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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–0 Moreirense

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.62
Draw 3.10 fair 3.85
Away 2.60 fair 2.79
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 2.25 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Moreirense
12 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
10 Corners 2
14 Fouls 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawMoreirense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.4% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.58scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 7:17
Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.46scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:18
Nacional all matches all matches Moreirense

Per match

0.58 Goals scored 1.46
1.42 Goals conceded 1.38
2.00 Total goals 2.85
13.92 Shots 11.15
4.17 Shots on target 4.31
15.17 Shots faced 11.77
4.17 Corners 3.62
6.08 Corners against 5.00
14.17 Fouls 14.92
2.67 Yellow cards 2.46
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

17% Wins 46%
25% Draws 15%
58% Losses 38%
83% Over 0.5 goals 92%
58% Over 1.5 goals 77%
25% Over 2.5 goals 62%
8% Over 3.5 goals 38%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 69%
33% Clean sheets 23%
58% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
33% Draws 31%
42% Losses 31%
67% Over 0.5 goals 69%
17% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Moreirense all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:9
Moreirense before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.29scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:13
Nacional at home away Moreirense

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.29
1.80 Goals conceded 1.86
2.80 Total goals 3.14
14.20 Shots 12.00
4.80 Shots on target 3.86
16.00 Shots faced 11.57
4.00 Corners 4.00
5.20 Corners against 4.57
13.80 Fouls 13.29
2.40 Yellow cards 2.57
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

40% Wins 29%
20% Draws 0%
40% Losses 71%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 86%
40% Over 2.5 goals 71%
20% Over 3.5 goals 43%
20% Over 4.5 goals 14%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 71%
60% Clean sheets 14%
40% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 43%
40% Draws 14%
20% Losses 43%
60% Over 0.5 goals 86%
40% Over 1.5 goals 14%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Moreirense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
30.11.24 Rio Ave – Moreirense 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.202.55 2.35 1.57
08.11.24 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 3–2 (0–1) 2.303.003.40 2.50 1.50
03.11.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.35 1.57
26.10.24 Boavista – Moreirense 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.102.25 2.40 1.53
05.10.24 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.88 2.40 1.53
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
21.09.24 Moreirense – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.35 1.57
14.09.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50
30.08.24 Moreirense – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.44 1.85 2.00

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Moreirense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Rio Ave – Moreirense 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.202.55 2.35 1.57
03.11.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.35 1.57
26.10.24 Boavista – Moreirense 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.102.25 2.40 1.53
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
14.09.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50
25.08.24 Sp Braga – Moreirense 3–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.25 1.85 2.00
11.08.24 Farense – Moreirense 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.252.40 2.15 1.67
12.05.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.60
28.04.24 Portimonense – Moreirense 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.70
14.04.24 Benfica – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 13 11 0 2 40 8 +32 33
2 Benfica 12 10 1 1 31 7 +24 31
3 Porto 13 10 1 2 31 9 +22 31
4 Santa Clara 13 9 0 4 16 12 +4 27
5 Sp Braga 13 7 3 3 22 13 +9 24
6 Guimaraes 13 6 3 4 16 12 +4 21
7 Moreirense 13 6 2 5 19 18 +1 20
8 Famalicao 13 4 6 3 14 12 +2 18
9 Gil Vicente 14 4 4 6 17 24 -7 16
10 Rio Ave 13 4 3 6 13 23 -10 15
11 Casa Pia 13 3 5 5 11 17 -6 14
12 Estoril 13 3 5 5 12 19 -7 14
13 Estrela 13 3 3 7 12 22 -10 12
14 Boavista 13 2 5 6 8 16 -8 11
15 AVS 13 2 5 6 10 21 -11 11
16 Nacional 12 2 3 7 7 17 -10 9
17 Farense 14 2 3 9 7 20 -13 9
18 Arouca 13 2 2 9 7 23 -16 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 7 7 0 0 23 3 +20 21
2 Porto 7 7 0 0 19 2 +17 21
3 Santa Clara 7 6 0 1 8 4 +4 18
4 Sp Lisbon 6 5 0 1 15 3 +12 15
5 Moreirense 6 4 2 0 10 5 +5 14
6 Guimaraes 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13
7 Rio Ave 6 3 3 0 10 7 +3 12
8 Gil Vicente 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
9 Sp Braga 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
10 Estrela 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11
11 Estoril 7 3 2 2 8 9 -1 11
12 Famalicao 7 2 4 1 5 5 0 10
13 Casa Pia 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
14 AVS 7 2 2 3 5 10 -5 8
15 Nacional 5 2 1 2 5 9 -4 7
16 Farense 7 2 0 5 4 11 -7 6
17 Arouca 6 1 1 4 3 9 -6 4
18 Boavista 6 0 2 4 1 9 -8 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 25 5 +20 18
2 Sp Braga 6 4 1 1 8 3 +5 13
3 Porto 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10
4 Benfica 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
5 Santa Clara 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
6 Boavista 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
7 Famalicao 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
8 Guimaraes 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
9 Moreirense 7 2 0 5 9 13 -4 6
10 Casa Pia 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5
11 Gil Vicente 8 1 2 5 6 18 -12 5
12 Arouca 7 1 1 5 4 14 -10 4
13 AVS 6 0 3 3 5 11 -6 3
14 Estoril 6 0 3 3 4 10 -6 3
15 Farense 7 0 3 4 3 9 -6 3
16 Rio Ave 7 1 0 6 3 16 -13 3
17 Nacional 7 0 2 5 2 8 -6 2
18 Estrela 6 0 1 5 2 12 -10 1

