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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Leeds 4–1 Newcastle

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.38 fair 2.48
Draw 3.50 fair 3.97
Away 2.88 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Newcastle
15 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
1.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
5 Corners 5
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (39 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 8.9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:2
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:4
Leeds all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00
0.67 Goals conceded 1.33
1.67 Total goals 3.33
1.47 xG created 1.01
1.47 xG allowed 1.80
11.00 Shots 10.67
3.33 Shots on target 2.67
18.00 Shots faced 20.33
4.33 Corners 4.33
5.33 Corners against 6.00
11.67 Fouls 14.67
1.33 Yellow cards 3.00
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Newcastle all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
Newcastle before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:0
Leeds at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.00
2.00 Total goals 2.00
1.43 xG created 0.75
1.56 xG allowed 1.04
12.00 Shots 11.00
2.00 Shots on target 2.00
22.00 Shots faced 17.00
5.00 Corners 7.00
6.00 Corners against 9.00
5.00 Fouls 9.00
0.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Brighton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 1.91 1.91
30.08.26 Leeds – Brentford 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.90 1.95
22.08.26 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
24.05.26 West Ham – Leeds 3–0 (0–0) 1.854.003.75 1.67 2.20
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
11.05.26 Tottenham – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.834.103.75 1.73 2.10
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Bournemouth – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Leeds – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.905.75 1.90 1.95
13.04.26 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
29.08.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.62 2.30
23.08.26 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 4.003.801.90 1.50 2.63
24.05.26 Fulham – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 2.883.802.25 1.62 2.30
17.05.26 Newcastle – West Ham 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.803.20 1.50 2.63
10.05.26 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Newcastle – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.60 1.73 2.10
25.04.26 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.57 2.38
18.04.26 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.50 2.63
12.04.26 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.20 1.73 2.10

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Leeds – Brentford 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.90 1.95
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Leeds – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.905.75 1.90 1.95
21.03.26 Leeds – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
03.03.26 Leeds – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
06.02.26 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
31.01.26 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88
17.01.26 Leeds – Fulham 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.62 2.30
24.05.26 Fulham – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 2.883.802.25 1.62 2.30
10.05.26 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.73 2.10
25.04.26 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.57 2.38
12.04.26 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.20 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.20 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.904.10 1.62 2.30
18.01.26 Wolves – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsNewcastle wins
6matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26E0 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
30.08.25E0 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
13.05.23E0 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
31.12.22E0 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
22.01.22E0 Leeds – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.66 2.20
17.09.21E0 Newcastle – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.602.30 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 8 1 +7 12
2 Man City 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
3 Hull 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
4 Brighton 4 2 1 1 13 5 +8 7
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 10 9 +1 7
6 Brentford 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
7 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
8 Everton 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
9 Ipswich 4 2 0 2 7 10 -3 6
10 Newcastle 3 1 2 0 6 4 +2 5
11 Leeds 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
12 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
13 Man United 4 1 1 2 7 7 0 4
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
15 Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 6 7 -1 3
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6 11 -5 3
17 Tottenham 4 0 2 2 0 5 -5 2
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 1 7 -6 1
20 Coventry 4 0 0 4 0 10 -10 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
3 Brighton 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
4 Brentford 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
5 Everton 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
6 Hull 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
7 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
8 Man United 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
9 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
10 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
11 Newcastle 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
12 Bournemouth 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
13 Liverpool 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Leeds 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
16 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
17 Fulham 2 0 0 2 4 6 -2 0
18 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
19 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
20 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
3 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
4 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
6 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Brighton 2 1 0 1 8 4 +4 3
8 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
9 Chelsea 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
10 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
11 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 5 7 -2 3
12 Brentford 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
13 Everton 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
14 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
15 Sunderland 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Fulham 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
17 Man United 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
18 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
19 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 4 -4 1
20 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0

Leeds   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Chelsea 4 0 4 2.5 2.2 2 1 1 10 9 7
2 4 Brighton 4 1 3 3.2 1.2 2 1 1 13 5 7
3 9 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 2 0 2 7 10 6
4 15 Bournemouth 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 0 3 1 6 7 3
5 16 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 0 3 6 11 3
6 1 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 4 0 0 8 1 12
7 2 Man City 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
8 6 Brentford 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
9 7 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
10 10 Newcastle 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 2 0 6 4 5
11 12 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
12 13 Man United 4 2 2 1.8 1.8 1 1 2 7 7 4
13 18 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
14 19 Aston Villa 4 2 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 3 1 7 1
15 20 Coventry 4 2 2 0.0 2.5 0 0 4 0 10 0
16 3 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
17 8 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
18 14 Sunderland 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
19 17 Tottenham 4 3 1 0.0 1.2 0 2 2 0 5 2
20 11 Leeds 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 5 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
3 10 Newcastle 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
4 16 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
5 18 Fulham 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 0 0 2 4 6 0
6 2 Man City 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
7 4 Brighton 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
8 6 Brentford 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
9 7 Liverpool 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
10 8 Everton 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
11 9 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
12 13 Man United 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
13 15 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
14 19 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
15 20 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
16 3 Hull 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
17 11 Leeds 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 12 Nott'm Forest 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
19 14 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
20 17 Tottenham 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Brighton 2 0 2 4.0 2.0 1 0 1 8 4 3
2 5 Chelsea 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
3 9 Ipswich 2 0 2 2.5 3.5 1 0 1 5 7 3
4 12 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
5 15 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
6 2 Man City 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
7 3 Hull 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
8 6 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
9 7 Liverpool 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
10 13 Man United 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
11 14 Sunderland 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
12 16 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
13 17 Tottenham 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
14 19 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 1 1 0 4 1
15 20 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
16 1 Arsenal 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
17 8 Everton 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
18 10 Newcastle 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
19 11 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
20 18 Fulham 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51