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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Willem II 1–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 7.00 fair 4.20
Draw 5.25 fair 4.24
Away ✓ 1.36 fair 1.90
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Willem II Ajax
6 Shots 29
1 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 11
8 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.75
Home / Draw / Away
Willem IIDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 0–1 10.1% 1–2 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Willem II before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.04scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 29:47
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
2.14scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 60:21
Willem II all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 2.14
1.68 Goals conceded 0.75
2.71 Total goals 2.89
8.82 Shots 13.43
3.11 Shots on target 5.39
16.93 Shots faced 10.36
3.82 Corners 5.04
6.68 Corners against 3.25
10.32 Fouls 10.46
1.93 Yellow cards 1.43
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

21% Wins 79%
21% Draws 14%
57% Losses 7%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 54%
29% Over 3.5 goals 32%
14% Over 4.5 goals 11%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
50% Both teams scored 46%
18% Clean sheets 54%
36% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 54%
39% Draws 43%
39% Losses 4%
71% Over 0.5 goals 68%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Willem II all matches
Ajax all matches
Willem II before this match, at home
0.86points / match
1.21scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:21
Ajax before this match, away
2.29points / match
1.79scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:11
Willem II at home away Ajax

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.79
1.50 Goals conceded 0.79
2.71 Total goals 2.57
10.36 Shots 11.86
3.71 Shots on target 4.71
15.36 Shots faced 11.93
4.07 Corners 3.50
5.29 Corners against 4.43
9.50 Fouls 11.07
1.79 Yellow cards 1.79
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

21% Wins 71%
21% Draws 14%
57% Losses 14%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
50% Over 2.5 goals 36%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 43%
21% Clean sheets 57%
36% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
36% Draws 64%
36% Losses 7%
64% Over 0.5 goals 50%
36% Over 1.5 goals 21%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Willem II at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.25 Heerenveen – Willem II 3–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
29.03.25 Willem II – Almere City 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.30 2.15 1.67
16.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.553.906.00 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Willem II – Utrecht 2–3 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.00 1.85
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85
15.02.25 Willem II – Groningen 1–3 (0–3) 2.503.103.00 2.35 1.57
08.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 1–1 (0–0) 1.119.0019.00 1.30 3.50
02.02.25 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83
26.01.25 Waalwijk – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.98 1.88
18.01.25 Willem II – Feyenoord 1–1 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.62 2.25

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
09.03.25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.67 2.15
02.03.25 Almere City – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
23.02.25 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.50 2.50
16.02.25 Ajax – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
09.02.25 For Sittard – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15
19.01.25 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.101.60 1.62 2.25

Willem II at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Willem II – Almere City 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.30 2.15 1.67
09.03.25 Willem II – Utrecht 2–3 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.00 1.85
15.02.25 Willem II – Groningen 1–3 (0–3) 2.503.103.00 2.35 1.57
02.02.25 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83
18.01.25 Willem II – Feyenoord 1–1 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.62 2.25
22.12.24 Willem II – Nijmegen 4–1 (2–1) 2.803.602.40 2.10 1.70
08.12.24 Willem II – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.67
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Willem II – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 1.98 1.88
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
09.03.25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.67 2.15
02.03.25 Almere City – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
09.02.25 For Sittard – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
19.01.25 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.101.60 1.62 2.25
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Willem II winsDrawsAjax wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24N1 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
19.02.22N1 Willem II – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 26.0010.001.09 1.33 3.40
02.12.21N1 Ajax – Willem II 5–0 (3–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.22 4.20

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 28 22 4 2 60 21 +39 70
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 20 4 5 86 33 +53 64
3 Feyenoord 29 17 8 4 64 32 +32 59
4 Utrecht 29 16 8 5 53 42 +11 56
5 Twente 29 13 9 7 55 41 +14 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 13 7 9 47 33 +14 46
7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 13 7 9 52 46 +6 46
8 Heracles 29 8 11 10 36 48 -12 35
9 Sparta Rotterdam 29 8 10 11 33 36 -3 34
10 Heerenveen 29 9 7 13 36 52 -16 34
11 Nijmegen 29 9 6 14 42 43 -1 33
12 For Sittard 29 9 6 14 33 49 -16 33
13 Groningen 29 8 8 13 28 44 -16 32
14 Zwolle 29 7 10 12 35 44 -9 31
15 NAC Breda 29 8 7 14 31 49 -18 31
16 Willem II 28 6 6 16 29 47 -18 24
17 Waalwijk 29 4 7 18 35 58 -23 19
18 Almere City 29 4 7 18 20 57 -37 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 35 10 +25 38
2 PSV Eindhoven 15 11 3 1 47 13 +34 36
3 Twente 14 9 4 1 31 15 +16 31
4 Go Ahead Eagles 15 9 4 2 31 19 +12 31
5 Feyenoord 14 9 3 2 30 15 +15 30
6 Heerenveen 14 7 6 1 25 14 +11 27
7 Utrecht 15 8 2 5 23 23 0 26
8 Heracles 15 6 7 2 27 21 +6 25
9 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 25 15 +10 23
10 Groningen 14 6 5 3 15 10 +5 23
11 NAC Breda 15 6 5 4 19 18 +1 23
12 Zwolle 15 6 3 6 21 19 +2 21
13 Nijmegen 15 5 5 5 32 23 +9 20
14 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 6 5 19 19 0 18
15 For Sittard 14 6 0 8 15 24 -9 18
16 Willem II 14 3 3 8 17 21 -4 12
17 Waalwijk 14 3 3 8 17 23 -6 12
18 Almere City 14 2 3 9 12 32 -20 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 14 10 2 2 25 11 +14 32
2 Utrecht 14 8 6 0 30 19 +11 30
3 Feyenoord 15 8 5 2 34 17 +17 29
4 PSV Eindhoven 14 9 1 4 39 20 +19 28
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23
6 Twente 15 4 5 6 24 26 -2 17
7 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 4 6 14 17 -3 16
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 3 7 21 27 -6 15
9 For Sittard 15 3 6 6 18 25 -7 15
10 Nijmegen 14 4 1 9 10 20 -10 13
11 Willem II 14 3 3 8 12 26 -14 12
12 Zwolle 14 1 7 6 14 25 -11 10
13 Almere City 15 2 4 9 8 25 -17 10
14 Heracles 14 2 4 8 9 27 -18 10
15 Groningen 15 2 3 10 13 34 -21 9
16 NAC Breda 14 2 2 10 12 31 -19 8
17 Waalwijk 15 1 4 10 18 35 -17 7
18 Heerenveen 15 2 1 12 11 38 -27 7

