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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Newcastle 4–3 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 2.53
Draw 3.80 fair 4.12
Away 4.20 fair 2.76
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Nott'm Forest
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 6
11 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (259 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.68scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 42:33
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.64scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 41:29
Newcastle all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.64
1.32 Goals conceded 1.16
3.00 Total goals 2.80
13.64 Shots 12.72
4.56 Shots on target 4.64
13.12 Shots faced 13.68
5.76 Corners 4.40
5.40 Corners against 6.36
10.36 Fouls 10.08
1.96 Yellow cards 2.00
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

48% Wins 56%
20% Draws 20%
32% Losses 24%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
84% Over 1.5 goals 76%
64% Over 2.5 goals 52%
36% Over 3.5 goals 28%
12% Over 4.5 goals 16%
8% Over 5.5 goals 4%
56% Both teams scored 44%
32% Clean sheets 40%
16% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 40%
16% Draws 44%
36% Losses 16%
92% Over 0.5 goals 72%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
24% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:14
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
1.77points / match
1.46scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:19
Newcastle at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.46
1.17 Goals conceded 1.46
2.83 Total goals 2.92
14.83 Shots 12.00
4.92 Shots on target 4.31
13.42 Shots faced 14.77
5.83 Corners 4.15
6.00 Corners against 6.77
11.75 Fouls 10.15
2.42 Yellow cards 2.54
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

50% Wins 54%
17% Draws 15%
33% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 85%
58% Over 2.5 goals 62%
25% Over 3.5 goals 31%
17% Over 4.5 goals 15%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 38%
42% Clean sheets 38%
17% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 23%
0% Draws 46%
33% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 77%
8% Over 1.5 goals 46%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75
01.02.25 Newcastle – Fulham 1–2 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
25.01.25 Southampton – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 6.505.251.42 1.41 2.70
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.25 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.802.25 1.33 3.40
30.12.24 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ipswich – Newcastle 0–4 (0–3) 4.753.751.73 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.73
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
25.01.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.85 2.05
19.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 3–2 (3–0) 1.384.758.00 1.73 2.10
14.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 5.254.101.62 1.62 2.30
06.01.25 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.202.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Everton – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
26.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Tottenham 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.752.88 1.50 2.63
21.12.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Newcastle – Fulham 1–2 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Newcastle – Liverpool 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.001.75 1.57 2.38
25.11.24 Newcastle – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.73
25.01.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.85 2.05
06.01.25 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.202.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Everton – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
21.12.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
07.12.24 Man United – Nott'm Forest 2–3 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
04.12.24 Man City – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.759.00 1.80 2.00
25.10.24 Leicester – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
06.10.24 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24E0 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–3 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 1.97 1.93
10.02.24E0 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
26.12.23E0 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
17.03.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83
06.08.22E0 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.663.805.25 2.05 1.85

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 26 18 7 1 62 26 +36 61
2 Arsenal 26 15 8 3 51 23 +28 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 41 29 +12 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 52 35 +17 44
5 Bournemouth 26 12 7 7 44 30 +14 43
6 Chelsea 26 12 7 7 48 36 +12 43
7 Aston Villa 27 11 9 7 39 41 -2 42
8 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 42 33 +9 41
9 Brighton 26 10 10 6 42 38 +4 40
10 Fulham 26 10 9 7 38 35 +3 39
11 Brentford 26 11 4 11 47 42 +5 37
12 Tottenham 26 10 3 13 53 38 +15 33
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 9 9 31 32 -1 33
14 Everton 26 7 10 9 29 33 -4 31
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 30 37 -7 30
16 West Ham 26 8 6 12 30 47 -17 30
17 Wolves 26 6 4 16 36 54 -18 22
18 Ipswich 26 3 8 15 24 54 -30 17
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 25 59 -34 17
20 Southampton 26 2 3 21 19 61 -42 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 12 9 2 1 26 10 +16 29
2 Arsenal 13 8 4 1 27 11 +16 28
3 Aston Villa 15 7 7 1 25 18 +7 28
4 Man City 12 8 2 2 28 15 +13 26
5 Nott'm Forest 12 7 3 2 22 10 +12 24
6 Brentford 13 7 2 4 29 25 +4 23
7 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22
8 Bournemouth 13 6 3 4 17 10 +7 21
9 Newcastle 12 6 2 4 20 14 +6 20
10 Fulham 14 5 5 4 20 21 -1 20
11 Everton 14 4 6 4 20 17 +3 18
12 Brighton 12 4 6 2 17 14 +3 18
13 Tottenham 13 5 2 6 28 23 +5 17
14 Man United 13 5 1 7 17 22 -5 16
15 West Ham 13 4 2 7 16 27 -11 14
16 Crystal Palace 13 2 5 6 12 21 -9 11
17 Wolves 12 3 1 8 16 24 -8 10
18 Leicester 14 2 3 9 11 27 -16 9
19 Ipswich 14 1 4 9 10 30 -20 7
20 Southampton 13 1 1 11 9 37 -28 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 14 9 5 0 36 16 +20 32
2 Arsenal 13 7 4 2 24 12 +12 25
3 Nott'm Forest 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
4 Crystal Palace 13 6 4 3 19 11 +8 22
5 Bournemouth 13 6 4 3 27 20 +7 22
6 Brighton 14 6 4 4 25 24 +1 22
7 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 26 21 +5 21
8 Newcastle 13 6 3 4 22 19 +3 21
9 Fulham 12 5 4 3 18 14 +4 19
10 Man City 13 5 3 5 24 20 +4 18
11 Tottenham 13 5 1 7 25 15 +10 16
12 West Ham 13 4 4 5 14 20 -6 16
13 Brentford 13 4 2 7 18 17 +1 14
14 Man United 13 3 5 5 13 15 -2 14
15 Aston Villa 12 4 2 6 14 23 -9 14
16 Everton 12 3 4 5 9 16 -7 13
17 Wolves 14 3 3 8 20 30 -10 12
18 Ipswich 12 2 4 6 14 24 -10 10
19 Leicester 12 2 2 8 14 32 -18 8
20 Southampton 13 1 2 10 10 24 -14 5

