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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 4–0 Parma

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.42 fair 2.24
Draw 4.50 fair 3.40
Away 7.50 fair 3.85
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 1.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Parma
21 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 9
14 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.23 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawParma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 15.2% 1–1 13.1% 0–0 12.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.52points / match
1.24scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:20
Parma before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.67scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 14:22
Atalanta all matches all matches Parma

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 0.67
0.95 Goals conceded 1.05
2.19 Total goals 1.71
14.19 Shots 11.10
4.29 Shots on target 2.76
10.81 Shots faced 14.38
5.57 Corners 3.33
4.52 Corners against 4.71
11.38 Fouls 10.86
1.43 Yellow cards 1.86
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

38% Wins 24%
38% Draws 38%
24% Losses 38%
95% Over 0.5 goals 76%
76% Over 1.5 goals 57%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%
14% Over 3.5 goals 10%
5% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
52% Both teams scored 38%
33% Clean sheets 33%
19% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
38% Draws 57%
24% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 52%
24% Over 1.5 goals 14%
10% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Parma all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.27scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:9
Parma before this match, away
1.30points / match
0.70scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:9
Atalanta at home away Parma

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.70
0.82 Goals conceded 0.90
2.09 Total goals 1.60
16.27 Shots 10.50
4.82 Shots on target 3.20
10.09 Shots faced 14.20
6.45 Corners 3.10
3.64 Corners against 4.90
11.36 Fouls 11.00
1.27 Yellow cards 2.10
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

45% Wins 30%
36% Draws 40%
18% Losses 30%
91% Over 0.5 goals 70%
73% Over 1.5 goals 60%
27% Over 2.5 goals 30%
9% Over 3.5 goals 0%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 40%
36% Clean sheets 40%
27% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 20%
36% Draws 60%
18% Losses 20%
82% Over 0.5 goals 50%
18% Over 1.5 goals 10%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Parma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.26 Pisa – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 6.503.901.55 1.85 2.00
10.01.26 Atalanta – Torino 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
07.01.26 Bologna – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.60 2.00 1.85
03.01.26 Atalanta – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
21.12.25 Genoa – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.73 2.10
06.12.25 Verona – Atalanta 3–1 (2–0) 5.004.001.67 1.93 1.93
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Parma – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.902.553.00 2.63 1.50
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
07.01.26 Parma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Parma – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.30 1.62
08.12.25 Pisa – Parma 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
29.11.25 Parma – Udinese 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
23.11.25 Verona – Parma 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Atalanta – Torino 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
03.01.26 Atalanta – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Atalanta – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.25 Atalanta – Como 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00

Parma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Pisa – Parma 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Verona – Parma 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
19.10.25 Genoa – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.004.00 2.50 1.53
21.09.25 Cremonese – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.88 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Cagliari – Parma 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
24.08.25 Juventus – Parma 2–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsParma wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25I1 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93
25.05.25I1 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24I1 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 22 17 1 4 50 19 +31 52
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 +18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 +14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 +14 42
5 Como 22 11 7 4 37 16 +21 40
6 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 +15 39
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 +6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 +6 30
9 Lazio 22 7 8 7 21 19 +2 29
10 Sassuolo 22 7 5 10 24 28 -4 26
11 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
12 Cagliari 22 6 7 9 24 31 -7 25
13 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
14 Cremonese 22 5 8 9 20 29 -9 23
15 Torino 22 6 5 11 21 40 -19 23
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Lecce 22 4 6 12 13 29 -16 18
18 Fiorentina 22 3 8 11 24 34 -10 17
19 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14
20 Pisa 22 1 11 10 18 37 -19 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 12 9 1 2 33 10 +23 28
2 Napoli 10 7 3 0 17 8 +9 24
3 Milan 11 7 3 1 17 9 +8 24
4 Como 11 6 4 1 20 7 +13 22
5 Juventus 10 6 4 0 20 8 +12 22
6 Roma 10 7 0 3 13 5 +8 21
7 Atalanta 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
8 Lazio 11 4 4 3 15 12 +3 16
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 12 10 +2 14
10 Sassuolo 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Udinese 11 3 4 4 11 16 -5 13
12 Cagliari 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
13 Cremonese 10 2 5 3 11 13 -2 11
14 Torino 11 3 2 6 11 20 -9 11
15 Genoa 11 2 4 5 9 13 -4 10
16 Parma 11 2 4 5 7 13 -6 10
17 Lecce 12 2 4 6 7 15 -8 10
18 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 15 17 -2 9
19 Pisa 11 1 4 6 2 11 -9 7
20 Verona 10 1 3 6 10 16 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 0 2 17 9 +8 24
2 Milan 10 6 4 0 17 7 +10 22
3 Roma 11 7 0 4 13 7 +6 21
4 Napoli 11 6 1 4 14 9 +5 19
5 Como 11 5 3 3 17 9 +8 18
6 Juventus 11 5 2 4 12 9 +3 17
7 Bologna 11 4 4 3 18 14 +4 16
8 Atalanta 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
9 Lazio 11 3 4 4 6 7 -1 13
10 Parma 10 3 4 3 7 9 -2 13
11 Cagliari 12 3 4 5 13 18 -5 13
12 Udinese 10 4 1 5 11 17 -6 13
13 Sassuolo 11 3 3 5 12 14 -2 12
14 Cremonese 12 3 3 6 9 16 -7 12
15 Torino 11 3 3 5 10 20 -10 12
16 Genoa 10 2 4 4 13 16 -3 10
17 Fiorentina 11 1 5 5 9 17 -8 8
18 Lecce 10 2 2 6 6 14 -8 8
19 Verona 11 1 5 5 7 18 -11 8
20 Pisa 11 0 7 4 16 26 -10 7

