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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Newcastle 4–3 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.67 fair 1.90
Draw 3.80 fair 4.32
Away 5.00 fair 4.12
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Leeds
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 4
11 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (207 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:24
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.30scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:33
Newcastle all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.30
1.20 Goals conceded 1.65
2.60 Total goals 2.95
12.70 Shots 12.70
4.65 Shots on target 4.00
10.75 Shots faced 11.80
6.40 Corners 4.50
5.35 Corners against 3.65
9.95 Fouls 10.15
1.25 Yellow cards 1.45
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

40% Wins 25%
25% Draws 35%
35% Losses 40%
85% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
35% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
60% Both teams scored 65%
30% Clean sheets 15%
25% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 25%
40% Draws 50%
20% Losses 25%
60% Over 0.5 goals 65%
25% Over 1.5 goals 45%
15% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Leeds all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:12
Leeds before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:20
Newcastle at home away Leeds

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.80
1.20 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 2.80
13.80 Shots 10.10
5.70 Shots on target 3.30
10.80 Shots faced 12.30
7.50 Corners 3.70
5.70 Corners against 3.90
10.70 Fouls 9.70
1.20 Yellow cards 1.10
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

60% Wins 10%
20% Draws 30%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 80%
70% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 50%
30% Clean sheets 10%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 10%
40% Draws 40%
10% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 70%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
28.12.25 Sunderland – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Leeds – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Brentford – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Newcastle – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.80 2.00
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
28.12.25 Sunderland – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.67
14.12.25 Brentford – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsLeeds wins
5matches
1.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25E0 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
13.05.23E0 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
31.12.22E0 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
22.01.22E0 Leeds – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.66 2.20
17.09.21E0 Newcastle – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.602.30 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 +26 48
2 Man City 21 13 4 4 45 19 +26 43
3 Aston Villa 21 13 4 4 33 24 +9 43
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 28 +4 34
5 Brentford 21 10 3 8 35 28 +7 33
6 Chelsea 21 8 7 6 34 24 +10 31
7 Man United 20 8 7 5 34 30 +4 31
8 Fulham 21 9 4 8 30 30 0 31
9 Sunderland 21 7 9 5 21 22 -1 30
10 Newcastle 20 8 5 7 28 24 +4 29
11 Brighton 21 7 8 6 31 28 +3 29
12 Everton 21 8 5 8 23 25 -2 29
13 Crystal Palace 21 7 7 7 22 23 -1 28
14 Tottenham 21 7 6 8 30 27 +3 27
15 Bournemouth 21 6 8 7 34 40 -6 26
16 Leeds 20 5 7 8 26 33 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 21 6 3 12 21 34 -13 21
18 West Ham 21 3 5 13 22 43 -21 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 21 1 4 16 15 41 -26 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 1 0 26 5 +21 28
2 Man City 11 8 2 1 27 8 +19 26
3 Aston Villa 10 8 1 1 18 8 +10 25
4 Brentford 11 7 3 1 23 10 +13 24
5 Sunderland 10 5 5 0 16 8 +8 20
6 Fulham 11 6 2 3 19 13 +6 20
7 Newcastle 10 6 2 2 18 12 +6 20
8 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
9 Brighton 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19
10 Bournemouth 11 5 4 2 16 11 +5 19
11 Man United 10 5 3 2 18 13 +5 18
12 Leeds 10 4 4 2 18 13 +5 16
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15
15 Crystal Palace 11 2 6 3 10 12 -2 12
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 10 2 3 5 12 12 0 9
18 Burnley 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
19 West Ham 11 2 1 8 13 25 -12 7
20 Wolves 10 1 1 8 10 23 -13 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 6 2 2 14 9 +5 20
2 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 18 15 +3 18
3 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 15 16 -1 18
4 Man City 10 5 2 3 18 11 +7 17
5 Chelsea 11 4 4 3 19 13 +6 16
6 Crystal Palace 10 5 1 4 12 11 +1 16
7 Liverpool 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14
8 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
9 Man United 10 3 4 3 16 17 -1 13
10 Fulham 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
11 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 9 17 -8 11
12 Brighton 11 2 4 5 13 17 -4 10
13 Sunderland 11 2 4 5 5 14 -9 10
14 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
15 Brentford 10 3 0 7 12 18 -6 9
16 West Ham 10 1 4 5 9 18 -9 7
17 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
18 Leeds 10 1 3 6 8 20 -12 6
19 Burnley 10 1 1 8 12 26 -14 4
20 Wolves 11 0 3 8 5 18 -13 3

