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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Brighton 0–3 Arsenal

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.00 fair 3.43
Draw 4.33 fair 4.38
Away ✓ 1.62 fair 2.08
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Arsenal
10 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 7
8 Corners 7
14 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (309 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.82
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.70scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 51:46
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.27points / match
2.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 72:24
Brighton all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 2.40
1.53 Goals conceded 0.80
3.23 Total goals 3.20
15.10 Shots 16.57
5.90 Shots on target 5.83
12.10 Shots faced 8.30
5.50 Corners 7.07
4.07 Corners against 2.73
10.67 Fouls 9.97
2.43 Yellow cards 1.47
0.73 1st-half goals scored 1.10
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.37

How often Full Time

37% Wins 70%
33% Draws 17%
30% Losses 13%
90% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 77%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
47% Over 3.5 goals 47%
27% Over 4.5 goals 23%
7% Over 5.5 goals 10%
73% Both teams scored 47%
17% Clean sheets 43%
20% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
27% Draws 47%
33% Losses 13%
83% Over 0.5 goals 73%
43% Over 1.5 goals 53%
20% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Arsenal all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.93points / match
2.00scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:16
Arsenal before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.27scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 34:11
Brighton at home away Arsenal

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.27
1.14 Goals conceded 0.73
3.14 Total goals 3.00
17.29 Shots 15.53
6.79 Shots on target 5.07
9.86 Shots faced 9.40
7.43 Corners 7.00
3.21 Corners against 2.73
11.29 Fouls 10.13
2.00 Yellow cards 1.40
0.93 1st-half goals scored 1.13
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 60%
43% Draws 20%
7% Losses 20%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
86% Over 1.5 goals 60%
57% Over 2.5 goals 53%
50% Over 3.5 goals 40%
21% Over 4.5 goals 27%
7% Over 5.5 goals 20%
86% Both teams scored 33%
14% Clean sheets 53%
7% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
29% Draws 53%
21% Losses 13%
86% Over 0.5 goals 60%
36% Over 1.5 goals 47%
14% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
04.03.24 Sheffield United – Arsenal 0–6 (0–5) 17.007.001.18 1.40 2.88
24.02.24 Arsenal – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.258.00 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Burnley – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 West Ham – Arsenal 0–6 (0–4) 6.004.331.53 1.67 2.15
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
04.03.24 Sheffield United – Arsenal 0–6 (0–5) 17.007.001.18 1.40 2.88
17.02.24 Burnley – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 West Ham – Arsenal 0–6 (0–4) 6.004.331.53 1.67 2.15
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
31.12.23 Fulham – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 5.254.501.55 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsArsenal wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
14.05.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
31.12.22E0 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
09.04.22E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.10.21E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 21 7 2 70 28 +42 70
2 Man City 31 21 7 3 71 31 +40 70
3 Arsenal 30 21 5 4 72 24 +48 68
4 Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 +17 60
5 Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 +18 57
6 Man United 30 15 3 12 43 44 -1 48
7 West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 +13 47
9 Brighton 30 11 10 9 51 46 +5 43
10 Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 +3 43
11 Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 35
15 Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
16 Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nott'm Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 29
18 Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield United 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 14 +29 42
2 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 38 13 +25 38
3 Man City 16 11 5 0 38 13 +25 38
4 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 40 22 +18 35
5 Newcastle 16 10 3 3 39 20 +19 33
6 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 31 20 +11 33
7 Fulham 16 9 1 6 29 16 +13 28
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
9 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 29 25 +4 25
10 West Ham 16 6 7 3 26 23 +3 25
11 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
12 Wolves 15 7 3 5 23 23 0 24
13 Bournemouth 16 6 5 5 21 24 -3 23
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 23 23 0 19
15 Brentford 16 4 6 6 25 30 -5 18
16 Everton 15 4 4 7 16 18 -2 16
17 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16
18 Luton 16 4 3 9 24 27 -3 15
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 16 36 -20 9
20 Sheffield United 15 2 3 10 15 45 -30 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32
2 Arsenal 15 9 3 3 34 11 +23 30
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 26 27 -1 25
5 Tottenham 15 6 6 3 31 24 +7 24
6 Man United 16 7 2 7 22 24 -2 23
7 West Ham 16 7 2 7 26 33 -7 23
8 Everton 16 5 4 7 16 24 -8 19
9 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
10 Wolves 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18
11 Bournemouth 15 5 3 7 24 31 -7 18
12 Brighton 16 4 4 8 23 30 -7 16
13 Newcastle 15 4 2 9 26 32 -6 14
14 Crystal Palace 16 3 5 8 15 30 -15 14
15 Brentford 16 3 2 11 20 28 -8 11
16 Fulham 16 2 5 9 18 35 -17 11
17 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
18 Burnley 16 2 4 10 16 31 -15 10
19 Luton 16 2 4 10 21 38 -17 10
20 Sheffield United 15 1 3 11 13 35 -22 6

