Burton 1–2 Birmingham – England League One, 21 Apr 2025

Match facts

Burton Birmingham

3 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 2

13 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (512 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.00 – 1.63

Home / Draw / Away

23% 25% 52%

BurtonDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.7% 0–1 11.7% 1–2 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches

1.02points / match

1.05scored / match

1.40conceded / match

10 13 19

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 44:59

Birmingham before this match, all matches

2.34points / match

1.78scored / match

0.71conceded / match

29 9 3

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 73:29

Burton all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.78

1.40 Goals conceded 0.71

2.45 Total goals 2.49

9.50 Shots 13.22

3.29 Shots on target 4.54

13.64 Shots faced 7.56

4.19 Corners 5.95

5.52 Corners against 3.54

10.36 Fouls 11.76

2.00 Yellow cards 1.71

0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

24% Wins 71%

31% Draws 22%

45% Losses 7%

86% Over 0.5 goals 93%

69% Over 1.5 goals 73%

50% Over 2.5 goals 41%

24% Over 3.5 goals 22%

12% Over 4.5 goals 12%

5% Over 5.5 goals 2%

50% Both teams scored 51%

29% Clean sheets 46%

36% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 44%

48% Draws 46%

26% Losses 10%

64% Over 0.5 goals 73%

29% Over 1.5 goals 41%

10% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

3

W

D

Birmingham all matches

1

W

1

3

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

4

1

W

2

1

W

6

2

W

2

1

W

D

Burton before this match, at home

1.00points / match

1.30scored / match

1.50conceded / match

5 5 10

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:30

Birmingham before this match, away

2.00points / match

1.58scored / match

0.95conceded / match

11 5 3

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 30:18

Burton at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.58

1.50 Goals conceded 0.95

2.80 Total goals 2.53

10.20 Shots 10.37

3.65 Shots on target 3.53

13.25 Shots faced 9.26

3.95 Corners 4.84

4.90 Corners against 4.47

10.10 Fouls 13.21

1.95 Yellow cards 1.68

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.95

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

25% Wins 58%

25% Draws 26%

50% Losses 16%

90% Over 0.5 goals 95%

75% Over 1.5 goals 79%

60% Over 2.5 goals 47%

30% Over 3.5 goals 21%

20% Over 4.5 goals 11%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 63%

20% Clean sheets 32%

30% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 37%

40% Draws 58%

20% Losses 5%

75% Over 0.5 goals 74%

40% Over 1.5 goals 58%

15% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

4

2

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

Birmingham away

1

W

1

D

3

W

1

D

1

W

D

1

3

L

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Exeter – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.08	1.73
12.04.25	Burton – Huddersfield	3–0 (2–0)	3.25	3.25	2.20	2.00	1.85
05.04.25	Wrexham – Burton	3–0 (0–0)	1.57	3.80	5.75	2.00	1.85
01.04.25	Burton – Leyton Orient	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.55	2.10	1.70
29.03.25	Stockport – Burton	2–1 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	5.50	2.00	1.85
15.03.25	Shrewsbury – Burton	0–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.30	1.60
08.03.25	Burton – Bolton	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
04.03.25	Wycombe – Burton	2–0 (1–0)	1.49	3.90	6.00	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Burton – Mansfield	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	Lincoln – Burton	0–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.33	2.15	1.67

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Birmingham – Crawley Town	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	4.75	9.50	1.53	2.40
08.04.25	Peterboro – Birmingham	1–2 (1–2)	4.50	4.10	1.61	1.65	2.20
05.04.25	Birmingham – Barnsley	6–2 (1–1)	1.33	5.00	7.50	1.60	2.30
01.04.25	Bristol Rvs – Birmingham	1–2 (1–1)	7.50	4.50	1.38	1.85	2.00
29.03.25	Birmingham – Shrewsbury	4–1 (1–0)	1.20	6.25	15.00	1.73	2.08
15.03.25	Northampton – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	3.75	1.65	2.10	1.70
11.03.25	Birmingham – Stevenage	2–1 (1–0)	1.53	3.80	6.25	2.20	1.65
08.03.25	Birmingham – Lincoln	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	3.80	6.50	2.08	1.73
04.03.25	Bolton – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.25	1.95	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69

