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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Utrecht 4–0 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.50 fair 3.18
Draw 3.60 fair 4.21
Away 2.00 fair 2.23
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Utrecht Ajax
13 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 11
7 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (262 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.68
Home / Draw / Away
UtrechtDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Utrecht before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.83scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 53:42
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.52points / match
2.14scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 62:22
Utrecht all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 2.14
1.45 Goals conceded 0.76
3.28 Total goals 2.90
13.93 Shots 13.97
4.59 Shots on target 5.41
12.76 Shots faced 10.21
4.72 Corners 5.24
4.90 Corners against 3.17
10.14 Fouls 10.24
1.41 Yellow cards 1.38
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

55% Wins 79%
28% Draws 14%
17% Losses 7%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 86%
62% Over 2.5 goals 55%
45% Over 3.5 goals 31%
28% Over 4.5 goals 10%
14% Over 5.5 goals 3%
69% Both teams scored 48%
21% Clean sheets 52%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 52%
48% Draws 41%
21% Losses 7%
79% Over 0.5 goals 69%
41% Over 1.5 goals 34%
14% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht all matches
Ajax all matches
Utrecht before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.53scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:23
Ajax before this match, away
2.33points / match
1.80scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 27:12
Utrecht at home away Ajax

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.80
1.53 Goals conceded 0.80
3.07 Total goals 2.60
15.20 Shots 13.00
4.33 Shots on target 4.80
10.47 Shots faced 11.53
4.80 Corners 4.00
4.33 Corners against 4.20
10.47 Fouls 10.60
1.07 Yellow cards 1.67
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

53% Wins 73%
13% Draws 13%
33% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 87%
47% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 13%
33% Over 4.5 goals 7%
20% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 47%
33% Clean sheets 53%
27% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
60% Draws 60%
13% Losses 13%
73% Over 0.5 goals 53%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Utrecht – Groningen 3–1 (3–1) 1.703.705.00 1.98 1.88
06.04.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Utrecht 2–2 (2–2) 2.054.003.10 1.65 2.20
30.03.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.75 2.05
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15
09.03.25 Willem II – Utrecht 2–3 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.00 1.85
01.03.25 Utrecht – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
15.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 2–2 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.02.25 Utrecht – Almere City 0–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15
01.02.25 Zwolle – Utrecht 3–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.70 2.10
24.01.25 Heracles – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.701.90 1.73 2.08

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
09.03.25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.67 2.15
02.03.25 Almere City – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
23.02.25 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.50 2.50
16.02.25 Ajax – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
09.02.25 For Sittard – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15

Utrecht at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Utrecht – Groningen 3–1 (3–1) 1.703.705.00 1.98 1.88
30.03.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.75 2.05
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15
01.03.25 Utrecht – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
09.02.25 Utrecht – Almere City 0–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15
18.01.25 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.45 1.75 2.05
22.12.24 Utrecht – For Sittard 2–5 (1–0) 1.624.005.50 1.83 2.03
15.12.24 Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 2–5 (1–1) 6.504.331.50 1.53 2.40
08.11.24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
09.03.25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.67 2.15
02.03.25 Almere City – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
09.02.25 For Sittard – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
19.01.25 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.101.60 1.62 2.25
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Utrecht winsDrawsAjax wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.24N1 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
03.03.24N1 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
22.10.23N1 Utrecht – Ajax 4–3 (1–0) 3.903.701.91 1.53 2.40
21.05.23N1 Ajax – Utrecht 3–1 (1–0) 1.296.0010.00 1.36 3.10
28.08.22N1 Utrecht – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.44 2.70
16.01.22N1 Utrecht – Ajax 0–3 (0–3) 6.255.001.44 1.44 2.70
03.10.21N1 Ajax – Utrecht 0–1 (0–0) 1.147.5017.00 1.25 4.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 29 23 4 2 62 22 +40 73
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 20 4 5 86 33 +53 64
3 Feyenoord 29 17 8 4 64 32 +32 59
4 Utrecht 29 16 8 5 53 42 +11 56
5 Twente 29 13 9 7 55 41 +14 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 13 7 9 47 33 +14 46
7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 13 7 9 52 46 +6 46
8 Heerenveen 30 10 7 13 38 53 -15 37
9 Heracles 29 8 11 10 36 48 -12 35
10 Sparta Rotterdam 29 8 10 11 33 36 -3 34
11 Nijmegen 29 9 6 14 42 43 -1 33
12 For Sittard 29 9 6 14 33 49 -16 33
13 Groningen 29 8 8 13 28 44 -16 32
14 Zwolle 29 7 10 12 35 44 -9 31
15 NAC Breda 29 8 7 14 31 49 -18 31
16 Willem II 29 6 6 17 30 49 -19 24
17 Waalwijk 29 4 7 18 35 58 -23 19
18 Almere City 30 4 7 19 21 59 -38 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 35 10 +25 38
2 PSV Eindhoven 15 11 3 1 47 13 +34 36
3 Twente 14 9 4 1 31 15 +16 31
4 Go Ahead Eagles 15 9 4 2 31 19 +12 31
5 Feyenoord 14 9 3 2 30 15 +15 30
6 Heerenveen 15 8 6 1 27 15 +12 30
7 Utrecht 15 8 2 5 23 23 0 26
8 Heracles 15 6 7 2 27 21 +6 25
9 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 25 15 +10 23
10 Groningen 14 6 5 3 15 10 +5 23
11 NAC Breda 15 6 5 4 19 18 +1 23
12 Zwolle 15 6 3 6 21 19 +2 21
13 Nijmegen 15 5 5 5 32 23 +9 20
14 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 6 5 19 19 0 18
15 For Sittard 14 6 0 8 15 24 -9 18
16 Willem II 15 3 3 9 18 23 -5 12
17 Waalwijk 14 3 3 8 17 23 -6 12
18 Almere City 14 2 3 9 12 32 -20 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 15 11 2 2 27 12 +15 35
2 Utrecht 14 8 6 0 30 19 +11 30
3 Feyenoord 15 8 5 2 34 17 +17 29
4 PSV Eindhoven 14 9 1 4 39 20 +19 28
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23
6 Twente 15 4 5 6 24 26 -2 17
7 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 4 6 14 17 -3 16
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 3 7 21 27 -6 15
9 For Sittard 15 3 6 6 18 25 -7 15
10 Nijmegen 14 4 1 9 10 20 -10 13
11 Willem II 14 3 3 8 12 26 -14 12
12 Zwolle 14 1 7 6 14 25 -11 10
13 Almere City 16 2 4 10 9 27 -18 10
14 Heracles 14 2 4 8 9 27 -18 10
15 Groningen 15 2 3 10 13 34 -21 9
16 NAC Breda 14 2 2 10 12 31 -19 8
17 Waalwijk 15 1 4 10 18 35 -17 7
18 Heerenveen 15 2 1 12 11 38 -27 7

