Leeds 3–1 Nott'm Forest – England Premier League, 6 Feb 2026

Match facts

Leeds Nott'm Forest

14 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 10

9 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (240 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.25

Home / Draw / Away

45% 25% 30%

LeedsDrawNott'm Forest

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

1.08points / match

1.29scored / match

1.75conceded / match

6 8 10

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 31:42

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches

1.08points / match

1.00scored / match

1.46conceded / match

7 5 12

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 24:35

Leeds all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.00

1.75 Goals conceded 1.46

3.04 Total goals 2.46

12.46 Shots 11.75

4.00 Shots on target 3.67

11.92 Shots faced 12.79

4.54 Corners 5.38

4.17 Corners against 4.83

10.08 Fouls 10.42

1.50 Yellow cards 1.50

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 29%

33% Draws 21%

42% Losses 50%

92% Over 0.5 goals 96%

79% Over 1.5 goals 83%

58% Over 2.5 goals 50%

42% Over 3.5 goals 17%

21% Over 4.5 goals 0%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

63% Both teams scored 38%

17% Clean sheets 21%

29% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 17%

46% Draws 38%

25% Losses 46%

67% Over 0.5 goals 75%

46% Over 1.5 goals 25%

8% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

3

D

1

D

4

1

W

1

D

1

D

3

4

L

1

W

1

D

4

L

Nott'm Forest all matches

3

L

3

W

1

L

1

2

L

2

L

1

3

L

2

1

W

D

2

W

1

D

Leeds before this match, at home

1.58points / match

1.58scored / match

1.42conceded / match

5 4 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:17

Nott'm Forest before this match, away

1.17points / match

0.92scored / match

1.42conceded / match

4 2 6

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:17

Leeds at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 0.92

1.42 Goals conceded 1.42

3.00 Total goals 2.33

14.17 Shots 9.83

4.42 Shots on target 3.75

11.25 Shots faced 12.50

5.33 Corners 4.50

4.08 Corners against 5.08

10.17 Fouls 11.42

1.67 Yellow cards 1.75

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

42% Wins 33%

33% Draws 17%

25% Losses 50%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 83%

67% Over 2.5 goals 42%

42% Over 3.5 goals 8%

17% Over 4.5 goals 0%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 33%

25% Clean sheets 25%

17% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%

58% Draws 25%

8% Losses 58%

58% Over 0.5 goals 83%

50% Over 1.5 goals 25%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

2

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

D

4

1

W

1

D

1

W

4

L

Nott'm Forest away

1

D

2

L

2

L

3

W

1

W

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Leeds – Arsenal	0–4 (0–2)	5.75	4.20	1.55	1.98	1.88
26.01.26	Everton – Leeds	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Leeds – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.73
07.01.26	Newcastle – Leeds	4–3 (1–2)	1.67	3.80	5.00	1.83	2.03
04.01.26	Leeds – Man United	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	1.83	2.03
01.01.26	Liverpool – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.62	2.30
28.12.25	Sunderland – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.10	2.88	2.20	1.67
20.12.25	Leeds – Crystal Palace	4–1 (2–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
14.12.25	Brentford – Leeds	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.90	1.95
06.12.25	Leeds – Liverpool	3–3 (0–0)	3.80	4.00	1.85	1.67	2.20

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.26	Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace	1–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	3.90	2.00	1.80
25.01.26	Brentford – Nott'm Forest	0–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.50	4.10	1.98	1.88
17.01.26	Nott'm Forest – Arsenal	0–0 (0–0)	6.00	4.33	1.53	1.91	1.91
06.01.26	West Ham – Nott'm Forest	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.25	2.20	1.98	1.88
03.01.26	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.90	4.50	1.80	2.00
30.12.25	Nott'm Forest – Everton	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.30	1.62
27.12.25	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–2 (0–0)	5.00	4.33	1.60	1.67	2.20
22.12.25	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.05	1.80
14.12.25	Nott'm Forest – Tottenham	3–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	2.03	1.83
06.12.25	Everton – Nott'm Forest	3–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.73

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Leeds – Arsenal	0–4 (0–2)	5.75	4.20	1.55	1.98	1.88
17.01.26	Leeds – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Leeds – Man United	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	1.83	2.03
20.12.25	Leeds – Crystal Palace	4–1 (2–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
06.12.25	Leeds – Liverpool	3–3 (0–0)	3.80	4.00	1.85	1.67	2.20
03.12.25	Leeds – Chelsea	3–1 (2–0)	4.10	4.10	1.80	1.83	2.03
23.11.25	Leeds – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.73
24.10.25	Leeds – West Ham	2–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.73
04.10.25	Leeds – Tottenham	1–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.50	2.50	1.95	1.90
27.09.25	Leeds – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.03	1.83