Burton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Burton – Huddersfield	3–0 (2–0)	3.25	3.25	2.20	2.00	1.85
01.04.25	Burton – Leyton Orient	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.55	2.10	1.70
08.03.25	Burton – Bolton	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
01.03.25	Burton – Mansfield	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.93	1.93
08.02.25	Burton – Blackpool	1–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.95	1.90
28.01.25	Burton – Reading	3–2 (2–0)	2.38	3.40	2.75	1.98	1.88
25.01.25	Burton – Rotherham	4–2 (3–1)	3.90	3.40	1.86	2.08	1.73
04.01.25	Burton – Northampton	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.25	3.30	2.15	1.67
01.01.25	Burton – Peterboro	2–2 (2–1)	2.70	3.30	2.50	1.65	2.20
21.12.24	Burton – Exeter	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.30	1.98	1.88

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Peterboro – Birmingham	1–2 (1–2)	4.50	4.10	1.61	1.65	2.20
01.04.25	Bristol Rvs – Birmingham	1–2 (1–1)	7.50	4.50	1.38	1.85	2.00
15.03.25	Northampton – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	3.75	1.65	2.10	1.70
04.03.25	Bolton – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.25	1.95	2.08	1.73
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
23.01.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.30	2.15	2.20	1.65
04.01.25	Wigan – Birmingham	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.40	1.75	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Stockport – Birmingham	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.00	1.85
23.12.24	Crawley Town – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.62	2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Burton winsDrawsBirmingham wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.24E2	Birmingham – Burton	2–0 (1–0)	1.20	6.50	11.00	1.53	2.40

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	41	29	9	3	73	29	+44	96
2	Wycombe	43	24	12	7	69	37	+32	84
3	Wrexham	43	24	11	8	60	33	+27	83
4	Charlton	43	23	10	10	60	39	+21	79
5	Stockport	43	22	12	9	64	38	+26	78
6	Leyton Orient	43	21	6	16	65	46	+19	69
7	Reading	43	19	12	12	59	52	+7	69
8	Bolton	43	20	6	17	63	64	-1	66
9	Huddersfield	43	19	7	17	55	46	+9	64
10	Blackpool	42	16	15	11	66	54	+12	63
11	Lincoln	43	15	13	15	58	49	+9	58
12	Barnsley	43	16	9	18	63	68	-5	57
13	Rotherham	43	15	10	18	51	56	-5	55
14	Exeter	43	14	11	18	45	58	-13	53
15	Stevenage	42	14	10	18	39	47	-8	52
16	Wigan	42	12	14	16	36	39	-3	50
17	Peterboro	42	13	10	19	63	73	-10	49
18	Mansfield	42	13	9	20	52	62	-10	48
19	Northampton	43	11	14	18	43	61	-18	47
20	Burton	42	10	13	19	44	59	-15	43
21	Bristol Rvs	43	12	7	24	43	69	-26	43
22	Cambridge	43	9	11	23	42	67	-25	38
23	Crawley Town	43	9	10	24	49	81	-32	37
24	Shrewsbury	43	7	9	27	37	72	-35	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	22	18	4	0	43	11	+32	58
2	Wrexham	22	15	5	2	38	15	+23	50
3	Charlton	22	14	6	2	35	15	+20	48
4	Stockport	21	14	4	3	37	19	+18	46
5	Reading	22	14	4	4	35	17	+18	46
6	Wycombe	21	12	6	3	26	11	+15	42
7	Leyton Orient	22	11	4	7	32	19	+13	37
8	Bolton	22	11	3	8	35	31	+4	36
9	Rotherham	22	10	5	7	33	29	+4	35
10	Huddersfield	22	10	4	8	26	20	+6	34
11	Lincoln	21	9	6	6	33	20	+13	33
12	Stevenage	21	9	4	8	27	24	+3	31
13	Bristol Rvs	21	9	4	8	31	30	+1	31
14	Peterboro	22	8	6	8	37	35	+2	30
15	Blackpool	20	6	11	3	30	24	+6	29
16	Exeter	22	7	6	9	27	32	-5	27
17	Barnsley	21	6	7	8	31	33	-2	25
18	Wigan	21	6	6	9	18	22	-4	24
19	Northampton	21	6	6	9	19	29	-10	24
20	Mansfield	20	6	4	10	22	27	-5	22
21	Cambridge	21	5	6	10	23	29	-6	21
22	Crawley Town	21	5	6	10	25	34	-9	21
23	Burton	20	5	5	10	26	30	-4	20
24	Shrewsbury	22	5	3	14	19	35	-16	18

