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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Man United 3–2 Liverpool

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.17
Draw 3.80 fair 4.34
Away 2.75 fair 3.25
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Liverpool
18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 2
12 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (345 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.2% 1–2 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.76scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 60:46
Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.68scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 57:44
Man United all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.68
1.35 Goals conceded 1.29
3.12 Total goals 2.97
15.50 Shots 15.50
5.71 Shots on target 4.53
11.44 Shots faced 11.35
4.74 Corners 5.94
5.03 Corners against 4.59
10.24 Fouls 9.91
1.59 Yellow cards 1.47
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
29% Draws 21%
21% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
85% Over 1.5 goals 82%
62% Over 2.5 goals 62%
35% Over 3.5 goals 26%
18% Over 4.5 goals 21%
6% Over 5.5 goals 9%
74% Both teams scored 65%
18% Clean sheets 29%
9% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
38% Draws 38%
24% Losses 24%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
35% Over 1.5 goals 29%
6% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Liverpool all matches
Man United before this match, at home
2.12points / match
1.94scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 33:20
Liverpool before this match, away
1.41points / match
1.47scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:26
Man United at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.47
1.18 Goals conceded 1.53
3.12 Total goals 3.00
17.24 Shots 13.65
6.82 Shots on target 3.94
10.12 Shots faced 11.41
5.29 Corners 6.00
4.53 Corners against 4.06
10.35 Fouls 10.29
1.65 Yellow cards 1.88
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

65% Wins 41%
18% Draws 18%
18% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
82% Over 1.5 goals 76%
53% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
24% Over 4.5 goals 24%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 65%
24% Clean sheets 29%
12% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 12%
24% Draws 53%
24% Losses 35%
82% Over 0.5 goals 53%
41% Over 1.5 goals 24%
6% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.26 Man United – Brentford 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.804.00 1.57 2.38
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
13.04.26 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10
20.03.26 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10
10.02.26 West Ham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.201.70 1.50 2.63
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 3–1 (2–0) 1.445.006.25 1.57 2.38
19.04.26 Everton – Liverpool 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.90 1.95
11.04.26 Liverpool – Fulham 2–0 (2–0) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Liverpool – Tottenham 1–1 (1–0) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
03.03.26 Wolves – Liverpool 2–1 (0–0) 5.504.501.50 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Liverpool – West Ham 5–2 (3–0) 1.424.756.50 1.44 2.75
22.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
11.02.26 Sunderland – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 1.80 2.00
08.02.26 Liverpool – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 2.383.702.75 1.57 2.38

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.26 Man United – Brentford 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.804.00 1.57 2.38
13.04.26 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Man United – Fulham 3–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
30.12.25 Man United – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 1.365.258.00 1.62 2.30
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Everton – Liverpool 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.90 1.95
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10
03.03.26 Wolves – Liverpool 2–1 (0–0) 5.504.501.50 1.62 2.30
22.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
11.02.26 Sunderland – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Bournemouth – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 3.753.801.90 1.62 2.30
08.01.26 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Fulham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Tottenham – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsLiverpool wins
9matches
3.67goals / match
89%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25E0 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75
05.01.25E0 Liverpool – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 1.296.258.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24E0 Man United – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 3.704.201.85 1.44 2.75
07.04.24E0 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
17.12.23E0 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
05.03.23E0 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
22.08.22E0 Man United – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.62
19.04.22E0 Liverpool – Man United 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.62
24.10.21E0 Man United – Liverpool 0–5 (0–4) 3.103.602.20 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 67 26 +41 76
2 Man City 33 21 7 5 66 29 +37 70
3 Man United 34 17 10 7 60 46 +14 61
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57 44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 47 42 +5 58
6 Bournemouth 35 12 16 7 55 52 +3 52
7 Brentford 35 14 9 12 52 46 +6 51
8 Brighton 35 13 11 11 49 42 +7 50
9 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 45 +8 48
10 Fulham 35 14 6 15 44 49 -5 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41 41 0 47
12 Sunderland 35 12 11 12 37 46 -9 47
13 Newcastle 35 13 6 16 49 51 -2 45
14 Leeds 35 10 13 12 47 52 -5 43
15 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 36 42 -6 43
16 Nott'm Forest 34 10 9 15 41 45 -4 39
17 West Ham 35 9 9 17 42 61 -19 36
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 43 53 -10 34
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 35 71 -36 20
20 Wolves 35 3 9 23 25 63 -38 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 40 11 +29 44
2 Man City 16 12 3 1 38 12 +26 39
3 Man United 17 11 3 3 33 20 +13 36
4 Aston Villa 17 11 2 4 27 18 +9 35
5 Liverpool 17 10 4 3 32 18 +14 34
6 Fulham 17 10 2 5 28 19 +9 32
7 Brentford 18 8 7 3 31 19 +12 31
8 Brighton 17 8 6 3 27 17 +10 30
9 Bournemouth 18 7 9 2 28 19 +9 30
10 Leeds 18 8 5 5 28 21 +7 29
11 Newcastle 18 9 2 7 33 29 +4 29
12 Sunderland 17 8 5 4 23 19 +4 29
13 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 23 21 +2 23
14 Everton 17 6 4 7 22 21 +1 22
15 Crystal Palace 17 4 8 5 16 19 -3 20
16 West Ham 17 5 4 8 24 29 -5 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 4 6 7 18 21 -3 18
18 Wolves 18 3 4 11 18 33 -15 13
19 Tottenham 17 2 5 10 20 30 -10 11
20 Burnley 17 2 5 10 15 26 -11 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 9 5 3 27 15 +12 32
2 Man City 17 9 4 4 28 17 +11 31
3 Chelsea 17 7 4 6 30 24 +6 25
4 Man United 17 6 7 4 27 26 +1 25
5 Everton 17 7 4 6 19 20 -1 25
6 Liverpool 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
7 Tottenham 17 6 5 6 23 23 0 23
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 2 8 20 23 -3 23
9 Aston Villa 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
10 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 27 33 -6 22
11 Nott'm Forest 17 6 3 8 23 24 -1 21
12 Brighton 18 5 5 8 22 25 -3 20
13 Brentford 17 6 2 9 21 27 -6 20
14 Sunderland 18 4 6 8 14 27 -13 18
15 West Ham 18 4 5 9 18 32 -14 17
16 Newcastle 17 4 4 9 16 22 -6 16
17 Fulham 18 4 4 10 16 30 -14 16
18 Leeds 17 2 8 7 19 31 -12 14
19 Burnley 18 2 3 13 20 45 -25 9
20 Wolves 17 0 5 12 7 30 -23 5

