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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Guimaraes 4–4 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.80 fair 3.56
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.21
Away 1.95 fair 2.08
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 14
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (144 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
GuimaraesDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–2 9.5% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Guimaraes before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.38scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:18
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
2.75scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 44:10
Guimaraes all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.75
1.13 Goals conceded 0.63
2.50 Total goals 3.38
12.88 Shots 19.88
4.38 Shots on target 6.69
8.06 Shots faced 6.31
6.38 Corners 7.06
4.63 Corners against 2.50
14.75 Fouls 11.06
2.44 Yellow cards 1.25
0.44 1st-half goals scored 1.13
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 81%
38% Draws 6%
25% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
63% Over 1.5 goals 81%
50% Over 2.5 goals 69%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 31%
0% Over 5.5 goals 19%
44% Both teams scored 38%
31% Clean sheets 56%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 56%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 19%
69% Over 0.5 goals 81%
25% Over 1.5 goals 56%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Guimaraes before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:8
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.38points / match
3.13scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 25:5
Guimaraes at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 3.13
1.14 Goals conceded 0.63
2.86 Total goals 3.75
12.14 Shots 20.88
3.71 Shots on target 7.13
7.29 Shots faced 5.88
7.14 Corners 7.13
4.00 Corners against 2.38
15.57 Fouls 10.38
2.43 Yellow cards 1.13
0.71 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

57% Wins 75%
29% Draws 13%
14% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
71% Over 2.5 goals 88%
43% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
43% Both teams scored 38%
43% Clean sheets 63%
14% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 50%
57% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
71% Over 0.5 goals 75%
29% Over 1.5 goals 63%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Guimaraes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Farense – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–0) 4.203.501.85 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
16.12.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–2 (2–0) 3.703.302.05 2.20 1.65
07.12.24 Benfica – Guimaraes 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.24 Guimaraes – Gil Vicente 4–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.75
10.11.24 Santa Clara – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.002.60 2.60 1.48
03.11.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.35 1.57
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
06.10.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 2–2 (1–0) 1.424.208.50 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.252.00 2.35 1.57

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.60 1.67 2.15
22.12.24 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 0–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.53 2.40
14.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Boavista 3–2 (1–1) 1.0810.0023.00 1.25 4.00
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
30.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–1) 1.176.5017.00 1.65 2.20
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
26.10.24 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 7.005.501.36 1.75 2.05
05.10.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.1310.0013.00 1.40 2.88
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88

Guimaraes at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
02.12.24 Guimaraes – Gil Vicente 4–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.75
03.11.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.35 1.57
06.10.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 2–2 (1–0) 1.424.208.50 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65
01.09.24 Guimaraes – Famalicao 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.90 2.15 1.67
18.08.24 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93
11.05.24 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–3 (1–1) 3.253.502.10 1.67 2.15
27.04.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.98 1.88
13.04.24 Guimaraes – Farense 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.006.50 1.88 1.98

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 0–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.53 2.40
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
26.10.24 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 7.005.501.36 1.75 2.05
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88
13.09.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
23.08.24 Farense – Sp Lisbon 0–5 (0–2) 10.008.001.20 1.36 3.10
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35
11.05.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40
28.04.24 Porto – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (2–0) 2.633.302.70 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Guimaraes winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.24P1 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
09.12.23P1 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 3–2 (1–1) 5.004.001.62 1.73 2.08
24.04.23P1 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–0) 5.504.001.55 1.67 2.15
05.11.22P1 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.335.258.00 1.70 2.10
19.03.22P1 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–3 (1–1) 5.003.501.65 1.80 2.05
30.10.21P1 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 1–0 (1–0) 1.534.205.50 1.80 2.00

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 16 13 1 2 44 10 +34 40 WLLWDW
2 Porto 16 13 1 2 40 9 +31 40 LWDWWW
3 Benfica 16 12 2 2 37 9 +28 38 WWDWWL
4 Santa Clara 16 10 0 6 18 16 +2 30 WWWLLW
5 Sp Braga 16 8 4 4 28 18 +10 28 LWDDWL
6 Guimaraes 16 6 6 4 22 18 +4 24 LWLDDD
7 Casa Pia 16 6 5 5 18 19 -1 23 DLDWWW
8 Moreirense 16 6 3 7 21 24 -3 21 WLWLLD
9 Famalicao 16 4 7 5 19 19 0 19 DLDDLL
10 Rio Ave 16 5 4 7 17 27 -10 19 WWLDLW
11 Gil Vicente 16 4 6 6 18 25 -7 18 LLWWDD
12 Estrela 16 4 4 8 14 25 -11 16 WLWLWD
13 Estoril 16 3 6 7 14 26 -12 15 DWDLLD
14 AVS 16 2 8 6 12 23 -11 14 DLDDDD
15 Farense 16 3 4 9 11 23 -12 13 DWDLWD
16 Nacional 16 3 4 9 11 23 -12 13 DLWLDL
17 Boavista 16 2 6 8 10 23 -13 12 LDDLDL
18 Arouca 16 3 3 10 10 27 -17 12 DLLWLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 8 8 0 0 26 3 +23 24 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 8 7 0 1 19 5 +14 21 WWWLWW
4 Santa Clara 8 6 0 2 8 6 +2 18 WWWWWL
5 Rio Ave 8 4 4 0 14 10 +4 16 DDDWDW
6 Guimaraes 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14 WLDWWD
7 Moreirense 7 4 2 1 10 8 +2 14 DDWWWL
8 Estrela 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 DWDWWW
9 Gil Vicente 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12 DDWLWD
10 Sp Braga 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12 WWLDDL
11 Casa Pia 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12 WDWDDW
12 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 LWDWLD
13 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 10 DLDDLL
14 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10 DLLLDD
15 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
16 Arouca 8 2 2 4 5 10 -5 8 LDLLWD
17 Farense 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7 LWLWLD
18 Boavista 7 0 3 4 1 9 -8 3 DLLLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 8 6 1 1 25 5 +20 19 WWWWLD
2 Sp Braga 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16 DWLWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14 WWWDWL
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13 LWWLDW
5 Santa Clara 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12 LLLWLW
6 Casa Pia 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 DLDLWW
7 Guimaraes 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10 DDLLDD
8 Famalicao 7 2 3 2 12 10 +2 9 LDDWLD
9 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9 LDWDLL
10 Moreirense 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7 LWLLLD
11 Farense 8 1 3 4 5 10 -5 6 LDLDDW
12 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6 LLLLWD
13 AVS 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4 LLDDDD
14 Arouca 8 1 1 6 5 17 -12 4 WLLDLL
15 Nacional 9 0 3 6 5 12 -7 3 DLLLDL
16 Estoril 7 0 3 4 4 13 -9 3 DDLLDL
17 Rio Ave 8 1 0 7 3 17 -14 3 LLLWLL
18 Estrela 8 0 2 6 3 15 -12 2 LLLLLD