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wycombe	22	12	6	4	43	26	+17	42
2	Birmingham	19	11	5	3	30	18	+12	38
3	Blackpool	22	10	4	8	36	30	+6	34
4	Wrexham	21	9	6	6	22	18	+4	33
5	Stockport	22	8	8	6	27	19	+8	32
6	Leyton Orient	21	10	2	9	33	27	+6	32
7	Barnsley	22	10	2	10	32	35	-3	32
8	Charlton	21	9	4	8	25	24	+1	31
9	Huddersfield	21	9	3	9	29	26	+3	30
10	Bolton	21	9	3	9	28	33	-5	30
11	Wigan	21	6	8	7	18	17	+1	26
12	Mansfield	22	7	5	10	30	35	-5	26
13	Exeter	21	7	5	9	18	26	-8	26
14	Lincoln	22	6	7	9	25	29	-4	25
15	Northampton	22	5	8	9	24	32	-8	23
16	Reading	21	5	8	8	24	35	-11	23
17	Burton	22	5	8	9	18	29	-11	23
18	Stevenage	21	5	6	10	12	23	-11	21
19	Rotherham	21	5	5	11	18	27	-9	20
20	Peterboro	20	5	4	11	26	38	-12	19
21	Cambridge	22	4	5	13	19	38	-19	17
22	Crawley Town	22	4	4	14	24	47	-23	16
23	Shrewsbury	21	2	6	13	18	37	-19	12
24	Bristol Rvs	22	3	3	16	12	39	-27	12

Burton Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Barnsley	43	13	30	1.5	1.6	16	9	18	63	68	57
2	10	Blackpool	42	14	28	1.6	1.3	16	15	11	66	54	63
3	17	Peterboro	42	15	27	1.5	1.7	13	10	19	63	73	49
4	8	Bolton	43	17	26	1.5	1.5	20	6	17	63	64	66
5	18	Mansfield	42	17	25	1.2	1.5	13	9	20	52	62	48
6	6	Leyton Orient	43	19	24	1.5	1.1	21	6	16	65	46	69
7	23	Crawley Town	43	20	23	1.1	1.9	9	10	24	49	81	37
8	7	Reading	43	21	22	1.4	1.2	19	12	12	59	52	69
9	4	Charlton	43	22	21	1.4	0.9	23	10	10	60	39	79
10	9	Huddersfield	43	22	21	1.3	1.1	19	7	17	55	46	64
11	20	Burton	42	21	21	1.0	1.4	10	13	19	44	59	43
12	21	Bristol Rvs	43	22	21	1.0	1.6	12	7	24	43	69	43
13	2	Wycombe	43	23	20	1.6	0.9	24	12	7	69	37	84
14	19	Northampton	43	23	20	1.0	1.4	11	14	18	43	61	47
15	3	Wrexham	43	24	19	1.4	0.8	24	11	8	60	33	83
16	11	Lincoln	43	24	19	1.3	1.1	15	13	15	58	49	58
17	13	Rotherham	43	24	19	1.2	1.3	15	10	18	51	56	55
18	14	Exeter	43	25	18	1.0	1.3	14	11	18	45	58	53
19	24	Shrewsbury	43	25	18	0.9	1.7	7	9	27	37	72	30
20	1	Birmingham	41	24	17	1.8	0.7	29	9	3	73	29	96
21	22	Cambridge	43	26	17	1.0	1.6	9	11	23	42	67	38
22	5	Stockport	43	27	16	1.5	0.9	22	12	9	64	38	78
23	15	Stevenage	42	26	16	0.9	1.1	14	10	18	39	47	52
24	16	Wigan	42	28	14	0.9	0.9	12	14	16	36	39	50

