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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 2.48
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.12
Away 2.50 fair 2.83
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.36
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Aston Villa
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 4
4 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.67scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 40:43
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
1.46scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 35:26
Bournemouth all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.46
1.79 Goals conceded 1.08
3.46 Total goals 2.54
13.42 Shots 12.67
4.83 Shots on target 4.50
12.83 Shots faced 12.63
5.58 Corners 5.33
5.25 Corners against 4.58
12.42 Fouls 10.08
2.42 Yellow cards 1.46
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

33% Wins 58%
38% Draws 17%
29% Losses 25%
92% Over 0.5 goals 88%
79% Over 1.5 goals 67%
63% Over 2.5 goals 54%
58% Over 3.5 goals 25%
33% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 4%
67% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 29%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 25%
33% Draws 46%
25% Losses 29%
79% Over 0.5 goals 71%
54% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
1.83points / match
1.58scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:13
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.42scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:16
Bournemouth at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.42
1.08 Goals conceded 1.33
2.67 Total goals 2.75
13.50 Shots 11.67
4.25 Shots on target 4.08
9.25 Shots faced 14.17
5.00 Corners 4.92
4.17 Corners against 4.67
12.42 Fouls 10.00
2.08 Yellow cards 1.83
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
33% Draws 25%
17% Losses 25%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
42% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
58% Both teams scored 58%
33% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 8%
50% Draws 50%
8% Losses 42%
58% Over 0.5 goals 67%
42% Over 1.5 goals 25%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.502.30 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Bournemouth – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 3.753.801.90 1.62 2.30
19.01.26 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.50 2.63
07.01.26 Bournemouth – Tottenham 3–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
27.12.25 Brentford – Bournemouth 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Bournemouth – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 3.753.801.90 1.62 2.30
07.01.26 Bournemouth – Tottenham 3–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
02.12.25 Bournemouth – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Bournemouth – West Ham 2–2 (0–2) 1.624.204.75 1.67 2.20
26.10.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.88 1.98
03.10.25 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.00 1.85
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsAston Villa wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
10.05.25E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.62 2.30
26.10.24E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
21.04.24E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.854.003.60 1.44 2.75
03.12.23E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
18.03.23E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
06.08.22E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 24 16 5 3 46 17 +29 53
2 Man City 24 14 5 5 49 23 +26 47
3 Aston Villa 24 14 4 6 35 26 +9 46
4 Man United 25 12 8 5 46 36 +10 44
5 Chelsea 24 11 7 6 42 27 +15 40
6 Liverpool 24 11 6 7 39 33 +6 39
7 Brentford 24 11 3 10 36 32 +4 36
8 Sunderland 24 9 9 6 27 26 +1 36
9 Fulham 24 10 4 10 34 35 -1 34
10 Everton 24 9 7 8 26 27 -1 34
11 Newcastle 24 9 6 9 33 33 0 33
12 Bournemouth 24 8 9 7 40 43 -3 33
13 Brighton 24 7 10 7 34 32 +2 31
14 Tottenham 25 7 8 10 35 35 0 29
15 Crystal Palace 24 7 8 9 25 29 -4 29
16 Leeds 25 7 8 10 34 43 -9 29
17 Nott'm Forest 25 7 5 13 25 38 -13 26
18 West Ham 24 5 5 14 29 48 -19 20
19 Burnley 24 3 6 15 25 47 -22 15
20 Wolves 24 1 5 18 15 45 -30 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 9 2 1 29 8 +21 29
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 28 8 +20 29
3 Man United 13 8 3 2 25 15 +10 27
4 Sunderland 12 7 5 0 21 9 +12 26
5 Aston Villa 12 8 1 3 18 10 +8 25
6 Brentford 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24
7 Liverpool 12 7 3 2 20 12 +8 24
8 Fulham 12 7 2 3 21 14 +7 23
9 Newcastle 12 7 2 3 22 17 +5 23
10 Bournemouth 12 6 4 2 19 13 +6 22
11 Leeds 13 6 4 3 22 18 +4 22
