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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 2–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.14 fair 1.51
Draw 9.50 fair 5.11
Away 12.00 fair 7.10
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.87 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 1.37 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Nacional
15 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (166 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 2.11 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.5% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.44points / match
2.83scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 51:14
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
0.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:24
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

2.83 Goals scored 0.89
0.78 Goals conceded 1.33
3.61 Total goals 2.22
19.78 Shots 12.72
6.94 Shots on target 3.94
6.56 Shots faced 14.67
6.83 Corners 4.22
2.56 Corners against 6.67
11.22 Fouls 13.39
1.44 Yellow cards 2.28
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

78% Wins 28%
11% Draws 22%
11% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
72% Over 2.5 goals 33%
39% Over 3.5 goals 17%
33% Over 4.5 goals 6%
22% Over 5.5 goals 6%
39% Both teams scored 33%
56% Clean sheets 33%
11% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 28%
22% Draws 44%
17% Losses 28%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
61% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Nacional all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
2.63points / match
2.38scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 19:5
Nacional before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.56scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 5:12
Sp Lisbon at home away Nacional

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 0.56
0.63 Goals conceded 1.33
3.00 Total goals 1.89
18.88 Shots 13.00
6.25 Shots on target 3.33
6.75 Shots faced 15.33
7.00 Corners 4.11
2.63 Corners against 7.22
11.75 Fouls 14.00
1.38 Yellow cards 2.44
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

88% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
13% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
75% Over 1.5 goals 56%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
38% Over 3.5 goals 11%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 44%
50% Clean sheets 11%
13% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 11%
25% Draws 44%
13% Losses 44%
88% Over 0.5 goals 78%
50% Over 1.5 goals 22%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.501.30 1.53 2.40
03.01.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 4–4 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.95 1.90
29.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.60 1.67 2.15
22.12.24 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 0–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.53 2.40
14.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Boavista 3–2 (1–1) 1.0810.0023.00 1.25 4.00
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
30.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–1) 1.176.5017.00 1.65 2.20
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
26.10.24 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 7.005.501.36 1.75 2.05

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.60 1.67 2.15
14.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Boavista 3–2 (1–1) 1.0810.0023.00 1.25 4.00
30.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–1) 1.176.5017.00 1.65 2.20
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
05.10.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.1310.0013.00 1.40 2.88
22.09.24 Sp Lisbon – AVS 3–0 (2–0) 1.0712.0023.00 1.30 3.50
31.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
09.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 3–1 (2–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.44 2.70
18.05.24 Sp Lisbon – Chaves 3–0 (2–0) 1.0711.0023.00 1.25 4.00
04.05.24 Sp Lisbon – Portimonense 3–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.25 4.00

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsNacional wins
1matches
7.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24P1 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 18 14 2 2 51 14 +37 44
2 Benfica 19 13 2 4 43 14 +29 41
3 Porto 18 13 1 4 41 14 +27 40
4 Sp Braga 18 10 4 4 31 19 +12 34
5 Santa Clara 18 10 1 7 20 19 +1 31
6 Casa Pia 19 8 6 5 25 23 +2 30
7 Guimaraes 18 6 8 4 28 24 +4 26
8 Moreirense 19 6 5 8 22 26 -4 23
9 Rio Ave 19 6 5 8 20 32 -12 23
10 Gil Vicente 18 5 7 6 22 27 -5 22
11 Famalicao 19 4 9 6 20 24 -4 21
12 Estoril 18 5 6 7 21 30 -9 21
13 Nacional 18 5 4 9 16 24 -8 19
14 Arouca 19 5 4 10 16 30 -14 19
15 Estrela 19 4 5 10 16 30 -14 17
16 AVS 18 2 9 7 14 27 -13 15
17 Farense 19 3 6 10 12 25 -13 15
18 Boavista 18 2 6 10 13 29 -16 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 10 9 0 1 31 5 +26 27
2 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27
3 Sp Lisbon 8 7 0 1 19 5 +14 21
4 Santa Clara 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19
5 Gil Vicente 9 4 4 1 15 8 +7 16
6 Guimaraes 9 4 4 1 18 14 +4 16
7 Casa Pia 10 4 4 2 14 10 +4 16
8 Moreirense 9 4 4 1 11 9 +2 16
9 Rio Ave 9 4 4 1 14 13 +1 16
10 Nacional 9 5 1 3 11 12 -1 16
11 Estrela 10 4 2 4 13 15 -2 14
12 Sp Braga 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12
13 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
14 Famalicao 10 2 5 3 7 9 -2 11
15 Arouca 9 3 2 4 6 10 -4 11
16 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10
17 Farense 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
18 Boavista 9 0 3 6 4 15 -11 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 10 7 2 1 32 9 +23 23
2 Sp Braga 9 7 1 1 13 4 +9 22
3 Benfica 9 4 2 3 12 9 +3 14
4 Casa Pia 9 4 2 3 11 13 -2 14
5 Porto 9 4 1 4 16 12 +4 13
6 Santa Clara 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12
7 Guimaraes 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10
8 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 13 15 -2 10
9 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9
10 Estoril 9 2 3 4 11 17 -6 9
11 Farense 10 1 5 4 5 10 -5 8
12 Arouca 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8
13 Moreirense 10 2 1 7 11 17 -6 7
14 Rio Ave 10 2 1 7 6 19 -13 7
15 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6
16 AVS 9 0 5 4 7 15 -8 5
17 Nacional 9 0 3 6 5 12 -7 3
18 Estrela 9 0 3 6 3 15 -12 3

