Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Man United 1–2 Leeds

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.62 fair 1.79
Draw 4.10 fair 4.61
Away ✓ 5.00 fair 4.45
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Leeds
20 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 6
11 Corners 4
12 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (318 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.98 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.81scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 56:43
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.19scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 37:48
Man United all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.19
1.39 Goals conceded 1.55
3.19 Total goals 2.74
15.87 Shots 12.48
5.74 Shots on target 3.87
11.00 Shots faced 12.00
4.58 Corners 4.52
4.90 Corners against 4.39
10.23 Fouls 10.39
1.48 Yellow cards 1.58
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

48% Wins 23%
32% Draws 39%
19% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 87%
87% Over 1.5 goals 71%
61% Over 2.5 goals 52%
39% Over 3.5 goals 39%
19% Over 4.5 goals 16%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
74% Both teams scored 58%
16% Clean sheets 19%
10% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 29%
42% Draws 45%
23% Losses 26%
74% Over 0.5 goals 65%
32% Over 1.5 goals 39%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Leeds all matches
Man United before this match, at home
2.20points / match
2.00scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 30:17
Leeds before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:28
Man United at home away Leeds

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded 1.87
3.13 Total goals 2.87
17.47 Shots 10.47
6.73 Shots on target 3.47
9.67 Shots faced 13.20
4.80 Corners 3.40
4.33 Corners against 4.67
10.53 Fouls 10.67
1.53 Yellow cards 1.67
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

67% Wins 7%
20% Draws 47%
13% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 87%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
47% Over 2.5 goals 47%
33% Over 3.5 goals 40%
27% Over 4.5 goals 20%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
60% Both teams scored 60%
27% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 27%
27% Draws 33%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 73%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.26 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10
10.02.26 West Ham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.201.70 1.50 2.63
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Man United – Fulham 3–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.67 2.20
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Leeds – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
15.03.26 Crystal Palace – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.88 2.10 1.73
03.03.26 Leeds – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
06.02.26 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
31.01.26 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88
26.01.26 Everton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.67
17.01.26 Leeds – Fulham 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
01.03.26 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
07.02.26 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Man United – Fulham 3–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
30.12.25 Man United – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 1.365.258.00 1.62 2.30
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
04.12.25 Man United – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.53 2.50
24.11.25 Man United – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.10

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Crystal Palace – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.88 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
26.01.26 Everton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.67
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
28.12.25 Sunderland – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.67
14.12.25 Brentford – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsLeeds wins
5matches
4.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26E0 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
12.02.23E0 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20
08.02.23E0 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
20.02.22E0 Leeds – Man United 2–4 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.61 2.30
14.08.21E0 Man United – Leeds 5–1 (1–0) 1.534.505.75 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Man City 31 19 7 5 63 28 +35 64
3 Man United 31 15 10 6 56 43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43 38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52 42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53 41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48 44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39 37 +2 47
9 Brighton 32 12 10 10 43 37 +6 46
10 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33 36 -3 46
11 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48 49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43 46 -3 44
13 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35 36 -1 42
14 Newcastle 32 12 6 14 45 47 -2 42
15 Leeds 31 7 12 12 37 48 -11 33
16 Nott'm Forest 32 8 9 15 32 44 -12 33
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 40 57 -17 32
18 Tottenham 32 7 9 16 40 51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33 63 -30 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Man United 15 10 3 2 30 17 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29
7 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
8 Brentford 16 7 6 3 28 19 +9 27
9 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Newcastle 16 8 2 6 29 26 +3 26
12 Chelsea 16 6 5 5 23 20 +3 23
13 Leeds 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
14 Everton 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
17 Nott'm Forest 16 3 6 7 14 20 -6 15
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Man City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28
3 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
4 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 0 25
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
7 Man United 16 5 7 4 26 26 0 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Brighton 16 5 4 7 19 20 -1 19
12 Bournemouth 16 4 7 5 25 32 -7 19
13 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
14 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 10 22 -12 17
15 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16
17 Fulham 16 4 3 9 16 27 -11 15
18 Leeds 15 1 7 7 15 28 -13 10
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

Man United   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Chelsea 32 11 21 1.7 1.3 13 9 10 53 41 48
2 14 Newcastle 32 11 21 1.4 1.5 12 6 14 45 47 42
3 18 Tottenham 32 11 21 1.2 1.6 7 9 16 40 51 30
4 2 Man City 31 12 19 2.0 0.9 19 7 5 63 28 64
5 3 Man United 31 12 19 1.8 1.4 15 10 6 56 43 55
6 5 Liverpool 32 13 19 1.6 1.3 15 7 10 52 42 52
7 17 West Ham 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 40 57 32
8 11 Bournemouth 32 14 18 1.5 1.5 10 15 7 48 49 45
9 12 Fulham 32 14 18 1.3 1.4 13 5 14 43 46 44
10 1 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.9 0.8 21 7 4 62 24 70
11 7 Brentford 32 16 16 1.5 1.4 13 8 11 48 44 47
12 15 Leeds 31 15 16 1.2 1.5 7 12 12 37 48 33
13 16 Nott'm Forest 32 16 16 1.0 1.4 8 9 15 32 44 33
14 19 Burnley 32 16 16 1.0 2.0 4 8 20 33 63 20
15 4 Aston Villa 32 17 15 1.3 1.2 16 7 9 43 38 55
16 13 Crystal Palace 31 16 15 1.1 1.2 11 9 11 35 36 42
17 20 Wolves 32 17 15 0.8 1.8 3 8 21 24 58 17
18 9 Brighton 32 18 14 1.3 1.2 12 10 10 43 37 46
19 10 Sunderland 32 19 13 1.0 1.1 12 10 10 33 36 46
20 8 Everton 32 20 12 1.2 1.2 13 8 11 39 37 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 16 4 12 1.8 1.6 8 2 6 29 26 26
2 18 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.1 1.8 2 4 10 18 28 10
3 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
4 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
5 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29
6 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16
7 6 Chelsea 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 23 20 23
8 7 Brentford 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 7 6 3 28 19 27
9 15 Leeds 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
10 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
11 4 Aston Villa 16 8 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 4 23 15 32
12 5 Liverpool 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 3 29 17 31
13 9 Brighton 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
14 3 Man United 15 8 7 2.0 1.1 10 3 2 30 17 33
15 8 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22
16 10 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 5 3 23 14 29
17 11 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26
18 13 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 19 19
19 16 Nott'm Forest 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 7 14 20 15
20 19 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 9 15 25 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 5 7 4 26 26 22
2 6 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 30 21 25
3 5 Liverpool 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 6 3 7 23 25 21
4 11 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.6 2.0 4 7 5 25 32 19
5 19 Burnley 16 5 11 1.1 2.4 2 3 11 18 38 9
6 18 Tottenham 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 22 23 20
7 2 Man City 16 7 9 1.7 1.1 8 4 4 27 17 28
8 14 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
9 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18
10 17 West Ham 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16
11 12 Fulham 16 8 8 1.0 1.7 4 3 9 16 27 15
12 13 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
13 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
14 4 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 5 20 23 23
15 7 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
16 15 Leeds 15 8 7 1.0 1.9 1 7 7 15 28 10
17 9 Brighton 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 7 19 20 19
18 10 Sunderland 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 4 5 7 10 22 17
19 20 Wolves 16 10 6 0.4 1.7 0 5 11 7 27 5
20 8 Everton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44