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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 0–3 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.30 fair 1.60
Draw 5.50 fair 4.80
Away ✓ 9.00 fair 5.97
Under 2.5 2.60 fair 2.31
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.48 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Nijmegen
22 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 1
12 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (286 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 2.02 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.6% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.39points / match
2.03scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 63:27
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.39scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 43:45
Ajax all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 1.39
0.87 Goals conceded 1.45
2.90 Total goals 2.84
14.16 Shots 13.00
5.32 Shots on target 4.19
10.39 Shots faced 13.58
5.61 Corners 5.00
3.13 Corners against 5.55
10.26 Fouls 11.03
1.42 Yellow cards 1.48
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

74% Wins 29%
16% Draws 23%
10% Losses 48%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 74%
55% Over 2.5 goals 55%
32% Over 3.5 goals 26%
10% Over 4.5 goals 23%
3% Over 5.5 goals 10%
48% Both teams scored 48%
48% Clean sheets 26%
3% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 16%
42% Draws 45%
10% Losses 39%
68% Over 0.5 goals 68%
32% Over 1.5 goals 39%
10% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.60points / match
2.40scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 36:11
Nijmegen before this match, away
0.87points / match
0.67scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:21
Ajax at home away Nijmegen

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 0.67
0.73 Goals conceded 1.40
3.13 Total goals 2.07
15.80 Shots 10.67
6.00 Shots on target 3.20
9.07 Shots faced 15.13
6.87 Corners 4.93
2.20 Corners against 6.00
9.87 Fouls 10.60
1.07 Yellow cards 1.87
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

80% Wins 27%
20% Draws 7%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 53%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
47% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 13%
47% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

73% Wins 13%
27% Draws 40%
0% Losses 47%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
47% Over 1.5 goals 33%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
20.04.25 Utrecht – Ajax 4–0 (1–0) 3.503.602.00 1.65 2.20
13.04.25 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
09.03.25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.67 2.15
02.03.25 Almere City – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
23.02.25 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.50 2.50
16.02.25 Ajax – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.75 1.70 2.10
11.04.25 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.57 2.35
06.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15
09.03.25 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.69 2.07
01.03.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.57 2.35
23.02.25 Twente – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
16.02.25 Nijmegen – Almere City 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.007.00 1.90 1.95

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
23.02.25 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.50 2.50
16.02.25 Ajax – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
15.12.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.36 3.10
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.75 1.70 2.10
06.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15
01.03.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.57 2.35
23.02.25 Twente – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
08.02.25 Groningen – Nijmegen 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.252.38 2.05 1.75
11.01.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.63 1.88 1.98
22.12.24 Willem II – Nijmegen 4–1 (2–1) 2.803.602.40 2.10 1.70
07.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 5–0 (4–0) 2.053.503.50 1.73 2.08
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsNijmegen wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
18.02.24N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
03.12.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
05.03.23N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 31 23 5 3 63 27 +36 74
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 23 4 5 96 37 +59 73
3 Feyenoord 32 19 8 5 74 36 +38 65
4 Utrecht 32 18 8 6 61 44 +17 62
5 Twente 32 15 9 8 60 44 +16 54
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 14 8 9 51 34 +17 50
7 Go Ahead Eagles 32 13 9 10 53 50 +3 48
8 Heerenveen 32 11 7 14 40 56 -16 40
9 For Sittard 32 11 6 15 36 53 -17 39
10 Sparta Rotterdam 32 9 11 12 37 39 -2 38
11 Groningen 31 10 8 13 38 46 -8 38
12 Heracles 32 9 11 12 40 57 -17 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 39 50 -11 35
14 Nijmegen 31 9 7 15 43 45 -2 34
15 NAC Breda 32 8 8 16 33 54 -21 32
16 Willem II 32 6 7 19 32 53 -21 25
17 Waalwijk 32 5 7 20 39 69 -30 22
18 Almere City 32 4 8 20 21 62 -41 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 3 1 51 14 +37 39
2 Ajax 15 12 3 0 36 11 +25 39
3 Twente 16 10 4 2 34 18 +16 34
4 Feyenoord 16 10 3 3 36 18 +18 33
5 Heerenveen 16 9 6 1 28 15 +13 33
6 Go Ahead Eagles 16 9 4 3 31 22 +9 31
7 Groningen 16 8 5 3 25 12 +13 29
8 Utrecht 16 9 2 5 27 23 +4 29
9 Heracles 16 6 7 3 28 25 +3 25
10 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 3 5 26 16 +10 24
11 For Sittard 16 8 0 8 17 24 -7 24
12 NAC Breda 16 6 5 5 20 21 -1 23
13 Zwolle 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
14 Nijmegen 16 5 6 5 33 24 +9 21
15 Sparta Rotterdam 16 4 6 6 19 21 -2 18
16 Waalwijk 16 4 3 9 20 28 -8 15
17 Willem II 16 3 3 10 19 25 -6 12
18 Almere City 16 2 4 10 12 35 -23 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 16 11 2 3 27 16 +11 35
2 PSV Eindhoven 16 11 1 4 45 23 +22 34
3 Utrecht 16 9 6 1 34 21 +13 33
4 Feyenoord 16 9 5 2 38 18 +20 32
5 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 5 4 25 18 +7 26
6 Twente 16 5 5 6 26 26 0 20
7 Sparta Rotterdam 16 5 5 6 18 18 0 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 5 7 22 28 -6 17
9 For Sittard 16 3 6 7 19 29 -10 15
10 Nijmegen 15 4 1 10 10 21 -11 13
11 Zwolle 16 2 7 7 17 30 -13 13
12 Willem II 16 3 4 9 13 28 -15 13
13 Heracles 16 3 4 9 12 32 -20 13
14 Almere City 16 2 4 10 9 27 -18 10
15 NAC Breda 16 2 3 11 13 33 -20 9
16 Groningen 15 2 3 10 13 34 -21 9
17 Waalwijk 16 1 4 11 19 41 -22 7
18 Heerenveen 16 2 1 13 12 41 -29 7