Brighton   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 30 6 24 2.1 1.5 17 6 7 62 44 57
2 4 Aston Villa 32 9 23 2.1 1.5 18 6 8 66 49 60
3 8 Newcastle 31 9 22 2.1 1.7 14 5 12 65 52 47
4 16 Brentford 32 10 22 1.4 1.8 7 8 17 45 58 29
5 18 Luton 32 10 22 1.4 2.0 6 7 19 45 65 25
6 7 West Ham 32 11 21 1.6 1.8 13 9 10 52 56 48
7 12 Bournemouth 31 10 21 1.5 1.8 11 8 12 45 55 41
8 13 Fulham 32 11 21 1.5 1.6 11 6 15 47 51 39
9 20 Sheffield United 30 9 21 0.9 2.7 3 6 21 28 80 15
10 1 Liverpool 30 10 20 2.3 0.9 21 7 2 70 28 70
11 11 Wolves 31 11 20 1.4 1.6 12 6 13 44 49 42
12 2 Man City 31 12 19 2.3 1.0 21 7 3 71 31 70
13 3 Arsenal 30 11 19 2.4 0.8 21 5 4 72 24 68
14 6 Man United 30 11 19 1.4 1.5 15 3 12 43 44 48
15 9 Brighton 30 11 19 1.7 1.5 11 10 9 51 46 43
16 10 Chelsea 29 10 19 1.8 1.7 12 7 10 53 50 43
17 19 Burnley 32 13 19 1.0 2.1 4 7 21 32 67 19
18 15 Crystal Palace 31 14 17 1.2 1.7 7 9 15 36 54 30
19 17 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.3 1.7 7 8 16 39 53 29
20 14 Everton 31 17 14 1.0 1.4 9 8 14 32 42 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 15 2 13 2.1 1.3 11 0 4 31 20 33
2 1 Liverpool 16 4 12 2.7 0.9 13 3 0 43 14 42
3 4 Aston Villa 16 4 12 2.5 1.4 11 2 3 40 22 35
4 16 Brentford 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 4 6 6 25 30 18
5 20 Sheffield United 15 3 12 1.0 3.0 2 3 10 15 45 9
6 3 Arsenal 15 4 11 2.5 0.9 12 2 1 38 13 38
7 8 Newcastle 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 3 3 39 20 33
8 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.5 1.7 4 3 9 24 27 15
9 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
10 11 Wolves 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 7 3 5 23 23 24
11 13 Fulham 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 1 6 29 16 28
12 10 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 4 29 25 25
13 12 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 6 5 5 21 24 23
14 15 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16
15 19 Burnley 16 7 9 1.0 2.2 2 3 11 16 36 9
16 2 Man City 16 8 8 2.4 0.8 11 5 0 38 13 38
17 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 7 3 26 23 25
18 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
19 17 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 23 19
20 14 Everton 15 8 7 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 16 18 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 16 3 13 1.6 2.1 7 2 7 26 33 23
2 12 Bournemouth 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 5 3 7 24 31 18
3 2 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32
4 4 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.6 1.7 7 4 5 26 27 25
5 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 2.1 1.6 6 6 3 31 24 24
6 8 Newcastle 15 4 11 1.7 2.1 4 2 9 26 32 14
7 9 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 4 4 8 23 30 16
8 13 Fulham 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 5 9 18 35 11
9 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.3 2.4 2 4 10 21 38 10
10 10 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
11 11 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18
12 16 Brentford 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 3 2 11 20 28 11
13 19 Burnley 16 6 10 1.0 1.9 2 4 10 16 31 10
14 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 7 22 24 23
15 20 Sheffield United 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 1 3 11 13 35 6
16 1 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
17 3 Arsenal 15 7 8 2.3 0.7 9 3 3 34 11 30
18 15 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 5 8 15 30 14
19 17 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 4 7 16 24 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51