Nacional   Moreirense

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.1 0.6 11 0 2 40 8 33
2 9 Gil Vicente 14 5 9 1.2 1.7 4 4 6 17 24 16
3 3 Porto 13 5 8 2.4 0.7 10 1 2 31 9 31
4 7 Moreirense 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 6 2 5 19 18 20
5 2 Benfica 12 5 7 2.6 0.6 10 1 1 31 7 31
6 5 Sp Braga 13 6 7 1.7 1.0 7 3 3 22 13 24
7 12 Estoril 13 6 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 5 12 19 14
8 13 Estrela 13 6 7 0.9 1.7 3 3 7 12 22 12
9 10 Rio Ave 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 4 3 6 13 23 15
10 18 Arouca 13 7 6 0.5 1.8 2 2 9 7 23 8
11 6 Guimaraes 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 6 3 4 16 12 21
12 8 Famalicao 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 4 6 3 14 12 18
13 15 AVS 13 8 5 0.8 1.6 2 5 6 10 21 11
14 4 Santa Clara 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 9 0 4 16 12 27
15 14 Boavista 13 9 4 0.6 1.2 2 5 6 8 16 11
16 17 Farense 14 10 4 0.5 1.4 2 3 9 7 20 9
17 11 Casa Pia 13 10 3 0.8 1.3 3 5 5 11 17 14
18 16 Nacional 12 9 3 0.6 1.4 2 3 7 7 17 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 7 0 0 23 3 21
2 3 Porto 7 2 5 2.7 0.3 7 0 0 19 2 21
3 13 Estrela 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11
4 5 Sp Braga 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
5 6 Guimaraes 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13
6 9 Gil Vicente 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
7 12 Estoril 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 2 8 9 11
8 1 Sp Lisbon 6 3 3 2.5 0.5 5 0 1 15 3 15
9 7 Moreirense 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 4 2 0 10 5 14
10 10 Rio Ave 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 3 0 10 7 12
11 17 Farense 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 2 0 5 4 11 6
12 4 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 0.6 6 0 1 8 4 18
13 15 AVS 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 2 2 3 5 10 8
14 16 Nacional 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 2 1 2 5 9 7
15 18 Arouca 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 1 1 4 3 9 4
16 8 Famalicao 7 6 1 0.7 0.7 2 4 1 5 5 10
17 11 Casa Pia 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
18 14 Boavista 6 5 1 0.2 1.5 0 2 4 1 9 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sp Lisbon 7 0 7 3.6 0.7 6 0 1 25 5 18
2 7 Moreirense 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 2 0 5 9 13 6
3 9 Gil Vicente 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 1 2 5 6 18 5
4 8 Famalicao 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
5 18 Arouca 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 5 4 14 4
6 3 Porto 6 3 3 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10
7 5 Sp Braga 6 3 3 1.3 0.5 4 1 1 8 3 13
8 10 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 1 0 6 3 16 3
9 12 Estoril 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 3 3 4 10 3
10 14 Boavista 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
11 15 AVS 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 0 3 3 5 11 3
12 2 Benfica 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
13 4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
14 11 Casa Pia 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5
15 13 Estrela 6 4 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 5 2 12 1
16 6 Guimaraes 7 6 1 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8
17 16 Nacional 7 6 1 0.3 1.1 0 2 5 2 8 2
18 17 Farense 7 6 1 0.4 1.3 0 3 4 3 9 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40