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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Guimaraes 2–2 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.53 fair 1.92
Draw ✓ 3.90 fair 3.84
Away 6.25 fair 4.59
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Guimaraes Nacional
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 1
15 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Guimaraes to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.51 – 0.87
Home / Draw / Away
GuimaraesDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.9% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 10.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Guimaraes before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.29scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:14
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
0.57scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 8:19
Guimaraes all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.57
1.00 Goals conceded 1.36
2.29 Total goals 1.93
11.64 Shots 13.14
3.93 Shots on target 4.00
8.21 Shots faced 14.43
6.14 Corners 4.57
4.79 Corners against 6.14
14.71 Fouls 14.00
2.50 Yellow cards 2.43
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

43% Wins 21%
29% Draws 21%
29% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 21%
29% Over 3.5 goals 7%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
36% Both teams scored 21%
36% Clean sheets 36%
29% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 21%
50% Draws 43%
21% Losses 36%
64% Over 0.5 goals 57%
21% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes all matches
Nacional all matches
Guimaraes before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:6
Nacional before this match, away
0.29points / match
0.29scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 2:8
Guimaraes at home away Nacional

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.29
1.00 Goals conceded 1.14
2.67 Total goals 1.43
11.50 Shots 13.71
3.83 Shots on target 3.71
7.17 Shots faced 14.57
7.17 Corners 4.29
4.50 Corners against 6.71
15.67 Fouls 14.43
2.67 Yellow cards 2.86
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

67% Wins 0%
17% Draws 29%
17% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
67% Over 1.5 goals 43%
67% Over 2.5 goals 14%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 29%
50% Clean sheets 14%
17% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 14%
50% Draws 29%
0% Losses 57%
67% Over 0.5 goals 71%
17% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Guimaraes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–2 (2–0) 3.703.302.05 2.20 1.65
07.12.24 Benfica – Guimaraes 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.24 Guimaraes – Gil Vicente 4–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.75
10.11.24 Santa Clara – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.002.60 2.60 1.48
03.11.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.35 1.57
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
06.10.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 2–2 (1–0) 1.424.208.50 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.252.00 2.35 1.57
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65
15.09.24 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.603.50 2.08 1.73

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73

Guimaraes at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.24 Guimaraes – Gil Vicente 4–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.75
03.11.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.35 1.57
06.10.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 2–2 (1–0) 1.424.208.50 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65
01.09.24 Guimaraes – Famalicao 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.90 2.15 1.67
18.08.24 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93
11.05.24 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–3 (1–1) 3.253.502.10 1.67 2.15
27.04.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.98 1.88
13.04.24 Guimaraes – Farense 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.006.50 1.88 1.98
30.03.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.65

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 15 12 1 2 43 10 +33 37 WWLLWD
2 Porto 15 12 1 2 36 9 +27 37 WLWDWW
3 Benfica 14 11 2 1 34 8 +26 35 WWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 27 16 +11 28 WLWDDW
5 Santa Clara 15 9 0 6 16 15 +1 27 LWWWLL
6 Guimaraes 14 6 4 4 18 14 +4 22 DWLWLD
7 Casa Pia 15 5 5 5 16 18 -2 20 DDLDWW
8 Moreirense 15 6 2 7 19 22 -3 20 LWLWLL
9 Famalicao 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19 WDLDDL
10 Gil Vicente 15 4 5 6 17 24 -7 17 LLLWWD
11 Rio Ave 14 4 4 6 15 25 -10 16 LDWWLD
12 Estoril 14 3 5 6 12 21 -9 14 WLDWDL
13 AVS 15 2 7 6 11 22 -11 13 LDLDDD
14 Boavista 15 2 6 7 10 19 -9 12 WLDDLD
15 Nacional 14 3 3 8 8 19 -11 12 WLDLWL
16 Estrela 14 3 3 8 12 24 -12 12 DLWLWL
17 Farense 15 3 3 9 9 21 -12 12 LDWDLW
18 Arouca 15 3 2 10 9 26 -17 11 LDLLWL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 21 2 +19 24 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 7 7 0 0 23 3 +20 21 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 18 5 +13 18 WWWWLW
4 Santa Clara 8 6 0 2 8 6 +2 18 WWWWWL
5 Moreirense 7 4 2 1 10 8 +2 14 DDWWWL
6 Guimaraes 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13 WWLDWW
7 Rio Ave 7 3 4 0 12 9 +3 13 WDDDWD
8 Gil Vicente 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12 DDWLWD
9 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 17 13 +4 12 LWWLDD
10 Casa Pia 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12 WDWDDW
11 Estrela 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11 LDWDWW
12 Estoril 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 WLWDWL
13 Famalicao 8 2 4 2 6 7 -1 10 DDLDDL
14 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
15 AVS 8 2 3 3 6 11 -5 9 WDLLLD
16 Arouca 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7 WLDLLW
17 Farense 7 2 0 5 4 11 -7 6 LLWLWL
18 Boavista 7 0 3 4 1 9 -8 3 DLLLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 8 6 1 1 25 5 +20 19 WWWWLD
2 Sp Braga 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16 DWLWWW
3 Benfica 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14 DWWWDW
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 7 2 3 2 12 10 +2 9 LDDWLD
6 Guimaraes 8 2 3 3 8 8 0 9 WDDLLD
7 Boavista 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9 DLDWDL
8 Santa Clara 7 3 0 4 8 9 -1 9 WLLLWL
9 Casa Pia 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8 WDLDLW
10 Moreirense 8 2 0 6 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLL
11 Farense 8 1 3 4 5 10 -5 6 LDLDDW
12 Gil Vicente 8 1 2 5 6 18 -12 5 DLLLLW
13 AVS 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4 LLDDDD
14 Arouca 8 1 1 6 5 17 -12 4 WLLDLL
15 Estoril 6 0 3 3 4 10 -6 3 LDDLLD
16 Rio Ave 7 1 0 6 3 16 -13 3 LLLLWL
17 Nacional 7 0 2 5 2 8 -6 2 LLDLLL
18 Estrela 7 0 1 6 2 14 -12 1 LLLLLL

