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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Man United 3–1 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 2.17
Draw 4.00 fair 4.15
Away 4.50 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Aston Villa
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 6
10 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (296 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.76scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 51:40
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.34scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 39:34
Man United all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.34
1.38 Goals conceded 1.17
3.14 Total goals 2.52
15.93 Shots 12.59
5.76 Shots on target 4.34
10.90 Shots faced 12.76
4.41 Corners 5.31
4.83 Corners against 4.69
10.28 Fouls 10.41
1.41 Yellow cards 1.55
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

48% Wins 52%
31% Draws 21%
21% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
86% Over 1.5 goals 69%
59% Over 2.5 goals 48%
34% Over 3.5 goals 24%
21% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
72% Both teams scored 52%
17% Clean sheets 28%
10% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 24%
38% Draws 45%
24% Losses 31%
79% Over 0.5 goals 69%
34% Over 1.5 goals 24%
7% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Man United before this match, at home
2.14points / match
1.93scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:16
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.29scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:19
Man United at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 1.29
1.14 Goals conceded 1.36
3.07 Total goals 2.64
17.57 Shots 11.50
6.79 Shots on target 4.14
9.71 Shots faced 14.21
4.71 Corners 4.86
4.21 Corners against 4.79
10.57 Fouls 10.71
1.43 Yellow cards 1.86
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

64% Wins 43%
21% Draws 29%
14% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
79% Over 1.5 goals 79%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 21%
29% Over 4.5 goals 21%
14% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 21%
14% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 14%
21% Draws 50%
21% Losses 36%
86% Over 0.5 goals 64%
36% Over 1.5 goals 21%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10
10.02.26 West Ham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.201.70 1.50 2.63
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Man United – Fulham 3–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.67 2.20
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.26 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–4 (1–2) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Man United – Fulham 3–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
30.12.25 Man United – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 1.365.258.00 1.62 2.30
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
04.12.25 Man United – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.53 2.50
24.11.25 Man United – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsAston Villa wins
9matches
2.56goals / match
56%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25E0 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
25.05.25E0 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
06.10.24E0 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
11.02.24E0 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
26.12.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
30.04.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
06.11.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
15.01.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
25.09.21E0 Man United – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 31 21 7 3 61 22 +39 70
2 Man City 30 18 7 5 60 28 +32 61
3 Man United 29 14 9 6 51 40 +11 51
4 Aston Villa 29 15 6 8 39 34 +5 51
5 Chelsea 30 13 9 8 53 35 +18 48
6 Liverpool 29 14 6 9 48 39 +9 48
7 Brentford 29 13 5 11 44 40 +4 44
8 Everton 30 12 7 11 34 35 -1 43
9 Newcastle 30 12 6 12 43 43 0 42
10 Bournemouth 30 9 14 7 44 46 -2 41
11 Brighton 30 10 10 10 39 36 +3 40
12 Fulham 29 12 4 13 40 43 -3 40
13 Sunderland 30 10 10 10 30 35 -5 40
14 Crystal Palace 29 10 8 11 33 35 -2 38
15 Leeds 29 7 10 12 37 48 -11 31
16 Tottenham 29 7 8 14 39 46 -7 29
17 West Ham 30 7 8 15 36 55 -19 29
18 Nott'm Forest 29 7 7 15 28 43 -15 28
19 Burnley 30 4 8 18 32 58 -26 20
20 Wolves 30 3 7 20 22 52 -30 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 35 9 +26 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Man United 14 9 3 2 27 16 +11 30
4 Aston Villa 15 9 2 4 21 15 +6 29
5 Liverpool 14 8 3 3 26 16 +10 27
6 Sunderland 15 7 5 3 22 14 +8 26
7 Fulham 15 8 2 5 24 18 +6 26
8 Newcastle 15 8 2 5 28 24 +4 26
9 Brentford 14 7 4 3 24 15 +9 25
10 Bournemouth 15 6 7 2 21 15 +6 25
11 Brighton 15 6 6 3 22 16 +6 24
12 Chelsea 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
13 Leeds 15 6 4 5 22 20 +2 22
14 Everton 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
15 Crystal Palace 14 3 6 5 14 18 -4 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 13 19 -6 13
17 West Ham 15 3 4 8 18 28 -10 13
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 15 2 5 8 15 23 -8 11
20 Tottenham 15 2 4 9 18 25 -7 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 30 18 +12 25
3 Man City 15 7 4 4 24 17 +7 25
4 Everton 15 7 3 5 16 16 0 24
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Aston Villa 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
7 Man United 15 5 6 4 24 24 0 21
8 Liverpool 15 6 3 6 22 23 -1 21
9 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 21 21 0 19
10 Brentford 15 6 1 8 20 25 -5 19
11 Brighton 15 4 4 7 17 20 -3 16
12 Newcastle 15 4 4 7 15 19 -4 16
13 Bournemouth 15 3 7 5 23 31 -8 16
14 West Ham 15 4 4 7 18 27 -9 16
15 Nott'm Forest 15 4 3 8 15 24 -9 15
16 Fulham 14 4 2 8 16 25 -9 14
17 Sunderland 15 3 5 7 8 21 -13 14
18 Leeds 14 1 6 7 15 28 -13 9
19 Burnley 15 2 3 10 17 35 -18 9
20 Wolves 14 0 4 10 5 21 -16 4

