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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Aston Villa 1–2 Man United

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.15 fair 1.81
Draw 3.75 fair 4.64
Away ✓ 3.10 fair 4.34
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.68
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man United
23 Shots 17
10 Shots on target 5
10 Corners 8
9 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (236 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.13scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 49:30
Man United before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.35scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 31:32
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man United

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 1.35
1.30 Goals conceded 1.39
3.43 Total goals 2.74
14.57 Shots 14.13
5.57 Shots on target 4.57
10.17 Shots faced 15.43
6.17 Corners 6.26
4.09 Corners against 6.39
11.00 Fouls 10.30
2.74 Yellow cards 2.35
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

61% Wins 52%
17% Draws 9%
22% Losses 39%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
83% Over 1.5 goals 70%
70% Over 2.5 goals 61%
57% Over 3.5 goals 26%
26% Over 4.5 goals 13%
9% Over 5.5 goals 4%
65% Both teams scored 43%
26% Clean sheets 30%
13% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 22%
35% Draws 48%
22% Losses 30%
74% Over 0.5 goals 65%
52% Over 1.5 goals 30%
17% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man United all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.55points / match
2.73scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 30:11
Man United before this match, away
1.45points / match
1.18scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:14
Aston Villa at home away Man United

Per match

2.73 Goals scored 1.18
1.00 Goals conceded 1.27
3.73 Total goals 2.45
15.18 Shots 12.18
6.09 Shots on target 4.00
8.91 Shots faced 17.45
5.45 Corners 4.00
3.36 Corners against 7.00
11.55 Fouls 10.64
3.09 Yellow cards 2.64
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

