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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Chelsea vs Man United

Home 1.83 fair 2.05
Draw 3.80 fair 4.43
Away 4.10 fair 3.49
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.70
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Our prediction

Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.86 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.2%

Statistics 2026/2027

Chelsea this season, all matches
1.63points / match
2.13scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:15
Man United this season, all matches
0.88points / match
1.25scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:13
Chelsea all matches all matches Man United

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 1.25
1.88 Goals conceded 1.63
4.00 Total goals 2.88
1.23 xG created 1.57
1.42 xG allowed 1.49
13.38 Shots 19.38
5.38 Shots on target 5.00
12.75 Shots faced 10.88
5.63 Corners 6.00
5.50 Corners against 3.63
9.88 Fouls 10.00
2.13 Yellow cards 2.00
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 13%
13% Draws 50%
38% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
75% Over 2.5 goals 38%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
38% Over 4.5 goals 13%
25% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 63%
13% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
50% Draws 63%
13% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 50%
63% Over 1.5 goals 38%
38% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Man United all matches
Chelsea this season, at home
1.75points / match
2.75scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 11:8
Man United this season, away
0.75points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:6
Chelsea at home away Man United

Per match

2.75 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.50
4.75 Total goals 2.50
1.35 xG created 1.26
1.23 xG allowed 1.26
11.50 Shots 19.25
5.75 Shots on target 4.25
13.25 Shots faced 12.50
4.75 Corners 6.25
6.00 Corners against 2.50
8.50 Fouls 7.50
1.50 Yellow cards 1.50
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 75%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 25%
75% Over 3.5 goals 25%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
75% Over 1.5 goals 25%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 0–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.53 2.50
17.10.26 Everton – Chelsea 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Chelsea – Bournemouth 5–1 (2–0) 1.654.334.50 1.50 2.63
18.09.26 Brentford – Chelsea 3–0 (0–0) 2.553.802.45 1.50 2.63
12.09.26 Chelsea – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 3.00
06.09.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.73 2.10
30.08.26 Chelsea – Brighton 4–3 (3–1) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.30
24.08.26 Fulham – Chelsea 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.801.90 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Sunderland – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
19.05.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–2) 2.153.603.25 1.62 2.30
18.10.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.602.90 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Man United – Tottenham 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.204.50 1.53 2.50
20.09.26 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.802.00 1.57 2.38
13.09.26 Man United – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.802.10 1.53 2.50
06.09.26 Everton – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.502.10 1.73 2.10
30.08.26 Man United – Ipswich 5–2 (1–1) 1.425.007.00 1.57 2.38
22.08.26 Hull – Man United 2–0 (2–0) 8.505.001.36 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.30

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 0–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.53 2.50
10.10.26 Chelsea – Bournemouth 5–1 (2–0) 1.654.334.50 1.50 2.63
12.09.26 Chelsea – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 3.00
30.08.26 Chelsea – Brighton 4–3 (3–1) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.30
19.05.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
04.05.26 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.602.90 1.67 2.20
20.09.26 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.802.00 1.57 2.38
06.09.26 Everton – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.502.10 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Hull – Man United 2–0 (2–0) 8.505.001.36 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
09.05.26 Sunderland – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
20.03.26 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022

Chelsea winsDrawsMan United wins
10matches
2.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26E0 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
20.09.25E0 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (2–0) 2.603.802.45 1.57 2.38
16.05.25E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
03.11.24E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.44 2.75
04.04.24E0 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
06.12.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
25.05.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
22.10.22E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
28.04.22E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
28.11.21E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2026/2027