Newcastle   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 21 7 14 1.6 1.9 6 8 7 34 40 26
2 18 West Ham 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 3 5 13 22 43 14
3 2 Man City 21 8 13 2.1 0.9 13 4 4 45 19 43
4 3 Aston Villa 21 8 13 1.6 1.1 13 4 4 33 24 43
5 4 Liverpool 20 7 13 1.6 1.4 10 4 6 32 28 34
6 6 Chelsea 21 8 13 1.6 1.1 8 7 6 34 24 31
7 14 Tottenham 21 8 13 1.4 1.3 7 6 8 30 27 27
8 5 Brentford 21 9 12 1.7 1.3 10 3 8 35 28 33
9 7 Man United 20 8 12 1.7 1.5 8 7 5 34 30 31
10 10 Newcastle 20 8 12 1.4 1.2 8 5 7 28 24 29
11 16 Leeds 20 8 12 1.3 1.6 5 7 8 26 33 22
12 17 Nott'm Forest 21 9 12 1.0 1.6 6 3 12 21 34 21
13 8 Fulham 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 9 4 8 30 30 31
14 11 Brighton 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 7 8 6 31 28 29
15 1 Arsenal 20 10 10 2.0 0.7 15 3 2 40 14 48
16 19 Burnley 20 10 10 1.0 1.9 3 3 14 20 39 12
17 20 Wolves 21 11 10 0.7 2.0 1 4 16 15 41 7
18 13 Crystal Palace 21 12 9 1.0 1.1 7 7 7 22 23 28
19 9 Sunderland 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 7 9 5 21 22 30
20 12 Everton 21 14 7 1.1 1.2 8 5 8 23 25 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 11 3 8 1.2 2.3 2 1 8 13 25 7
2 2 Man City 11 4 7 2.5 0.7 8 2 1 27 8 26
3 3 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.8 0.8 8 1 1 18 8 25
4 5 Brentford 11 4 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 1 23 10 24
5 10 Newcastle 10 3 7 1.8 1.2 6 2 2 18 12 20
6 16 Leeds 10 3 7 1.8 1.3 4 4 2 18 13 16
7 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
8 1 Arsenal 10 4 6 2.6 0.5 9 1 0 26 5 28
9 6 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
10 8 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.2 6 2 3 19 13 20
11 11 Brighton 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19
12 20 Wolves 10 4 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 8 10 23 4
13 4 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
14 12 Everton 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15
15 14 Tottenham 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 3 5 12 12 9
16 15 Bournemouth 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 16 11 19
17 7 Man United 10 6 4 1.8 1.3 5 3 2 18 13 18
18 9 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 5 0 16 8 20
19 13 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 2 6 3 10 12 12
20 19 Burnley 10 8 2 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
2 4 Liverpool 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14
3 7 Man United 10 2 8 1.6 1.7 3 4 3 16 17 13
4 14 Tottenham 11 3 8 1.6 1.4 5 3 3 18 15 18
5 19 Burnley 10 2 8 1.2 2.6 1 1 8 12 26 4
6 6 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 4 4 3 19 13 16
7 2 Man City 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 3 18 11 17
8 3 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 3 3 15 16 18
9 18 West Ham 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 5 9 18 7
10 5 Brentford 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 0 7 12 18 9
11 8 Fulham 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
12 10 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
13 11 Brighton 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 4 5 13 17 10
14 13 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 5 1 4 12 11 16
15 16 Leeds 10 5 5 0.8 2.0 1 3 6 8 20 6
16 17 Nott'm Forest 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 6 9 17 11
17 1 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 6 2 2 14 9 20
18 20 Wolves 11 7 4 0.5 1.6 0 3 8 5 18 3
19 9 Sunderland 11 8 3 0.5 1.3 2 4 5 5 14 10
20 12 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51