Sp Lisbon   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sp Lisbon 18 5 13 2.8 0.8 14 2 2 51 14 44
2 2 Benfica 19 8 11 2.3 0.7 13 2 4 43 14 41
3 3 Porto 18 7 11 2.3 0.8 13 1 4 41 14 40
4 12 Estoril 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 5 6 7 21 30 21
5 4 Sp Braga 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 10 4 4 31 19 34
6 7 Guimaraes 18 8 10 1.6 1.3 6 8 4 28 24 26
7 8 Moreirense 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 6 5 8 22 26 23
8 9 Rio Ave 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 6 5 8 20 32 23
9 10 Gil Vicente 18 8 10 1.2 1.5 5 7 6 22 27 22
10 11 Famalicao 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 4 9 6 20 24 21
11 14 Arouca 19 10 9 0.8 1.6 5 4 10 16 30 19
12 15 Estrela 19 11 8 0.8 1.6 4 5 10 16 30 17
13 18 Boavista 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 2 6 10 13 29 12
14 6 Casa Pia 19 12 7 1.3 1.2 8 6 5 25 23 30
15 17 Farense 19 12 7 0.6 1.3 3 6 10 12 25 15
16 5 Santa Clara 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 10 1 7 20 19 31
17 13 Nacional 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 4 9 16 24 19
18 16 AVS 18 12 6 0.8 1.5 2 9 7 14 27 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 10 2 8 3.1 0.5 9 0 1 31 5 27
2 7 Guimaraes 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 4 4 1 18 14 16
3 3 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27
4 4 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12
5 9 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 4 1 14 13 16
6 15 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.5 4 2 4 13 15 14
7 10 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 1.7 0.9 4 4 1 15 8 16
8 12 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
9 17 Farense 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
10 1 Sp Lisbon 8 4 4 2.4 0.6 7 0 1 19 5 21
11 8 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 1 11 9 16
12 5 Santa Clara 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19
13 6 Casa Pia 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 4 4 2 14 10 16
14 11 Famalicao 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 2 5 3 7 9 11
15 13 Nacional 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 5 1 3 11 12 16
16 18 Boavista 9 6 3 0.4 1.7 0 3 6 4 15 3
17 14 Arouca 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 3 2 4 6 10 11
18 16 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 1 9 3.2 0.9 7 2 1 32 9 23
2 14 Arouca 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8
3 8 Moreirense 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 1 7 11 17 7
4 11 Famalicao 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 4 3 13 15 10
5 12 Estoril 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 4 11 17 9
6 3 Porto 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 4 1 4 16 12 13
7 10 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6
8 18 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9
9 4 Sp Braga 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 1 1 13 4 22
10 6 Casa Pia 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 4 2 3 11 13 14
11 9 Rio Ave 10 6 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 7 6 19 7
12 16 AVS 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 0 5 4 7 15 5
13 2 Benfica 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 4 2 3 12 9 14
14 5 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12
15 7 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10
16 13 Nacional 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 0 3 6 5 12 3
17 15 Estrela 9 7 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 6 3 15 3
18 17 Farense 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 1 5 4 5 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40