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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Man City 3–1 Man United

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.75
Draw 5.75 fair 4.63
Away 11.00 fair 4.68
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Man United
27 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
15 Corners 2
5 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (266 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.27points / match
2.27scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 59:26
Man United before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 36:36
Man City all matches all matches Man United

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded 1.38
3.27 Total goals 2.77
18.00 Shots 14.77
7.00 Shots on target 4.92
8.08 Shots faced 16.04
7.54 Corners 6.46
3.69 Corners against 6.69
8.23 Fouls 10.42
1.62 Yellow cards 2.42
0.96 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

69% Wins 54%
19% Draws 8%
12% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
81% Over 1.5 goals 73%
62% Over 2.5 goals 65%
38% Over 3.5 goals 23%
19% Over 4.5 goals 12%
15% Over 5.5 goals 4%
62% Both teams scored 50%
31% Clean sheets 27%
8% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 27%
27% Draws 46%
23% Losses 27%
81% Over 0.5 goals 65%
38% Over 1.5 goals 31%
19% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Man United all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.38points / match
2.38scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 31:11
Man United before this match, away
1.69points / match
1.31scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:16
Man City at home away Man United

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 1.31
0.85 Goals conceded 1.23
3.23 Total goals 2.54
16.85 Shots 13.23
5.54 Shots on target 4.46
6.62 Shots faced 18.23
7.85 Corners 4.46
2.77 Corners against 7.31
8.77 Fouls 11.15
1.54 Yellow cards 2.77
1.31 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.23

How often Full Time

69% Wins 54%
31% Draws 8%
0% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 69%
46% Over 2.5 goals 54%
38% Over 3.5 goals 15%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
23% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 46%
38% Clean sheets 31%
0% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

