Estrela 0–1 AVS – Portugal Primeira Liga, 11 May 2025

Match facts

Estrela AVS

11 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 2

1 Corners 6

9 Fouls 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (293 league matches this season so far).

Result Estrela to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.95

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.01

Home / Draw / Away

48% 26% 26%

EstrelaDrawAVS

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 45%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 12.4% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches

0.91points / match

0.75scored / match

1.41conceded / match

7 8 17

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 24:45

AVS before this match, all matches

0.75points / match

0.75scored / match

1.78conceded / match

4 12 16

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 24:57

Estrela all matches all matches AVS

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 0.75

1.41 Goals conceded 1.78

2.16 Total goals 2.53

9.47 Shots 9.81

2.78 Shots on target 2.63

12.88 Shots faced 14.22

4.03 Corners 3.38

5.94 Corners against 5.22

15.66 Fouls 13.78

3.00 Yellow cards 2.88

0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.31

0.66 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

22% Wins 13%

25% Draws 38%

53% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

59% Over 1.5 goals 72%

31% Over 2.5 goals 41%

16% Over 3.5 goals 25%

9% Over 4.5 goals 19%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

34% Both teams scored 53%

22% Clean sheets 22%

50% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 6%

47% Draws 53%

38% Losses 41%

56% Over 0.5 goals 59%

22% Over 1.5 goals 34%

13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches

D

1

D

1

D

2

L

3

L

1

W

1

L

1

L

2

W

2

L

AVS all matches

2

D

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

4

L

3

L

1

4

L

1

D

6

L

1

2

L

Estrela before this match, at home

1.19points / match

1.13scored / match

1.44conceded / match

5 4 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:23

AVS before this match, away

0.56points / match

0.69scored / match

2.13conceded / match

1 6 9

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:34

Estrela at home away AVS

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.69

1.44 Goals conceded 2.13

2.56 Total goals 2.81

9.94 Shots 8.88

2.81 Shots on target 2.19

12.19 Shots faced 15.63

4.13 Corners 3.56

5.25 Corners against 5.56

16.13 Fouls 13.69

3.13 Yellow cards 2.75

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 1.19

How often Full Time

31% Wins 6%

25% Draws 38%

44% Losses 56%

94% Over 0.5 goals 88%

69% Over 1.5 goals 81%

50% Over 2.5 goals 44%

25% Over 3.5 goals 31%

13% Over 4.5 goals 25%

6% Over 5.5 goals 13%

44% Both teams scored 56%

25% Clean sheets 19%

38% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 6%

50% Draws 50%

31% Losses 44%

56% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 44%

19% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home

2

1

W

1

W

2

4

L

1

L

2

3

L

D

1

D

3

L

1

L

2

W

AVS away

D

1

D

1

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

W

2

L

1

4

L

1

4

L

6

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.05.25	Rio Ave – Estrela	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73
26.04.25	Estrela – Porto	2–0 (1–0)	6.25	3.90	1.53	2.05	1.80
19.04.25	Arouca – Estrela	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.10	1.70
13.04.25	Estrela – Farense	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
29.03.25	Estrela – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–0)	9.00	5.00	1.33	1.73	2.08
16.03.25	Guimaraes – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.10	7.50	2.08	1.73
07.03.25	Estrela – Gil Vicente	1–1 (0–0)	2.62	3.00	2.80	2.50	1.50
02.03.25	Moreirense – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.00	4.75	2.50	1.50
23.02.25	Estrela – Santa Clara	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.70	1.44

AVS all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.05.25	AVS – Boavista	1–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.70	2.15	1.67
27.04.25	Benfica – AVS	6–0 (4–0)	1.08	11.00	21.00	1.29	3.60
19.04.25	AVS – Casa Pia	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.20	2.40	2.35	1.57
13.04.25	Sp Braga – AVS	4–1 (3–1)	1.38	4.50	8.50	1.75	2.05
04.04.25	AVS – Estoril	0–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.10	2.45	2.25	1.62
30.03.25	Famalicao – AVS	4–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.40	4.75	2.25	1.62
15.03.25	Porto – AVS	2–0 (1–0)	1.25	5.75	11.00	1.67	2.15
08.03.25	AVS – Arouca	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.25	1.62
02.03.25	Farense – AVS	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.50
23.02.25	AVS – Sp Lisbon	2–2 (0–2)	8.00	5.25	1.33	1.70	2.10

