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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Smith

Southampton 3–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.76 fair 2.33
Draw 3.80 fair 4.03
Away 4.00 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Swansea
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1.19 Expected goals (xG) 1.22
9 Corners 3
10 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (60 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
2.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:6
Swansea before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
1.40scored / match
0.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:1
Southampton all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.40
1.20 Goals conceded 0.20
3.40 Total goals 1.60
1.79 xG created 1.53
1.26 xG allowed 0.87
17.00 Shots 12.60
4.60 Shots on target 5.40
16.20 Shots faced 8.60
6.20 Corners 5.40
4.80 Corners against 3.40
8.60 Fouls 9.20
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 20%
0% Clean sheets 80%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 40%
20% Draws 60%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Swansea all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 8:2
Swansea before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:1
Southampton at home away Swansea

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 2.50
1.00 Goals conceded 0.50
5.00 Total goals 3.00
2.76 xG created 1.81
1.02 xG allowed 0.68
19.50 Shots 15.00
6.00 Shots on target 7.50
15.00 Shots faced 7.00
6.00 Corners 5.50
6.50 Corners against 4.50
8.00 Fouls 8.00
2.50 Yellow cards 2.50
1.50 1st-half goals scored 1.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Lincoln – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.76 1.73 2.10
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Southampton – Millwall 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.603.60 1.83 2.03
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
16.08.26 Watford – Southampton 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Preston – Southampton 1–3 (0–1) 3.104.002.01 1.57 2.38
28.04.26 Southampton – Ipswich 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Swansea – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 3.704.331.76 1.80 2.00
14.04.26 Southampton – Blackburn 3–0 (2–0) 1.514.105.75 1.88 1.98

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Swansea – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.30 2.00 1.85
01.09.26 Swansea – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Swansea – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 2.323.402.82 1.90 1.95
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
02.05.26 Swansea – Charlton 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.33 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Norwich – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 1.624.004.75 1.67 2.20
21.04.26 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 2.00 1.80
18.04.26 Swansea – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 3.704.331.76 1.80 2.00
11.04.26 Leicester – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.91 1.91

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Southampton – Millwall 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.603.60 1.83 2.03
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
28.04.26 Southampton – Ipswich 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
14.04.26 Southampton – Blackburn 3–0 (2–0) 1.514.105.75 1.88 1.98
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Southampton – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 1.514.006.00 1.73 2.10
18.03.26 Southampton – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 1.73 2.10
24.02.26 Southampton – QPR 5–0 (2–0) 1.613.704.33 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Southampton – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.205.50 1.80 2.00

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
25.04.26 Norwich – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 1.624.004.75 1.67 2.20
21.04.26 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 Leicester – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.91 1.91
03.04.26 Sheffield United – Swansea 3–3 (1–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.03.26 Wrexham – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.00 1.80
10.03.26 Portsmouth – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.25 2.38 1.57
28.02.26 Ipswich – Swansea 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.005.50 1.83 2.03
14.02.26 Derby – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.30 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsSwansea wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26E1 Swansea – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 3.704.331.76 1.80 2.00
18.10.25E1 Southampton – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 2.03 1.83
20.01.24E1 Swansea – Southampton 1–3 (1–3) 5.004.001.67 1.65 2.20
26.12.23E1 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 1 +6 11 WDWWD
2 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10 WLWDW
3 QPR 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10 WDWWL
4 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10 LDWWW
5 West Brom 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10 WWLDW
6 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6 7 -1 10 WWWDL
7 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9 WWLLW
8 Southampton 5 2 2 1 11 6 +5 8 LWWDD
9 West Ham 5 2 2 1 11 7 +4 8 DLDWW
10 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13 10 +3 8 DWWLD
11 Birmingham 5 1 4 0 7 6 +1 7 DDWDD
12 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6 DDLWD
13 Norwich 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6 LLWLW
14 Stoke 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6 LLLWW
15 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6 LWLLW
16 Sheffield United 5 1 3 1 6 7 -1 6 DDDWL
17 Blackburn 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5 DWLDL
18 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5 LLWDD
19 Watford 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5 WDDLL
20 Derby 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4 LDLWL
21 Bolton 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4 WDLLL
22 Cardiff 5 0 3 2 6 9 -3 3 DDDLL
23 Preston 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3 LLLLW
24 Burnley 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2 DLLDL
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 West Brom 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7 WDW
2 Southampton 2 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6 WW
3 West Ham 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6 LWW
4 Millwall 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6 WLW
5 Stoke 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6 LWW
6 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6 WW
7 Charlton 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6 WW
8 Swansea 3 1 2 0 2 0 +2 5 DWD
9 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4 DW
10 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4 WD
11 QPR 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 DWL
12 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4 DWL
13 Norwich 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3 LW
14 Birmingham 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3 DDD
15 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 WL
16 Bolton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 WL
17 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3 LW
18 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3 LLW
19 Preston 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3 LLW
20 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2 DD
21 Burnley 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2 DDL
22 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2 LDD
23 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1 DL
24 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1 DL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7 DWW
2 Swansea 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6 WW
3 QPR 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6 WW
4 Wrexham 3 1 2 0 4 1 +3 5 DWD
5 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4 DW
6 Wolves 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 4 WLD
7 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4 LDW
8 Charlton 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4 WDL
9 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3 WL
10 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 LW
11 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3 WL
12 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3 LWL
13 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3 WL
14 Norwich 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3 LLW
15 West Ham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2 DD
16 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2 DD
17 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2 DDL
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2 LDD
19 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1 DLL
20 Watford 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1 DLL
21 Bolton 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1 DLL
22 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0 LL
23 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0 LL
24 Stoke 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0 LL

