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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Luton 1–2 Man City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 17.00 fair 3.38
Draw 8.00 fair 4.45
Away ✓ 1.14 fair 2.08
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Man City
4 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.87
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 1–2 9.2% 2–1 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
1.07scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:30
Man City before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.40scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 36:17
Luton all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 2.40
2.00 Goals conceded 1.13
3.07 Total goals 3.53
10.73 Shots 15.60
2.67 Shots on target 6.60
17.60 Shots faced 8.53
5.00 Corners 6.60
5.87 Corners against 4.00
11.60 Fouls 9.40
2.00 Yellow cards 1.87
0.20 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

13% Wins 60%
20% Draws 20%
67% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
13% Over 4.5 goals 27%
7% Over 5.5 goals 27%
73% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 60%
53% Draws 27%
40% Losses 13%
47% Over 0.5 goals 80%
13% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Man City all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.71points / match
1.29scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:12
Man City before this match, away
1.63points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:10
Luton at home away Man City

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 2.00
1.71 Goals conceded 1.25
3.00 Total goals 3.25
12.57 Shots 17.63
3.14 Shots on target 7.88
14.86 Shots faced 9.88
6.00 Corners 6.63
5.57 Corners against 4.00
12.29 Fouls 9.00
2.29 Yellow cards 1.88
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

14% Wins 50%
29% Draws 13%
57% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 75%
57% Over 2.5 goals 75%
14% Over 3.5 goals 25%
14% Over 4.5 goals 13%
14% Over 5.5 goals 13%
86% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 25%
14% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
57% Draws 50%
43% Losses 25%
43% Over 0.5 goals 63%
14% Over 1.5 goals 25%
14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23E1 Luton – Blackpool 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.007.00 2.00 1.80

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Sheffield United – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 13.008.001.17 1.57 2.38
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Brentford – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.62 2.30
24.05.23 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36 15 +21 37
2 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33 15 +18 36
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35 20 +15 35
4 Man City 15 9 3 3 36 17 +19 30
5 Tottenham 15 8 3 4 29 22 +7 27
6 Man United 16 9 0 7 18 21 -3 27
7 Newcastle 15 8 2 5 32 17 +15 26
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33 28 +5 26
9 West Ham 15 7 3 5 26 25 +1 24
10 Everton 15 6 2 7 18 20 -2 20
11 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 24 +2 19
12 Brentford 16 5 4 7 23 22 +1 19
13 Wolves 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
14 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21 30 -9 19
15 Fulham 15 5 3 7 21 26 -5 18
16 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15 23 -8 16
17 Nott'm Forest 16 3 5 8 17 28 -11 14
18 Luton 15 2 3 10 16 30 -14 9
19 Burnley 16 2 2 12 16 34 -18 8
20 Sheffield United 16 2 2 12 12 41 -29 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 8 8 0 0 25 5 +20 24
2 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21
3 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21
4 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
5 Man City 7 5 2 0 20 7 +13 17
6 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16
7 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15
8 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
9 Fulham 7 4 0 3 12 9 +3 12
10 Tottenham 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
11 Wolves 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
12 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11
13 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9
14 Chelsea 8 2 3 3 13 13 0 9
15 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
16 Everton 8 2 1 5 8 9 -1 7
17 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7
18 Luton 7 1 2 4 9 12 -3 5
19 Crystal Palace 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16
2 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
3 Tottenham 8 4 3 1 18 12 +6 15
4 Man City 8 4 1 3 16 10 +6 13
5 West Ham 8 4 1 3 14 15 -1 13
6 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13
7 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11
10 Chelsea 7 3 1 3 13 11 +2 10
11 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10
12 Bournemouth 8 3 1 4 13 18 -5 10
13 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
14 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
15 Fulham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6
16 Newcastle 7 1 2 4 13 13 0 5
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1

Luton   Man City

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 2.1 1.8 7 5 4 33 28 26
2 1 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 11 4 1 36 15 37
3 3 Aston Villa 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 11 2 3 35 20 35
4 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 8 3 4 29 22 27
5 9 West Ham 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 7 3 5 26 25 24
6 14 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 5 4 7 21 30 19
7 20 Sheffield United 16 5 11 0.8 2.6 2 2 12 12 41 8
8 2 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 11 3 2 33 15 36
9 4 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 1.1 9 3 3 36 17 30
10 12 Brentford 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 22 19
11 13 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
12 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 3 10 16 30 9
13 19 Burnley 16 6 10 1.0 2.1 2 2 12 16 34 8
14 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.1 1.3 9 0 7 18 21 27
15 7 Newcastle 15 6 9 2.1 1.1 8 2 5 32 17 26
16 11 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 5 4 6 26 24 19
17 10 Everton 15 7 8 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 20 20
18 15 Fulham 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 5 3 7 21 26 18
19 17 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 3 5 8 17 28 14
20 16 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 8 15 23 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 1 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21
3 3 Aston Villa 8 2 6 3.1 0.6 8 0 0 25 5 24
4 6 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15
5 8 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16
6 12 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
7 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3
8 20 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7
9 5 Tottenham 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
10 13 Wolves 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
11 4 Man City 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 5 2 0 20 7 17
12 7 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21
13 9 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11
14 10 Everton 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 2 1 5 8 9 7
15 11 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 3 13 13 9
16 14 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
17 15 Fulham 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 3 12 9 12
18 16 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 1 2 5 7 12 5
19 18 Luton 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 2 4 9 12 5
20 17 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 West Ham 8 1 7 1.8 1.9 4 1 3 14 15 13
2 14 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.6 2.2 3 1 4 13 18 10
3 4 Man City 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 4 1 3 16 10 13
4 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 4 3 1 18 12 15
5 8 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10
6 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
7 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
8 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11
9 7 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.9 1.9 1 2 4 13 13 5
10 11 Chelsea 7 2 5 1.9 1.6 3 1 3 13 11 10
11 13 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
12 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5
13 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1
14 10 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13
15 12 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
16 15 Fulham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6
17 19 Burnley 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
18 2 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16
19 6 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12
20 16 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51