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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Leeds 0–4 Arsenal

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.75 fair 3.13
Draw 4.20 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 1.55 fair 2.33
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Arsenal
3 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 8
4 Corners 12
10 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (230 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 9.4% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.35scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 31:38
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
1.83scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 42:17
Leeds all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.83
1.65 Goals conceded 0.74
3.00 Total goals 2.57
12.87 Shots 14.91
4.13 Shots on target 4.91
11.83 Shots faced 7.91
4.57 Corners 5.91
3.83 Corners against 3.09
10.09 Fouls 10.17
1.52 Yellow cards 1.39
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.26

How often Full Time

26% Wins 65%
35% Draws 22%
39% Losses 13%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
78% Over 1.5 goals 70%
57% Over 2.5 goals 48%
39% Over 3.5 goals 26%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 48%
17% Clean sheets 48%
26% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 43%
48% Draws 39%
22% Losses 17%
65% Over 0.5 goals 70%
43% Over 1.5 goals 22%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Arsenal all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.73scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:13
Arsenal before this match, away
1.91points / match
1.27scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:9
Leeds at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.27
1.18 Goals conceded 0.82
2.91 Total goals 2.09
15.18 Shots 13.45
4.73 Shots on target 4.91
11.00 Shots faced 9.91
5.45 Corners 5.91
3.36 Corners against 3.73
10.18 Fouls 10.55
1.73 Yellow cards 1.91
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

45% Wins 55%
36% Draws 27%
18% Losses 18%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 55%
64% Over 2.5 goals 36%
36% Over 3.5 goals 18%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 45%
27% Clean sheets 45%
9% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
64% Draws 45%
0% Losses 27%
55% Over 0.5 goals 64%
45% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.26 Everton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.67
17.01.26 Leeds – Fulham 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
04.01.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
28.12.25 Sunderland – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Leeds – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Brentford – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.91 1.91
08.01.26 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.101.57 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–0) 1.138.5021.00 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Leeds – Fulham 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
20.12.25 Leeds – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.91 1.91
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
20.12.25 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.101.57 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
08.11.25 Sunderland – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.38 2.05 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Fulham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.101.55 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsArsenal wins
5matches
3.80goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25E0 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
01.04.23E0 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
16.10.22E0 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
08.05.22E0 Arsenal – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.61 2.30
18.12.21E0 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 23 15 5 3 42 17 +25 50
2 Man City 23 14 4 5 47 21 +26 46
3 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 35 25 +10 46
4 Man United 23 10 8 5 41 34 +7 38
5 Chelsea 23 10 7 6 39 25 +14 37
6 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 35 32 +3 36
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 32 32 0 34
8 Brentford 23 10 3 10 35 32 +3 33
9 Newcastle 23 9 6 8 32 29 +3 33
10 Everton 23 9 6 8 25 26 -1 33
11 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 24 26 -2 33
12 Brighton 23 7 9 7 33 31 +2 30
13 Bournemouth 23 7 9 7 38 43 -5 30
14 Tottenham 23 7 7 9 33 31 +2 28
15 Crystal Palace 23 7 7 9 24 28 -4 28
16 Leeds 23 6 8 9 31 38 -7 26
17 Nott'm Forest 23 7 4 12 23 34 -11 25
18 West Ham 23 5 5 13 27 45 -18 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 25 44 -19 15
20 Wolves 23 1 5 17 15 43 -28 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 9 2 1 29 8 +21 29
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 28 8 +20 29
3 Aston Villa 11 8 1 2 18 9 +9 25
4 Brentford 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24
5 Sunderland 11 6 5 0 18 9 +9 23
6 Fulham 12 7 2 3 21 14 +7 23
7 Newcastle 12 7 2 3 22 17 +5 23
8 Bournemouth 12 6 4 2 19 13 +6 22
9 Man United 11 6 3 2 20 13 +7 21
10 Liverpool 11 6 3 2 16 11 +5 21
11 Brighton 11 5 5 1 19 12 +7 20
12 Leeds 11 5 4 2 19 13 +6 19
13 Chelsea 11 5 3 3 17 11 +6 18
14 Everton 12 4 4 4 15 16 -1 16
15 Crystal Palace 12 2 6 4 11 15 -4 12
16 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 12 17 -5 11
17 Burnley 12 2 4 6 12 17 -5 10
18 West Ham 12 3 1 8 16 26 -10 10
19 Tottenham 11 2 3 6 13 14 -1 9
20 Wolves 11 1 2 8 10 23 -13 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 6 3 2 14 9 +5 21
2 Aston Villa 12 6 3 3 17 16 +1 21
3 Chelsea 12 5 4 3 22 14 +8 19
4 Tottenham 12 5 4 3 20 17 +3 19
5 Man City 11 5 2 4 18 13 +5 17
6 Man United 12 4 5 3 21 21 0 17
7 Everton 11 5 2 4 10 10 0 17
8 Crystal Palace 11 5 1 5 13 13 0 16
9 Liverpool 12 4 3 5 19 21 -2 15
10 Nott'm Forest 12 4 2 6 11 17 -6 14
11 Fulham 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
12 Newcastle 11 2 4 5 10 12 -2 10
13 Brighton 12 2 4 6 14 19 -5 10
14 West Ham 11 2 4 5 11 19 -8 10
15 Sunderland 12 2 4 6 6 17 -11 10
16 Brentford 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
17 Bournemouth 11 1 5 5 19 30 -11 8
18 Leeds 12 1 4 7 12 25 -13 7
19 Burnley 11 1 2 8 13 27 -14 5
20 Wolves 12 0 3 9 5 20 -15 3

