Cheltenham 3–2 Carlisle – England League Two, 26 Apr 2025

Match facts

Cheltenham Carlisle

21 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 7

10 Fouls 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (531 league matches this season so far).

Result Cheltenham to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.07

Home / Draw / Away

49% 25% 26%

CheltenhamDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 1–0 11.2% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cheltenham before this match, all matches

1.30points / match

1.30scored / match

1.48conceded / match

15 12 17

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 57:65

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.91scored / match

1.50conceded / match

10 11 23

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 40:66

Cheltenham all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.91

1.48 Goals conceded 1.50

2.77 Total goals 2.41

10.18 Shots 11.48

3.50 Shots on target 3.68

13.50 Shots faced 12.73

4.16 Corners 5.11

5.68 Corners against 5.07

11.64 Fouls 11.09

1.52 Yellow cards 2.61

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.48

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

34% Wins 23%

27% Draws 25%

39% Losses 52%

95% Over 0.5 goals 89%

80% Over 1.5 goals 66%

50% Over 2.5 goals 45%

25% Over 3.5 goals 23%

18% Over 4.5 goals 16%

5% Over 5.5 goals 2%

59% Both teams scored 50%

18% Clean sheets 23%

27% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 23%

48% Draws 41%

32% Losses 36%

68% Over 0.5 goals 70%

25% Over 1.5 goals 30%

9% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham all matches

1

L

2

1

W

3

D

1

L

2

L

2

L

2

L

3

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

Carlisle all matches

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

W

3

2

W

1

D

Cheltenham before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.32scored / match

1.32conceded / match

9 6 7

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 29:29

Carlisle before this match, away

0.86points / match

0.77scored / match

1.50conceded / match

5 4 13

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 17:33

Cheltenham at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 0.77

1.32 Goals conceded 1.50

2.64 Total goals 2.27

11.91 Shots 10.36

4.09 Shots on target 3.36

12.73 Shots faced 14.55

4.05 Corners 4.50

5.86 Corners against 5.95

11.00 Fouls 11.41

1.36 Yellow cards 2.68

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

41% Wins 23%

27% Draws 18%

32% Losses 59%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 64%

36% Over 2.5 goals 45%

23% Over 3.5 goals 18%

18% Over 4.5 goals 9%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

59% Both teams scored 41%

18% Clean sheets 27%

23% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 23%

55% Draws 41%

32% Losses 36%

59% Over 0.5 goals 64%

23% Over 1.5 goals 14%

9% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham at home

3

5

L

2

1

W

1

W

3

2

W

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

L

2

L

1

D

Carlisle away

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

3

L

1

2

L

2

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Cheltenham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Notts County – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.33	6.25	1.62	2.20
18.04.25	Cheltenham – Gillingham	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.10	2.63	2.20	1.65
10.04.25	Crewe – Cheltenham	2–3 (1–1)	1.66	3.50	5.00	2.05	1.75
05.04.25	Cheltenham – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	4.75	3.70	1.70	1.98	1.88
01.04.25	Morecambe – Cheltenham	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.85
28.03.25	Tranmere – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	2.05	1.75
22.03.25	Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.20	1.98	1.88
15.03.25	Swindon – Cheltenham	3–3 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.95	1.90
11.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–1)	1.70	3.50	5.00	2.20	1.65
08.03.25	Cheltenham – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.35	1.57

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Accrington – Carlisle	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.10	2.08	1.73
18.04.25	Carlisle – Port Vale	3–2 (2–0)	3.40	3.25	2.10	2.08	1.73
12.04.25	Morecambe – Carlisle	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.75	2.75	1.95	1.90
05.04.25	Carlisle – Newport County	3–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.20	1.85	2.00
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
25.03.25	Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–2)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.00	1.85
22.03.25	Carlisle – Bromley	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
15.03.25	Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.60	1.48
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62