Newcastle   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 25 6 19 2.1 1.4 13 5 7 52 35 44
2 17 Wolves 26 7 19 1.4 2.1 6 4 16 36 54 22
3 7 Aston Villa 27 9 18 1.4 1.5 11 9 7 39 41 42
4 11 Brentford 26 8 18 1.8 1.6 11 4 11 47 42 37
5 12 Tottenham 26 8 18 2.0 1.5 10 3 13 53 38 33
6 19 Leicester 26 8 18 1.0 2.3 4 5 17 25 59 17
7 1 Liverpool 26 9 17 2.4 1.0 18 7 1 62 26 61
8 6 Chelsea 26 9 17 1.8 1.4 12 7 7 48 36 43
9 9 Brighton 26 9 17 1.6 1.5 10 10 6 42 38 40
10 8 Newcastle 25 9 16 1.7 1.3 12 5 8 42 33 41
11 20 Southampton 26 10 16 0.7 2.3 2 3 21 19 61 9
12 15 Man United 26 11 15 1.2 1.4 8 6 12 30 37 30
13 5 Bournemouth 26 12 14 1.7 1.2 12 7 7 44 30 43
14 10 Fulham 26 12 14 1.5 1.3 10 9 7 38 35 39
15 16 West Ham 26 12 14 1.2 1.8 8 6 12 30 47 30
16 3 Nott'm Forest 25 12 13 1.6 1.2 14 5 6 41 29 47
17 18 Ipswich 26 13 13 0.9 2.1 3 8 15 24 54 17
18 14 Everton 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 7 10 9 29 33 31
19 2 Arsenal 26 15 11 2.0 0.9 15 8 3 51 23 53
20 13 Crystal Palace 26 15 11 1.2 1.2 8 9 9 31 32 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 12 2 10 2.3 1.2 8 2 2 28 15 26
2 12 Tottenham 13 3 10 2.2 1.8 5 2 6 28 23 17
3 7 Aston Villa 15 6 9 1.7 1.2 7 7 1 25 18 28
4 10 Fulham 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 5 5 4 20 21 20
5 11 Brentford 13 4 9 2.2 1.9 7 2 4 29 25 23
6 15 Man United 13 4 9 1.3 1.7 5 1 7 17 22 16
7 16 West Ham 13 4 9 1.2 2.1 4 2 7 16 27 14
8 20 Southampton 13 4 9 0.7 2.8 1 1 11 9 37 4
9 1 Liverpool 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 9 2 1 26 10 29
10 6 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22
11 14 Everton 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 4 6 4 20 17 18
12 17 Wolves 12 4 8 1.3 2.0 3 1 8 16 24 10
13 2 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 8 4 1 27 11 28
14 8 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 6 2 4 20 14 20
15 9 Brighton 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 2 17 14 18
16 19 Leicester 14 7 7 0.8 1.9 2 3 9 11 27 9
17 13 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 0.9 1.6 2 5 6 12 21 11
18 18 Ipswich 14 8 6 0.7 2.1 1 4 9 10 30 7
19 3 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 1.8 0.8 7 3 2 22 10 24
20 5 Bournemouth 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 3 4 17 10 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 14 3 11 1.4 2.1 3 3 8 20 30 12
2 19 Leicester 12 1 11 1.2 2.7 2 2 8 14 32 8
3 5 Bournemouth 13 3 10 2.1 1.5 6 4 3 27 20 22
4 9 Brighton 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 6 4 4 25 24 22
5 1 Liverpool 14 5 9 2.6 1.1 9 5 0 36 16 32
6 4 Man City 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 5 24 20 18
7 6 Chelsea 14 5 9 1.9 1.5 6 3 5 26 21 21
8 7 Aston Villa 12 3 9 1.2 1.9 4 2 6 14 23 14
9 8 Newcastle 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 3 4 22 19 21
10 11 Brentford 13 4 9 1.4 1.3 4 2 7 18 17 14
11 3 Nott'm Forest 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
12 12 Tottenham 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 5 1 7 25 15 16
13 18 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.2 2.0 2 4 6 14 24 10
14 20 Southampton 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 2 10 10 24 5
15 15 Man United 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 3 5 5 13 15 14
16 10 Fulham 12 7 5 1.5 1.2 5 4 3 18 14 19
17 13 Crystal Palace 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 19 11 22
18 16 West Ham 13 8 5 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 20 16
19 2 Arsenal 13 9 4 1.8 0.9 7 4 2 24 12 25
20 14 Everton 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 4 5 9 16 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51