82% Wins 45%
9% Draws 9%
9% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
82% Over 1.5 goals 64%
73% Over 2.5 goals 45%
73% Over 3.5 goals 18%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
73% Both teams scored 36%
27% Clean sheets 36%
0% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 27%
27% Draws 73%
9% Losses 0%
73% Over 0.5 goals 45%
45% Over 1.5 goals 27%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Sheffield United – Aston Villa 0–5 (0–4) 5.254.201.62 1.62 2.25
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
14.01.24 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.08
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24 Man United – West Ham 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.60 2.30
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
14.01.24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.48 2.60
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05
04.11.23 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Sheffield United – Man United 1–2 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.53 2.40
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan United wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
30.04.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
06.11.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
15.01.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
25.09.21E0 Man United – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 24 16 6 2 55 23 +32 54 WWWWLW
2 Man City 23 16 4 3 56 25 +31 52 WWWWWW
3 Arsenal 24 16 4 4 53 22 +31 52 LLWWWW
4 Tottenham 24 14 5 5 51 36 +15 47 LWDWDW
5 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 49 30 +19 46 DLWDLW
6 Man United 23 12 2 9 31 32 -1 38 LWLDWW
7 Newcastle 24 11 3 10 51 39 +12 36 LLLWDW
8 West Ham 24 10 6 8 36 42 -6 36 WDDDLL
9 Brighton 24 9 8 7 43 40 +3 35 WDDLWL
10 Wolves 24 9 5 10 37 39 -2 32 WWDLWL
11 Chelsea 23 9 4 10 38 39 -1 31 LWWWLL
12 Fulham 24 8 5 11 33 39 -6 29 LWLDDW
13 Everton 24 8 5 11 26 32 -6 29 LLDDDL
14 Bournemouth 23 7 6 10 31 44 -13 27 WLLDDL
15 Brentford 23 7 4 12 34 39 -5 25 LLWLLW
16 Crystal Palace 23 6 6 11 26 40 -14 24 DLWLWL
17 Nott'm Forest 24 5 6 13 30 44 -14 21 WWLLDL
18 Luton 23 5 5 13 33 45 -12 20 WLDWDL
19 Burnley 24 3 4 17 25 50 -25 13 LLDLDL
20 Sheffield United 24 3 4 17 22 60 -38 13 LLDLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 12 10 2 0 33 10 +23 32 WDDWWW
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 30 11 +19 29 WWWLWW
3 Aston Villa 11 9 1 1 30 11 +19 28 WWWDWL
4 Man City 11 8 3 0 29 10 +19 27 DDDWWW
5 Tottenham 12 9 0 3 25 16 +9 27 LWWWWW
6 Newcastle 12 8 1 3 29 14 +15 25 WWWLLD
7 Brighton 12 6 5 1 26 15 +11 23 DWDWDW
8 Fulham 12 7 1 4 22 13 +9 22 WWLWDW
9 Man United 12 7 1 4 18 18 0 22 WWLWDW
10 West Ham 12 5 4 3 18 17 +1 19 DWWDDL
11 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18 DWWWWL
12 Wolves 12 5 3 4 19 20 -1 18 WDWWLL
13 Brentford 12 4 3 5 21 23 -2 15 LWLLWL
14 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 12 17 -5 13 WWDWLD
15 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12 LWWLDD
16 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12 LLLDWW
17 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 17 20 -3 12 LLLWLL
18 Luton 12 3 2 7 18 20 -2 11 LLWLWL
19 Sheffield United 12 2 2 8 12 31 -19 8 LLWLDL
20 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 27 -14 5 LWLLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 12 8 1 3 27 15 +12 25 DLWWWW
2 Arsenal 12 7 2 3 23 11 +12 23 WLDLWW
3 Liverpool 12 6 4 2 22 13 +9 22 DWWWWL
4 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20 LDWLDD
5 Aston Villa 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18 WDWLDW
6 Everton 12 5 2 5 13 18 -5 17 WWLLDL
7 West Ham 12 5 2 5 18 25 -7 17 WWLWDL
8 Man United 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 16 WLDLLW
9 Wolves 12 4 2 6 18 19 -1 14 LLLWDW
10 Bournemouth 12 4 2 6 19 27 -8 14 WWWLDL
11 Chelsea 11 4 1 6 18 21 -3 13 LLLLWL
12 Brighton 12 3 3 6 17 25 -8 12 LLDDLL
13 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 12 24 -12 12 LDDLLL
14 Newcastle 12 3 2 7 22 25 -3 11 LLLLWW
15 Brentford 11 3 1 7 13 16 -3 10 LLLLLW
16 Luton 11 2 3 6 15 25 -10 9 LLLWDD
17 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 13 24 -11 9 LLDWLD
18 Burnley 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8 LDWLLL
19 Fulham 12 1 4 7 11 26 -15 7 LLLLLD
20 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 10 29 -19 5 LLDLLW

