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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Newcastle 2–1 Man United

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.63 fair 2.59
Draw 3.50 fair 4.32
Away 2.60 fair 2.61
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Man United
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 4
15 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (289 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 8.3% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.43scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 40:42
Man United before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.79scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 50:38
Newcastle all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.79
1.50 Goals conceded 1.36
2.93 Total goals 3.14
13.36 Shots 16.00
4.71 Shots on target 5.79
11.32 Shots faced 10.86
6.89 Corners 4.43
4.96 Corners against 4.93
10.18 Fouls 10.07
1.61 Yellow cards 1.36
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

36% Wins 50%
21% Draws 32%
43% Losses 18%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
64% Over 2.5 goals 57%
39% Over 3.5 goals 36%
21% Over 4.5 goals 21%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
64% Both teams scored 71%
25% Clean sheets 18%
25% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 39%
32% Draws 36%
36% Losses 25%
68% Over 0.5 goals 79%
36% Over 1.5 goals 32%
29% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Man United all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.86scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:23
Man United before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.64scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:22
Newcastle at home away Man United

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.64
1.64 Goals conceded 1.57
3.50 Total goals 3.21
14.57 Shots 14.43
5.71 Shots on target 4.79
11.14 Shots faced 12.00
7.50 Corners 4.14
5.07 Corners against 5.64
11.00 Fouls 9.57
1.43 Yellow cards 1.29
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

50% Wins 36%
14% Draws 43%
36% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 93%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 86%
21% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 21%
29% Draws 50%
36% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
36% Over 1.5 goals 29%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Newcastle – Everton 2–3 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.20 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Newcastle – Brentford 2–3 (1–2) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.904.10 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Wolves – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10
10.02.26 West Ham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.201.70 1.50 2.63
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Man United – Fulham 3–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.67 2.20
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
30.12.25 Man United – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 1.365.258.00 1.62 2.30

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Newcastle – Everton 2–3 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Newcastle – Brentford 2–3 (1–2) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10
10.02.26 West Ham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.201.70 1.50 2.63
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
08.12.25 Wolves – Man United 1–4 (1–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
30.11.25 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsMan United wins
9matches
2.56goals / match
33%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25E0 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
13.04.25E0 Newcastle – Man United 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.204.75 1.67 2.20
30.12.24E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
15.05.24E0 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
02.12.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
02.04.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
16.10.22E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
27.12.21E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
11.09.21E0 Man United – Newcastle 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 30 20 7 3 59 22 +37 67
2 Man City 29 18 6 5 59 27 +32 60
3 Man United 28 14 9 5 50 38 +12 51
4 Aston Villa 29 15 6 8 39 34 +5 51
5 Chelsea 29 13 9 7 53 34 +19 48
6 Liverpool 29 14 6 9 48 39 +9 48
7 Brentford 29 13 5 11 44 40 +4 44
8 Everton 29 12 7 10 34 33 +1 43
9 Bournemouth 29 9 13 7 44 46 -2 40
10 Fulham 29 12 4 13 40 43 -3 40
11 Sunderland 29 10 10 9 30 34 -4 40
12 Brighton 29 9 10 10 38 36 +2 37
13 Newcastle 28 10 6 12 40 42 -2 36
14 Crystal Palace 28 9 8 11 30 34 -4 35
15 Leeds 29 7 10 12 37 48 -11 31
16 Tottenham 28 7 8 13 38 43 -5 29
17 Nott'm Forest 29 7 7 15 28 43 -15 28
18 West Ham 29 7 7 15 35 54 -19 28
19 Burnley 29 4 7 18 32 58 -26 19
20 Wolves 30 3 7 20 22 52 -30 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 33 9 +24 35
3 Man United 14 9 3 2 27 16 +11 30
4 Aston Villa 15 9 2 4 21 15 +6 29
5 Liverpool 14 8 3 3 26 16 +10 27
6 Sunderland 14 7 5 2 22 13 +9 26
7 Fulham 15 8 2 5 24 18 +6 26
8 Brentford 14 7 4 3 24 15 +9 25
9 Bournemouth 15 6 7 2 21 15 +6 25
10 Brighton 15 6 6 3 22 16 +6 24
11 Chelsea 14 6 5 3 23 16 +7 23
12 Newcastle 14 7 2 5 26 23 +3 23
13 Leeds 15 6 4 5 22 20 +2 22
14 Everton 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
15 Crystal Palace 14 3 6 5 14 18 -4 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 13 19 -6 13
17 West Ham 14 3 3 8 17 27 -10 12
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Tottenham 14 2 4 8 17 22 -5 10
20 Burnley 14 2 4 8 15 23 -8 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 30 18 +12 25
3 Man City 14 7 3 4 23 16 +7 24
4 Everton 14 7 3 4 16 14 +2 24
5 Aston Villa 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
6 Man United 14 5 6 3 23 22 +1 21
7 Liverpool 15 6 3 6 22 23 -1 21
8 Crystal Palace 14 6 2 6 16 16 0 20
9 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 21 21 0 19
10 Brentford 15 6 1 8 20 25 -5 19
11 West Ham 15 4 4 7 18 27 -9 16
12 Bournemouth 14 3 6 5 23 31 -8 15
13 Nott'm Forest 15 4 3 8 15 24 -9 15
14 Fulham 14 4 2 8 16 25 -9 14
15 Sunderland 15 3 5 7 8 21 -13 14
16 Brighton 14 3 4 7 16 20 -4 13
17 Newcastle 14 3 4 7 14 19 -5 13
18 Leeds 14 1 6 7 15 28 -13 9
19 Burnley 15 2 3 10 17 35 -18 9
20 Wolves 14 0 4 10 5 21 -16 4

