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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.14
Draw 3.10 fair 3.82
Away 3.50 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rio Ave Nacional
20 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 6
10 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (139 league matches this season so far).
Result Rio Ave to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
Rio AveDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 11.8% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Rio Ave before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
1.00scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:26
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.87points / match
0.67scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:21
Rio Ave all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.67
1.73 Goals conceded 1.40
2.73 Total goals 2.07
9.67 Shots 12.80
3.27 Shots on target 3.87
15.07 Shots faced 14.53
4.67 Corners 4.33
6.00 Corners against 6.20
13.80 Fouls 13.80
2.27 Yellow cards 2.33
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

27% Wins 20%
27% Draws 27%
47% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 87%
67% Over 1.5 goals 60%
47% Over 2.5 goals 27%
47% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
40% Both teams scored 27%
20% Clean sheets 33%
40% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
20% Draws 47%
40% Losses 33%
87% Over 0.5 goals 60%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave all matches
Nacional all matches
Rio Ave before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.71scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:9
Nacional before this match, away
0.38points / match
0.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:10
Rio Ave at home away Nacional

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 0.50
1.29 Goals conceded 1.25
3.00 Total goals 1.75
11.43 Shots 13.00
4.57 Shots on target 3.50
11.43 Shots faced 14.75
5.43 Corners 3.88
5.86 Corners against 6.75
13.57 Fouls 14.00
2.14 Yellow cards 2.63
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

43% Wins 0%
57% Draws 38%
0% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 50%
57% Over 2.5 goals 25%
57% Over 3.5 goals 13%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 38%
29% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 13%
29% Draws 38%
0% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 75%
29% Over 1.5 goals 13%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
16.12.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–2 (2–0) 3.703.302.05 2.20 1.65
07.12.24 Santa Clara – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.304.75 2.20 1.65
30.11.24 Rio Ave – Moreirense 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.202.55 2.35 1.57
09.11.24 Boavista – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.102.70 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.65
27.10.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 5–0 (3–0) 1.177.5013.00 1.48 2.60
04.10.24 Rio Ave – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.002.60 2.60 1.48
29.09.24 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.00 1.70 2.10
21.09.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.10 2.40 1.53

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25

Rio Ave at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–2 (2–0) 3.703.302.05 2.20 1.65
30.11.24 Rio Ave – Moreirense 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.202.55 2.35 1.57
02.11.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.65
04.10.24 Rio Ave – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.002.60 2.60 1.48
21.09.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.10 2.40 1.53
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Rio Ave – Farense 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.303.90 2.03 1.83
17.05.24 Rio Ave – Benfica 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.001.40 1.44 2.70
04.05.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.63 2.20 1.65
19.04.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.08 1.73

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 16 13 1 2 40 9 +31 40 LWDWWW
2 Benfica 15 12 2 1 37 8 +29 38 WWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 15 12 1 2 43 10 +33 37 WWLLWD
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 27 16 +11 28 WLWDDW
5 Santa Clara 15 9 0 6 16 15 +1 27 LWWWLL
6 Guimaraes 15 6 5 4 20 16 +4 23 WLWLDD
7 Moreirense 16 6 3 7 21 24 -3 21 WLWLLD
8 Casa Pia 15 5 5 5 16 18 -2 20 DDLDWW
9 Famalicao 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19 WDLDDL
10 Gil Vicente 16 4 6 6 18 25 -7 18 LLWWDD
11 Rio Ave 15 4 4 7 15 26 -11 16 DWWLDL
12 Estrela 16 4 4 8 14 25 -11 16 WLWLWD
13 Estoril 16 3 6 7 14 26 -12 15 DWDLLD
14 AVS 16 2 8 6 12 23 -11 14 DLDDDD
15 Nacional 15 3 4 8 10 21 -11 13 LDLWLD
16 Farense 15 3 3 9 9 21 -12 12 LDWDLW
17 Boavista 16 2 6 8 10 23 -13 12 LDDLDL
18 Arouca 16 3 3 10 10 27 -17 12 DLLWLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 8 8 0 0 26 3 +23 24 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 18 5 +13 18 WWWWLW
4 Santa Clara 8 6 0 2 8 6 +2 18 WWWWWL
5 Guimaraes 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14 WLDWWD
6 Moreirense 7 4 2 1 10 8 +2 14 DDWWWL
7 Estrela 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 DWDWWW
8 Rio Ave 7 3 4 0 12 9 +3 13 WDDDWD
9 Gil Vicente 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12 DDWLWD
10 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 17 13 +4 12 LWWLDD
11 Casa Pia 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12 WDWDDW
12 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 LWDWLD
13 Famalicao 8 2 4 2 6 7 -1 10 DDLDDL
14 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10 DLLLDD
15 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
16 Arouca 8 2 2 4 5 10 -5 8 LDLLWD
17 Farense 7 2 0 5 4 11 -7 6 LLWLWL
18 Boavista 7 0 3 4 1 9 -8 3 DLLLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 8 6 1 1 25 5 +20 19 WWWWLD
2 Sp Braga 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16 DWLWWW
3 Benfica 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14 DWWWDW
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 7 2 3 2 12 10 +2 9 LDDWLD
6 Guimaraes 8 2 3 3 8 8 0 9 WDDLLD
7 Santa Clara 7 3 0 4 8 9 -1 9 WLLLWL
8 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9 LDWDLL
9 Casa Pia 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8 WDLDLW
10 Moreirense 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7 LWLLLD
11 Farense 8 1 3 4 5 10 -5 6 LDLDDW
12 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6 LLLLWD
13 AVS 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4 LLDDDD
14 Arouca 8 1 1 6 5 17 -12 4 WLLDLL
15 Nacional 8 0 3 5 4 10 -6 3 LDLLLD
16 Estoril 7 0 3 4 4 13 -9 3 DDLLDL
17 Rio Ave 8 1 0 7 3 17 -14 3 LLLWLL
18 Estrela 8 0 2 6 3 15 -12 2 LLLLLD

