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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Aston Villa 3–1 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 1.84
Draw 3.90 fair 4.21
Away 4.50 fair 4.54
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Nott'm Forest
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
10 Fouls 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (190 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
1.58scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 30:23
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
0.95scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 18:30
Aston Villa all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 0.95
1.21 Goals conceded 1.58
2.79 Total goals 2.53
11.53 Shots 12.47
4.37 Shots on target 3.95
13.26 Shots faced 12.79
5.05 Corners 5.58
4.84 Corners against 4.42
10.21 Fouls 10.47
1.63 Yellow cards 1.68
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

63% Wins 26%
16% Draws 16%
21% Losses 58%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
74% Over 1.5 goals 84%
63% Over 2.5 goals 53%
26% Over 3.5 goals 16%
16% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 32%
26% Clean sheets 16%
26% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 16%
47% Draws 37%
32% Losses 47%
74% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 26%
11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.44points / match
1.67scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:7
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:13
Aston Villa at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.67
0.78 Goals conceded 1.44
2.44 Total goals 2.11
12.00 Shots 9.78
5.00 Shots on target 3.67
12.00 Shots faced 12.78
5.22 Corners 4.44
5.00 Corners against 5.00
9.89 Fouls 10.89
1.22 Yellow cards 2.11
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

78% Wins 22%
11% Draws 22%
11% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
22% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 22%
44% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 11%
44% Draws 33%
11% Losses 56%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Everton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.253.70 2.30 1.62
27.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.67 2.20
22.12.25 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.05 1.80
14.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Tottenham 3–0 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 2.03 1.83
06.12.25 Everton – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.25 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–1) 1.445.006.25 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.25 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.05 1.80
06.12.25 Everton – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.25 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–1) 1.445.006.25 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
13.09.25 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
18.05.25 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.55 1.98 1.92

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.70 1.80 2.00
14.12.24E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
24.02.24E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
05.11.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
08.04.23E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.94 1.96
10.10.22E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 19 14 3 2 37 12 +25 45
2 Man City 19 13 2 4 43 17 +26 41
3 Aston Villa 19 12 3 4 30 23 +7 39
4 Liverpool 19 10 3 6 30 26 +4 33
5 Chelsea 19 8 6 5 32 21 +11 30
6 Man United 19 8 6 5 33 29 +4 30
7 Sunderland 19 7 8 4 20 18 +2 29
8 Everton 19 8 4 7 20 20 0 28
9 Brentford 19 8 3 8 28 26 +2 27
10 Crystal Palace 19 7 6 6 22 21 +1 27
11 Fulham 19 8 3 8 26 27 -1 27
12 Tottenham 19 7 5 7 27 23 +4 26
13 Newcastle 19 7 5 7 26 24 +2 26
14 Brighton 19 6 7 6 28 27 +1 25
15 Bournemouth 19 5 8 6 29 35 -6 23
16 Leeds 19 5 6 8 25 32 -7 21
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 3 11 18 30 -12 18
18 West Ham 19 3 5 11 21 38 -17 14
19 Burnley 19 3 3 13 20 37 -17 12
20 Wolves 19 0 3 16 11 40 -29 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 1 0 26 5 +21 28
2 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
3 Aston Villa 9 7 1 1 15 7 +8 22
4 Brentford 10 6 3 1 20 10 +10 21
5 Sunderland 10 5 5 0 16 8 +8 20
6 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
7 Man United 10 5 3 2 18 13 +5 18
8 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
9 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
10 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 10 2 5 3 10 12 -2 11
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
19 West Ham 10 2 1 7 12 23 -11 7
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 16 12 +4 18
2 Man City 10 5 2 3 18 11 +7 17
3 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
4 Aston Villa 10 5 2 3 15 16 -1 17
5 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
6 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
7 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
8 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
9 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
10 Fulham 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
11 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
12 Brighton 10 2 3 5 12 16 -4 9
13 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
14 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
15 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
16 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Leeds 10 1 3 6 8 20 -12 6
19 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 4 17 -13 2

Aston Villa   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 19 6 13 2.3 0.9 13 2 4 43 17 41
2 3 Aston Villa 19 7 12 1.6 1.2 12 3 4 30 23 39
3 4 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 10 3 6 30 26 33
4 5 Chelsea 19 7 12 1.7 1.1 8 6 5 32 21 30
5 6 Man United 19 7 12 1.7 1.5 8 6 5 33 29 30
6 12 Tottenham 19 7 12 1.4 1.2 7 5 7 27 23 26
7 13 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.4 1.3 7 5 7 26 24 26
8 15 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.5 1.8 5 8 6 29 35 23
9 16 Leeds 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 5 6 8 25 32 21
10 18 West Ham 19 7 12 1.1 2.0 3 5 11 21 38 14
11 14 Brighton 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 6 7 6 28 27 25
12 9 Brentford 19 9 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 8 28 26 27
13 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 0.9 1.6 5 3 11 18 30 18
14 19 Burnley 19 9 10 1.1 1.9 3 3 13 20 37 12
15 1 Arsenal 19 10 9 1.9 0.6 14 3 2 37 12 45
16 10 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 21 27
17 11 Fulham 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 8 3 8 26 27 27
18 20 Wolves 19 10 9 0.6 2.1 0 3 16 11 40 3
19 7 Sunderland 19 13 6 1.1 0.9 7 8 4 20 18 29
20 8 Everton 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 8 4 7 20 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
2 13 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
4 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
5 18 West Ham 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 2 1 7 12 23 7
6 1 Arsenal 10 4 6 2.6 0.5 9 1 0 26 5 28
7 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 7 1 1 15 7 22
8 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
9 9 Brentford 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 6 3 1 20 10 21
10 14 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
11 4 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
12 12 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
13 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
14 6 Man United 10 6 4 1.8 1.3 5 3 2 18 13 18
15 7 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 5 0 16 8 20
16 8 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
17 10 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 5 3 10 12 11
18 11 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 10 8 2 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
2 6 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
3 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
4 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
5 12 Tottenham 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 3 2 16 12 18
6 2 Man City 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 3 18 11 17
7 3 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 5 2 3 15 16 17
8 5 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
9 10 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
10 11 Fulham 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
11 13 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
12 14 Brighton 10 5 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 5 12 16 9
13 16 Leeds 10 5 5 0.8 2.0 1 3 6 8 20 6
14 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
15 9 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
16 20 Wolves 10 6 4 0.4 1.7 0 2 8 4 17 2
17 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
18 17 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 8 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51