Utrecht   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 29 5 24 3.0 1.1 20 4 5 86 33 64
2 7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 19 1.8 1.6 13 7 9 52 46 46
3 17 Waalwijk 29 10 19 1.2 2.0 4 7 18 35 58 19
4 4 Utrecht 29 11 18 1.8 1.4 16 8 5 53 42 56
5 3 Feyenoord 29 12 17 2.2 1.1 17 8 4 64 32 59
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 29 12 17 1.6 1.1 13 7 9 47 33 46
7 8 Heerenveen 30 13 17 1.3 1.8 10 7 13 38 53 37
8 11 Nijmegen 29 12 17 1.4 1.5 9 6 14 42 43 33
9 1 Ajax 29 13 16 2.1 0.8 23 4 2 62 22 73
10 5 Twente 29 13 16 1.9 1.4 13 9 7 55 41 48
11 12 For Sittard 29 13 16 1.1 1.7 9 6 14 33 49 33
12 15 NAC Breda 29 14 15 1.1 1.7 8 7 14 31 49 31
13 18 Almere City 30 15 15 0.7 2.0 4 7 19 21 59 19
14 9 Heracles 29 15 14 1.2 1.7 8 11 10 36 48 35
15 13 Groningen 29 16 13 1.0 1.5 8 8 13 28 44 32
16 16 Willem II 29 16 13 1.0 1.7 6 6 17 30 49 24
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 29 17 12 1.1 1.2 8 10 11 33 36 34
18 14 Zwolle 29 17 12 1.2 1.5 7 10 12 35 44 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 15 3 12 3.1 0.9 11 3 1 47 13 36
2 11 Nijmegen 15 3 12 2.1 1.5 5 5 5 32 23 20
3 1 Ajax 14 4 10 2.5 0.7 12 2 0 35 10 38
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 9 4 2 31 19 31
5 3 Feyenoord 14 5 9 2.1 1.1 9 3 2 30 15 30
6 12 For Sittard 14 5 9 1.1 1.7 6 0 8 15 24 18
7 17 Waalwijk 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 3 3 8 17 23 12
8 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 7 2 5 25 15 23
9 9 Heracles 15 7 8 1.8 1.4 6 7 2 27 21 25
10 16 Willem II 15 7 8 1.2 1.5 3 3 9 18 23 12
11 4 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 8 2 5 23 23 26
12 8 Heerenveen 15 8 7 1.8 1.0 8 6 1 27 15 30
13 14 Zwolle 15 8 7 1.4 1.3 6 3 6 21 19 21
14 15 NAC Breda 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 6 5 4 19 18 23
15 18 Almere City 14 7 7 0.9 2.3 2 3 9 12 32 9
16 10 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 4 6 5 19 19 18
17 5 Twente 14 9 5 2.2 1.1 9 4 1 31 15 31
18 13 Groningen 14 10 4 1.1 0.7 6 5 3 15 10 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 14 2 12 2.8 1.4 9 1 4 39 20 28
2 4 Utrecht 14 3 11 2.1 1.4 8 6 0 30 19 30
3 5 Twente 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 4 5 6 24 26 17
4 8 Heerenveen 15 5 10 0.7 2.5 2 1 12 11 38 7
5 17 Waalwijk 15 5 10 1.2 2.3 1 4 10 18 35 7
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23
7 7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 9 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 27 15
8 13 Groningen 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 2 3 10 13 34 9
9 3 Feyenoord 15 7 8 2.3 1.1 8 5 2 34 17 29
10 15 NAC Breda 14 6 8 0.9 2.2 2 2 10 12 31 8
11 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.6 1.7 2 4 10 9 27 10
12 12 For Sittard 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 3 6 6 18 25 15
13 1 Ajax 15 9 6 1.8 0.8 11 2 2 27 12 35
14 9 Heracles 14 8 6 0.6 1.9 2 4 8 9 27 10
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 14 8 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 6 14 17 16
16 11 Nijmegen 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 4 1 9 10 20 13
17 14 Zwolle 14 9 5 1.0 1.8 1 7 6 14 25 10
18 16 Willem II 14 9 5 0.9 1.9 3 3 8 12 26 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51