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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Newcastle 2–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.27 fair 1.86
Draw 6.00 fair 4.54
Away 9.50 fair 4.15
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Burnley
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 9
9 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (141 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.36scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:18
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
1.07scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:28
Newcastle all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.07
1.29 Goals conceded 2.00
2.64 Total goals 3.07
12.29 Shots 8.21
4.29 Shots on target 3.07
10.86 Shots faced 16.00
6.00 Corners 2.86
5.71 Corners against 6.50
11.00 Fouls 9.86
0.93 Yellow cards 1.43
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

36% Wins 21%
29% Draws 7%
36% Losses 71%
79% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
64% Over 2.5 goals 50%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
64% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 14%
21% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 7%
43% Draws 50%
21% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 79%
14% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Burnley all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.71scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:9
Burnley before this match, away
0.43points / match
1.43scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:21
Newcastle at home away Burnley

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.43
1.29 Goals conceded 3.00
3.00 Total goals 4.43
14.00 Shots 9.57
5.43 Shots on target 3.86
10.71 Shots faced 17.43
7.43 Corners 3.57
5.43 Corners against 6.57
11.43 Fouls 9.43
0.86 Yellow cards 1.86
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

57% Wins 14%
14% Draws 0%
29% Losses 86%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 100%
71% Over 2.5 goals 100%
29% Over 3.5 goals 71%
14% Over 4.5 goals 57%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 86%
29% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 0%
43% Draws 57%
14% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 86%
0% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.11.25 West Ham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Newcastle – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.80 2.00
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38
25.05.25 Newcastle – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38
26.04.25 Newcastle – Ipswich 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
08.04.25E1 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
30.09.23E0 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
22.05.22E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.94 1.96
04.12.21E0 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 10 3 2 28 9 +19 33
2 Aston Villa 15 9 3 3 22 15 +7 30
3 Man City 14 9 1 4 32 16 +16 28
4 Chelsea 14 7 3 4 25 15 +10 24
5 Crystal Palace 14 6 5 3 18 11 +7 23
6 Sunderland 14 6 5 3 18 14 +4 23
7 Brighton 14 6 4 4 24 20 +4 22
8 Man United 14 6 4 4 22 21 +1 22
9 Liverpool 14 7 1 6 21 21 0 22
10 Everton 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21
11 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 23 18 +5 19
12 Newcastle 14 5 4 5 19 18 +1 19
13 Brentford 14 6 1 7 21 22 -1 19
14 Bournemouth 14 5 4 5 21 24 -3 19
15 Fulham 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17
16 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 14 22 -8 15
17 Leeds 14 4 2 8 16 26 -10 14
18 West Ham 14 3 3 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Burnley 14 3 1 10 15 28 -13 10
20 Wolves 14 0 2 12 7 29 -22 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 6 1 0 18 2 +16 19
2 Aston Villa 8 6 1 1 13 6 +7 19
3 Man City 7 6 0 1 19 6 +13 18
4 Brentford 7 5 1 1 15 8 +7 16
5 Sunderland 7 4 3 0 14 7 +7 15
6 Brighton 7 4 2 1 15 10 +5 14
7 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 10 5 +5 14
8 Fulham 7 4 1 2 13 8 +5 13
9 Man United 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
10 Newcastle 7 4 1 2 12 9 +3 13
11 Liverpool 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
12 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 10 7 +3 11
13 Leeds 7 3 2 2 10 8 +2 11
14 Everton 7 3 2 2 8 9 -1 11
15 Crystal Palace 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
16 Burnley 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
17 Nott'm Forest 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7
18 West Ham 7 2 0 5 8 17 -9 6
19 Tottenham 7 1 2 4 8 9 -1 5
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 6 17 -11 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Arsenal 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
3 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 15 8 +7 13
4 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 9 4 +5 13
5 Aston Villa 7 3 2 2 9 9 0 11
6 Man City 7 3 1 3 13 10 +3 10
7 Everton 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
8 Liverpool 7 3 0 4 10 12 -2 9
9 Man United 7 2 3 2 10 13 -3 9
10 Brighton 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
11 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 6 9 -3 8
12 Sunderland 7 2 2 3 4 7 -3 8
13 Newcastle 7 1 3 3 7 9 -2 6
14 West Ham 7 1 3 3 8 11 -3 6
15 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 11 19 -8 5
16 Fulham 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
17 Brentford 7 1 0 6 6 14 -8 3
18 Burnley 7 1 0 6 10 21 -11 3
19 Leeds 7 1 0 6 6 18 -12 3
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 1 12 -11 1