Nott'm Forest away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.01.26	Brentford – Nott'm Forest	0–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.50	4.10	1.98	1.88
06.01.26	West Ham – Nott'm Forest	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.25	2.20	1.98	1.88
03.01.26	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.90	4.50	1.80	2.00
22.12.25	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.05	1.80
06.12.25	Everton – Nott'm Forest	3–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.73
03.12.25	Wolves – Nott'm Forest	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.25	2.10	1.73
22.11.25	Liverpool – Nott'm Forest	0–3 (0–1)	1.44	5.00	6.25	1.53	2.50
26.10.25	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.88	1.98
05.10.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.73	2.10
20.09.25	Burnley – Nott'm Forest	1–1 (1–1)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.00	1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Leeds winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.25E0	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73
04.04.23E0	Leeds – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (2–1)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.98	1.92
05.02.23E0	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	24	16	5	3	46	17	+29	53
2	Man City	24	14	5	5	49	23	+26	47
3	Aston Villa	24	14	4	6	35	26	+9	46
4	Man United	24	11	8	5	44	36	+8	41
5	Chelsea	24	11	7	6	42	27	+15	40
6	Liverpool	24	11	6	7	39	33	+6	39
7	Brentford	24	11	3	10	36	32	+4	36
8	Sunderland	24	9	9	6	27	26	+1	36
9	Fulham	24	10	4	10	34	35	-1	34
10	Everton	24	9	7	8	26	27	-1	34
11	Newcastle	24	9	6	9	33	33	0	33
12	Bournemouth	24	8	9	7	40	43	-3	33
13	Brighton	24	7	10	7	34	32	+2	31
14	Tottenham	24	7	8	9	35	33	+2	29
15	Crystal Palace	24	7	8	9	25	29	-4	29
16	Leeds	24	6	8	10	31	42	-11	26
17	Nott'm Forest	24	7	5	12	24	35	-11	26
18	West Ham	24	5	5	14	29	48	-19	20
19	Burnley	24	3	6	15	25	47	-22	15
20	Wolves	24	1	5	18	15	45	-30	8

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	12	9	2	1	29	8	+21	29
2	Arsenal	12	9	2	1	28	8	+20	29
3	Sunderland	12	7	5	0	21	9	+12	26
4	Aston Villa	12	8	1	3	18	10	+8	25
5	Brentford	12	7	3	2	23	12	+11	24
6	Man United	12	7	3	2	23	15	+8	24
7	Liverpool	12	7	3	2	20	12	+8	24
8	Fulham	12	7	2	3	21	14	+7	23
9	Newcastle	12	7	2	3	22	17	+5	23
10	Bournemouth	12	6	4	2	19	13	+6	22
11	Brighton	12	5	6	1	20	13	+7	21
12	Chelsea	12	6	3	3	20	13	+7	21
13	Leeds	12	5	4	3	19	17	+2	19
14	Everton	12	4	4	4	15	16	-1	16
15	Crystal Palace	12	2	6	4	11	15	-4	12
16	Nott'm Forest	12	3	3	6	13	18	-5	12
17	Tottenham	12	2	4	6	15	16	-1	10
18	Burnley	12	2	4	6	12	17	-5	10
19	West Ham	12	3	1	8	16	26	-10	10
20	Wolves	12	1	2	9	10	25	-15	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	12	7	3	2	18	9	+9	24
2	Aston Villa	12	6	3	3	17	16	+1	21
3	Chelsea	12	5	4	3	22	14	+8	19
4	Tottenham	12	5	4	3	20	17	+3	19
5	Man City	12	5	3	4	20	15	+5	18
6	Everton	12	5	3	4	11	11	0	18
7	Man United	12	4	5	3	21	21	0	17
8	Crystal Palace	12	5	2	5	14	14	0	17
9	Liverpool	12	4	3	5	19	21	-2	15
10	Nott'm Forest	12	4	2	6	11	17	-6	14
11	Brentford	12	4	0	8	13	20	-7	12
12	Fulham	12	3	2	7	13	21	-8	11
13	Bournemouth	12	2	5	5	21	30	-9	11
14	Brighton	12	2	4	6	14	19	-5	10
15	Newcastle	12	2	4	6	11	16	-5	10
16	West Ham	12	2	4	6	13	22	-9	10
17	Sunderland	12	2	4	6	6	17	-11	10
18	Leeds	12	1	4	7	12	25	-13	7
19	Burnley	12	1	2	9	13	30	-17	5
20	Wolves	12	0	3	9	5	20	-15	3