Willem II   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 29 5 24 3.0 1.1 20 4 5 86 33 64
2 7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 19 1.8 1.6 13 7 9 52 46 46
3 17 Waalwijk 29 10 19 1.2 2.0 4 7 18 35 58 19
4 4 Utrecht 29 11 18 1.8 1.4 16 8 5 53 42 56
5 3 Feyenoord 29 12 17 2.2 1.1 17 8 4 64 32 59
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 29 12 17 1.6 1.1 13 7 9 47 33 46
7 11 Nijmegen 29 12 17 1.4 1.5 9 6 14 42 43 33
8 5 Twente 29 13 16 1.9 1.4 13 9 7 55 41 48
9 10 Heerenveen 29 13 16 1.2 1.8 9 7 13 36 52 34
10 12 For Sittard 29 13 16 1.1 1.7 9 6 14 33 49 33
11 1 Ajax 28 13 15 2.1 0.8 22 4 2 60 21 70
12 15 NAC Breda 29 14 15 1.1 1.7 8 7 14 31 49 31
13 8 Heracles 29 15 14 1.2 1.7 8 11 10 36 48 35
14 18 Almere City 29 15 14 0.7 2.0 4 7 18 20 57 19
15 13 Groningen 29 16 13 1.0 1.5 8 8 13 28 44 32
16 9 Sparta Rotterdam 29 17 12 1.1 1.2 8 10 11 33 36 34
17 14 Zwolle 29 17 12 1.2 1.5 7 10 12 35 44 31
18 16 Willem II 28 16 12 1.0 1.7 6 6 16 29 47 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 15 3 12 3.1 0.9 11 3 1 47 13 36
2 11 Nijmegen 15 3 12 2.1 1.5 5 5 5 32 23 20
3 1 Ajax 14 4 10 2.5 0.7 12 2 0 35 10 38
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 9 4 2 31 19 31
5 3 Feyenoord 14 5 9 2.1 1.1 9 3 2 30 15 30
6 12 For Sittard 14 5 9 1.1 1.7 6 0 8 15 24 18
7 17 Waalwijk 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 3 3 8 17 23 12
8 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 7 2 5 25 15 23
9 8 Heracles 15 7 8 1.8 1.4 6 7 2 27 21 25
10 4 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 8 2 5 23 23 26
11 14 Zwolle 15 8 7 1.4 1.3 6 3 6 21 19 21
12 15 NAC Breda 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 6 5 4 19 18 23
13 16 Willem II 14 7 7 1.2 1.5 3 3 8 17 21 12
14 18 Almere City 14 7 7 0.9 2.3 2 3 9 12 32 9
15 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 4 6 5 19 19 18
16 10 Heerenveen 14 8 6 1.8 1.0 7 6 1 25 14 27
17 5 Twente 14 9 5 2.2 1.1 9 4 1 31 15 31
18 13 Groningen 14 10 4 1.1 0.7 6 5 3 15 10 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 14 2 12 2.8 1.4 9 1 4 39 20 28
2 4 Utrecht 14 3 11 2.1 1.4 8 6 0 30 19 30
3 5 Twente 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 4 5 6 24 26 17
4 10 Heerenveen 15 5 10 0.7 2.5 2 1 12 11 38 7
5 17 Waalwijk 15 5 10 1.2 2.3 1 4 10 18 35 7
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23
7 7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 9 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 27 15
8 13 Groningen 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 2 3 10 13 34 9
9 3 Feyenoord 15 7 8 2.3 1.1 8 5 2 34 17 29
10 15 NAC Breda 14 6 8 0.9 2.2 2 2 10 12 31 8
11 12 For Sittard 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 3 6 6 18 25 15
12 18 Almere City 15 8 7 0.5 1.7 2 4 9 8 25 10
13 8 Heracles 14 8 6 0.6 1.9 2 4 8 9 27 10
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 14 8 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 6 14 17 16
15 1 Ajax 14 9 5 1.8 0.8 10 2 2 25 11 32
16 11 Nijmegen 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 4 1 9 10 20 13
17 14 Zwolle 14 9 5 1.0 1.8 1 7 6 14 25 10
18 16 Willem II 14 9 5 0.9 1.9 3 3 8 12 26 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51