Leeds   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 23 7 16 1.2 2.0 5 5 13 27 45 20
2 13 Bournemouth 23 8 15 1.7 1.9 7 9 7 38 43 30
3 14 Tottenham 23 8 15 1.4 1.3 7 7 9 33 31 28
4 4 Man United 23 9 14 1.8 1.5 10 8 5 41 34 38
5 5 Chelsea 23 9 14 1.7 1.1 10 7 6 39 25 37
6 6 Liverpool 23 9 14 1.5 1.4 10 6 7 35 32 36
7 2 Man City 23 10 13 2.0 0.9 14 4 5 47 21 46
8 3 Aston Villa 23 10 13 1.5 1.1 14 4 5 35 25 46
9 9 Newcastle 23 10 13 1.4 1.3 9 6 8 32 29 33
10 16 Leeds 23 10 13 1.3 1.7 6 8 9 31 38 26
11 7 Fulham 23 11 12 1.4 1.4 10 4 9 32 32 34
12 8 Brentford 23 11 12 1.5 1.4 10 3 10 35 32 33
13 12 Brighton 23 11 12 1.4 1.3 7 9 7 33 31 30
14 17 Nott'm Forest 23 11 12 1.0 1.5 7 4 12 23 34 25
15 19 Burnley 23 11 12 1.1 1.9 3 6 14 25 44 15
16 1 Arsenal 23 12 11 1.8 0.7 15 5 3 42 17 50
17 15 Crystal Palace 23 12 11 1.0 1.2 7 7 9 24 28 28
18 20 Wolves 23 13 10 0.7 1.9 1 5 17 15 43 8
19 11 Sunderland 23 14 9 1.0 1.1 8 9 6 24 26 33
20 10 Everton 23 16 7 1.1 1.1 9 6 8 25 26 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 1 8 16 26 10
2 9 Newcastle 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 7 2 3 22 17 23
3 1 Arsenal 12 5 7 2.3 0.7 9 2 1 28 8 29
4 2 Man City 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 9 2 1 29 8 29
5 3 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.6 0.8 8 1 2 18 9 25
6 7 Fulham 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 7 2 3 21 14 23
7 8 Brentford 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 3 2 23 12 24
8 16 Leeds 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 5 4 2 19 13 19
9 17 Nott'm Forest 11 4 7 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 17 11
10 5 Chelsea 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 17 11 18
11 12 Brighton 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 5 5 1 19 12 20
12 13 Bournemouth 12 6 6 1.6 1.1 6 4 2 19 13 22
13 14 Tottenham 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 2 3 6 13 14 9
14 20 Wolves 11 5 6 0.9 2.1 1 2 8 10 23 5
15 6 Liverpool 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 3 2 16 11 21
16 10 Everton 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 4 15 16 16
17 11 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 5 0 18 9 23
18 15 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 2 6 4 11 15 12
19 4 Man United 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 6 3 2 20 13 21
20 19 Burnley 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 2 4 6 12 17 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man United 12 2 10 1.8 1.8 4 5 3 21 21 17
2 6 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 4 3 5 19 21 15
3 13 Bournemouth 11 2 9 1.7 2.7 1 5 5 19 30 8
4 14 Tottenham 12 3 9 1.7 1.4 5 4 3 20 17 19
5 5 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 4 3 22 14 19
6 19 Burnley 11 3 8 1.2 2.5 1 2 8 13 27 5
7 18 West Ham 11 4 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 5 11 19 10
8 2 Man City 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 2 4 18 13 17
9 3 Aston Villa 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 6 3 3 17 16 21
10 12 Brighton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 4 6 14 19 10
11 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.2 1.2 5 1 5 13 13 16
12 16 Leeds 12 6 6 1.0 2.1 1 4 7 12 25 7
13 7 Fulham 11 6 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
14 8 Brentford 11 6 5 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
15 9 Newcastle 11 6 5 0.9 1.1 2 4 5 10 12 10
16 17 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 0.9 1.4 4 2 6 11 17 14
17 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.3 0.8 6 3 2 14 9 21
18 11 Sunderland 12 8 4 0.5 1.4 2 4 6 6 17 10
19 20 Wolves 12 8 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 9 5 20 3
20 10 Everton 11 9 2 0.9 0.9 5 2 4 10 10 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51