Guimaraes   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 16 5 11 2.8 0.6 13 1 2 44 10 40 OUOOUU
2 2 Porto 16 6 10 2.5 0.6 13 1 2 40 9 40 OUUUOO
3 8 Moreirense 16 6 10 1.3 1.5 6 3 7 21 24 21 OOOUOO
4 5 Sp Braga 16 7 9 1.8 1.1 8 4 4 28 18 28 OUOOUO
5 11 Gil Vicente 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 4 6 6 18 25 18 OOOUUU
6 13 Estoril 16 7 9 0.9 1.6 3 6 7 14 26 15 UOOUOO
7 3 Benfica 16 8 8 2.3 0.6 12 2 2 37 9 38 UUUUOU
8 6 Guimaraes 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 6 6 4 22 18 24 UOUOOO
9 9 Famalicao 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 5 19 19 19 UOUOOO
10 10 Rio Ave 16 8 8 1.1 1.7 5 4 7 17 27 19 UOUOUO
11 12 Estrela 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 25 16 UUOUUU
12 18 Arouca 16 9 7 0.6 1.7 3 3 10 10 27 12 UUOUOU
13 15 Farense 16 10 6 0.7 1.4 3 4 9 11 23 13 UUUUOO
14 17 Boavista 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 2 6 8 10 23 12 UUUOUO
15 4 Santa Clara 16 11 5 1.1 1.0 10 0 6 18 16 30 UUUUUO
16 7 Casa Pia 16 11 5 1.1 1.2 6 5 5 18 19 23 UUUUOO
17 14 AVS 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 2 8 6 12 23 14 UUUUUU
18 16 Nacional 16 11 5 0.7 1.4 3 4 9 11 23 13 UOUUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27 OOOUUO
2 3 Benfica 8 2 6 3.2 0.4 8 0 0 26 3 24 OOOOUO
3 5 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12 OUOOOO
4 6 Guimaraes 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14 OOOUOO
5 10 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 4 0 14 10 16 OUOOOO
6 12 Estrela 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 2 11 10 14 OOOUOU
7 13 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 OOUOUO
8 1 Sp Lisbon 8 4 4 2.4 0.6 7 0 1 19 5 21 OUOUOU
9 8 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 1 10 8 14 UUUOOO
10 11 Gil Vicente 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12 UUOOOU
11 15 Farense 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7 UUOUUO
12 9 Famalicao 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 2 4 3 7 9 10 UOUUOO
13 4 Santa Clara 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 6 0 2 8 6 18 UUOUUU
14 7 Casa Pia 8 6 2 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12 OUUUUO
15 14 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10 UOOUUU
16 16 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
17 18 Arouca 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 4 5 10 8 OUOUUU
18 17 Boavista 7 6 1 0.1 1.3 0 3 4 1 9 3 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 8 1 7 3.1 0.6 6 1 1 25 5 19 OOOOOU
2 8 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7 OUUOUO
3 9 Famalicao 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 2 3 2 12 10 9 OUUOOO
4 11 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6 OOOOUU
5 17 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9 UOOUOO
6 18 Arouca 8 3 5 0.6 2.1 1 1 6 5 17 4 UOOUOO
7 2 Porto 7 3 4 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13 UOOOUO
8 13 Estoril 7 3 4 0.6 1.9 0 3 4 4 13 3 UOUOOO
9 4 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12 OUUUUO
10 5 Sp Braga 7 4 3 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16 UOOOUU
11 6 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10 UOUUOO
12 7 Casa Pia 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UUOUUO
13 10 Rio Ave 8 5 3 0.4 2.1 1 0 7 3 17 3 UOOUUU
14 14 AVS 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4 OOUUUU
15 16 Nacional 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 0 3 6 5 12 3 UUUOOO
16 3 Benfica 8 6 2 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14 OOUUUU
17 12 Estrela 8 6 2 0.4 1.9 0 2 6 3 15 2 UOOUUU
18 15 Farense 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 1 3 4 5 10 6 OUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47