Aston Villa   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Tottenham 24 5 19 2.1 1.5 14 5 5 51 36 47 OOOOOO
2 7 Newcastle 24 7 17 2.1 1.6 11 3 10 51 39 36 OOOOOO
3 1 Liverpool 24 8 16 2.3 1.0 16 6 2 55 23 54 UOOOOO
4 2 Man City 23 7 16 2.4 1.1 16 4 3 56 25 52 OUOOOU
5 5 Aston Villa 23 7 16 2.1 1.3 14 4 5 49 30 46 UOOUOO
6 8 West Ham 24 8 16 1.5 1.8 10 6 8 36 42 36 UUOUOO
7 9 Brighton 24 8 16 1.8 1.7 9 8 7 43 40 35 OUUOOO
8 10 Wolves 24 8 16 1.5 1.6 9 5 10 37 39 32 OOUOOU
9 14 Bournemouth 23 7 16 1.3 1.9 7 6 10 31 44 27 OOOUUO
10 15 Brentford 23 7 16 1.5 1.7 7 4 12 34 39 25 OOOOOU
11 18 Luton 23 7 16 1.4 2.0 5 5 13 33 45 20 OOUOOO
12 20 Sheffield United 24 8 16 0.9 2.5 3 4 17 22 60 13 OUOOOO
13 3 Arsenal 24 9 15 2.2 0.9 16 4 4 53 22 52 UOOOOO
14 6 Man United 23 9 14 1.3 1.4 12 2 9 31 32 38 UOOOOO
15 11 Chelsea 23 9 14 1.7 1.7 9 4 10 38 39 31 OOOUOO
16 12 Fulham 24 10 14 1.4 1.6 8 5 11 33 39 29 OOUUOO
17 17 Nott'm Forest 24 10 14 1.2 1.8 5 6 13 30 44 21 OOOOUO
18 19 Burnley 24 10 14 1.0 2.1 3 4 17 25 50 13 UOUOOO
19 16 Crystal Palace 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 6 6 11 26 40 24 UOOOOO
20 13 Everton 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 11 26 32 29 OOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Tottenham 12 2 10 2.1 1.3 9 0 3 25 16 27 OOOOOO
2 15 Brentford 12 2 10 1.8 1.9 4 3 5 21 23 15 UOOOOO
3 1 Liverpool 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 10 2 0 33 10 32 OUUOOO
4 3 Arsenal 12 3 9 2.5 0.9 9 2 1 30 11 29 OOUUOO
5 6 Man United 12 3 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 4 18 18 22 UOOOOO
6 20 Sheffield United 12 3 9 1.0 2.6 2 2 8 12 31 8 OUUOOO
7 5 Aston Villa 11 3 8 2.7 1.0 9 1 1 30 11 28 OUUUOO
8 7 Newcastle 12 4 8 2.4 1.2 8 1 3 29 14 25 OUOOOO
9 9 Brighton 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 6 5 1 26 15 23 UOUOUO
10 10 Wolves 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 3 4 19 20 18 UUOOOU
11 18 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.7 3 2 7 18 20 11 OOUOOO
12 12 Fulham 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 7 1 4 22 13 22 OOUOUO
13 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.4 1.7 3 3 6 17 20 12 UUOOOO
14 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.1 2.2 1 2 9 13 27 5 OOUUUO
15 2 Man City 11 5 6 2.6 0.9 8 3 0 29 10 27 UOOUOU
16 8 West Ham 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 5 4 3 18 17 19 UOUUUO
17 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18 OOUOUO
18 13 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12 OOUOUO
19 14 Bournemouth 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 17 13 OUOOOU
20 16 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12 OUOUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Man City 12 2 10 2.2 1.2 8 1 3 27 15 25 OUOOOO
2 8 West Ham 12 2 10 1.5 2.1 5 2 5 18 25 17 OOOUOO
3 14 Bournemouth 12 2 10 1.6 2.2 4 2 6 19 27 14 UOOOUO
4 4 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20 OOUOOO
5 7 Newcastle 12 3 9 1.8 2.1 3 2 7 22 25 11 OOUOOO
6 5 Aston Villa 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 4 19 19 18 OOOOUO
7 9 Brighton 12 4 8 1.4 2.1 3 3 6 17 25 12 OUUUOO
8 10 Wolves 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 4 2 6 18 19 14 OOOOUO
9 11 Chelsea 11 3 8 1.6 1.9 4 1 6 18 21 13 OOUOOO
10 18 Luton 11 3 8 1.4 2.3 2 3 6 15 25 9 OUOOUO
11 1 Liverpool 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 6 4 2 22 13 22 UUOUOO
12 12 Fulham 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 7 11 26 7 OOOOUO
13 16 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 3 3 6 12 24 12 OUOOOO
14 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 2.0 2 3 7 13 24 9 OOUOOU
15 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8 UUUOOO
16 20 Sheffield United 12 5 7 0.8 2.4 1 2 9 10 29 5 OUUUOO
17 3 Arsenal 12 6 6 1.9 0.9 7 2 3 23 11 23 OUUOOO
18 13 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 5 13 18 17 UUOOUU
19 15 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 1 7 13 16 10 OOUOOU
20 6 Man United 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 5 13 14 16 OUUUOO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47