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Barnsley	21	6	15	1.5	1.6	6	7	8	31	33	25
2	8	Bolton	22	8	14	1.6	1.4	11	3	8	35	31	36
3	10	Blackpool	20	6	14	1.5	1.2	6	11	3	30	24	29
4	13	Rotherham	22	9	13	1.5	1.3	10	5	7	33	29	35
5	17	Peterboro	22	9	13	1.7	1.6	8	6	8	37	35	30
6	3	Wrexham	22	10	12	1.7	0.7	15	5	2	38	15	50
7	20	Burton	20	8	12	1.3	1.5	5	5	10	26	30	20
8	21	Bristol Rvs	21	9	12	1.5	1.4	9	4	8	31	30	31
9	4	Charlton	22	11	11	1.6	0.7	14	6	2	35	15	48
10	5	Stockport	21	10	11	1.8	0.9	14	4	3	37	19	46
11	6	Leyton Orient	22	11	11	1.5	0.9	11	4	7	32	19	37
12	18	Mansfield	20	9	11	1.1	1.4	6	4	10	22	27	22
13	7	Reading	22	12	10	1.6	0.8	14	4	4	35	17	46
14	11	Lincoln	21	11	10	1.6	1.0	9	6	6	33	20	33
15	15	Stevenage	21	11	10	1.3	1.1	9	4	8	27	24	31
16	14	Exeter	22	13	9	1.2	1.5	7	6	9	27	32	27
17	19	Northampton	21	12	9	0.9	1.4	6	6	9	19	29	24
18	23	Crawley Town	21	12	9	1.2	1.6	5	6	10	25	34	21
19	24	Shrewsbury	22	13	9	0.9	1.6	5	3	14	19	35	18
20	1	Birmingham	22	14	8	2.0	0.5	18	4	0	43	11	58
21	9	Huddersfield	22	14	8	1.2	0.9	10	4	8	26	20	34
22	16	Wigan	21	13	8	0.9	1.0	6	6	9	18	22	24
23	2	Wycombe	21	15	6	1.2	0.5	12	6	3	26	11	42
24	22	Cambridge	21	15	6	1.1	1.4	5	6	10	23	29	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Barnsley	22	7	15	1.5	1.6	10	2	10	32	35	32
2	2	Wycombe	22	8	14	2.0	1.2	12	6	4	43	26	42
3	10	Blackpool	22	8	14	1.6	1.4	10	4	8	36	30	34
4	17	Peterboro	20	6	14	1.3	1.9	5	4	11	26	38	19
5	18	Mansfield	22	8	14	1.4	1.6	7	5	10	30	35	26
6	23	Crawley Town	22	8	14	1.1	2.1	4	4	14	24	47	16
7	6	Leyton Orient	21	8	13	1.6	1.3	10	2	9	33	27	32
8	9	Huddersfield	21	8	13	1.4	1.2	9	3	9	29	26	30
9	7	Reading	21	9	12	1.1	1.7	5	8	8	24	35	23
10	8	Bolton	21	9	12	1.3	1.6	9	3	9	28	33	30
11	19	Northampton	22	11	11	1.1	1.5	5	8	9	24	32	23
12	22	Cambridge	22	11	11	0.9	1.7	4	5	13	19	38	17
13	4	Charlton	21	11	10	1.2	1.1	9	4	8	25	24	31
14	1	Birmingham	19	10	9	1.6	0.9	11	5	3	30	18	38
15	11	Lincoln	22	13	9	1.1	1.3	6	7	9	25	29	25
16	14	Exeter	21	12	9	0.9	1.2	7	5	9	18	26	26
17	20	Burton	22	13	9	0.8	1.3	5	8	9	18	29	23
18	21	Bristol Rvs	22	13	9	0.5	1.8	3	3	16	12	39	12
19	24	Shrewsbury	21	12	9	0.9	1.8	2	6	13	18	37	12
20	3	Wrexham	21	14	7	1.0	0.9	9	6	6	22	18	33
21	13	Rotherham	21	15	6	0.9	1.3	5	5	11	18	27	20
22	15	Stevenage	21	15	6	0.6	1.1	5	6	10	12	23	21
23	16	Wigan	21	15	6	0.9	0.8	6	8	7	18	17	26
24	5	Stockport	22	17	5	1.2	0.9	8	8	6	27	19	32

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.