12 Brighton 12 5 6 1 20 13 +7 21
13 Chelsea 12 6 3 3 20 13 +7 21
14 Everton 12 4 4 4 15 16 -1 16
15 Crystal Palace 12 2 6 4 11 15 -4 12
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 18 -5 12
17 Tottenham 12 2 4 6 15 16 -1 10
18 Burnley 12 2 4 6 12 17 -5 10
19 West Ham 12 3 1 8 16 26 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 1 2 9 10 25 -15 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 7 3 2 18 9 +9 24
2 Aston Villa 12 6 3 3 17 16 +1 21
3 Chelsea 12 5 4 3 22 14 +8 19
4 Tottenham 13 5 4 4 20 19 +1 19
5 Man City 12 5 3 4 20 15 +5 18
6 Everton 12 5 3 4 11 11 0 18
7 Man United 12 4 5 3 21 21 0 17
8 Crystal Palace 12 5 2 5 14 14 0 17
9 Liverpool 12 4 3 5 19 21 -2 15
10 Nott'm Forest 13 4 2 7 12 20 -8 14
11 Brentford 12 4 0 8 13 20 -7 12
12 Fulham 12 3 2 7 13 21 -8 11
13 Bournemouth 12 2 5 5 21 30 -9 11
14 Brighton 12 2 4 6 14 19 -5 10
15 Newcastle 12 2 4 6 11 16 -5 10
16 West Ham 12 2 4 6 13 22 -9 10
17 Sunderland 12 2 4 6 6 17 -11 10
18 Leeds 12 1 4 7 12 25 -13 7
19 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 30 -17 5
20 Wolves 12 0 3 9 5 20 -15 3

Bournemouth   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 24 7 17 1.2 2.0 5 5 14 29 48 20
2 14 Tottenham 25 9 16 1.4 1.4 7 8 10 35 35 29
3 4 Man United 25 10 15 1.8 1.4 12 8 5 46 36 44
4 5 Chelsea 24 9 15 1.8 1.1 11 7 6 42 27 40
5 6 Liverpool 24 9 15 1.6 1.4 11 6 7 39 33 39
6 12 Bournemouth 24 9 15 1.7 1.8 8 9 7 40 43 33
7 16 Leeds 25 10 15 1.4 1.7 7 8 10 34 43 29
8 2 Man City 24 10 14 2.0 1.0 14 5 5 49 23 47
9 11 Newcastle 24 10 14 1.4 1.4 9 6 9 33 33 33
10 3 Aston Villa 24 11 13 1.5 1.1 14 4 6 35 26 46
11 9 Fulham 24 11 13 1.4 1.5 10 4 10 34 35 34
12 17 Nott'm Forest 25 12 13 1.0 1.5 7 5 13 25 38 26
13 19 Burnley 24 11 13 1.0 2.0 3 6 15 25 47 15
14 1 Arsenal 24 12 12 1.9 0.7 16 5 3 46 17 53
15 7 Brentford 24 12 12 1.5 1.3 11 3 10 36 32 36
16 13 Brighton 24 12 12 1.4 1.3 7 10 7 34 32 31
17 15 Crystal Palace 24 13 11 1.0 1.2 7 8 9 25 29 29
18 8 Sunderland 24 14 10 1.1 1.1 9 9 6 27 26 36
19 20 Wolves 24 14 10 0.6 1.9 1 5 18 15 45 8
20 10 Everton 24 17 7 1.1 1.1 9 7 8 26 27 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Leeds 13 4 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 3 22 18 22
2 18 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 1 8 16 26 10
3 11 Newcastle 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 7 2 3 22 17 23
4 1 Arsenal 12 5 7 2.3 0.7 9 2 1 28 8 29
5 2 Man City 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 9 2 1 29 8 29
6 3 Aston Villa 12 5 7 1.5 0.8 8 1 3 18 10 25
7 5 Chelsea 12 5 7 1.7 1.1 6 3 3 20 13 21
8 7 Brentford 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 3 2 23 12 24
9 9 Fulham 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 7 2 3 21 14 23
10 14 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 2 4 6 15 16 10
11 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.5 3 3 6 13 18 12
12 6 Liverpool 12 6 6 1.7 1.0 7 3 2 20 12 24
13 8 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 5 0 21 9 26
14 12 Bournemouth 12 6 6 1.6 1.1 6 4 2 19 13 22
15 13 Brighton 12 6 6 1.7 1.1 5 6 1 20 13 21
16 20 Wolves 12 6 6 0.8 2.1 1 2 9 10 25 5
17 4 Man United 13 8 5 1.9 1.2 8 3 2 25 15 27
18 10 Everton 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 4 15 16 16
19 15 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 2 6 4 11 15 12
20 19 Burnley 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 2 4 6 12 17 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man United 12 2 10 1.8 1.8 4 5 3 21 21 17
2 6 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 4 3 5 19 21 15
3 12 Bournemouth 12 3 9 1.8 2.5 2 5 5 21 30 11
4 14 Tottenham 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 4 20 19 19
5 19 Burnley 12 3 9 1.1 2.5 1 2 9 13 30 5
6 5 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 4 3 22 14 19
7 18 West Ham 12 4 8 1.1 1.8 2 4 6 13 22 10
8 2 Man City 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 5 3 4 20 15 18
9 3 Aston Villa 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 6 3 3 17 16 21
10 9 Fulham 12 6 6 1.1 1.8 3 2 7 13 21 11
11 11 Newcastle 12 6 6 0.9 1.3 2 4 6 11 16 10
12 13 Brighton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 4 6 14 19 10
13 15 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 5 2 5 14 14 17
14 16 Leeds 12 6 6 1.0 2.1 1 4 7 12 25 7
15 17 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 2 7 12 20 14
16 1 Arsenal 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 9 24
17 7 Brentford 12 7 5 1.1 1.7 4 0 8 13 20 12
18 8 Sunderland 12 8 4 0.5 1.4 2 4 6 6 17 10
19 20 Wolves 12 8 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 9 5 20 3
20 10 Everton 12 10 2 0.9 0.9 5 3 4 11 11 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40