20 +7 27
3 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
4 Coventry 16 6 5 5 32 24 +8 23
5 Wrexham 15 6 5 4 18 15 +3 23
6 Stoke 15 6 3 6 15 14 +1 21
7 Preston 15 5 6 4 18 18 0 21
8 Norwich 16 5 5 6 23 22 +1 20
9 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
10 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
11 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
12 QPR 16 4 6 6 14 22 -8 18
13 Southampton 16 4 5 7 24 28 -4 17
14 Ipswich 13 4 4 5 19 16 +3 16
15 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
16 Sheffield United 16 5 1 10 19 28 -9 16
17 Watford 14 3 6 5 15 18 -3 15
18 Birmingham 16 4 3 9 13 24 -11 15
19 Swansea 15 4 2 9 14 19 -5 14
20 Charlton 16 3 5 8 14 24 -10 14
21 Oxford 15 3 3 9 15 22 -7 12
22 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
23 West Brom 16 3 1 12 14 28 -14 10
24 Sheffield Weds 14 1 4 9 11 25 -14 7

Derby   Ipswich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 30 11 19 2.1 1.2 17 7 6 63 35 58
2 3 Hull 30 11 19 1.6 1.3 16 6 8 48 40 54
3 10 QPR 31 12 19 1.4 1.4 12 8 11 42 43 44
4 17 Leicester 30 11 19 1.3 1.5 10 8 12 40 45 38
5 14 Southampton 30 12 18 1.4 1.4 10 10 10 43 41 40
6 15 Sheffield United 30 13 17 1.4 1.4 12 3 15 43 43 39
7 2 Middlesbrough 30 14 16 1.6 1.0 17 7 6 47 29 58
8 22 West Brom 30 14 16 1.1 1.6 9 5 16 32 47 32
9 24 Sheffield Weds 30 14 16 0.6 1.9 1 8 21 18 58 11
10 4 Ipswich 29 14 15 1.7 1.0 14 9 6 49 28 51
11 7 Derby 30 15 15 1.5 1.2 12 9 9 44 37 45
12 19 Norwich 30 15 15 1.2 1.4 9 6 15 37 42 33
13 23 Oxford 30 15 15 0.9 1.4 6 9 15 28 41 27
14 5 Millwall 30 16 14 1.2 1.2 14 8 8 37 36 50
15 8 Watford 30 16 14 1.3 1.2 11 11 8 39 35 44
16 13 Birmingham 30 16 14 1.4 1.3 11 9 10 41 38 42
17 16 Swansea 30 16 14 1.1 1.2 11 6 13 34 37 39
18 6 Wrexham 30 17 13 1.5 1.2 12 11 7 44 37 47
19 9 Preston 30 17 13 1.2 1.1 11 11 8 37 34 44
20 11 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 12 7 11 40 36 43
21 12 Stoke 30 18 12 1.1 0.9 12 6 12 34 28 42
22 18 Charlton 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 9 9 12 29 38 36
23 20 Portsmouth 28 16 12 1.0 1.3 8 9 11 27 37 33
24 21 Blackburn 30 18 12 0.9 1.3 8 8 14 27 38 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 QPR 15 3 12 1.9 1.4 8 2 5 28 21 26
2 4 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 30 12 35
3 15 Sheffield United 14 5 9 1.7 1.1 7 2 5 24 15 23
4 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
5 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.7 0.7 10 3 2 25 11 33
6 3 Hull 15 7 8 1.4 1.3 8 3 4 21 20 27
7 5 Millwall 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 9 3 4 22 18 30
8 6 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
9 8 Watford 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 8 5 3 24 17 29
10 11 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 6 25 20 24
11 17 Leicester 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 5 20 19 22
12 24 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 0.4 2.1 0 4 12 7 33 4
13 9 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
14 12 Stoke 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 6 3 6 19 14 21
15 13 Birmingham 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
16 14 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
17 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
18 19 Norwich 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 4 1 9 14 20 13
19 20 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.2 1.0 6 4 5 18 15 22
20 22 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
21 23 Oxford 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 6 13 19 15
22 21 Blackburn 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 15 22 14
23 7 Derby 15 10 5 1.2 1.4 4 6 5 18 21 18
24 18 Charlton 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 4 15 14 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 16 5 11 2.0 1.5 6 5 5 32 24 23
2 3 Hull 15 4 11 1.8 1.3 8 3 4 27 20 27
3 14 Southampton 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 4 5 7 24 28 17
4 17 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
5 7 Derby 15 5 10 1.7 1.1 8 3 4 26 16 27
6 22 West Brom 16 7 9 0.9 1.8 3 1 12 14 28 10
7 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
8 15 Sheffield United 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 10 19 28 16
9 19 Norwich 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 23 22 20
10 23 Oxford 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 3 9 15 22 12
11 24 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 0.8 1.8 1 4 9 11 25 7
12 10 QPR 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 6 6 14 22 18
13 13 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.8 1.5 4 3 9 13 24 15
14 16 Swansea 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 4 2 9 14 19 14
15 18 Charlton 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 8 14 24 14
16 4 Ipswich 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 5 19 16 16
17 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
18 8 Watford 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 15 18 15
19 9 Preston 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 5 6 4 18 18 21
20 21 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
21 6 Wrexham 15 10 5 1.2 1.0 6 5 4 18 15 23
22 11 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 12 Stoke 15 10 5 1.0 0.9 6 3 6 15 14 21
24 20 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51