Guimaraes   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 15 4 11 2.9 0.7 12 1 2 43 10 37 OOUOOU
2 2 Porto 15 6 9 2.4 0.6 12 1 2 36 9 37 OOUUUO
3 8 Moreirense 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 22 20 UOOOUO
4 10 Gil Vicente 15 6 9 1.1 1.6 4 5 6 17 24 17 OOOOUU
5 4 Sp Braga 15 7 8 1.8 1.1 8 4 3 27 16 28 OOUOOU
6 3 Benfica 14 7 7 2.4 0.6 11 2 1 34 8 35 OOUUUU
7 9 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19 OUOUOO
8 11 Rio Ave 14 7 7 1.1 1.8 4 4 6 15 25 16 OOUOUO
9 12 Estoril 14 7 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 6 12 21 14 OOUOOU
10 16 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.7 3 3 8 12 24 12 OOUUOU
11 18 Arouca 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 3 2 10 9 26 11 OUUOUO
12 6 Guimaraes 14 8 6 1.3 1.0 6 4 4 18 14 22 OUUOUO
13 13 AVS 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 2 7 6 11 22 13 OUUUUU
14 14 Boavista 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 2 6 7 10 19 12 OUUUOU
15 17 Farense 15 10 5 0.6 1.4 3 3 9 9 21 12 OUUUUO
16 5 Santa Clara 15 11 4 1.1 1.0 9 0 6 16 15 27 UUUUUU
17 7 Casa Pia 15 11 4 1.1 1.2 5 5 5 16 18 20 OUUUUO
18 15 Nacional 14 11 3 0.6 1.4 3 3 8 8 19 12 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 8 3 5 2.6 0.2 8 0 0 21 2 24 OOOOUU
2 3 Benfica 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 7 0 0 23 3 21 UOOOOU
3 4 Sp Braga 8 3 5 2.1 1.6 3 3 2 17 13 12 UOUOOO
4 16 Estrela 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11 UOOOUO
5 1 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.6 0.7 6 0 1 18 5 18 UOUOUO
6 6 Guimaraes 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13 UOOOUO
7 8 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 1 10 8 14 UUUOOO
8 10 Gil Vicente 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12 UUOOOU
9 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 4 0 12 9 13 UOUOOO
10 12 Estoril 8 4 4 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UOOUOU
11 17 Farense 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 2 0 5 4 11 6 OUUOUU
12 5 Santa Clara 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 6 0 2 8 6 18 UUOUUU
13 7 Casa Pia 8 6 2 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12 OUUUUO
14 9 Famalicao 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 2 4 2 6 7 10 UUOUUO
15 13 AVS 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 3 3 6 11 9 UUOOUU
16 15 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
17 18 Arouca 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7 UOUOUU
18 14 Boavista 7 6 1 0.1 1.3 0 3 4 1 9 3 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 8 1 7 3.1 0.6 6 1 1 25 5 19 OOOOOU
2 8 Moreirense 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 2 0 6 9 14 6 OOUUOU
3 9 Famalicao 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 2 3 2 12 10 9 OUUOOO
4 10 Gil Vicente 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 1 2 5 6 18 5 UOOOOU
5 18 Arouca 8 3 5 0.6 2.1 1 1 6 5 17 4 UOOUOO
6 2 Porto 7 3 4 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13 UOOOUO
7 14 Boavista 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9 OUOOUO
8 4 Sp Braga 7 4 3 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16 UOOOUU
9 11 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 1 0 6 3 16 3 UUOOUU
10 12 Estoril 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 3 3 4 10 3 UUOUOO
11 13 AVS 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4 OOUUUU
12 3 Benfica 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14 UOOUUU
13 5 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 1.3 3 0 4 8 9 9 UOUUUU
14 6 Guimaraes 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 3 8 8 9 UUOUUO
15 7 Casa Pia 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8 UUUOUU
16 16 Estrela 7 5 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 6 2 14 1 UUOOUU
17 17 Farense 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 1 3 4 5 10 6 OUUUUO
18 15 Nacional 7 6 1 0.3 1.1 0 2 5 2 8 2 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47