Estrela at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Estrela – Porto	2–0 (1–0)	6.25	3.90	1.53	2.05	1.80
13.04.25	Estrela – Farense	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
29.03.25	Estrela – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–0)	9.00	5.00	1.33	1.73	2.08
07.03.25	Estrela – Gil Vicente	1–1 (0–0)	2.62	3.00	2.80	2.50	1.50
23.02.25	Estrela – Santa Clara	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.70	1.44
02.02.25	Estrela – Benfica	2–3 (1–3)	9.00	5.75	1.29	1.60	2.30
19.01.25	Estrela – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	3.80	1.67	1.85	2.00
05.01.25	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62
23.12.24	Estrela – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
09.12.24	Estrela – Arouca	2–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.20	2.80	2.15	1.67

AVS away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	Benfica – AVS	6–0 (4–0)	1.08	11.00	21.00	1.29	3.60
13.04.25	Sp Braga – AVS	4–1 (3–1)	1.38	4.50	8.50	1.75	2.05
30.03.25	Famalicao – AVS	4–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.40	4.75	2.25	1.62
15.03.25	Porto – AVS	2–0 (1–0)	1.25	5.75	11.00	1.67	2.15
02.03.25	Farense – AVS	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.50
16.02.25	Rio Ave – AVS	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.50	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Guimaraes – AVS	2–0 (0–0)	1.36	5.25	7.00	1.93	1.93
19.01.25	Nacional – AVS	3–1 (3–1)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.25	1.62
04.01.25	Moreirense – AVS	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.40	1.53
21.12.24	Boavista – AVS	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.35	1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Estrela winsDrawsAVS wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.12.24P1	AVS – Estrela	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.25	1.62

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	33	24	7	2	86	27	+59	79
2	Benfica	33	25	4	4	83	27	+56	79
3	Porto	32	20	5	7	60	29	+31	65
4	Sp Braga	33	19	8	6	54	29	+25	65
5	Guimaraes	32	14	12	6	46	33	+13	54
6	Santa Clara	33	16	6	11	34	31	+3	54
7	Casa Pia	33	12	9	12	38	42	-4	45
8	Famalicao	33	11	11	11	42	38	+4	44
9	Estoril	32	11	9	12	42	51	-9	42
10	Rio Ave	33	9	10	14	38	54	-16	37
11	Moreirense	32	9	9	14	37	48	-11	36
12	Arouca	33	8	11	14	31	48	-17	35
13	Nacional	33	9	7	17	32	47	-15	34
14	Gil Vicente	33	8	9	16	33	46	-13	33
15	Estrela	32	7	8	17	24	45	-21	29
16	Farense	32	5	9	18	22	43	-21	24
17	Boavista	32	6	6	20	22	53	-31	24
18	AVS	32	4	12	16	24	57	-33	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	17	14	2	1	52	12	+40	44
2	Sp Lisbon	16	13	2	1	38	13	+25	41
3	Porto	16	12	3	1	36	11	+25	39
4	Guimaraes	16	9	5	2	28	17	+11	32
5	Santa Clara	17	10	2	5	18	14	+4	32
6	Sp Braga	16	9	4	3	32	18	+14	31
7	Casa Pia	17	8	4	5	22	19	+3	28
8	Famalicao	16	6	7	3	18	11	+7	25
9	Rio Ave	16	6	7	3	24	23	+1	25
10	Moreirense	16	6	7	3	20	19	+1	25
11	Nacional	17	7	3	7	23	27	-4	24
12	Estoril	16	6	4	6	19	23	-4	22
13	Gil Vicente	17	5	5	7	18	19	-1	20
14	Estrela	16	5	4	7	18	23	-5	19
15	Arouca	16	4	6	6	12	18	-6	18
16	AVS	16	3	6	7	13	23	-10	15
17	Farense	16	3	2	11	9	22	-13	11
18	Boavista	16	1	3	12	7	29	-22	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	17	11	5	1	48	14	+34	38
2	Benfica	16	11	2	3	31	15	+16	35
3	Sp Braga	17	10	4	3	22	11	+11	34
4	Porto	16	8	2	6	24	18	+6	26
5	Guimaraes	16	5	7	4	18	16	+2	22
6	Santa Clara	16	6	4	6	16	17	-1	22
7	Estoril	16	5	5	6	23	28	-5	20
8	Famalicao	17	5	4	8	24	27	-3	19
9	Boavista	16	5	3	8	15	24	-9	18
10	Casa Pia	16	4	5	7	16	23	-7	17
11	Arouca	17	4	5	8	19	30	-11	17
12	Farense	16	2	7	7	13	21	-8	13
13	Gil Vicente	16	3	4	9	15	27	-12	13
14	Rio Ave	17	3	3	11	14	31	-17	12
15	Moreirense	16	3	2	11	17	29	-12	11
16	Nacional	16	2	4	10	9	20	-11	10
17	Estrela	16	2	4	10	6	22	-16	10
18	AVS	16	1	6	9	11	34	-23	9