Cheltenham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Cheltenham – Gillingham	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.10	2.63	2.20	1.65
05.04.25	Cheltenham – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	4.75	3.70	1.70	1.98	1.88
22.03.25	Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.20	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Cheltenham – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.35	1.57
01.03.25	Cheltenham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
25.02.25	Cheltenham – Walsall	2–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.05	1.72
15.02.25	Cheltenham – Barrow	3–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.10	3.00	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Cheltenham – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.25	1.95	1.90
25.01.25	Cheltenham – Salford	2–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.15	1.63
29.12.24	Cheltenham – Notts County	3–5 (1–2)	2.90	3.30	2.20	1.88	1.98

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Accrington – Carlisle	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.10	2.08	1.73
12.04.25	Morecambe – Carlisle	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.75	2.75	1.95	1.90
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Cheltenham winsDrawsCarlisle wins

3matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.10.24E3	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	3.70	1.93	1.93
09.04.24E2	Cheltenham – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.75	5.00	1.98	1.88
23.12.23E2	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	45	23	12	10	71	49	+22	81
2	Port Vale	45	22	14	9	65	45	+20	80
3	Bradford	45	21	12	12	63	45	+18	75
4	Walsall	44	20	14	10	74	53	+21	74
5	Notts County	45	20	12	13	67	47	+20	72
6	AFC Wimbledon	45	19	13	13	55	35	+20	70
7	Grimsby	44	20	7	17	61	66	-5	67
8	Colchester	44	16	18	10	51	43	+8	66
9	Salford	44	17	14	13	58	51	+7	65
10	Chesterfield	44	17	13	14	68	53	+15	64
11	Crewe	44	15	17	12	49	45	+4	62
12	Bromley	44	16	14	14	58	56	+2	62
13	Swindon	44	15	15	14	70	62	+8	60
14	Barrow	44	15	12	17	49	47	+2	57
15	Fleetwood Town	44	14	15	15	58	59	-1	57
16	Cheltenham	44	15	12	17	57	65	-8	57
17	Gillingham	44	13	15	16	39	45	-6	54
18	Milton Keynes Dons	44	14	8	22	52	66	-14	50
19	Harrogate	45	13	11	21	41	60	-19	50
20	Newport County	44	13	10	21	51	70	-19	49
21	Accrington	44	11	14	19	52	68	-16	47
22	Tranmere	44	10	15	19	39	64	-25	45
23	Carlisle	44	10	11	23	40	66	-26	41
24	Morecambe	44	10	6	28	38	66	-28	36

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	22	16	4	2	38	13	+25	52
2	AFC Wimbledon	23	13	5	5	35	16	+19	44
3	Port Vale	22	12	7	3	34	17	+17	43
4	Doncaster	23	12	7	4	38	23	+15	43
5	Walsall	22	12	6	4	46	31	+15	42
6	Colchester	22	10	7	5	28	15	+13	37
7	Chesterfield	22	9	10	3	37	26	+11	37
8	Barrow	22	10	6	6	31	19	+12	36
9	Notts County	22	10	5	7	30	19	+11	35
10	Newport County	22	10	5	7	31	28	+3	35
11	Swindon	22	9	7	6	39	33	+6	34
12	Gillingham	22	10	4	8	23	19	+4	34
13	Harrogate	23	10	4	9	26	31	-5	34
14	Crewe	22	9	6	7	30	26	+4	33
15	Cheltenham	22	9	6	7	29	29	0	33
16	Grimsby	22	10	3	9	30	34	-4	33
17	Salford	22	9	5	8	28	27	+1	32
18	Bromley	22	8	7	7	32	26	+6	31
19	Fleetwood Town	22	6	12	4	22	21	+1	30
20	Tranmere	22	7	9	6	22	22	0	30
21	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	5	9	25	25	0	29
22	Accrington	22	5	11	6	29	30	-1	26
23	Carlisle	22	5	7	10	23	33	-10	22
24	Morecambe	22	6	4	12	23	34	-11	22

