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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D Coote

Luton 1–2 Man United

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.00 fair 2.60
Draw 4.00 fair 4.20
Away ✓ 1.80 fair 2.65
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.50
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Man United
22 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 9
8 Corners 6
7 Fouls 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (246 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.87points / match
1.43scored / match
1.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 33:45
Man United before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 33:33
Luton all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.38
1.96 Goals conceded 1.38
3.39 Total goals 2.75
11.78 Shots 14.25
3.61 Shots on target 4.58
16.43 Shots faced 15.75
5.57 Corners 6.33
5.39 Corners against 6.54
12.00 Fouls 10.17
1.78 Yellow cards 2.33
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

22% Wins 54%
22% Draws 8%
57% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
83% Over 1.5 goals 71%
70% Over 2.5 goals 63%
43% Over 3.5 goals 25%
22% Over 4.5 goals 13%
9% Over 5.5 goals 4%
74% Both teams scored 46%
9% Clean sheets 29%
17% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 25%
39% Draws 46%
39% Losses 29%
65% Over 0.5 goals 67%
26% Over 1.5 goals 29%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Man United all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.92points / match
1.50scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:20
Man United before this match, away
1.58points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:15
Luton at home away Man United

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.25
1.67 Goals conceded 1.25
3.17 Total goals 2.50
13.42 Shots 12.58
4.00 Shots on target 4.08
13.75 Shots faced 17.92
6.75 Corners 4.33
4.67 Corners against 7.25
12.25 Fouls 10.33
2.08 Yellow cards 2.58
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
17% Draws 8%
58% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
75% Both teams scored 42%
17% Clean sheets 33%
8% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
33% Draws 67%
42% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
33% Over 1.5 goals 25%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
04.02.24 Man United – West Ham 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.60 2.30
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
14.01.24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.48 2.60
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05
04.11.23 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Sheffield United – Man United 1–2 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.53 2.40
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsMan United wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23E0 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 25 17 6 2 59 24 +35 57
2 Arsenal 25 17 4 4 58 22 +36 55
3 Man City 24 16 5 3 57 26 +31 53
4 Aston Villa 25 15 4 6 52 33 +19 49
5 Tottenham 25 14 5 6 52 38 +14 47
6 Man United 24 13 2 9 33 33 0 41
7 Brighton 25 10 8 7 48 40 +8 38
8 Newcastle 25 11 4 10 53 41 +12 37
9 West Ham 25 10 6 9 36 44 -8 36
10 Chelsea 25 10 5 10 42 41 +1 35
11 Wolves 25 10 5 10 39 40 -1 35
12 Everton 24 8 5 11 26 32 -6 29
13 Fulham 25 8 5 12 34 41 -7 29
14 Bournemouth 24 7 7 10 33 46 -13 28
15 Brentford 24 7 4 13 35 43 -8 25
16 Nott'm Forest 25 6 6 13 32 44 -12 24
17 Crystal Palace 24 6 6 12 27 43 -16 24
18 Luton 23 5 5 13 33 45 -12 20
19 Burnley 25 3 4 18 25 55 -30 13
20 Sheffield United 25 3 4 18 22 65 -43 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 12 10 2 0 33 10 +23 32
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 30 11 +19 29
3 Man City 12 8 4 0 30 11 +19 28
4 Aston Villa 12 9 1 2 31 13 +18 28
5 Tottenham 13 9 0 4 26 18 +8 27
6 Newcastle 13 8 2 3 31 16 +15 26
7 Brighton 12 6 5 1 26 15 +11 23
8 Fulham 13 7 1 5 23 15 +8 22
9 Man United 12 7 1 4 18 18 0 22
10 West Ham 12 5 4 3 18 17 +1 19
11 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18
12 Wolves 12 5 3 4 19 20 -1 18
13 Nott'm Forest 13 4 3 6 19 20 -1 15
14 Brentford 13 4 3 6 22 27 -5 15
15 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 12 17 -5 13
16 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12
17 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 15 19 -4 12
18 Luton 12 3 2 7 18 20 -2 11
19 Sheffield United 13 2 2 9 12 36 -24 8
20 Burnley 13 1 2 10 13 32 -19 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 8 2 3 28 11 +17 26
2 Man City 12 8 1 3 27 15 +12 25
3 Liverpool 13 7 4 2 26 14 +12 25
4 Aston Villa 13 6 3 4 21 20 +1 21
5 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20
6 Man United 12 6 1 5 15 15 0 19
7 Wolves 13 5 2 6 20 20 0 17
8 Chelsea 13 5 2 6 22 23 -1 17
9 Everton 12 5 2 5 13 18 -5 17
10 West Ham 13 5 2 6 18 27 -9 17
11 Brighton 13 4 3 6 22 25 -3 15
12 Bournemouth 13 4 3 6 21 29 -8 15
13 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 12 24 -12 12
14 Newcastle 12 3 2 7 22 25 -3 11
15 Brentford 11 3 1 7 13 16 -3 10
16 Luton 11 2 3 6 15 25 -10 9
17 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 13 24 -11 9
18 Burnley 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8
19 Fulham 12 1 4 7 11 26 -15 7
20 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 10 29 -19 5