Leeds Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	West Ham	24	7	17	1.2	2.0	5	5	14	29	48	20
2	14	Tottenham	24	8	16	1.5	1.4	7	8	9	35	33	29
3	4	Man United	24	9	15	1.8	1.5	11	8	5	44	36	41
4	5	Chelsea	24	9	15	1.8	1.1	11	7	6	42	27	40
5	6	Liverpool	24	9	15	1.6	1.4	11	6	7	39	33	39
6	12	Bournemouth	24	9	15	1.7	1.8	8	9	7	40	43	33
7	2	Man City	24	10	14	2.0	1.0	14	5	5	49	23	47
8	11	Newcastle	24	10	14	1.4	1.4	9	6	9	33	33	33
9	16	Leeds	24	10	14	1.3	1.8	6	8	10	31	42	26
10	3	Aston Villa	24	11	13	1.5	1.1	14	4	6	35	26	46
11	9	Fulham	24	11	13	1.4	1.5	10	4	10	34	35	34
12	19	Burnley	24	11	13	1.0	2.0	3	6	15	25	47	15
13	1	Arsenal	24	12	12	1.9	0.7	16	5	3	46	17	53
14	7	Brentford	24	12	12	1.5	1.3	11	3	10	36	32	36
15	13	Brighton	24	12	12	1.4	1.3	7	10	7	34	32	31
16	17	Nott'm Forest	24	12	12	1.0	1.5	7	5	12	24	35	26
17	15	Crystal Palace	24	13	11	1.0	1.2	7	8	9	25	29	29
18	8	Sunderland	24	14	10	1.1	1.1	9	9	6	27	26	36
19	20	Wolves	24	14	10	0.6	1.9	1	5	18	15	45	8
20	10	Everton	24	17	7	1.1	1.1	9	7	8	26	27	34

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	West Ham	12	3	9	1.3	2.2	3	1	8	16	26	10
2	11	Newcastle	12	4	8	1.8	1.4	7	2	3	22	17	23
3	16	Leeds	12	4	8	1.6	1.4	5	4	3	19	17	19
4	1	Arsenal	12	5	7	2.3	0.7	9	2	1	28	8	29
5	2	Man City	12	5	7	2.4	0.7	9	2	1	29	8	29
6	3	Aston Villa	12	5	7	1.5	0.8	8	1	3	18	10	25
7	5	Chelsea	12	5	7	1.7	1.1	6	3	3	20	13	21
8	7	Brentford	12	5	7	1.9	1.0	7	3	2	23	12	24
9	9	Fulham	12	5	7	1.8	1.2	7	2	3	21	14	23
10	14	Tottenham	12	5	7	1.2	1.3	2	4	6	15	16	10
11	17	Nott'm Forest	12	5	7	1.1	1.5	3	3	6	13	18	12
12	6	Liverpool	12	6	6	1.7	1.0	7	3	2	20	12	24
13	8	Sunderland	12	6	6	1.8	0.8	7	5	0	21	9	26
14	12	Bournemouth	12	6	6	1.6	1.1	6	4	2	19	13	22
15	13	Brighton	12	6	6	1.7	1.1	5	6	1	20	13	21
16	20	Wolves	12	6	6	0.8	2.1	1	2	9	10	25	5
17	4	Man United	12	7	5	1.9	1.2	7	3	2	23	15	24
18	10	Everton	12	7	5	1.2	1.3	4	4	4	15	16	16
19	15	Crystal Palace	12	7	5	0.9	1.2	2	6	4	11	15	12
20	19	Burnley	12	8	4	1.0	1.4	2	4	6	12	17	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man United	12	2	10	1.8	1.8	4	5	3	21	21	17
2	6	Liverpool	12	3	9	1.6	1.8	4	3	5	19	21	15
3	12	Bournemouth	12	3	9	1.8	2.5	2	5	5	21	30	11
4	14	Tottenham	12	3	9	1.7	1.4	5	4	3	20	17	19
5	19	Burnley	12	3	9	1.1	2.5	1	2	9	13	30	5
6	5	Chelsea	12	4	8	1.8	1.2	5	4	3	22	14	19
7	18	West Ham	12	4	8	1.1	1.8	2	4	6	13	22	10
8	2	Man City	12	5	7	1.7	1.2	5	3	4	20	15	18
9	3	Aston Villa	12	6	6	1.4	1.3	6	3	3	17	16	21
10	9	Fulham	12	6	6	1.1	1.8	3	2	7	13	21	11
11	11	Newcastle	12	6	6	0.9	1.3	2	4	6	11	16	10
12	13	Brighton	12	6	6	1.2	1.6	2	4	6	14	19	10
13	15	Crystal Palace	12	6	6	1.2	1.2	5	2	5	14	14	17
14	16	Leeds	12	6	6	1.0	2.1	1	4	7	12	25	7
15	1	Arsenal	12	7	5	1.5	0.8	7	3	2	18	9	24
16	7	Brentford	12	7	5	1.1	1.7	4	0	8	13	20	12
17	17	Nott'm Forest	12	7	5	0.9	1.4	4	2	6	11	17	14
18	8	Sunderland	12	8	4	0.5	1.4	2	4	6	6	17	10
19	20	Wolves	12	8	4	0.4	1.7	0	3	9	5	20	3
20	10	Everton	12	10	2	0.9	0.9	5	3	4	11	11	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.