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	22	11	5	6	33	26	+7	38
2	Notts County	23	10	7	6	37	28	+9	37
3	Port Vale	23	10	7	6	31	28	+3	37
4	Grimsby	22	10	4	8	31	32	-1	34
5	Salford	22	8	9	5	30	24	+6	33
6	Walsall	22	8	8	6	28	22	+6	32
7	Bromley	22	8	7	7	26	30	-4	31
8	Crewe	22	6	11	5	19	19	0	29
9	Colchester	22	6	11	5	23	28	-5	29
10	Chesterfield	22	8	3	11	31	27	+4	27
11	Fleetwood Town	22	8	3	11	36	38	-2	27
12	Swindon	22	6	8	8	31	29	+2	26
13	AFC Wimbledon	22	6	8	8	20	19	+1	26
14	Cheltenham	22	6	6	10	28	36	-8	24
15	Bradford	23	5	8	10	25	32	-7	23
16	Barrow	22	5	6	11	18	28	-10	21
17	Milton Keynes Dons	22	6	3	13	27	41	-14	21
18	Accrington	22	6	3	13	23	38	-15	21
19	Gillingham	22	3	11	8	16	26	-10	20
20	Carlisle	22	5	4	13	17	33	-16	19
21	Harrogate	22	3	7	12	15	29	-14	16
22	Tranmere	22	3	6	13	17	42	-25	15
23	Morecambe	22	4	2	16	15	32	-17	14
24	Newport County	22	3	5	14	20	42	-22	14

Cheltenham Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Grimsby	44	17	27	1.4	1.5	20	7	17	61	66	67
2	10	Chesterfield	44	19	25	1.5	1.2	17	13	14	68	53	64
3	13	Swindon	44	19	25	1.6	1.4	15	15	14	70	62	60
4	20	Newport County	44	19	25	1.2	1.6	13	10	21	51	70	49
5	1	Doncaster	45	21	24	1.6	1.1	23	12	10	71	49	81
6	21	Accrington	44	20	24	1.2	1.5	11	14	19	52	68	47
7	4	Walsall	44	21	23	1.7	1.2	20	14	10	74	53	74
8	18	Milton Keynes Dons	44	21	23	1.2	1.5	14	8	22	52	66	50
9	15	Fleetwood Town	44	22	22	1.3	1.3	14	15	15	58	59	57
10	16	Cheltenham	44	22	22	1.3	1.5	15	12	17	57	65	57
11	3	Bradford	45	24	21	1.4	1.0	21	12	12	63	45	75
12	2	Port Vale	45	25	20	1.4	1.0	22	14	9	65	45	80
13	5	Notts County	45	25	20	1.5	1.0	20	12	13	67	47	72
14	9	Salford	44	24	20	1.3	1.2	17	14	13	58	51	65
15	23	Carlisle	44	24	20	0.9	1.5	10	11	23	40	66	41
16	12	Bromley	44	25	19	1.3	1.3	16	14	14	58	56	62
17	22	Tranmere	44	25	19	0.9	1.5	10	15	19	39	64	45
18	19	Harrogate	45	27	18	0.9	1.3	13	11	21	41	60	50
19	14	Barrow	44	28	16	1.1	1.1	15	12	17	49	47	57
20	24	Morecambe	44	28	16	0.9	1.5	10	6	28	38	66	36
21	6	AFC Wimbledon	45	30	15	1.2	0.8	19	13	13	55	35	70
22	8	Colchester	44	29	15	1.2	1.0	16	18	10	51	43	66
23	11	Crewe	44	30	14	1.1	1.0	15	17	12	49	45	62
24	17	Gillingham	44	31	13	0.9	1.0	13	15	16	39	45	54