Luton   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 25 5 20 2.1 1.5 14 5 6 52 38 47
2 4 Aston Villa 25 7 18 2.1 1.3 15 4 6 52 33 49
3 8 Newcastle 25 7 18 2.1 1.6 11 4 10 53 41 37
4 1 Liverpool 25 8 17 2.4 1.0 17 6 2 59 24 57
5 7 Brighton 25 8 17 1.9 1.6 10 8 7 48 40 38
6 11 Wolves 25 8 17 1.6 1.6 10 5 10 39 40 35
7 14 Bournemouth 24 7 17 1.4 1.9 7 7 10 33 46 28
8 15 Brentford 24 7 17 1.5 1.8 7 4 13 35 43 25
9 20 Sheffield United 25 8 17 0.9 2.6 3 4 18 22 65 13
10 2 Arsenal 25 9 16 2.3 0.9 17 4 4 58 22 55
11 3 Man City 24 8 16 2.4 1.1 16 5 3 57 26 53
12 9 West Ham 25 9 16 1.4 1.8 10 6 9 36 44 36
13 18 Luton 23 7 16 1.4 2.0 5 5 13 33 45 20
14 6 Man United 24 9 15 1.4 1.4 13 2 9 33 33 41
15 10 Chelsea 25 10 15 1.7 1.6 10 5 10 42 41 35
16 13 Fulham 25 10 15 1.4 1.6 8 5 12 34 41 29
17 19 Burnley 25 10 15 1.0 2.2 3 4 18 25 55 13
18 16 Nott'm Forest 25 11 14 1.3 1.8 6 6 13 32 44 24
19 17 Crystal Palace 24 10 14 1.1 1.8 6 6 12 27 43 24
20 12 Everton 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 11 26 32 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 13 2 11 2.0 1.4 9 0 4 26 18 27
2 15 Brentford 13 2 11 1.7 2.1 4 3 6 22 27 15
3 20 Sheffield United 13 3 10 0.9 2.8 2 2 9 12 36 8
4 1 Liverpool 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 10 2 0 33 10 32
5 2 Arsenal 12 3 9 2.5 0.9 9 2 1 30 11 29
6 4 Aston Villa 12 3 9 2.6 1.1 9 1 2 31 13 28
7 6 Man United 12 3 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 4 18 18 22
8 8 Newcastle 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 8 2 3 31 16 26
9 7 Brighton 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 6 5 1 26 15 23
10 11 Wolves 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 3 4 19 20 18
11 13 Fulham 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 1 5 23 15 22
12 18 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.7 3 2 7 18 20 11
13 19 Burnley 13 5 8 1.0 2.5 1 2 10 13 32 5
14 16 Nott'm Forest 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 4 3 6 19 20 15
15 17 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 3 3 6 15 19 12
16 3 Man City 12 6 6 2.5 0.9 8 4 0 30 11 28
17 9 West Ham 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 5 4 3 18 17 19
18 10 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18
19 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12
20 14 Bournemouth 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 17 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bournemouth 13 2 11 1.6 2.2 4 3 6 21 29 15
2 3 Man City 12 2 10 2.2 1.2 8 1 3 27 15 25
3 9 West Ham 13 3 10 1.4 2.1 5 2 6 18 27 17
4 4 Aston Villa 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 6 3 4 21 20 21
5 5 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20
6 7 Brighton 13 4 9 1.7 1.9 4 3 6 22 25 15
7 8 Newcastle 12 3 9 1.8 2.1 3 2 7 22 25 11
8 10 Chelsea 13 4 9 1.7 1.8 5 2 6 22 23 17
9 11 Wolves 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 2 6 20 20 17
10 1 Liverpool 13 5 8 2.0 1.1 7 4 2 26 14 25
11 18 Luton 11 3 8 1.4 2.3 2 3 6 15 25 9
12 2 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.2 0.8 8 2 3 28 11 26
13 13 Fulham 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 7 11 26 7
14 16 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 2.0 2 3 7 13 24 9
15 17 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 3 3 6 12 24 12
16 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8
17 20 Sheffield United 12 5 7 0.8 2.4 1 2 9 10 29 5
18 6 Man United 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 1 5 15 15 19
19 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 5 13 18 17
20 15 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 1 7 13 16 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51