Southampton   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Wolves 5 0 5 2.6 2.0 2 2 1 13 10 8 OOOOO
2 4 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10 UOOOO
3 7 Millwall 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9 UOOOO
4 9 West Ham 5 1 4 2.2 1.4 2 2 1 11 7 8 OOUOO
5 13 Norwich 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6 OOOUO
6 14 Stoke 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6 OOOUO
7 17 Blackburn 5 1 4 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5 OOOUO
8 20 Derby 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4 OOOUO
9 23 Preston 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3 OOUOO
10 24 Burnley 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 2 3 6 12 2 OOOUO
11 2 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10 OOOUU
12 3 QPR 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10 OUOOU
13 5 West Brom 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10 OOOUU
14 6 Charlton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 1 1 6 7 10 OOUUO
15 8 Southampton 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 1 11 6 8 OOOUU
16 11 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 1 4 0 7 6 7 UOOUO
17 15 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6 OOOUU
18 16 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 3 1 6 7 6 UUOOO
19 21 Bolton 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4 OUUOO
20 22 Cardiff 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 0 3 2 6 9 3 UOOOU
21 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.2 3 2 0 7 1 11 OUOUU
22 12 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6 UUOOU
23 18 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5 OOUUU
24 19 Watford 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5 OUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Millwall 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6 OOO
2 9 West Ham 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6 OOO
3 23 Preston 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3 OOO
4 2 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6 OO
5 8 Southampton 2 0 2 4.0 1.0 2 0 0 8 2 6 OO
6 10 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4 OO
7 11 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3 OUO
8 13 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3 OO
9 14 Stoke 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6 OUO
10 16 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4 UOO
11 17 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3 OO
12 20 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1 OO
13 24 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2 OUO
14 3 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4 UOU
15 4 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3 UO
16 5 West Brom 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7 OUU
17 6 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6 OU
18 12 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1 UO
19 15 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3 OUU
20 18 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2 OUU
21 19 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4 OU
22 21 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 OU
23 22 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2 UO
24 1 Swansea 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 1 2 0 2 0 5 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Bristol City 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7 OOO
2 10 Wolves 3 0 3 2.3 2.3 1 1 1 7 7 4 OOO
3 1 Swansea 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6 OO
4 3 QPR 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6 OO
5 5 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3 OO
6 6 Charlton 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4 OUO
7 13 Norwich 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3 OUO
8 14 Stoke 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0 OO
9 15 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3 OO
10 17 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2 OUO
11 20 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3 OUO
12 21 Bolton 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1 UOO
13 22 Cardiff 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1 OOU
14 24 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0 OO
15 2 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4 OUU
16 7 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3 UO
17 8 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2 OUU
18 9 West Ham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2 OU
19 11 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4 UO
20 12 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 1 2 0 4 1 5 UOU
21 16 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2 UO
22 18 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 OU
23 23 Preston 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0 OU
24 19 Watford 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1 UUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47