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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: C Brook

Luton 2–1 Barnsley

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.49 fair 2.06
Draw 4.20 fair 4.30
Away 5.25 fair 3.56
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Barnsley
23 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
2.24 Expected goals (xG) 1.01
7 Corners 4
16 Fouls 19
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (114 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.89scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:17
Barnsley before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.00scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:17
Luton all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.00
1.89 Goals conceded 1.89
3.78 Total goals 2.89
1.62 xG created 1.45
1.17 xG allowed 1.60
14.67 Shots 17.89
4.67 Shots on target 5.22
11.67 Shots faced 12.78
6.22 Corners 8.22
4.00 Corners against 6.11
12.33 Fouls 13.56
1.89 Yellow cards 2.78
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.44
1.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

33% Wins 22%
22% Draws 22%
44% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
44% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 11%
22% Over 5.5 goals 11%
78% Both teams scored 67%
11% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 33%
33% Draws 44%
56% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 22%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Barnsley all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:4
Barnsley before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:7
Luton at home away Barnsley

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.75
2.25 Total goals 2.75
1.59 xG created 1.16
0.62 xG allowed 1.13
14.75 Shots 15.50
4.75 Shots on target 4.25
7.25 Shots faced 10.50
7.75 Corners 6.50
4.00 Corners against 5.75
12.00 Fouls 12.25
2.25 Yellow cards 2.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
75% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.502.10 1.70 2.10
10.10.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–4 (0–2) 2.573.402.45 1.67 2.15
19.09.26 Luton – Bradford 0–1 (0–1) 2.013.303.50 1.90 1.95
10.09.26 Stevenage – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.20 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Luton – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.004.50 1.60 2.30
02.09.26 Luton – Stockport 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
30.08.26 Mansfield – Luton 5–2 (3–0) 2.853.402.25 1.65 2.20
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Barnsley – Cambridge 1–2 (1–0) 2.353.502.65 1.62 2.25
10.10.26 Stockport – Barnsley 3–1 (0–1) 1.394.507.00 1.40 2.88
19.09.26 Barnsley – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.751.96 1.48 2.60
12.09.26 Plymouth – Barnsley 3–0 (2–0) 1.574.005.00 1.50 2.50
05.09.26 Barnsley – Stevenage 1–5 (1–1) 2.053.303.40 1.98 1.88
02.09.26 Barnsley – Blackpool 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 1.70 2.10
29.08.26 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.403.00 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Doncaster – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
15.08.26 Barnsley – Bromley 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.30 1.90 1.95
02.05.26 Barnsley – Stockport 1–3 (0–1) 3.404.201.81 1.53 2.40

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Luton – Bradford 0–1 (0–1) 2.013.303.50 1.90 1.95
05.09.26 Luton – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.004.50 1.60 2.30
02.09.26 Luton – Stockport 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
25.04.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50
15.04.26 Luton – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.60 2.30
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Stockport – Barnsley 3–1 (0–1) 1.394.507.00 1.40 2.88
12.09.26 Plymouth – Barnsley 3–0 (2–0) 1.574.005.00 1.50 2.50
29.08.26 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.403.00 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Doncaster – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
28.04.26 Northampton – Barnsley 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.752.10 1.62 2.25
25.04.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50
21.04.26 Stevenage – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.50 2.15 1.67
14.04.26 Port Vale – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.45 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 Rotherham – Barnsley 1–3 (0–1) 2.403.502.57 1.73 2.08
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsBarnsley wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26E2 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50
22.11.25E2 Barnsley – Luton 5–0 (3–0) 3.053.402.15 1.75 2.05
08.02.22E1 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
17.08.21E1 Barnsley – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 10 6 2 2 10 5 +5 20
2 Stockport 10 6 1 3 21 11 +10 19
3 Huddersfield 10 5 4 1 18 9 +9 19
4 Plymouth 11 6 1 4 18 14 +4 19
5 Cambridge 10 5 4 1 16 12 +4 19
6 Sheffield Weds 9 5 3 1 20 8 +12 18
7 Reading 10 4 3 3 22 12 +10 15
8 Oxford 8 4 3 1 16 9 +7 15
9 Leyton Orient 10 4 2 4 15 11 +4 14
10 Burton 11 3 4 4 16 18 -2 13
11 Wycombe 10 3 4 3 16 20 -4 13
12 Stevenage 9 3 3 3 12 10 +2 12
13 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 13 15 -2 12
14 Leicester 9 3 3 3 12 15 -3 12
15 AFC Wimbledon 10 3 3 4 7 15 -8 12
16 Luton 9 3 2 4 17 17 0 11
17 Doncaster 9 2 3 4 10 11 -1 9
18 Milton Keynes Dons 9 1 6 2 11 16 -5 9
19 Peterboro 10 2 3 5 9 16 -7 9
20 Blackpool 9 2 2 5 13 16 -3 8
21 Barnsley 9 2 2 5 9 17 -8 8
22 Bromley 9 2 2 5 9 21 -12 8
23 Notts County 9 1 4 4 8 13 -5 7
24 Wigan 9 2 1 6 6 13 -7 7
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 6 4 0 2 14 8 +6 12
2 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
3 Reading 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10
4 Bradford 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
5 Cambridge 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
6 Plymouth 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9
7 Sheffield Weds 5 2 2 1 12 3 +9 8
8 Huddersfield 4 2 2 0 9 4 +5 8
9 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
10 Stevenage 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
11 Burton 5 1 3 1 10 9 +1 6
12 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 10 12 -2 6
13 Leyton Orient 6 2 0 4 7 10 -3 6
14 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
15 Leicester 5 2 0 3 6 10 -4 6
16 Wigan 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6
17 Oxford 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
18 Blackpool 4 1 2 1 9 7 +2 5
19 Luton 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
20 Doncaster 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
21 Peterboro 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
22 Notts County 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
23 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
24 Bromley 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
2 Oxford 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
3 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 10 7 +3 10
4 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 0 8 5 +3 10
5 Bradford 5 3 1 1 4 3 +1 10
6 Cambridge 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
7 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 0 8 1 +7 8
8 Stockport 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
9 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 6 8 -2 7
10 Burton 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7
11 Leicester 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
12 Luton 5 2 0 3 12 13 -1 6
13 Reading 5 1 2 2 8 6 +2 5
14 Stevenage 5 1 2 2 6 5 +1 5
15 Doncaster 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
16 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
17 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
18 Bromley 5 1 1 3 6 12 -6 4
19 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 1 4 5 15 -10 4
20 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
21 Notts County 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
22 Blackpool 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Wigan 4 0 1 3 2 5 -3 1
24 Mansfield 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1

