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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Rock

Leyton Orient 0–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.60 fair 3.29
Draw 3.50 fair 3.83
Away ✓ 2.05 fair 2.30
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leyton Orient Derby
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 9
8 Corners 4
8 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (224 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
Leyton OrientDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 10.7% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leyton Orient before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
0.95scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 18:24
Derby before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.72scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:16
Leyton Orient all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.72
1.26 Goals conceded 0.89
2.21 Total goals 2.61
12.74 Shots 13.00
3.95 Shots on target 4.56
10.47 Shots faced 10.11
5.47 Corners 6.89
5.00 Corners against 5.67
11.16 Fouls 10.72
2.74 Yellow cards 1.72
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

26% Wins 56%
37% Draws 17%
37% Losses 28%
89% Over 0.5 goals 94%
63% Over 1.5 goals 78%
37% Over 2.5 goals 56%
21% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 50%
26% Clean sheets 44%
37% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 39%
47% Draws 44%
26% Losses 17%
74% Over 0.5 goals 67%
37% Over 1.5 goals 28%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leyton Orient all matches
Derby all matches
Leyton Orient before this match, at home
1.22points / match
1.00scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:14
Derby before this match, away
1.78points / match
1.78scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:10
Leyton Orient at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.78
1.56 Goals conceded 1.11
2.56 Total goals 2.89
13.00 Shots 11.33
3.44 Shots on target 4.67
9.78 Shots faced 11.89
5.56 Corners 5.67
5.00 Corners against 6.67
10.89 Fouls 10.56
2.67 Yellow cards 1.33
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

33% Wins 56%
22% Draws 11%
44% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 56%
22% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 56%
33% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leyton Orient at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leyton Orient all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Bristol Rvs – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.93 1.93
25.11.23 Leyton Orient – Wigan 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.90 1.95
21.11.23 Leyton Orient – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Leyton Orient – Oxford 2–3 (0–2) 2.703.402.55 1.95 1.90
28.10.23 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.05 1.80
24.10.23 Northampton – Leyton Orient 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.15 1.67
21.10.23 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 1.93 1.93
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Leyton Orient – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Fleetwood Town – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.602.80 2.03 1.83

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98

Leyton Orient at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Leyton Orient – Wigan 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.90 1.95
21.11.23 Leyton Orient – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Leyton Orient – Oxford 2–3 (0–2) 2.703.402.55 1.95 1.90
21.10.23 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 1.93 1.93
07.10.23 Leyton Orient – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Leyton Orient – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 2.10 1.70
02.09.23 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.55 2.05 1.75
26.08.23 Leyton Orient – Cambridge 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.402.90 2.00 1.85
12.08.23 Leyton Orient – Portsmouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.883.302.50 1.95 1.90
29.04.23E3 Leyton Orient – Stockport 0–3 (0–2) 4.203.301.95 2.35 1.57

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 19 12 6 1 32 16 +16 42
2 Bolton 18 12 3 3 37 18 +19 39
3 Oxford 18 11 3 4 31 18 +13 36
4 Stevenage 20 10 6 4 29 19 +10 36
5 Peterboro 19 10 5 4 37 20 +17 35
6 Derby 18 10 3 5 31 16 +15 33
7 Barnsley 18 9 4 5 34 20 +14 31
8 Blackpool 20 8 6 6 33 25 +8 30
9 Wigan 19 9 3 7 30 23 +7 30
10 Lincoln 20 8 6 6 26 20 +6 30
11 Charlton 18 7 5 6 30 25 +5 26
12 Bristol Rvs 18 6 6 6 24 23 +1 24
13 Shrewsbury 20 7 3 10 12 27 -15 24
14 Northampton 19 7 2 10 21 26 -5 23
15 Wycombe 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
16 Leyton Orient 19 5 7 7 18 24 -6 22
17 Burton 19 5 5 9 16 27 -11 20
18 Cambridge 19 5 5 9 14 25 -11 20
19 Port Vale 18 5 4 9 14 27 -13 19
20 Exeter 18 5 3 10 12 29 -17 18
21 Reading 18 5 2 11 22 30 -8 17
22 Fleetwood Town 18 4 4 10 18 31 -13 16
23 Carlisle 19 3 6 10 15 26 -11 15
24 Cheltenham 18 3 3 12 10 27 -17 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 10 7 1 2 23 13 +10 22
2 Portsmouth 10 6 3 1 14 10 +4 21
3 Peterboro 9 6 2 1 22 7 +15 20
4 Blackpool 11 6 2 3 22 13 +9 20
5 Charlton 10 6 1 3 21 13 +8 19
6 Shrewsbury 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19
7 Oxford 9 5 3 1 15 7 +8 18
8 Wigan 9 6 0 3 16 10 +6 18
9 Derby 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
10 Stevenage 10 4 5 1 13 9 +4 17
11 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 15 8 +7 15
12 Cambridge 10 4 3 3 9 11 -2 15
13 Reading 9 4 2 3 14 9 +5 14
14 Northampton 10 4 2 4 13 13 0 14
15 Barnsley 9 4 1 4 19 12 +7 13
16 Bristol Rvs 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
17 Burton 9 3 3 3 10 11 -1 12
18 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 10 12 -2 11
19 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
20 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10
21 Port Vale 8 3 0 5 6 8 -2 9
22 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5 9 -4 9
23 Cheltenham 9 2 2 5 5 13 -8 8
24 Fleetwood Town 9 2 1 6 8 17 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
2 Stevenage 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
3 Barnsley 9 5 3 1 15 8 +7 18
4 Oxford 9 6 0 3 16 11 +5 18
5 Bolton 8 5 2 1 14 5 +9 17
6 Derby 9 5 1 3 16 10 +6 16
7 Peterboro 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
8 Lincoln 11 4 3 4 11 12 -1 15
9 Wigan 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
10 Leyton Orient 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11
11 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
12 Bristol Rvs 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
13 Blackpool 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
14 Port Vale 10 2 4 4 8 19 -11 10
15 Fleetwood Town 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
16 Northampton 9 3 0 6 8 13 -5 9
17 Exeter 9 3 0 6 7 20 -13 9
18 Burton 10 2 2 6 6 16 -10 8
19 Charlton 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
20 Carlisle 9 1 2 6 7 15 -8 5
21 Cambridge 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
22 Shrewsbury 10 1 2 7 2 18 -16 5
23 Cheltenham 9 1 1 7 5 14 -9 4
24 Reading 9 1 0 8 8 21 -13 3

