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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Woods

Luton 2–1 Leicester

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.39
Draw 3.60 fair 4.23
Away 2.85 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.54
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Leicester
11 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
1.60 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
9 Corners 8
8 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (126 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.90scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:18
Leicester before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.60scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:15
Luton all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 1.60
1.80 Goals conceded 1.50
3.70 Total goals 3.10
1.68 xG created 1.62
1.16 xG allowed 1.26
15.50 Shots 15.90
4.80 Shots on target 5.50
11.90 Shots faced 12.70
6.30 Corners 6.50
4.00 Corners against 5.70
12.70 Fouls 10.20
1.90 Yellow cards 1.70
0.70 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
20% Draws 30%
40% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 90%
70% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
30% Over 4.5 goals 10%
20% Over 5.5 goals 10%
80% Both teams scored 60%
10% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 50%
30% Draws 20%
50% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Leicester all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.40scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:5
Leicester before this match, away
1.80points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:5
Luton at home away Leicester

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.40 Total goals 3.00
1.72 xG created 1.62
0.70 xG allowed 1.26
16.40 Shots 16.00
5.00 Shots on target 6.20
8.60 Shots faced 12.20
7.60 Corners 6.20
4.00 Corners against 5.00
12.80 Fouls 10.00
2.20 Yellow cards 2.20
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
40% Draws 60%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 60%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.494.205.25 1.44 2.70
17.10.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.502.10 1.70 2.10
10.10.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–4 (0–2) 2.573.402.45 1.67 2.15
19.09.26 Luton – Bradford 0–1 (0–1) 2.013.303.50 1.90 1.95
10.09.26 Stevenage – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.20 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Luton – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.004.50 1.60 2.30
02.09.26 Luton – Stockport 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
30.08.26 Mansfield – Luton 5–2 (3–0) 2.853.402.25 1.65 2.20
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Bromley – Leicester 0–4 (0–3) 4.204.001.66 1.53 2.40
17.10.26 Leicester – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 1.793.803.75 1.53 2.40
10.10.26 Leicester – Peterboro 1–3 (0–3) 1.534.205.00 1.40 2.88
19.09.26 Barnsley – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.751.96 1.48 2.60
12.09.26 Stockport – Leicester 3–4 (1–2) 1.793.803.80 1.62 2.25
05.09.26 Leicester – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 1.623.754.75 1.80 2.00
01.09.26 Leicester – Plymouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.863.603.60 1.65 2.20
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
15.08.26 Notts County – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.401.96 2.03 1.83

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.494.205.25 1.44 2.70
19.09.26 Luton – Bradford 0–1 (0–1) 2.013.303.50 1.90 1.95
05.09.26 Luton – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.004.50 1.60 2.30
02.09.26 Luton – Stockport 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
25.04.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50
15.04.26 Luton – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.60 2.30
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Bromley – Leicester 0–4 (0–3) 4.204.001.66 1.53 2.40
19.09.26 Barnsley – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.751.96 1.48 2.60
12.09.26 Stockport – Leicester 3–4 (1–2) 1.793.803.80 1.62 2.25
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
15.08.26 Notts County – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.401.96 2.03 1.83
02.05.26E1 Blackburn – Leicester 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
18.04.26E1 Portsmouth – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.20 2.10 1.73
06.04.26E1 Sheffield Weds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.001.49 1.83 2.03
21.03.26E1 Watford – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.603.50 1.91 1.91
07.03.26E1 Ipswich – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 1.424.506.25 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 11 7 1 3 23 11 +12 22
2 Huddersfield 11 6 4 1 22 10 +12 22
3 Bradford 11 6 3 2 10 5 +5 21
4 Cambridge 11 5 5 1 18 14 +4 20
5 Plymouth 12 6 1 5 18 17 +1 19
6 Reading 11 5 3 3 23 12 +11 18
7 Sheffield Weds 10 5 3 2 20 10 +10 18
8 Oxford 9 5 3 1 18 10 +8 18
9 Stevenage 10 4 3 3 15 10 +5 15
10 Leicester 10 4 3 3 16 15 +1 15
11 Mansfield 10 4 3 3 16 15 +1 15
12 Leyton Orient 11 4 2 5 15 12 +3 14
13 Luton 10 4 2 4 19 18 +1 14
14 Burton 12 3 5 4 16 18 -2 14
15 Wycombe 11 3 5 3 18 22 -4 14
16 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 3 5 7 18 -11 12
17 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 15 16 -1 11
18 Notts County 10 2 4 4 10 13 -3 10
19 Doncaster 10 2 3 5 10 13 -3 9
20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 1 6 3 11 18 -7 9
21 Peterboro 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
22 Barnsley 10 2 2 6 10 19 -9 8
23 Bromley 10 2 2 6 9 25 -16 8
24 Wigan 10 2 1 7 7 15 -8 7
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 6 4 1 1 15 6 +9 13
2 Stockport 6 4 0 2 14 8 +6 12
3 Huddersfield 5 3 2 0 13 5 +8 11
4 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
5 Cambridge 6 3 2 1 10 8 +2 11
6 Stevenage 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
7 Bradford 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
8 Plymouth 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9
9 Sheffield Weds 5 2 2 1 12 3 +9 8
10 Blackpool 5 2 2 1 11 7 +4 8
11 Oxford 4 2 2 0 8 4 +4 8
12 Luton 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
13 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 2 1 2 3 -1 8
14 Burton 6 1 4 1 10 9 +1 7
15 Notts County 5 2 1 2 6 5 +1 7
16 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 10 12 -2 6
17 Leyton Orient 6 2 0 4 7 10 -3 6
18 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
19 Leicester 5 2 0 3 6 10 -4 6
20 Wigan 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6
21 Peterboro 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
22 Doncaster 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
23 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
24 Bromley 5 1 1 3 3 13 -10 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
2 Bradford 6 3 2 1 4 3 +1 11
3 Stockport 5 3 1 1 9 3 +6 10
4 Oxford 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
5 Sheffield Weds 5 3 1 1 8 7 +1 10
6 Plymouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
7 Leicester 5 2 3 0 10 5 +5 9
8 Cambridge 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
9 Leyton Orient 5 2 2 1 8 2 +6 8
10 Wycombe 5 2 2 1 8 10 -2 8
11 Burton 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7
12 Luton 5 2 0 3 12 13 -1 6
13 Reading 5 1 2 2 8 6 +2 5
14 Stevenage 5 1 2 2 6 5 +1 5
15 Doncaster 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
16 Mansfield 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
17 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
18 Bromley 5 1 1 3 6 12 -6 4
19 Peterboro 6 1 1 4 5 13 -8 4
20 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 1 4 5 15 -10 4
21 Milton Keynes Dons 5 0 3 2 6 10 -4 3
22 Notts County 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
23 Blackpool 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
24 Wigan 5 0 1 4 3 7 -4 1