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 7 0 1 20 9 +11 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13 5 +8 21
3 Brighton 8 5 1 2 23 7 +16 16
4 Liverpool 8 4 3 1 11 8 +3 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17 15 +2 13
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14 9 +5 11
7 Leeds 8 2 5 1 9 6 +3 11
8 Newcastle 8 3 2 3 12 14 -2 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9 12 -3 11
10 Hull 8 2 4 2 9 8 +1 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 8 9 -1 10
12 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12 13 -1 9
14 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
16 Man United 8 1 4 3 10 13 -3 7
17 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 9 19 -10 7
18 Nott'm Forest 8 1 3 4 6 10 -4 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6 15 -9 6
20 Sunderland 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Man City 4 4 0 0 11 6 +5 12
3 Brighton 4 3 1 0 13 1 +12 10
4 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8 3 +5 7
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11 8 +3 7
6 Everton 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
7 Ipswich 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
8 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
9 Hull 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
10 Bournemouth 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
11 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
12 Liverpool 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
14 Man United 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
15 Aston Villa 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
16 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
17 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 1 4 -3 4
18 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3
19 Coventry 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
20 Nott'm Forest 4 0 1 3 0 3 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
2 Man City 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9
3 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 4 3 +1 9
4 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 4 6 -2 7
5 Brighton 4 2 0 2 10 6 +4 6
6 Chelsea 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
7 Newcastle 4 2 0 2 6 8 -2 6
8 Leeds 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
9 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
10 Tottenham 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
11 Brentford 4 0 4 0 6 6 0 4
12 Hull 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 2 3 -1 4
14 Bournemouth 4 1 1 2 7 9 -2 4
15 Crystal Palace 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
16 Man United 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
17 Everton 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
18 Ipswich 4 1 0 3 7 11 -4 3
19 Coventry 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3
20 Sunderland 4 0 1 3 5 10 -5 1

Chelsea   Man United

Under / Over goals 2026/2027

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 7 0 1 20 9 21
2 5 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.1 1.9 4 1 3 17 15 13
3 3 Brighton 8 3 5 2.9 0.9 5 1 2 23 7 16
4 6 Brentford 8 3 5 1.8 1.1 2 5 1 14 9 11
5 8 Newcastle 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 3 2 3 12 14 11
6 9 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 3 9 12 11
7 12 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
8 13 Bournemouth 8 3 5 1.5 1.6 2 3 3 12 13 9
9 17 Crystal Palace 8 3 5 1.1 2.4 2 1 5 9 19 7
10 2 Arsenal 8 4 4 1.6 0.6 7 0 1 13 5 21
11 4 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 1 11 8 15
12 19 Coventry 8 4 4 0.8 1.9 2 0 6 6 15 6
13 10 Hull 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 2 4 2 9 8 10
14 14 Tottenham 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
15 15 Fulham 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 4 8 10 8
16 16 Man United 8 5 3 1.2 1.6 1 4 3 10 13 7
17 18 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 0.8 1.2 1 3 4 6 10 6
18 7 Leeds 8 6 2 1.1 0.8 2 5 1 9 6 11
19 11 Everton 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 2 4 2 8 9 10
20 20 Sunderland 8 6 2 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 4 0 0 11 6 12
2 2 Arsenal 4 1 3 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
3 3 Brighton 4 1 3 3.2 0.2 3 1 0 13 1 10
4 5 Chelsea 4 1 3 2.8 2.0 2 1 1 11 8 7
5 6 Brentford 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 2 1 1 8 3 7
6 8 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
7 9 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
8 17 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3
9 4 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
10 12 Ipswich 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
11 14 Tottenham 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
12 15 Fulham 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
13 16 Man United 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
14 19 Coventry 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
15 7 Leeds 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
16 10 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
17 11 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
18 13 Bournemouth 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
19 18 Nott'm Forest 4 4 0 0.0 0.8 0 1 3 0 3 1
20 20 Sunderland 4 4 0 0.2 1.0 1 1 2 1 4 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bournemouth 4 0 4 1.8 2.2 1 1 2 7 9 4
2 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9
3 5 Chelsea 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
4 12 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.8 2.8 1 0 3 7 11 3
5 18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 3 Brighton 4 2 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 2 10 6 6
7 4 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
8 6 Brentford 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 0 4 0 6 6 4
9 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 0 2 6 8 6
10 9 Aston Villa 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 1 1 4 6 7
11 10 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
12 17 Crystal Palace 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
13 19 Coventry 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3
14 20 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.2 2.5 0 1 3 5 10 1
15 2 Arsenal 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 1 4 3 9
16 7 Leeds 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
17 11 Everton 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
18 14 Tottenham 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
19 15 Fulham 4 3 1 0.5 0.8 1 1 2 2 3 4
20 16 Man United 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 3 1 4 6 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06