Leyton Orient   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 20 8 12 1.6 1.2 8 6 6 33 25 30
2 11 Charlton 18 6 12 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 30 25 26
3 2 Bolton 18 7 11 2.1 1.0 12 3 3 37 18 39
4 3 Oxford 18 7 11 1.7 1.0 11 3 4 31 18 36
5 9 Wigan 19 8 11 1.6 1.2 9 3 7 30 23 30
6 14 Northampton 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 7 2 10 21 26 23
7 15 Wycombe 18 7 11 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
8 21 Reading 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 5 2 11 22 30 17
9 1 Portsmouth 19 9 10 1.7 0.8 12 6 1 32 16 42
10 4 Stevenage 20 10 10 1.4 0.9 10 6 4 29 19 36
11 5 Peterboro 19 9 10 1.9 1.1 10 5 4 37 20 35
12 6 Derby 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 10 3 5 31 16 33
13 7 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 9 4 5 34 20 31
14 22 Fleetwood Town 18 8 10 1.0 1.7 4 4 10 18 31 16
15 10 Lincoln 20 12 8 1.3 1.0 8 6 6 26 20 30
16 12 Bristol Rvs 18 10 8 1.3 1.3 6 6 6 24 23 24
17 17 Burton 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 5 5 9 16 27 20
18 16 Leyton Orient 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 5 7 7 18 24 22
19 18 Cambridge 19 12 7 0.7 1.3 5 5 9 14 25 20
20 19 Port Vale 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 5 4 9 14 27 19
21 20 Exeter 18 11 7 0.7 1.6 5 3 10 12 29 18
22 13 Shrewsbury 20 14 6 0.6 1.4 7 3 10 12 27 24
23 24 Cheltenham 18 12 6 0.6 1.5 3 3 12 10 27 12
24 23 Carlisle 19 15 4 0.8 1.4 3 6 10 15 26 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bolton 10 2 8 2.3 1.3 7 1 2 23 13 22
2 8 Blackpool 11 3 8 2.0 1.2 6 2 3 22 13 20
3 11 Charlton 10 2 8 2.1 1.3 6 1 3 21 13 19
4 3 Oxford 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 5 3 1 15 7 18
5 7 Barnsley 9 3 6 2.1 1.3 4 1 4 19 12 13
6 9 Wigan 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 6 0 3 16 10 18
7 14 Northampton 10 4 6 1.3 1.3 4 2 4 13 13 14
8 1 Portsmouth 10 5 5 1.4 1.0 6 3 1 14 10 21
9 5 Peterboro 9 4 5 2.4 0.8 6 2 1 22 7 20
10 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
11 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 2 1 6 8 17 7
12 4 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 5 1 13 9 17
13 10 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 4 3 2 15 8 15
14 12 Bristol Rvs 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
15 15 Wycombe 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 4 10 12 11
16 16 Leyton Orient 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11
17 17 Burton 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 3 3 10 11 12
18 21 Reading 9 5 4 1.6 1.0 4 2 3 14 9 14
19 13 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19
20 18 Cambridge 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 4 3 3 9 11 15
21 19 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 5 6 8 9
22 20 Exeter 9 7 2 0.6 1.0 2 3 4 5 9 9
23 24 Cheltenham 9 7 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 5 5 13 8
24 23 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Wycombe 9 2 7 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
2 21 Reading 9 2 7 0.9 2.3 1 0 8 8 21 3
3 4 Stevenage 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
4 1 Portsmouth 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
5 3 Oxford 9 4 5 1.8 1.2 6 0 3 16 11 18
6 5 Peterboro 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
7 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.8 1.1 5 1 3 16 10 16
8 9 Wigan 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
9 14 Northampton 9 4 5 0.9 1.4 3 0 6 8 13 9
10 19 Port Vale 10 5 5 0.8 1.9 2 4 4 8 19 10
11 20 Exeter 9 4 5 0.8 2.2 3 0 6 7 20 9
12 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
13 7 Barnsley 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 3 1 15 8 18
14 8 Blackpool 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
15 10 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 4 3 4 11 12 15
16 11 Charlton 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
17 12 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
18 17 Burton 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 6 6 16 8
19 18 Cambridge 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
20 24 Cheltenham 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 1 1 7 5 14 4
21 2 Bolton 8 5 3 1.8 0.6 5 2 1 14 5 17
22 13 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 0.2 1.8 1 2 7 2 18 5
23 16 Leyton Orient 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11
24 23 Carlisle 9 6 3 0.8 1.7 1 2 6 7 15 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51