Ajax   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 32 5 27 3.0 1.2 23 4 5 96 37 73
2 17 Waalwijk 32 10 22 1.2 2.2 5 7 20 39 69 22
3 3 Feyenoord 32 12 20 2.3 1.1 19 8 5 74 36 65
4 4 Utrecht 32 12 20 1.9 1.4 18 8 6 61 44 62
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 32 12 20 1.7 1.6 13 9 10 53 50 48
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 31 13 18 1.6 1.1 14 8 9 51 34 50
7 8 Heerenveen 32 14 18 1.2 1.8 11 7 14 40 56 40
8 1 Ajax 31 14 17 2.0 0.9 23 5 3 63 27 74
9 5 Twente 32 15 17 1.9 1.4 15 9 8 60 44 54
10 9 For Sittard 32 15 17 1.1 1.7 11 6 15 36 53 39
11 12 Heracles 32 15 17 1.2 1.8 9 11 12 40 57 38
12 14 Nijmegen 31 14 17 1.4 1.5 9 7 15 43 45 34
13 15 NAC Breda 32 16 16 1.0 1.7 8 8 16 33 54 32
14 18 Almere City 32 16 16 0.7 1.9 4 8 20 21 62 20
15 11 Groningen 31 16 15 1.2 1.5 10 8 13 38 46 38
16 13 Zwolle 32 18 14 1.2 1.6 8 11 13 39 50 35
17 16 Willem II 32 18 14 1.0 1.7 6 7 19 32 53 25
18 10 Sparta Rotterdam 32 19 13 1.2 1.2 9 11 12 37 39 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 16 3 13 3.2 0.9 12 3 1 51 14 39
2 14 Nijmegen 16 4 12 2.1 1.5 5 6 5 33 24 21
3 3 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.2 1.1 10 3 3 36 18 33
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 5 11 1.9 1.4 9 4 3 31 22 31
5 17 Waalwijk 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 4 3 9 20 28 15
6 1 Ajax 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 12 3 0 36 11 39
7 9 For Sittard 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 8 0 8 17 24 24
8 12 Heracles 16 7 9 1.8 1.6 6 7 3 28 25 25
9 16 Willem II 16 7 9 1.2 1.6 3 3 10 19 25 12
10 4 Utrecht 16 8 8 1.7 1.4 9 2 5 27 23 29
11 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 7 3 5 26 16 24
12 15 NAC Breda 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 6 5 5 20 21 23
13 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.8 2.2 2 4 10 12 35 10
14 8 Heerenveen 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 6 1 28 15 33
15 13 Zwolle 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
16 5 Twente 16 10 6 2.1 1.1 10 4 2 34 18 34
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 10 6 1.2 1.3 4 6 6 19 21 18
18 11 Groningen 16 10 6 1.6 0.8 8 5 3 25 12 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 16 2 14 2.8 1.4 11 1 4 45 23 34
2 4 Utrecht 16 4 12 2.1 1.3 9 6 1 34 21 33
3 5 Twente 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 26 26 20
4 8 Heerenveen 16 5 11 0.8 2.6 2 1 13 12 41 7
5 17 Waalwijk 16 5 11 1.2 2.6 1 4 11 19 41 7
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 16 6 10 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 25 18 26
7 3 Feyenoord 16 7 9 2.4 1.1 9 5 2 38 18 32
8 7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 4 5 7 22 28 17
9 11 Groningen 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 2 3 10 13 34 9
10 9 For Sittard 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 3 6 7 19 29 15
11 12 Heracles 16 8 8 0.8 2.0 3 4 9 12 32 13
12 15 NAC Breda 16 8 8 0.8 2.1 2 3 11 13 33 9
13 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.6 1.7 2 4 10 9 27 10
14 1 Ajax 16 9 7 1.7 1.0 11 2 3 27 16 35
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 5 6 18 18 20
16 13 Zwolle 16 9 7 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 17 30 13
17 14 Nijmegen 15 10 5 0.7 1.4 4 1 10 10 21 13
18 16 Willem II 16 11 5 0.8 1.8 3 4 9 13 28 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51