77% Wins 38%
15% Draws 62%
8% Losses 0%
85% Over 0.5 goals 54%
46% Over 1.5 goals 31%
23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
13.01.24 Newcastle – Man City 2–3 (2–1) 5.504.331.55 1.60 2.30
30.12.23 Man City – Sheffield United 2–0 (1–0) 1.0811.0029.00 1.30 3.50
27.12.23 Everton – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 5.754.001.57 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Man United – Fulham 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.35
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
04.02.24 Man United – West Ham 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.60 2.30
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
14.01.24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.48 2.60
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23 Man City – Sheffield United 2–0 (1–0) 1.0811.0029.00 1.30 3.50
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05
04.11.23 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Sheffield United – Man United 1–2 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsMan United wins
5matches
4.40goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23E0 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
14.01.23E0 Man United – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.73 2.10
02.10.22E0 Man City – Man United 6–3 (4–0) 1.335.757.50 1.44 2.75
06.03.22E0 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30
06.11.21E0 Man United – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 27 19 6 2 64 25 +39 63 WLWWWW
2 Man City 26 18 5 3 59 26 +33 59 WWWDWW
3 Arsenal 26 18 4 4 62 23 +39 58 WWWWWW
4 Aston Villa 27 17 4 6 59 37 +22 55 LWLWWW
5 Tottenham 26 15 5 6 55 39 +16 50 DWDWLW
6 Man United 26 14 2 10 36 36 0 44 DWWWWL
7 West Ham 27 12 6 9 43 47 -4 42 DLLLWW
8 Newcastle 27 12 4 11 57 45 +12 40 WDWDLW
9 Brighton 27 10 9 8 49 44 +5 39 LWLWDL
10 Wolves 27 11 5 11 40 43 -3 38 LWLWWL
11 Chelsea 26 10 6 10 44 43 +1 36 WLLWDD
12 Fulham 27 10 5 12 39 42 -3 35 DDWLWW
13 Everton 27 8 7 12 29 37 -8 31 DDLDDL
14 Bournemouth 26 8 7 11 35 47 -12 31 DDLDLW
15 Crystal Palace 27 7 7 13 32 47 -15 28 WLLDWL
16 Brentford 27 7 5 15 39 50 -11 26 LWLLLD
17 Nott'm Forest 27 6 6 15 34 49 -15 24 LDLWLL
18 Luton 26 5 5 16 37 54 -17 20 WDLLLL
19 Burnley 27 3 4 20 25 60 -35 13 LDLLLL
20 Sheffield United 26 3 4 19 22 66 -44 13 DLLWLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 13 11 2 0 37 11 +26 35 DDWWWW
2 Arsenal 13 10 2 1 34 12 +22 32 WWLWWW
3 Aston Villa 13 10 1 2 35 15 +20 31 WDWLLW
4 Man City 13 9 4 0 31 11 +20 31 DWWWDW
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 19 +10 30 WWWWLW
6 Newcastle 14 9 2 3 34 16 +18 29 WLLDDW
7 Fulham 14 8 1 5 26 15 +11 25 LWDWLW
8 Brighton 13 6 6 1 27 16 +11 24 WDWDWD
9 West Ham 13 6 4 3 22 19 +3 22 WWDDLW
10 Man United 13 7 1 5 19 20 -1 22 WLWDWL
11 Wolves 13 6 3 4 20 20 0 21 DWWLLW
12 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18 DWWWWL
13 Brentford 14 4 4 6 24 29 -5 16 LLWLLD
14 Crystal Palace 13 4 3 6 18 19 -1 15 LDWWLW
15 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 19 21 -2 15 LWLLWL
16 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13 WLDDDL
17 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13 WDWLDL
18 Luton 14 3 2 9 21 25 -4 11 WLWLLL
19 Sheffield United 13 2 2 9 12 36 -24 8 LWLDLL
20 Burnley 14 1 2 11 13 34 -21 5 LLDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 13 9 1 3 28 15 +13 28 LWWWWW
2 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28 WWWLWW
3 Arsenal 13 8 2 3 28 11 +17 26 LDLWWW
4 Aston Villa 14 7 3 4 24 22 +2 24 WLDWWW
5 Man United 13 7 1 5 17 16 +1 22 DLLWWW
6 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20 LDWLDD
7 West Ham 14 6 2 6 21 28 -7 20 LWDLLW
8 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18 LWLWDD
9 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 19 -5 18 WLLDLD
10 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18 WLDLDW
11 Wolves 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17 LWDWWL
12 Brighton 14 4 3 7 22 28 -6 15 DDLLWL
13 Crystal Palace 14 3 4 7 14 28 -14 13 DLLLDL
14 Newcastle 13 3 2 8 23 29 -6 11 LLLWWL
15 Brentford 13 3 1 9 15 21 -6 10 LLLWLL
16 Fulham 13 2 4 7 13 27 -14 10 LLLLDW
17 Luton 12 2 3 7 16 29 -13 9 LLWDDL
18 Nott'm Forest 13 2 3 8 15 28 -13 9 LDWLDL
19 Burnley 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8 DWLLLL
20 Sheffield United 13 1 2 10 10 30 -20 5 LDLLWL