Rio Ave   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 15 4 11 2.9 0.7 12 1 2 43 10 37 OOUOOU
2 1 Porto 16 6 10 2.5 0.6 13 1 2 40 9 40 OUUUOO
3 7 Moreirense 16 6 10 1.3 1.5 6 3 7 21 24 21 OOOUOO
4 10 Gil Vicente 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 4 6 6 18 25 18 OOOUUU
5 13 Estoril 16 7 9 0.9 1.6 3 6 7 14 26 15 UOOUOO
6 2 Benfica 15 7 8 2.5 0.5 12 2 1 37 8 38 OUUUUO
7 4 Sp Braga 15 7 8 1.8 1.1 8 4 3 27 16 28 OOUOOU
8 6 Guimaraes 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 20 16 23 UUOUOO
9 9 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19 OUOUOO
10 11 Rio Ave 15 8 7 1.0 1.7 4 4 7 15 26 16 OUOUOU
11 12 Estrela 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 25 16 UUOUUU
12 18 Arouca 16 9 7 0.6 1.7 3 3 10 10 27 12 UUOUOU
13 17 Boavista 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 2 6 8 10 23 12 UUUOUO
14 14 AVS 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 2 8 6 12 23 14 UUUUUU
15 16 Farense 15 10 5 0.6 1.4 3 3 9 9 21 12 OUUUUO
16 5 Santa Clara 15 11 4 1.1 1.0 9 0 6 16 15 27 UUUUUU
17 8 Casa Pia 15 11 4 1.1 1.2 5 5 5 16 18 20 OUUUUO
18 15 Nacional 15 11 4 0.7 1.4 3 4 8 10 21 13 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27 OOOUUO
2 2 Benfica 8 2 6 3.2 0.4 8 0 0 26 3 24 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 8 3 5 2.1 1.6 3 3 2 17 13 12 UOUOOO
4 6 Guimaraes 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14 OOOUOO
5 12 Estrela 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 2 11 10 14 OOOUOU
6 13 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 OOUOUO
7 3 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.6 0.7 6 0 1 18 5 18 UOUOUO
8 7 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 1 10 8 14 UUUOOO
9 10 Gil Vicente 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12 UUOOOU
10 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 4 0 12 9 13 UOUOOO
11 16 Farense 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 2 0 5 4 11 6 OUUOUU
12 5 Santa Clara 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 6 0 2 8 6 18 UUOUUU
13 8 Casa Pia 8 6 2 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12 OUUUUO
14 9 Famalicao 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 2 4 2 6 7 10 UUOUUO
15 14 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10 UOOUUU
16 15 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
17 18 Arouca 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 4 5 10 8 OUOUUU
18 17 Boavista 7 6 1 0.1 1.3 0 3 4 1 9 3 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 8 1 7 3.1 0.6 6 1 1 25 5 19 OOOOOU
2 7 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7 OUUOUO
3 9 Famalicao 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 2 3 2 12 10 9 OUUOOO
4 10 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6 OOOOUU
5 17 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9 UOOUOO
6 18 Arouca 8 3 5 0.6 2.1 1 1 6 5 17 4 UOOUOO
7 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13 UOOOUO
8 13 Estoril 7 3 4 0.6 1.9 0 3 4 4 13 3 UOUOOO
9 4 Sp Braga 7 4 3 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16 UOOOUU
10 11 Rio Ave 8 5 3 0.4 2.1 1 0 7 3 17 3 UOOUUU
11 14 AVS 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4 OOUUUU
12 2 Benfica 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14 UOOUUU
13 5 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 1.3 3 0 4 8 9 9 UOUUUU
14 6 Guimaraes 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 3 8 8 9 UUOUUO
15 8 Casa Pia 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8 UUUOUU
16 12 Estrela 8 6 2 0.4 1.9 0 2 6 3 15 2 UOOUUU
17 15 Nacional 8 6 2 0.5 1.2 0 3 5 4 10 3 UUUUOO
18 16 Farense 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 1 3 4 5 10 6 OUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10