Newcastle   Man United

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Chelsea 29 10 19 1.8 1.2 13 9 7 53 34 48
2 16 Tottenham 28 9 19 1.4 1.5 7 8 13 38 43 29
3 2 Man City 29 11 18 2.0 0.9 18 6 5 59 27 60
4 6 Liverpool 29 11 18 1.7 1.3 14 6 9 48 39 48
5 13 Newcastle 28 10 18 1.4 1.5 10 6 12 40 42 36
6 18 West Ham 29 11 18 1.2 1.9 7 7 15 35 54 28
7 10 Fulham 29 12 17 1.4 1.5 12 4 13 40 43 40
8 1 Arsenal 30 14 16 2.0 0.7 20 7 3 59 22 67
9 3 Man United 28 12 16 1.8 1.4 14 9 5 50 38 51
10 9 Bournemouth 29 13 16 1.5 1.6 9 13 7 44 46 40
11 15 Leeds 29 13 16 1.3 1.7 7 10 12 37 48 31
12 17 Nott'm Forest 29 14 15 1.0 1.5 7 7 15 28 43 28
13 19 Burnley 29 14 15 1.1 2.0 4 7 18 32 58 19
14 4 Aston Villa 29 15 14 1.3 1.2 15 6 8 39 34 51
15 7 Brentford 29 15 14 1.5 1.4 13 5 11 44 40 44
16 12 Brighton 29 16 13 1.3 1.2 9 10 10 38 36 37
17 14 Crystal Palace 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 9 8 11 30 34 35
18 20 Wolves 30 17 13 0.7 1.7 3 7 20 22 52 16
19 11 Sunderland 29 17 12 1.0 1.2 10 10 9 30 34 40
20 8 Everton 29 19 10 1.2 1.1 12 7 10 34 33 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
2 13 Newcastle 14 4 10 1.9 1.6 7 2 5 26 23 23
3 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.4 0.6 11 2 1 33 9 35
4 10 Fulham 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 8 2 5 24 18 26
5 15 Leeds 15 6 9 1.5 1.3 6 4 5 22 20 22
6 16 Tottenham 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 2 4 8 17 22 10
7 18 West Ham 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 3 8 17 27 12
8 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
9 4 Aston Villa 15 7 8 1.4 1.0 9 2 4 21 15 29
10 5 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 23 16 23
11 6 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 26 16 27
12 7 Brentford 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 4 3 24 15 25
13 11 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.6 0.9 7 5 2 22 13 26
14 12 Brighton 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 6 6 3 22 16 24
15 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 3 4 7 13 19 13
16 3 Man United 14 8 6 1.9 1.1 9 3 2 27 16 30
17 8 Everton 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
18 9 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.4 1.0 6 7 2 21 15 25
19 14 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.0 1.3 3 6 5 14 18 15
20 19 Burnley 14 9 5 1.1 1.6 2 4 8 15 23 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Chelsea 15 4 11 2.0 1.2 7 4 4 30 18 25
2 3 Man United 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 5 6 3 23 22 21
3 6 Liverpool 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 22 23 21
4 9 Bournemouth 14 4 10 1.6 2.2 3 6 5 23 31 15
5 16 Tottenham 14 4 10 1.5 1.5 5 4 5 21 21 19
6 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.3 2 3 10 17 35 9
7 18 West Ham 15 6 9 1.2 1.8 4 4 7 18 27 16
8 2 Man City 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 7 3 4 23 16 24
9 10 Fulham 14 6 8 1.1 1.8 4 2 8 16 25 14
10 13 Newcastle 14 6 8 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 19 13
11 17 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.0 1.6 4 3 8 15 24 15
12 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
13 7 Brentford 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 20 25 19
14 14 Crystal Palace 14 7 7 1.1 1.1 6 2 6 16 16 20
15 15 Leeds 14 7 7 1.1 2.0 1 6 7 15 28 9
16 4 Aston Villa 14 8 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
17 12 Brighton 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 3 4 7 16 20 13
18 11 Sunderland 15 10 5 0.5 1.4 3 5 7 8 21 14
19 8 Everton 14 10 4 1.1 1.0 7 3 4 16 14 24
20 20 Wolves 14 10 4 0.4 1.5 0 4 10 5 21 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51