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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Welch

Derby 1–1 Wycombe

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.50 fair 1.81
Draw ✓ 4.20 fair 4.31
Away 7.00 fair 4.67
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Wycombe
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 2
8 Fouls 8
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (237 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawWycombe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.79scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 34:16
Wycombe before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.21scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:28
Derby all matches all matches Wycombe

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 1.21
0.84 Goals conceded 1.47
2.63 Total goals 2.68
13.00 Shots 11.21
4.79 Shots on target 4.16
10.00 Shots faced 11.37
6.74 Corners 4.26
5.79 Corners against 5.74
10.95 Fouls 9.63
1.68 Yellow cards 2.11
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

58% Wins 32%
16% Draws 21%
26% Losses 47%
95% Over 0.5 goals 89%
79% Over 1.5 goals 68%
58% Over 2.5 goals 58%
21% Over 3.5 goals 32%
5% Over 4.5 goals 16%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
47% Both teams scored 47%
47% Clean sheets 26%
11% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 32%
42% Draws 26%
16% Losses 42%
68% Over 0.5 goals 79%
26% Over 1.5 goals 32%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Wycombe all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.89points / match
1.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:6
Wycombe before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.44scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:15
Derby at home away Wycombe

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.44
0.67 Goals conceded 1.67
2.33 Total goals 3.11
14.67 Shots 10.33
4.44 Shots on target 4.22
8.33 Shots faced 13.00
8.11 Corners 4.22
4.67 Corners against 7.33
10.89 Fouls 8.67
2.11 Yellow cards 2.22
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 33%
22% Draws 22%
22% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 78%
11% Over 3.5 goals 44%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 67%
56% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
22% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
11% Over 1.5 goals 22%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Wycombe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80

Wycombe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Wycombe – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Barnsley – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Wycombe – Reading 1–2 (1–2) 1.833.604.20 1.83 2.03
11.11.23 Wycombe – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.03 1.83
31.10.23 Wycombe – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.88 1.98
28.10.23 Oxford – Wycombe 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Wycombe – Bolton 2–4 (0–2) 2.703.502.55 1.90 1.95
21.10.23 Peterboro – Wycombe 2–2 (2–1) 1.734.004.50 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Fleetwood Town – Wycombe 1–4 (0–3) 2.503.402.75 1.98 1.88
03.10.23 Portsmouth – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.00 1.85 2.00

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98

Wycombe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Barnsley – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 Oxford – Wycombe 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Peterboro – Wycombe 2–2 (2–1) 1.734.004.50 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Fleetwood Town – Wycombe 1–4 (0–3) 2.503.402.75 1.98 1.88
03.10.23 Portsmouth – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.00 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Charlton – Wycombe 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Northampton – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Bristol Rvs – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.85 2.00
12.08.23 Lincoln – Wycombe 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.88 2.10 1.70
07.05.23 Portsmouth – Wycombe 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.603.40 1.82 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsWycombe wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23E2 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
17.09.22E2 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 20 13 6 1 34 16 +18 45
2 Bolton 19 12 3 4 37 20 +17 39
3 Stevenage 21 11 6 4 31 20 +11 39
4 Peterboro 20 11 5 4 40 20 +20 38
5 Oxford 20 11 4 5 32 22 +10 37
6 Derby 19 11 3 5 34 16 +18 36
7 Barnsley 19 10 4 5 37 21 +16 34
8 Blackpool 21 9 6 6 36 25 +11 33
9 Wigan 20 9 4 7 30 23 +7 31
10 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 26 20 +6 31
11 Charlton 19 7 6 6 32 27 +5 27
12 Shrewsbury 21 8 3 10 13 27 -14 27
13 Northampton 20 8 2 10 24 26 -2 26
14 Bristol Rvs 19 6 7 6 25 24 +1 25
15 Wycombe 19 6 4 9 23 28 -5 22
16 Leyton Orient 20 5 7 8 18 27 -9 22
17 Port Vale 19 6 4 9 15 27 -12 22
18 Cambridge 20 5 6 9 16 27 -11 21
19 Burton 20 5 5 10 17 29 -12 20
20 Reading 20 5 3 12 24 34 -10 18
21 Exeter 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
22 Fleetwood Town 19 4 4 11 18 34 -16 16
23 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 15 29 -14 15
24 Cheltenham 19 3 4 12 11 28 -17 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 11 7 3 1 16 10 +6 24
2 Peterboro 10 7 2 1 25 7 +18 23
3 Blackpool 12 7 2 3 25 13 +12 23
4 Bolton 10 7 1 2 23 13 +10 22
5 Charlton 11 6 2 3 23 15 +8 20
6 Wigan 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
7 Shrewsbury 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19
8 Oxford 9 5 3 1 15 7 +8 18
9 Derby 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
10 Stevenage 10 4 5 1 13 9 +4 17
11 Northampton 11 5 2 4 16 13 +3 17
12 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 15 8 +7 15
13 Reading 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
14 Cambridge 10 4 3 3 9 11 -2 15
15 Bristol Rvs 9 3 5 1 15 9 +6 14
16 Barnsley 9 4 1 4 19 12 +7 13
17 Burton 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
18 Wycombe 10 3 2 5 10 13 -3 11
19 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
20 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10
21 Port Vale 8 3 0 5 6 8 -2 9
22 Exeter 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
23 Cheltenham 9 2 2 5 5 13 -8 8
24 Fleetwood Town 9 2 1 6 8 17 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 11 7 1 3 18 11 +7 22
2 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
3 Barnsley 10 6 3 1 18 9 +9 21
4 Derby 10 6 1 3 19 10 +9 19
5 Oxford 11 6 1 4 17 15 +2 19
6 Bolton 9 5 2 2 14 7 +7 17
7 Lincoln 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
8 Peterboro 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
9 Port Vale 11 3 4 4 9 19 -10 13
10 Wigan 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
11 Leyton Orient 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11
12 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
13 Bristol Rvs 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
14 Blackpool 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
15 Northampton 9 3 0 6 8 13 -5 9
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 9
17 Exeter 9 3 0 6 7 20 -13 9
18 Burton 10 2 2 6 6 16 -10 8
19 Shrewsbury 11 2 2 7 3 18 -15 8
20 Charlton 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
21 Cambridge 10 1 3 6 7 16 -9 6
22 Cheltenham 10 1 2 7 6 15 -9 5
23 Carlisle 10 1 2 7 7 18 -11 5
24 Reading 9 1 0 8 8 21 -13 3