Man City   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 26 5 21 2.1 1.5 15 5 6 55 39 50 OOOOOO
2 4 Aston Villa 27 7 20 2.2 1.4 17 4 6 59 37 55 OOOOOO
3 8 Newcastle 27 7 20 2.1 1.7 12 4 11 57 45 40 OOOOOO
4 16 Brentford 27 8 19 1.4 1.9 7 5 15 39 50 26 OUOUOO
5 18 Luton 26 7 19 1.4 2.1 5 5 16 37 54 20 OOOOOO
6 1 Liverpool 27 9 18 2.4 0.9 19 6 2 64 25 63 OOOOOU
7 7 West Ham 27 9 18 1.6 1.7 12 6 9 43 47 42 UOOUOO
8 9 Brighton 27 9 18 1.8 1.6 10 9 8 49 44 39 OOOOUO
9 10 Wolves 27 9 18 1.5 1.6 11 5 11 40 43 38 OOUOUO
10 3 Arsenal 26 9 17 2.4 0.9 18 4 4 62 23 58 OOOOOO
11 6 Man United 26 9 17 1.4 1.4 14 2 10 36 36 44 OOOOOO
12 12 Fulham 27 10 17 1.4 1.6 10 5 12 39 42 35 UOOOOO
13 14 Bournemouth 26 9 17 1.3 1.8 8 7 11 35 47 31 UUOOUU
14 20 Sheffield United 26 9 17 0.8 2.5 3 4 19 22 66 13 OOOOOU
15 2 Man City 26 10 16 2.3 1.0 18 5 3 59 26 59 OOUUUU
16 11 Chelsea 26 10 16 1.7 1.7 10 6 10 44 43 36 UOOOUO
17 15 Crystal Palace 27 11 16 1.2 1.7 7 7 13 32 47 28 OOOUOO
18 19 Burnley 27 11 16 0.9 2.2 3 4 20 25 60 13 OOOOOU
19 17 Nott'm Forest 27 12 15 1.3 1.8 6 6 15 34 49 24 OUOUOU
20 13 Everton 27 14 13 1.1 1.4 8 7 12 29 37 31 UOUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 14 2 12 2.1 1.4 10 0 4 29 19 30 OOOOOO
2 16 Brentford 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 4 6 24 29 16 OOOOOO
3 1 Liverpool 13 3 10 2.8 0.8 11 2 0 37 11 35 UUOOOO
4 3 Arsenal 13 3 10 2.6 0.9 10 2 1 34 12 32 OUUOOO
5 4 Aston Villa 13 3 10 2.7 1.2 10 1 2 35 15 31 UUOOOO
6 6 Man United 13 3 10 1.5 1.5 7 1 5 19 20 22 OOOOOO
7 8 Newcastle 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 9 2 3 34 16 29 OOOOOO
8 18 Luton 14 4 10 1.5 1.8 3 2 9 21 25 11 UOOOOO
9 20 Sheffield United 13 3 10 0.9 2.8 2 2 9 12 36 8 UUOOOO
10 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 1 5 26 15 25 UOUOOO
11 9 Brighton 13 5 8 2.1 1.2 6 6 1 27 16 24 OUOUOU
12 10 Wolves 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 6 3 4 20 20 21 UOOOUU
13 15 Crystal Palace 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 4 3 6 18 19 15 OUOOOO
14 19 Burnley 14 6 8 0.9 2.4 1 2 11 13 34 5 UUUOOU
15 7 West Ham 13 6 7 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 19 22 OUUUOO
16 13 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13 UOUOUO
17 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 7 19 21 15 OOOOUU
18 2 Man City 13 7 6 2.4 0.8 9 4 0 31 11 31 OUOUUU
19 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18 OOUOUO
20 14 Bournemouth 12 6 6 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13 UOOOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 West Ham 14 3 11 1.5 2.0 6 2 6 21 28 20 OUOOUO
2 14 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18 OOUOOU
3 2 Man City 13 3 10 2.2 1.2 9 1 3 28 15 28 UOOOOU
4 4 Aston Villa 14 4 10 1.7 1.6 7 3 4 24 22 24 OOUOOO
5 8 Newcastle 13 3 10 1.8 2.2 3 2 8 23 29 11 OUOOOO
6 9 Brighton 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 3 7 22 28 15 UUOOOO
7 10 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17 OOUOOO
8 11 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18 OOOOUO
9 5 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20 OOUOOO
10 18 Luton 12 3 9 1.3 2.4 2 3 7 16 29 9 UOOUOO
11 1 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28 OUOOOU
12 12 Fulham 13 5 8 1.0 2.1 2 4 7 13 27 10 OOOUOO
13 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.0 2.0 3 4 7 14 28 13 OOOOUO
14 17 Nott'm Forest 13 5 8 1.2 2.2 2 3 8 15 28 9 OUOOUO
15 19 Burnley 13 5 8 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8 UUOOOO
16 3 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.2 0.8 8 2 3 28 11 26 UUOOOO
17 6 Man United 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 7 1 5 17 16 22 UUOOOO
18 16 Brentford 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 3 1 9 15 21 10 UOOUUO
19 20 Sheffield United 13 6 7 0.8 2.3 1 2 10 10 30 5 UUUOOU
20 13 Everton 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 5 3 5 14 19 18 UOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47