Luton   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Burton 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 3 4 4 16 18 13
2 2 Stockport 10 4 6 2.1 1.1 6 1 3 21 11 19
3 3 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 0.9 5 4 1 18 9 19
4 5 Cambridge 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 5 4 1 16 12 19
5 6 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 2.2 0.9 5 3 1 20 8 18
6 7 Reading 10 4 6 2.2 1.2 4 3 3 22 12 15
7 8 Oxford 8 2 6 2.0 1.1 4 3 1 16 9 15
8 11 Wycombe 10 4 6 1.6 2.0 3 4 3 16 20 13
9 13 Mansfield 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 3 3 3 13 15 12
10 16 Luton 9 3 6 1.9 1.9 3 2 4 17 17 11
11 20 Blackpool 9 3 6 1.4 1.8 2 2 5 13 16 8
12 21 Barnsley 9 3 6 1.0 1.9 2 2 5 9 17 8
13 4 Plymouth 11 6 5 1.6 1.3 6 1 4 18 14 19
14 14 Leicester 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 3 3 3 12 15 12
15 18 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 1 6 2 11 16 9
16 19 Peterboro 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 5 9 16 9
17 22 Bromley 9 4 5 1.0 2.3 2 2 5 9 21 8
18 9 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 4 2 4 15 11 14
19 12 Stevenage 9 5 4 1.3 1.1 3 3 3 12 10 12
20 15 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 3 3 4 7 15 12
21 17 Doncaster 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 4 10 11 9
22 23 Notts County 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 4 8 13 7
23 24 Wigan 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 1 6 6 13 7
24 1 Bradford 10 9 1 1.0 0.5 6 2 2 10 5 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Stockport 6 2 4 2.3 1.3 4 0 2 14 8 12
2 10 Burton 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 1 3 1 10 9 6
3 11 Wycombe 6 2 4 1.7 2.0 1 3 2 10 12 6
4 14 Leicester 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 3 6 10 6
5 3 Huddersfield 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 2 2 0 9 4 8
6 4 Plymouth 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 0 3 8 7 9
7 5 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
8 7 Reading 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10
9 9 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 0 4 7 10 6
10 12 Stevenage 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
11 13 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
12 19 Peterboro 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
13 20 Blackpool 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 1 2 1 9 7 5
14 21 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
15 6 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 2.4 0.6 2 2 1 12 3 8
16 8 Oxford 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
17 18 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
18 22 Bromley 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
19 23 Notts County 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
20 24 Wigan 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 2 0 3 4 8 6
21 1 Bradford 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
22 16 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
23 17 Doncaster 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
24 15 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Luton 5 0 5 2.4 2.6 2 0 3 12 13 6
2 6 Sheffield Weds 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 0 8 5 10
3 8 Oxford 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
4 10 Burton 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7
5 15 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 0.8 2.5 1 1 4 5 15 4
6 3 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
7 5 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
8 7 Reading 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 1 2 2 8 6 5
9 13 Mansfield 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
10 17 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
11 18 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
12 20 Blackpool 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
13 21 Barnsley 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
14 22 Bromley 5 2 3 1.2 2.4 1 1 3 6 12 4
15 2 Stockport 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
16 4 Plymouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.4 3 1 1 10 7 10
17 11 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 1 1 6 8 7
18 19 Peterboro 5 3 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
19 9 Leyton Orient 4 3 1 2.0 0.2 2 2 0 8 1 8
20 12 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 2 6 5 5
21 14 Leicester 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
22 23 Notts County 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
23 24 Wigan 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 1 3 2 5 1
24 1 Bradford 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 3 1 1 4 3 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38