Man United   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Tottenham 29 9 20 1.3 1.6 7 8 14 39 46 29
2 5 Chelsea 30 11 19 1.8 1.2 13 9 8 53 35 48
3 9 Newcastle 30 11 19 1.4 1.4 12 6 12 43 43 42
4 2 Man City 30 12 18 2.0 0.9 18 7 5 60 28 61
5 6 Liverpool 29 11 18 1.7 1.3 14 6 9 48 39 48
6 17 West Ham 30 12 18 1.2 1.8 7 8 15 36 55 29
7 3 Man United 29 12 17 1.8 1.4 14 9 6 51 40 51
8 12 Fulham 29 12 17 1.4 1.5 12 4 13 40 43 40
9 1 Arsenal 31 15 16 2.0 0.7 21 7 3 61 22 70
10 10 Bournemouth 30 14 16 1.5 1.5 9 14 7 44 46 41
11 15 Leeds 29 13 16 1.3 1.7 7 10 12 37 48 31
12 18 Nott'm Forest 29 14 15 1.0 1.5 7 7 15 28 43 28
13 19 Burnley 30 15 15 1.1 1.9 4 8 18 32 58 20
14 4 Aston Villa 29 15 14 1.3 1.2 15 6 8 39 34 51
15 7 Brentford 29 15 14 1.5 1.4 13 5 11 44 40 44
16 14 Crystal Palace 29 15 14 1.1 1.2 10 8 11 33 35 38
17 11 Brighton 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 10 10 10 39 36 40
18 20 Wolves 30 17 13 0.7 1.7 3 7 20 22 52 16
19 13 Sunderland 30 18 12 1.0 1.2 10 10 10 30 35 40
20 8 Everton 30 20 10 1.1 1.2 12 7 11 34 35 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Newcastle 15 4 11 1.9 1.6 8 2 5 28 24 26
2 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
3 16 Tottenham 15 5 10 1.2 1.7 2 4 9 18 25 10
4 1 Arsenal 15 6 9 2.3 0.6 12 2 1 35 9 38
5 12 Fulham 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 8 2 5 24 18 26
6 15 Leeds 15 6 9 1.5 1.3 6 4 5 22 20 22
7 17 West Ham 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 8 18 28 13
8 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
9 4 Aston Villa 15 7 8 1.4 1.0 9 2 4 21 15 29
10 5 Chelsea 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
11 6 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 26 16 27
12 7 Brentford 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 4 3 24 15 25
13 11 Brighton 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 6 6 3 22 16 24
14 13 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 7 5 3 22 14 26
15 18 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 3 4 7 13 19 13
16 3 Man United 14 8 6 1.9 1.1 9 3 2 27 16 30
17 8 Everton 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
18 10 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.4 1.0 6 7 2 21 15 25
19 14 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.0 1.3 3 6 5 14 18 15
20 19 Burnley 15 10 5 1.0 1.5 2 5 8 15 23 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 15 4 11 1.6 1.6 5 6 4 24 24 21
2 5 Chelsea 15 4 11 2.0 1.2 7 4 4 30 18 25
3 6 Liverpool 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 22 23 21
4 10 Bournemouth 15 5 10 1.5 2.1 3 7 5 23 31 16
5 16 Tottenham 14 4 10 1.5 1.5 5 4 5 21 21 19
6 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.3 2 3 10 17 35 9
7 17 West Ham 15 6 9 1.2 1.8 4 4 7 18 27 16
8 2 Man City 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 4 4 24 17 25
9 9 Newcastle 15 7 8 1.0 1.3 4 4 7 15 19 16
10 12 Fulham 14 6 8 1.1 1.8 4 2 8 16 25 14
11 14 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
12 18 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.0 1.6 4 3 8 15 24 15
13 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
14 7 Brentford 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 20 25 19
15 15 Leeds 14 7 7 1.1 2.0 1 6 7 15 28 9
16 4 Aston Villa 14 8 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
17 11 Brighton 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 17 20 16
18 13 Sunderland 15 10 5 0.5 1.4 3 5 7 8 21 14
19 8 Everton 15 11 4 1.1 1.1 7 3 5 16 16 24
20 20 Wolves 14 10 4 0.4 1.5 0 4 10 5 21 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06