Newcastle   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Tottenham 14 4 10 1.6 1.3 5 4 5 23 18 19
2 17 Leeds 14 4 10 1.1 1.9 4 2 8 16 26 14
3 3 Man City 14 5 9 2.3 1.1 9 1 4 32 16 28
4 4 Chelsea 14 5 9 1.8 1.1 7 3 4 25 15 24
5 7 Brighton 14 5 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 4 24 20 22
6 8 Man United 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 6 4 4 22 21 22
7 9 Liverpool 14 5 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 6 21 21 22
8 12 Newcastle 14 5 9 1.4 1.3 5 4 5 19 18 19
9 13 Brentford 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 1 7 21 22 19
10 14 Bournemouth 14 5 9 1.5 1.7 5 4 5 21 24 19
11 18 West Ham 14 5 9 1.1 2.0 3 3 8 16 28 12
12 2 Aston Villa 15 7 8 1.5 1.0 9 3 3 22 15 30
13 15 Fulham 14 7 7 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17
14 16 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 4 3 7 14 22 15
15 19 Burnley 14 7 7 1.1 2.0 3 1 10 15 28 10
16 1 Arsenal 15 9 6 1.9 0.6 10 3 2 28 9 33
17 5 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.3 0.8 6 5 3 18 11 23
18 20 Wolves 14 8 6 0.5 2.1 0 2 12 7 29 2
19 6 Sunderland 14 9 5 1.3 1.0 6 5 3 18 14 23
20 10 Everton 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 6 3 5 15 17 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 4 2 1 15 10 14
2 2 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.6 0.8 6 1 1 13 6 19
3 3 Man City 7 2 5 2.7 0.9 6 0 1 19 6 18
4 12 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 4 1 2 12 9 13
5 13 Brentford 7 2 5 2.1 1.1 5 1 1 15 8 16
6 16 Nott'm Forest 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7
7 17 Leeds 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 3 2 2 10 8 11
8 18 West Ham 7 2 5 1.1 2.4 2 0 5 8 17 6
9 4 Chelsea 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 3 2 2 10 7 11
10 6 Sunderland 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 3 0 14 7 15
11 9 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
12 11 Tottenham 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 1 2 4 8 9 5
13 20 Wolves 7 3 4 0.9 2.4 0 1 6 6 17 1
14 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.6 0.3 6 1 0 18 2 19
15 5 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
16 8 Man United 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
17 10 Everton 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 3 2 2 8 9 11
18 14 Bournemouth 7 4 3 1.4 0.7 4 2 1 10 5 14
19 15 Fulham 7 4 3 1.9 1.1 4 1 2 13 8 13
20 19 Burnley 7 7 0 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 7 0 7 1.4 3.0 1 0 6 10 21 3
2 8 Man United 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 2 10 13 9
3 11 Tottenham 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
4 14 Bournemouth 7 1 6 1.6 2.7 1 2 4 11 19 5
5 4 Chelsea 7 2 5 2.1 1.1 4 1 2 15 8 13
6 9 Liverpool 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 0 4 10 12 9
7 17 Leeds 7 2 5 0.9 2.6 1 0 6 6 18 3
8 3 Man City 7 3 4 1.9 1.4 3 1 3 13 10 10
9 12 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 1 3 3 7 9 6
10 13 Brentford 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 0 6 6 14 3
11 15 Fulham 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
12 18 West Ham 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 1 3 3 8 11 6
13 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
14 2 Aston Villa 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 2 9 9 11
15 5 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 4 1 2 9 4 13
16 7 Brighton 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
17 10 Everton 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
18 16 Nott'm Forest 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 2 2 3 6 9 8
19 20 Wolves 7 5 2 0.1 1.7 0 1 6 1 12 1
20 6 Sunderland 7 6 1 0.6 1.0 2 2 3 4 7 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40