Luton   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Burton 12 4 8 1.3 1.5 3 5 4 16 18 14
2 2 Huddersfield 11 4 7 2.0 0.9 6 4 1 22 10 22
3 4 Cambridge 11 4 7 1.6 1.3 5 5 1 18 14 20
4 8 Oxford 9 2 7 2.0 1.1 5 3 1 18 10 18
5 11 Mansfield 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 3 3 16 15 15
6 13 Luton 10 3 7 1.9 1.8 4 2 4 19 18 14
7 15 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.6 2.0 3 5 3 18 22 14
8 22 Barnsley 10 3 7 1.0 1.9 2 2 6 10 19 8
9 1 Stockport 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 7 1 3 23 11 22
10 5 Plymouth 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 6 1 5 18 17 19
11 6 Reading 11 5 6 2.1 1.1 5 3 3 23 12 18
12 7 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 5 3 2 20 10 18
13 10 Leicester 10 4 6 1.6 1.5 4 3 3 16 15 15
14 17 Blackpool 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 3 2 5 15 16 11
15 21 Peterboro 11 5 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 6 10 20 9
16 23 Bromley 10 4 6 0.9 2.5 2 2 6 9 25 8
17 9 Stevenage 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 4 3 3 15 10 15
18 16 AFC Wimbledon 11 6 5 0.6 1.6 3 3 5 7 18 12
19 20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 1 6 3 11 18 9
20 12 Leyton Orient 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 5 15 12 14
21 19 Doncaster 10 6 4 1.0 1.3 2 3 5 10 13 9
22 24 Wigan 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 2 1 7 7 15 7
23 18 Notts County 10 7 3 1.0 1.3 2 4 4 10 13 10
24 3 Bradford 11 10 1 0.9 0.5 6 3 2 10 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Stockport 6 2 4 2.3 1.3 4 0 2 14 8 12
2 2 Huddersfield 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 3 2 0 13 5 11
3 4 Cambridge 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 2 1 10 8 11
4 9 Stevenage 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
5 10 Leicester 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 3 6 10 6
6 14 Burton 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 1 4 1 10 9 7
7 15 Wycombe 6 2 4 1.7 2.0 1 3 2 10 12 6
8 5 Plymouth 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 0 3 8 7 9
9 6 Reading 6 3 3 2.5 1.0 4 1 1 15 6 13
10 8 Oxford 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 0 8 4 8
11 11 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
12 12 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 0 4 7 10 6
13 17 Blackpool 5 2 3 2.2 1.4 2 2 1 11 7 8
14 21 Peterboro 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
15 22 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
16 23 Bromley 5 2 3 0.6 2.6 1 1 3 3 13 4
17 7 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 2.4 0.6 2 2 1 12 3 8
18 13 Luton 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
19 18 Notts County 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 2 6 5 7
20 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
21 24 Wigan 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 2 0 3 4 8 6
22 3 Bradford 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
23 16 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 1 0.4 0.6 2 2 1 2 3 8
24 19 Doncaster 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Luton 5 0 5 2.4 2.6 2 0 3 12 13 6
2 7 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 3 1 1 8 7 10
3 8 Oxford 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
4 11 Mansfield 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
5 14 Burton 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7
6 16 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 0.8 2.5 1 1 4 5 15 4
7 22 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
8 2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
9 4 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
10 5 Plymouth 6 3 3 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
11 6 Reading 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 1 2 2 8 6 5
12 15 Wycombe 5 2 3 1.6 2.0 2 2 1 8 10 8
13 17 Blackpool 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
14 19 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
15 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 0 3 2 6 10 3
16 21 Peterboro 6 3 3 0.8 2.2 1 1 4 5 13 4
17 23 Bromley 5 2 3 1.2 2.4 1 1 3 6 12 4
18 1 Stockport 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 3 1 1 9 3 10
19 10 Leicester 5 3 2 2.0 1.0 2 3 0 10 5 9
20 24 Wigan 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 0 1 4 3 7 1
21 9 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 2 6 5 5
22 12 Leyton Orient 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 2 2 1 8 2 8
23 18 Notts County 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
24 3 Bradford 6 6 0 0.7 0.5 3 2 1 4 3 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38