Estrela AVS

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	33	10	23	2.6	0.8	24	7	2	86	27	79
2	2	Benfica	33	10	23	2.5	0.8	25	4	4	83	27	79
3	9	Estoril	32	10	22	1.3	1.6	11	9	12	42	51	42
4	8	Famalicao	33	16	17	1.3	1.2	11	11	11	42	38	44
5	10	Rio Ave	33	16	17	1.2	1.6	9	10	14	38	54	37
6	3	Porto	32	16	16	1.9	0.9	20	5	7	60	29	65
7	4	Sp Braga	33	17	16	1.6	0.9	19	8	6	54	29	65
8	11	Moreirense	32	16	16	1.2	1.5	9	9	14	37	48	36
9	5	Guimaraes	32	17	15	1.4	1.0	14	12	6	46	33	54
10	12	Arouca	33	18	15	0.9	1.5	8	11	14	31	48	35
11	14	Gil Vicente	33	18	15	1.0	1.4	8	9	16	33	46	33
12	17	Boavista	32	17	15	0.7	1.7	6	6	20	22	53	24
13	7	Casa Pia	33	19	14	1.2	1.3	12	9	12	38	42	45
14	13	Nacional	33	19	14	1.0	1.4	9	7	17	32	47	34
15	18	AVS	32	19	13	0.8	1.8	4	12	16	24	57	24
16	16	Farense	32	20	12	0.7	1.3	5	9	18	22	43	24
17	15	Estrela	32	22	10	0.8	1.4	7	8	17	24	45	29
18	6	Santa Clara	33	24	9	1.0	0.9	16	6	11	34	31	54

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	17	3	14	3.1	0.7	14	2	1	52	12	44
2	1	Sp Lisbon	16	6	10	2.4	0.8	13	2	1	38	13	41
3	9	Estoril	16	6	10	1.2	1.4	6	4	6	19	23	22
4	13	Nacional	17	7	10	1.4	1.6	7	3	7	23	27	24
5	3	Porto	16	7	9	2.2	0.7	12	3	1	36	11	39
6	4	Sp Braga	16	7	9	2.0	1.1	9	4	3	32	18	31
7	5	Guimaraes	16	7	9	1.8	1.1	9	5	2	28	17	32
8	10	Rio Ave	16	7	9	1.5	1.4	6	7	3	24	23	25
9	15	Estrela	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	18	23	19
10	7	Casa Pia	17	10	7	1.3	1.1	8	4	5	22	19	28
11	11	Moreirense	16	9	7	1.2	1.2	6	7	3	20	19	25
12	14	Gil Vicente	17	10	7	1.1	1.1	5	5	7	18	19	20
13	16	Farense	16	10	6	0.6	1.4	3	2	11	9	22	11
14	17	Boavista	16	10	6	0.4	1.8	1	3	12	7	29	6
15	18	AVS	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	23	15
16	6	Santa Clara	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	10	2	5	18	14	32
17	8	Famalicao	16	11	5	1.1	0.7	6	7	3	18	11	25
18	12	Arouca	16	12	4	0.8	1.1	4	6	6	12	18	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	17	4	13	2.8	0.8	11	5	1	48	14	38
2	8	Famalicao	17	5	12	1.4	1.6	5	4	8	24	27	19
3	9	Estoril	16	4	12	1.4	1.8	5	5	6	23	28	20
4	12	Arouca	17	6	11	1.1	1.8	4	5	8	19	30	17
5	2	Benfica	16	7	9	1.9	0.9	11	2	3	31	15	35
6	11	Moreirense	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	3	2	11	17	29	11
7	17	Boavista	16	7	9	0.9	1.5	5	3	8	15	24	18
8	10	Rio Ave	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	3	3	11	14	31	12
9	14	Gil Vicente	16	8	8	0.9	1.7	3	4	9	15	27	13
10	3	Porto	16	9	7	1.5	1.1	8	2	6	24	18	26
11	4	Sp Braga	17	10	7	1.3	0.6	10	4	3	22	11	34
12	7	Casa Pia	16	9	7	1.0	1.4	4	5	7	16	23	17
13	18	AVS	16	9	7	0.7	2.1	1	6	9	11	34	9
14	5	Guimaraes	16	10	6	1.1	1.0	5	7	4	18	16	22
15	16	Farense	16	10	6	0.8	1.3	2	7	7	13	21	13
16	6	Santa Clara	16	12	4	1.0	1.1	6	4	6	16	17	22
17	13	Nacional	16	12	4	0.6	1.2	2	4	10	9	20	10
18	15	Estrela	16	14	2	0.4	1.4	2	4	10	6	22	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.