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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: E Duckworth

Millwall 0–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.32 fair 2.48
Draw 3.50 fair 4.12
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.36
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Swansea
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.83
13 Corners 1
10 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (107 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.78scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:15
Swansea before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
1.67scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:7
Millwall all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.67
1.67 Goals conceded 0.78
3.44 Total goals 2.44
1.91 xG created 1.64
1.34 xG allowed 1.12
14.56 Shots 12.00
4.00 Shots on target 5.22
14.00 Shots faced 11.33
4.33 Corners 4.11
7.00 Corners against 4.00
12.78 Fouls 9.33
1.44 Yellow cards 1.67
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

44% Wins 67%
22% Draws 22%
33% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 78%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
78% Over 2.5 goals 67%
56% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 56%
44% Clean sheets 44%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 33%
11% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Swansea all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.75points / match
2.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:5
Swansea before this match, away
2.25points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:5
Millwall at home away Swansea

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded 1.25
3.50 Total goals 3.25
2.06 xG created 1.44
1.23 xG allowed 1.16
13.50 Shots 12.50
4.75 Shots on target 5.25
11.25 Shots faced 10.75
3.75 Corners 3.75
6.25 Corners against 5.00
13.75 Fouls 9.25
1.00 Yellow cards 1.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 75%
25% Draws 0%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 25%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Preston – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.302.35 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 Millwall – West Ham 2–2 (2–0) 4.103.901.76 1.62 2.30
15.09.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 2–2 (0–2) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
12.09.26 Blackburn – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.57 1.90 1.95
05.09.26 Millwall – Bolton 4–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.80
02.09.26 Millwall – Wrexham 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 1.91 1.91
29.08.26 Southampton – Millwall 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.603.60 1.83 2.03
22.08.26 Millwall – Norwich 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Bristol City – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.402.65 1.98 1.88
02.05.26 Millwall – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.257.50 1.62 2.30

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
19.09.26 Lincoln – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.302.45 1.91 1.91
12.09.26 Swansea – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.30 1.90 1.95
08.09.26 Southampton – Swansea 3–1 (2–0) 1.763.804.00 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 Swansea – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.30 2.00 1.85
01.09.26 Swansea – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Swansea – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 2.323.402.82 1.90 1.95
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
02.05.26 Swansea – Charlton 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.33 1.80 2.00

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Millwall – West Ham 2–2 (2–0) 4.103.901.76 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Millwall – Bolton 4–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.80
02.09.26 Millwall – Wrexham 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 1.91 1.91
22.08.26 Millwall – Norwich 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.10 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Millwall – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.257.50 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 1.623.754.75 1.85 2.00
06.04.26 Millwall – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.25 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Millwall – Blackburn 1–2 (0–0) 1.663.505.25 2.20 1.67
10.03.26 Millwall – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.80
25.02.26 Millwall – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.82 2.10 1.73

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Lincoln – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.302.45 1.91 1.91
08.09.26 Southampton – Swansea 3–1 (2–0) 1.763.804.00 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
25.04.26 Norwich – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 1.624.004.75 1.67 2.20
21.04.26 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 Leicester – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.91 1.91
03.04.26 Sheffield United – Swansea 3–3 (1–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.03.26 Wrexham – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.00 1.80
10.03.26 Portsmouth – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.25 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsSwansea wins
10matches
1.90goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26E1 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.253.60 2.20 1.67
27.09.25E1 Swansea – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.103.50 2.38 1.57
26.04.25E1 Millwall – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
26.10.24E1 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
04.05.24E1 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
30.09.23E1 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
14.03.23E1 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67
16.08.22E1 Swansea – Millwall 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
05.04.22E1 Millwall – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.30 1.61
15.09.21E1 Swansea – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15 7 +8 20
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17 12 +5 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 20 10 +10 17
4 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23 12 +11 16
5 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 13 +2 16
6 Wolves 8 4 2 2 15 11 +4 14
7 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
8 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13 11 +2 14
9 Millwall 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
10 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10 9 +1 14
11 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 13 -1 14
12 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8 11 -3 13
13 Blackburn 9 3 3 3 14 13 +1 12
14 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
15 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 10 13 -3 11
16 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 7 11 -4 11
17 Bolton 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
18 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17 19 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
20 Watford 9 2 2 5 7 14 -7 8
21 Cardiff 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7
22 Burnley 9 1 4 4 13 17 -4 7
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8 15 -7 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8 16 -8 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 5 5 0 0 16 4 +12 15
2 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 12 7 +5 13
3 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
4 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
5 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
6 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
7 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
8 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
9 Millwall 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
10 Wolves 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
11 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
12 Watford 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
13 Norwich 4 2 0 2 10 8 +2 6
14 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
15 Bolton 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
16 Bristol City 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
17 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
18 QPR 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
19 Birmingham 4 0 4 0 7 7 0 4
20 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
21 Burnley 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Lincoln 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
24 Derby 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
2 Swansea 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
3 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Lincoln 5 3 0 2 4 5 -1 9
5 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
6 Wolves 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
7 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
8 Stoke 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
9 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
10 West Brom 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
11 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
12 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
14 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
15 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
16 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
17 Bolton 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
18 Charlton 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
19 Blackburn 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
20 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
21 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
22 Preston 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
23 Watford 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
24 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1

Millwall   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Blackburn 9 1 8 1.6 1.4 3 3 3 14 13 12
2 18 Norwich 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 0 6 17 19 9
3 4 West Ham 9 2 7 2.6 1.3 4 4 1 23 12 16
4 5 Stoke 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 5 1 3 15 13 16
5 9 Millwall 9 2 7 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
6 1 Swansea 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 6 2 1 15 7 20
7 2 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 5 3 1 17 12 18
8 3 Southampton 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 5 2 2 20 10 17
9 8 Birmingham 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 1 13 11 14
10 14 Sheffield United 9 3 6 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
11 17 Bolton 9 3 6 1.3 1.9 3 1 5 12 17 10
12 22 Burnley 9 3 6 1.4 1.9 1 4 4 13 17 7
13 24 Preston 9 3 6 0.9 1.8 1 1 7 8 16 4
14 6 Wolves 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 2 15 11 14
15 11 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 4 2 3 12 13 14
16 21 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7
17 23 Derby 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 1 3 5 8 15 6
18 7 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
19 12 Charlton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 2 8 11 13
20 15 Wrexham 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 2 5 2 10 13 11
21 16 Lincoln 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 3 2 4 7 11 11
22 19 Portsmouth 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
23 20 Watford 9 5 4 0.8 1.6 2 2 5 7 14 8
24 10 West Brom 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 3 10 9 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
2 2 Middlesbrough 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 4 1 0 12 7 13
3 3 Southampton 5 1 4 3.2 0.8 5 0 0 16 4 15
4 4 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
5 9 Millwall 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7
6 18 Norwich 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 0 2 10 8 6
7 20 Watford 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
8 5 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
9 8 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 0 4 0 7 7 4
10 14 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
11 17 Bolton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
12 23 Derby 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
13 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
14 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
15 6 Wolves 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
16 7 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
17 15 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
18 16 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
19 19 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
20 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
21 22 Burnley 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
22 10 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 11 Bristol City 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
24 12 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
2 5 Stoke 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
3 11 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
4 18 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
5 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
6 4 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
7 6 Wolves 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
8 8 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
9 9 Millwall 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
10 12 Charlton 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
11 13 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
12 14 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
13 17 Bolton 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
14 21 Cardiff 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
15 24 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
16 2 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 3 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
18 7 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
19 10 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
20 15 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
21 16 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 2 4 5 9
22 19 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
23 23 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
24 20 Watford 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51