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Doncaster	23	9	14	1.7	1.0	12	7	4	38	23	43
2	4	Walsall	22	8	14	2.1	1.4	12	6	4	46	31	42
3	13	Swindon	22	8	14	1.8	1.5	9	7	6	39	33	34
4	7	Grimsby	22	9	13	1.4	1.5	10	3	9	30	34	33
5	10	Chesterfield	22	9	13	1.7	1.2	9	10	3	37	26	37
6	20	Newport County	22	9	13	1.4	1.3	10	5	7	31	28	35
7	3	Bradford	22	11	11	1.7	0.6	16	4	2	38	13	52
8	21	Accrington	22	11	11	1.3	1.4	5	11	6	29	30	26
9	2	Port Vale	22	12	10	1.5	0.8	12	7	3	34	17	43
10	5	Notts County	22	12	10	1.4	0.9	10	5	7	30	19	35
11	9	Salford	22	12	10	1.3	1.2	9	5	8	28	27	32
12	18	Milton Keynes Dons	22	12	10	1.1	1.1	8	5	9	25	25	29
13	19	Harrogate	23	13	10	1.1	1.3	10	4	9	26	31	34
14	23	Carlisle	22	12	10	1.0	1.5	5	7	10	23	33	22
15	6	AFC Wimbledon	23	14	9	1.5	0.7	13	5	5	35	16	44
16	11	Crewe	22	13	9	1.4	1.2	9	6	7	30	26	33
17	12	Bromley	22	13	9	1.5	1.2	8	7	7	32	26	31
18	8	Colchester	22	14	8	1.3	0.7	10	7	5	28	15	37
19	14	Barrow	22	14	8	1.4	0.9	10	6	6	31	19	36
20	16	Cheltenham	22	14	8	1.3	1.3	9	6	7	29	29	33
21	17	Gillingham	22	14	8	1.0	0.9	10	4	8	23	19	34
22	15	Fleetwood Town	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	6	12	4	22	21	30
23	22	Tranmere	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	7	9	6	22	22	30
24	24	Morecambe	22	15	7	1.0	1.5	6	4	12	23	34	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Fleetwood Town	22	7	15	1.6	1.7	8	3	11	36	38	27
2	7	Grimsby	22	8	14	1.4	1.5	10	4	8	31	32	34
3	16	Cheltenham	22	8	14	1.3	1.6	6	6	10	28	36	24
4	18	Milton Keynes Dons	22	9	13	1.2	1.9	6	3	13	27	41	21
5	21	Accrington	22	9	13	1.0	1.7	6	3	13	23	38	21
6	10	Chesterfield	22	10	12	1.4	1.2	8	3	11	31	27	27
7	20	Newport County	22	10	12	0.9	1.9	3	5	14	20	42	14
8	22	Tranmere	22	10	12	0.8	1.9	3	6	13	17	42	15
9	13	Swindon	22	11	11	1.4	1.3	6	8	8	31	29	26
10	1	Doncaster	22	12	10	1.5	1.2	11	5	6	33	26	38
11	2	Port Vale	23	13	10	1.3	1.2	10	7	6	31	28	37
12	3	Bradford	23	13	10	1.1	1.4	5	8	10	25	32	23
13	5	Notts County	23	13	10	1.6	1.2	10	7	6	37	28	37
14	9	Salford	22	12	10	1.4	1.1	8	9	5	30	24	33
15	12	Bromley	22	12	10	1.2	1.4	8	7	7	26	30	31
16	23	Carlisle	22	12	10	0.8	1.5	5	4	13	17	33	19
17	4	Walsall	22	13	9	1.3	1.0	8	8	6	28	22	32
18	24	Morecambe	22	13	9	0.7	1.5	4	2	16	15	32	14
19	14	Barrow	22	14	8	0.8	1.3	5	6	11	18	28	21
20	19	Harrogate	22	14	8	0.7	1.3	3	7	12	15	29	16
21	8	Colchester	22	15	7	1.0	1.3	6	11	5	23	28	29
22	6	AFC Wimbledon	22	16	6	0.9	0.9	6	8	8	20	19	26
23	11	Crewe	22	17	5	0.9	0.9	6	11	5	19	19	29
24	17	Gillingham	22	17	5	0.7	1.2	3	11	8	16	26	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.