Derby   Wycombe

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 21 8 13 1.7 1.2 9 6 6 36 25 33
2 11 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 6 6 32 27 27
3 5 Oxford 20 8 12 1.6 1.1 11 4 5 32 22 37
4 13 Northampton 20 8 12 1.2 1.3 8 2 10 24 26 26
5 20 Reading 20 8 12 1.2 1.7 5 3 12 24 34 18
6 2 Bolton 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 12 3 4 37 20 39
7 3 Stevenage 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 11 6 4 31 20 39
8 4 Peterboro 20 9 11 2.0 1.0 11 5 4 40 20 38
9 6 Derby 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 11 3 5 34 16 36
10 7 Barnsley 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 10 4 5 37 21 34
11 9 Wigan 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 9 4 7 30 23 31
12 15 Wycombe 19 8 11 1.2 1.5 6 4 9 23 28 22
13 22 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 4 4 11 18 34 16
14 1 Portsmouth 20 10 10 1.7 0.8 13 6 1 34 16 45
15 19 Burton 20 11 9 0.8 1.4 5 5 10 17 29 20
16 10 Lincoln 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 8 7 6 26 20 31
17 14 Bristol Rvs 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 6 7 6 25 24 25
18 16 Leyton Orient 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 5 7 8 18 27 22
19 18 Cambridge 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 16 27 21
20 17 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.8 1.4 6 4 9 15 27 22
21 21 Exeter 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
22 12 Shrewsbury 21 15 6 0.6 1.3 8 3 10 13 27 27
23 24 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.6 1.5 3 4 12 11 28 13
24 23 Carlisle 20 15 5 0.8 1.4 3 6 11 15 29 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 12 3 9 2.1 1.1 7 2 3 25 13 23
2 11 Charlton 11 2 9 2.1 1.4 6 2 3 23 15 20
3 2 Bolton 10 2 8 2.3 1.3 7 1 2 23 13 22
4 13 Northampton 11 4 7 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 16 13 17
5 4 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.5 0.7 7 2 1 25 7 23
6 5 Oxford 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 5 3 1 15 7 18
7 7 Barnsley 9 3 6 2.1 1.3 4 1 4 19 12 13
8 9 Wigan 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
9 1 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 7 3 1 16 10 24
10 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
11 16 Leyton Orient 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11
12 19 Burton 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
13 20 Reading 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
14 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 2 1 6 8 17 7
15 3 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 5 1 13 9 17
16 10 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 4 3 2 15 8 15
17 14 Bristol Rvs 9 5 4 1.7 1.0 3 5 1 15 9 14
18 15 Wycombe 10 6 4 1.0 1.3 3 2 5 10 13 11
19 12 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19
20 18 Cambridge 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 4 3 3 9 11 15
21 17 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 5 6 8 9
22 21 Exeter 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9
23 24 Cheltenham 9 7 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 5 5 13 8
24 23 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stevenage 11 4 7 1.6 1.0 7 1 3 18 11 22
2 15 Wycombe 9 2 7 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
3 20 Reading 9 2 7 0.9 2.3 1 0 8 8 21 3
4 5 Oxford 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 17 15 19
5 6 Derby 10 4 6 1.9 1.0 6 1 3 19 10 19
6 22 Fleetwood Town 10 4 6 1.0 1.7 2 3 5 10 17 9
7 1 Portsmouth 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
8 4 Peterboro 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
9 7 Barnsley 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 6 3 1 18 9 21
10 9 Wigan 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
11 13 Northampton 9 4 5 0.9 1.4 3 0 6 8 13 9
12 17 Port Vale 11 6 5 0.8 1.7 3 4 4 9 19 13
13 18 Cambridge 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 1 3 6 7 16 6
14 21 Exeter 9 4 5 0.8 2.2 3 0 6 7 20 9
15 8 Blackpool 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
16 10 Lincoln 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
17 11 Charlton 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
18 14 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
19 19 Burton 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 6 6 16 8
20 23 Carlisle 10 6 4 0.7 1.8 1 2 7 7 18 5
21 24 Cheltenham 10 6 4 0.6 1.5 1 2 7 6 15 5
22 2 Bolton 9 6 3 1.6 0.8 5 2 2 14 7 17
23 12 Shrewsbury 11 8 3 0.3 1.6 2 2 7 3 18 8
24 16 Leyton Orient 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51