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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Man United 1–0 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.14
Draw 3.60 fair 4.25
Away 2.60 fair 3.36
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Newcastle
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 11
9 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (170 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.82scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:28
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.35scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:22
Man United all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.35
1.65 Goals conceded 1.29
3.47 Total goals 2.65
16.53 Shots 12.12
5.71 Shots on target 4.35
11.12 Shots faced 10.53
4.71 Corners 6.18
4.53 Corners against 5.65
10.76 Fouls 10.94
1.41 Yellow cards 1.29
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.24

How often Full Time

41% Wins 35%
29% Draws 29%
29% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
88% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 65%
41% Over 3.5 goals 35%
24% Over 4.5 goals 12%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
76% Both teams scored 65%
6% Clean sheets 29%
18% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 41%
24% Draws 41%
29% Losses 18%
88% Over 0.5 goals 59%
41% Over 1.5 goals 24%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Newcastle all matches
Man United before this match, at home
1.75points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:12
Newcastle before this match, away
0.75points / match
0.88scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:10
Man United at home away Newcastle

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded 1.25
3.50 Total goals 2.13
19.25 Shots 10.00
6.38 Shots on target 3.00
9.13 Shots faced 10.25
4.75 Corners 4.75
3.75 Corners against 5.63
10.75 Fouls 10.50
1.38 Yellow cards 1.38
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

50% Wins 13%
25% Draws 38%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 63%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
38% Over 4.5 goals 13%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 50%
13% Clean sheets 38%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 25%
13% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
08.12.25 Wolves – Man United 1–4 (1–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
04.12.25 Man United – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.10
24.11.25 Man United – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.11.25 West Ham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
04.12.25 Man United – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.53 2.50
24.11.25 Man United – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
04.10.25 Man United – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.755.75 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (2–0) 2.603.802.45 1.57 2.38
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
17.08.25 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.83 2.03
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
11.05.25 Man United – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 1.73 2.10

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.11.25 West Ham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
18.05.25 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsNewcastle wins
8matches
2.75goals / match
38%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25E0 Newcastle – Man United 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.204.75 1.67 2.20
30.12.24E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
15.05.24E0 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
02.12.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
02.04.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
16.10.22E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
27.12.21E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
11.09.21E0 Man United – Newcastle 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 +21 39
2 Man City 17 12 1 4 41 16 +25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 +9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 +12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 +3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 +2 27
7 Man United 17 7 5 5 31 28 +3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 +2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 +2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 23 22 +1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 +3 22
15 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 3 9 17 26 -9 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
2 Arsenal 8 7 1 0 20 3 +17 22
3 Aston Villa 9 7 1 1 15 7 +8 22
4 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 15 7 +8 18
5 Brentford 8 5 2 1 16 9 +7 17
6 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
7 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
8 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
9 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
10 Liverpool 8 5 1 2 13 9 +4 16
11 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
12 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
13 Man United 8 4 2 2 16 12 +4 14
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 8 2 4 2 9 10 -1 10
16 Nott'm Forest 8 3 1 4 11 13 -2 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 8 2 1 5 7 10 -3 7
19 West Ham 8 2 0 6 10 20 -10 6
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
2 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
3 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
4 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
5 Aston Villa 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
6 Man City 8 4 1 3 16 10 +6 13
7 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
8 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
9 Everton 8 3 1 4 7 10 -3 10
10 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
11 Brighton 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
12 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
13 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
14 Fulham 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
15 Newcastle 8 1 3 4 7 10 -3 6
16 Bournemouth 8 1 3 4 15 23 -8 6
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
19 Leeds 8 1 1 6 7 19 -12 4
20 Wolves 8 0 1 7 2 14 -12 1

Man United   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 0.9 12 1 4 41 16 37
2 7 Man United 17 5 12 1.8 1.6 7 5 5 31 28 26
3 14 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.5 1.4 6 4 7 26 23 22
4 16 Leeds 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 24 31 19
5 5 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.6 1.5 9 2 6 28 25 29
6 11 Newcastle 17 6 11 1.4 1.3 6 5 6 23 22 23
7 18 West Ham 17 6 11 1.1 2.1 3 4 10 19 35 13
8 3 Aston Villa 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 11 3 3 27 18 36
9 4 Chelsea 17 7 10 1.7 1.0 8 5 4 29 17 29
10 15 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 5 7 5 26 29 22
11 8 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.2 1.1 7 5 5 21 19 26
12 9 Brighton 17 8 9 1.5 1.4 6 6 5 25 23 24
13 12 Brentford 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 8 24 25 23
14 13 Fulham 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 8 24 26 23
15 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.0 1.5 5 3 9 17 26 18
16 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.1 2.0 3 2 12 19 34 11
17 20 Wolves 17 9 8 0.5 2.2 0 2 15 9 37 2
18 1 Arsenal 17 10 7 1.8 0.6 12 3 2 31 10 39
19 6 Sunderland 17 11 6 1.1 1.0 7 6 4 19 17 27
20 10 Everton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 7 3 7 18 20 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
2 11 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
4 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 7 1 1 15 7 22
5 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
6 17 Nott'm Forest 8 2 6 1.4 1.6 3 1 4 11 13 10
7 18 West Ham 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 2 0 6 10 20 6
8 12 Brentford 8 3 5 2.0 1.1 5 2 1 16 9 17
9 14 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
10 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
11 1 Arsenal 8 4 4 2.5 0.4 7 1 0 20 3 22
12 4 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
13 5 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 5 1 2 13 9 16
14 6 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.9 0.9 5 3 0 15 7 18
15 7 Man United 8 4 4 2.0 1.5 4 2 2 16 12 14
16 8 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 2 9 10 10
17 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
18 13 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 8 7 1 0.9 1.2 2 1 5 7 10 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
2 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
3 5 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
4 14 Tottenham 8 1 7 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
5 15 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.9 2.9 1 3 4 15 23 6
6 4 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
7 2 Man City 8 3 5 2.0 1.2 4 1 3 16 10 13
8 8 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
9 13 Fulham 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
10 16 Leeds 8 3 5 0.9 2.4 1 1 6 7 19 4
11 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
12 3 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
13 11 Newcastle 8 4 4 0.9 1.2 1 3 4 7 10 6
14 12 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
15 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
16 9 Brighton 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
17 17 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
18 20 Wolves 8 5 3 0.2 1.8 0 1 7 2 14 1
19 6 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 10 Everton 8 6 2 0.9 1.2 3 1 4 7 10 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06