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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Cagliari 2–3 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.20 fair 3.14
Draw 3.75 fair 4.02
Away ✓ 1.80 fair 2.31
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cagliari Fiorentina
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (369 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
CagliariDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 0–1 9.1% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cagliari before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
1.08scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 40:65
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.53scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 55:42
Cagliari all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.53
1.76 Goals conceded 1.17
2.84 Total goals 2.69
11.76 Shots 13.92
3.57 Shots on target 4.78
12.84 Shots faced 9.81
4.59 Corners 5.28
5.73 Corners against 3.00
12.19 Fouls 12.00
2.05 Yellow cards 2.06
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

22% Wins 42%
32% Draws 25%
46% Losses 33%
92% Over 0.5 goals 97%
84% Over 1.5 goals 72%
57% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 31%
11% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 53%
14% Clean sheets 22%
30% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 36%
38% Draws 28%
46% Losses 36%
70% Over 0.5 goals 83%
35% Over 1.5 goals 31%
3% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Cagliari before this match, at home
1.39points / match
1.44scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:29
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.12points / match
1.06scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:20
Cagliari at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.06
1.61 Goals conceded 1.18
3.06 Total goals 2.24
13.44 Shots 11.82
4.22 Shots on target 4.06
11.17 Shots faced 10.47
5.17 Corners 4.82
5.06 Corners against 2.88
12.44 Fouls 12.41
2.00 Yellow cards 2.59
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

33% Wins 29%
39% Draws 24%
28% Losses 47%
89% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 65%
61% Over 2.5 goals 29%
33% Over 3.5 goals 24%
17% Over 4.5 goals 12%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 41%
11% Clean sheets 24%
17% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 29%
33% Draws 29%
44% Losses 41%
78% Over 0.5 goals 82%
50% Over 1.5 goals 18%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.24 Sassuolo – Cagliari 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 1.84 2.06
11.05.24 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
29.04.24 Genoa – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.103.50 2.30 1.62
19.04.24 Cagliari – Juventus 2–2 (2–0) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
14.04.24 Inter – Cagliari 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05
01.04.24 Cagliari – Verona 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.70
16.03.24 Monza – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.00 1.90
09.03.24 Cagliari – Salernitana 4–2 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.88

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.24 Fiorentina – Napoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
13.05.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–1 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Verona – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.10 1.73
28.04.24 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 5–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Salernitana – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.15 1.67
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53

Cagliari at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
19.04.24 Cagliari – Juventus 2–2 (2–0) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05
01.04.24 Cagliari – Verona 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.70
09.03.24 Cagliari – Salernitana 4–2 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.88
25.02.24 Cagliari – Napoli 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.88 2.02
10.02.24 Cagliari – Lazio 1–3 (0–1) 3.503.302.15 2.30 1.60
26.01.24 Cagliari – Torino 1–2 (0–2) 3.503.202.20 2.40 1.53
14.01.24 Cagliari – Bologna 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.102.50 2.40 1.53
30.12.23 Cagliari – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.85

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Verona – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.10 1.73
21.04.24 Salernitana – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
07.04.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
18.02.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70
14.02.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.20 1.65
02.02.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 3–2 (1–0) 3.753.202.10 2.15 1.67
06.01.24 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cagliari winsDrawsFiorentina wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.23I1 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 2.02
23.01.22I1 Cagliari – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 5.254.101.61 1.80 2.00
24.10.21I1 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 37 29 6 2 87 20 +67 93
2 Milan 37 22 8 7 73 46 +27 74
3 Bologna 37 18 14 5 54 30 +24 68
4 Juventus 37 18 14 5 52 31 +21 68
5 Atalanta 36 20 6 10 67 39 +28 66
6 Roma 37 18 9 10 64 44 +20 63
7 Lazio 37 18 6 13 48 38 +10 60
8 Fiorentina 36 15 9 12 55 42 +13 54
9 Torino 37 13 14 10 36 33 +3 53
10 Napoli 37 13 13 11 55 48 +7 52
11 Genoa 37 11 13 13 43 45 -2 46
12 Monza 37 11 12 14 39 49 -10 45
13 Verona 37 9 10 18 36 49 -13 37
14 Lecce 37 8 13 16 32 54 -22 37
15 Cagliari 37 8 12 17 40 65 -25 36
16 Frosinone 37 8 11 18 44 68 -24 35
17 Udinese 37 5 19 13 36 53 -17 34
18 Empoli 37 8 9 20 27 53 -26 33
19 Sassuolo 37 7 8 22 42 74 -32 29
20 Salernitana 37 2 10 25 29 78 -49 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 4 1 44 11 +33 46
2 Bologna 19 12 5 2 33 12 +21 41
3 Roma 19 12 4 3 38 19 +19 40
4 Milan 18 12 3 3 35 14 +21 39
5 Atalanta 17 12 2 3 37 13 +24 38
6 Juventus 18 10 7 1 24 11 +13 37
7 Fiorentina 19 10 5 4 37 22 +15 35
8 Lazio 18 10 3 5 22 13 +9 33
9 Torino 19 8 9 2 18 9 +9 33
10 Genoa 18 7 6 5 25 22 +3 27
11 Frosinone 18 7 4 7 28 31 -3 25
12 Cagliari 18 6 7 5 26 29 -3 25
13 Napoli 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
14 Monza 19 6 6 7 23 26 -3 24
15 Lecce 19 6 6 7 17 27 -10 24
16 Verona 18 6 5 7 21 24 -3 23
17 Sassuolo 19 5 5 9 23 34 -11 20
18 Empoli 18 4 5 9 13 22 -9 17
19 Udinese 19 1 11 7 21 29 -8 14
20 Salernitana 19 1 5 13 17 38 -21 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 15 2 1 43 9 +34 47
2 Milan 19 10 5 4 38 32 +6 35
3 Juventus 19 8 7 4 28 20 +8 31
4 Napoli 19 7 7 5 31 21 +10 28
5 Atalanta 19 8 4 7 30 26 +4 28
6 Bologna 18 6 9 3 21 18 +3 27
7 Lazio 19 8 3 8 26 25 +1 27
8 Roma 18 6 5 7 26 25 +1 23
9 Monza 18 5 6 7 16 23 -7 21
10 Torino 18 5 5 8 18 24 -6 20
11 Udinese 18 4 8 6 15 24 -9 20
12 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 18 20 -2 19
13 Genoa 19 4 7 8 18 23 -5 19
14 Empoli 19 4 4 11 14 31 -17 16
15 Verona 19 3 5 11 15 25 -10 14
16 Lecce 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
17 Cagliari 19 2 5 12 14 36 -22 11
18 Frosinone 19 1 7 11 16 37 -21 10
19 Sassuolo 18 2 3 13 19 40 -21 9
20 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 12 40 -28 8