Atalanta   Parma

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 22 9 13 2.3 0.9 17 1 4 50 19 52
2 15 Torino 22 9 13 1.0 1.8 6 5 11 21 40 23
3 18 Fiorentina 22 9 13 1.1 1.5 3 8 11 24 34 17
4 16 Genoa 21 9 12 1.0 1.4 4 8 9 22 29 20
5 19 Verona 21 9 12 0.8 1.6 2 8 11 17 34 14
6 12 Cagliari 22 11 11 1.1 1.4 6 7 9 24 31 25
7 2 Milan 21 11 10 1.6 0.8 13 7 1 34 16 46
8 8 Bologna 21 11 10 1.4 1.1 8 6 7 30 24 30
9 10 Sassuolo 22 12 10 1.1 1.3 7 5 10 24 28 26
10 11 Udinese 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 7 5 9 22 33 26
11 3 Napoli 21 12 9 1.5 0.8 13 4 4 31 17 43
12 5 Como 22 13 9 1.7 0.7 11 7 4 37 16 40
13 20 Pisa 22 13 9 0.8 1.7 1 11 10 18 37 14
14 6 Juventus 21 13 8 1.5 0.8 11 6 4 32 17 39
15 14 Cremonese 22 14 8 0.9 1.3 5 8 9 20 29 23
16 17 Lecce 22 15 7 0.6 1.3 4 6 12 13 29 18
17 7 Atalanta 21 15 6 1.2 1.0 8 8 5 26 20 32
18 13 Parma 21 15 6 0.7 1.0 5 8 8 14 22 23
19 4 Roma 21 16 5 1.2 0.6 14 0 7 26 12 42
20 9 Lazio 22 17 5 1.0 0.9 7 8 7 21 19 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 9 1 2 33 10 28
2 15 Torino 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 3 2 6 11 20 11
3 18 Fiorentina 11 4 7 1.4 1.5 2 3 6 15 17 9
4 2 Milan 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 7 3 1 17 9 24
5 3 Napoli 10 4 6 1.7 0.8 7 3 0 17 8 24
6 19 Verona 10 4 6 1.0 1.6 1 3 6 10 16 6
7 6 Juventus 10 5 5 2.0 0.8 6 4 0 20 8 22
8 10 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
9 11 Udinese 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 4 11 16 13
10 16 Genoa 11 6 5 0.8 1.2 2 4 5 9 13 10
11 17 Lecce 12 7 5 0.6 1.2 2 4 6 7 15 10
12 8 Bologna 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 4 2 4 12 10 14
13 9 Lazio 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 4 4 3 15 12 16
14 14 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 2 5 3 11 13 11
15 5 Como 11 8 3 1.8 0.6 6 4 1 20 7 22
16 7 Atalanta 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
17 12 Cagliari 10 7 3 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
18 13 Parma 11 8 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 5 7 13 10
19 4 Roma 10 8 2 1.3 0.5 7 0 3 13 5 21
20 20 Pisa 11 10 1 0.2 1.0 1 4 6 2 11 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Cagliari 12 4 8 1.1 1.5 3 4 5 13 18 13
2 20 Pisa 11 3 8 1.5 2.4 0 7 4 16 26 7
3 16 Genoa 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 2 4 4 13 16 10
4 5 Como 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 5 3 3 17 9 18
5 8 Bologna 11 5 6 1.6 1.3 4 4 3 18 14 16
6 15 Torino 11 5 6 0.9 1.8 3 3 5 10 20 12
7 18 Fiorentina 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 1 5 5 9 17 8
8 19 Verona 11 5 6 0.6 1.6 1 5 5 7 18 8
9 10 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 5 12 14 12
10 11 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 4 1 5 11 17 13
11 1 Inter 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 8 0 2 17 9 24
12 2 Milan 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 6 4 0 17 7 22
13 14 Cremonese 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 9 16 12
14 3 Napoli 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 6 1 4 14 9 19
15 4 Roma 11 8 3 1.2 0.6 7 0 4 13 7 21
16 6 Juventus 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 4 12 9 17
17 7 Atalanta 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 3 12 11 13
18 13 Parma 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 3 4 3 7 9 13
19 17 Lecce 10 8 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 6 6 14 8
20 9 Lazio 11 10 1 0.5 0.6 3 4 4 6 7 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38