Man United   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newcastle 35 12 23 1.4 1.5 13 6 16 49 51 45
2 9 Chelsea 34 12 22 1.6 1.3 13 9 12 53 45 48
3 18 Tottenham 34 12 22 1.3 1.6 8 10 16 43 53 34
4 3 Man United 34 13 21 1.8 1.4 17 10 7 60 46 61
5 4 Liverpool 34 13 21 1.7 1.3 17 7 10 57 44 58
6 6 Bournemouth 35 14 21 1.6 1.5 12 16 7 55 52 52
7 17 West Ham 35 14 21 1.2 1.7 9 9 17 42 61 36
8 2 Man City 33 13 20 2.0 0.9 21 7 5 66 29 70
9 14 Leeds 35 15 20 1.3 1.5 10 13 12 47 52 43
10 1 Arsenal 35 16 19 1.9 0.7 23 7 5 67 26 76
11 10 Fulham 35 16 19 1.3 1.4 14 6 15 44 49 48
12 7 Brentford 35 17 18 1.5 1.3 14 9 12 52 46 51
13 16 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.3 10 9 15 41 45 39
14 19 Burnley 35 17 18 1.0 2.0 4 8 23 35 71 20
15 8 Brighton 35 18 17 1.4 1.2 13 11 11 49 42 50
16 15 Crystal Palace 34 17 17 1.1 1.2 11 10 13 36 42 43
17 5 Aston Villa 34 18 16 1.4 1.2 17 7 10 47 42 58
18 20 Wolves 35 19 16 0.7 1.8 3 9 23 25 63 18
19 12 Sunderland 35 20 15 1.1 1.3 12 11 12 37 46 47
20 11 Everton 34 20 14 1.2 1.2 13 8 13 41 41 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newcastle 18 4 14 1.8 1.6 9 2 7 33 29 29
2 18 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.2 1.8 2 5 10 20 30 11
3 1 Arsenal 18 7 11 2.2 0.6 14 2 2 40 11 44
4 2 Man City 16 5 11 2.4 0.8 12 3 1 38 12 39
5 14 Leeds 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 8 5 5 28 21 29
6 17 West Ham 17 6 11 1.4 1.7 5 4 8 24 29 19
7 7 Brentford 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 8 7 3 31 19 31
8 10 Fulham 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 10 2 5 28 19 32
9 3 Man United 17 8 9 1.9 1.2 11 3 3 33 20 36
10 4 Liverpool 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 10 4 3 32 18 34
11 5 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 11 2 4 27 18 35
12 6 Bournemouth 18 9 9 1.6 1.1 7 9 2 28 19 30
13 8 Brighton 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 8 6 3 27 17 30
14 9 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 6 23 21 23
15 20 Wolves 18 9 9 1.0 1.8 3 4 11 18 33 13
16 11 Everton 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 7 22 21 22
17 12 Sunderland 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 8 5 4 23 19 29
18 16 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 7 18 21 18
19 15 Crystal Palace 17 10 7 0.9 1.1 4 8 5 16 19 20
20 19 Burnley 17 12 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 10 15 26 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Chelsea 17 4 13 1.8 1.4 7 4 6 30 24 25
2 19 Burnley 18 5 13 1.1 2.5 2 3 13 20 45 9
3 3 Man United 17 5 12 1.6 1.5 6 7 4 27 26 25
4 4 Liverpool 17 5 12 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24
5 6 Bournemouth 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 5 7 5 27 33 22
6 15 Crystal Palace 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 7 2 8 20 23 23
7 16 Nott'm Forest 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 6 3 8 23 24 21
8 17 West Ham 18 8 10 1.0 1.8 4 5 9 18 32 17
9 18 Tottenham 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 6 5 6 23 23 23
10 2 Man City 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 4 4 28 17 31
11 10 Fulham 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 10 16 30 16
12 13 Newcastle 17 8 9 0.9 1.3 4 4 9 16 22 16
13 14 Leeds 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 2 8 7 19 31 14
14 1 Arsenal 17 9 8 1.6 0.9 9 5 3 27 15 32
15 7 Brentford 17 9 8 1.2 1.6 6 2 9 21 27 20
16 8 Brighton 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 8 22 25 20
17 5 Aston Villa 17 10 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
18 12 Sunderland 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 4 6 8 14 27 18
19 20 Wolves 17 10 7 0.4 1.8 0 5 12 7 30 5
20 11 Everton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 7 4 6 19 20 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06