Cagliari   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 37 13 24 2.0 1.2 22 8 7 73 46 74
2 20 Salernitana 37 13 24 0.8 2.1 2 10 25 29 78 16
3 5 Atalanta 36 13 23 1.9 1.1 20 6 10 67 39 66
4 16 Frosinone 37 14 23 1.2 1.8 8 11 18 44 68 35
5 6 Roma 37 15 22 1.7 1.2 18 9 10 64 44 63
6 10 Napoli 37 16 21 1.5 1.3 13 13 11 55 48 52
7 15 Cagliari 37 16 21 1.1 1.8 8 12 17 40 65 36
8 19 Sassuolo 37 16 21 1.1 2.0 7 8 22 42 74 29
9 1 Inter 37 17 20 2.4 0.5 29 6 2 87 20 93
10 8 Fiorentina 36 18 18 1.5 1.2 15 9 12 55 42 54
11 13 Verona 37 19 18 1.0 1.3 9 10 18 36 49 37
12 3 Bologna 37 21 16 1.5 0.8 18 14 5 54 30 68
13 11 Genoa 37 21 16 1.2 1.2 11 13 13 43 45 46
14 4 Juventus 37 22 15 1.4 0.8 18 14 5 52 31 68
15 7 Lazio 37 22 15 1.3 1.0 18 6 13 48 38 60
16 12 Monza 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 11 12 14 39 49 45
17 14 Lecce 37 23 14 0.9 1.5 8 13 16 32 54 37
18 17 Udinese 37 23 14 1.0 1.4 5 19 13 36 53 34
19 9 Torino 37 26 11 1.0 0.9 13 14 10 36 33 53
20 18 Empoli 37 26 11 0.7 1.4 8 9 20 27 53 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 7 4 7 28 31 25
2 8 Fiorentina 19 6 13 1.9 1.2 10 5 4 37 22 35
3 20 Salernitana 19 6 13 0.9 2.0 1 5 13 17 38 8
4 10 Napoli 18 6 12 1.3 1.5 6 6 6 24 27 24
5 5 Atalanta 17 6 11 2.2 0.8 12 2 3 37 13 38
6 15 Cagliari 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 6 7 5 26 29 25
7 1 Inter 19 9 10 2.3 0.6 14 4 1 44 11 46
8 6 Roma 19 9 10 2.0 1.0 12 4 3 38 19 40
9 13 Verona 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 5 7 21 24 23
10 2 Milan 18 9 9 1.9 0.8 12 3 3 35 14 39
11 17 Udinese 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 1 11 7 21 29 14
12 19 Sassuolo 19 10 9 1.2 1.8 5 5 9 23 34 20
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 6 5 25 22 27
14 12 Monza 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 6 6 7 23 26 24
15 3 Bologna 19 12 7 1.7 0.6 12 5 2 33 12 41
16 14 Lecce 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 6 6 7 17 27 24
17 4 Juventus 18 13 5 1.3 0.6 10 7 1 24 11 37
18 7 Lazio 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 10 3 5 22 13 33
19 9 Torino 19 14 5 0.9 0.5 8 9 2 18 9 33
20 18 Empoli 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 9 13 22 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 19 4 15 2.0 1.7 10 5 4 38 32 35
2 5 Atalanta 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 8 4 7 30 26 28
3 6 Roma 18 6 12 1.4 1.4 6 5 7 26 25 23
4 19 Sassuolo 18 6 12 1.1 2.2 2 3 13 19 40 9
5 20 Salernitana 18 7 11 0.7 2.2 1 5 12 12 40 8
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.5 15 2 1 43 9 47
7 4 Juventus 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 8 7 4 28 20 31
8 7 Lazio 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 8 3 8 26 25 27
9 15 Cagliari 19 9 10 0.7 1.9 2 5 12 14 36 11
10 3 Bologna 18 9 9 1.2 1.0 6 9 3 21 18 27
11 10 Napoli 19 10 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 5 31 21 28
12 16 Frosinone 19 10 9 0.8 1.9 1 7 11 16 37 10
13 11 Genoa 19 11 8 0.9 1.2 4 7 8 18 23 19
14 13 Verona 19 11 8 0.8 1.3 3 5 11 15 25 14
15 12 Monza 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 16 23 21
16 14 Lecce 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
17 9 Torino 18 12 6 1.0 1.3 5 5 8 18 24 20
18 18 Empoli 19 13 6 0.7 1.6 4 4 11 14 31 16
19 8 Fiorentina 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 8 18 20 19
20 17 Udinese 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 4 8 6 15 24 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40