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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 1–0 Santa Clara

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.40 fair 2.44
Draw 2.85 fair 3.86
Away 2.30 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 2.88 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Santa Clara
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 6
15 Fouls 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawSanta Clara
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.20scored / match
1.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:37
Santa Clara before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
0.80scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 16:25
Estrela all matches all matches Santa Clara

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 0.80
1.85 Goals conceded 1.25
3.05 Total goals 2.05
10.60 Shots 12.10
3.45 Shots on target 3.45
13.15 Shots faced 9.25
3.15 Corners 4.70
5.30 Corners against 4.00
15.00 Fouls 14.95
2.65 Yellow cards 3.15
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 25%
40% Losses 55%
85% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 50%
55% Over 2.5 goals 35%
45% Over 3.5 goals 10%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 25%
45% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 10%
35% Draws 65%
45% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 55%
40% Over 1.5 goals 30%
25% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Santa Clara all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.30scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:17
Santa Clara before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.78scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:13
Estrela at home away Santa Clara

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.78
1.70 Goals conceded 1.44
3.00 Total goals 2.22
13.90 Shots 11.78
3.90 Shots on target 3.56
11.60 Shots faced 10.44
4.00 Corners 4.11
4.60 Corners against 3.89
13.80 Fouls 13.89
2.50 Yellow cards 2.67
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

20% Wins 11%
40% Draws 33%
40% Losses 56%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 56%
60% Over 2.5 goals 33%
40% Over 3.5 goals 11%
20% Over 4.5 goals 11%
10% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 44%
20% Clean sheets 11%
40% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 11%
30% Draws 56%
40% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Santa Clara away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Benfica – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 1.109.0019.00 1.50 2.50
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
27.12.25 Famalicao – Estrela 2–3 (2–2) 1.533.706.00 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67

Santa Clara all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–4 (0–2) 2.203.003.40 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.002.75 2.70 1.44
18.01.26 Santa Clara – Famalicao 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.002.55 2.50 1.50
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
04.01.26 Santa Clara – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.001.42 2.25 1.62
21.12.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.254.75 2.40 1.53
15.12.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 1.493.807.00 2.25 1.62
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
30.11.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–1) 2.953.052.45 2.40 1.53
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
27.09.25 Estrela – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.103.80 2.40 1.53
14.09.25 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.25 1.62
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Estrela – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.57 2.35

Santa Clara away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.002.75 2.70 1.44
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
15.12.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 1.493.807.00 2.25 1.62
30.11.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–1) 2.953.052.45 2.40 1.53
03.11.25 Gil Vicente – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 2.252.953.40 2.70 1.44
04.10.25 Guimaraes – Santa Clara 2–1 (0–1) 2.323.003.20 2.70 1.44
12.09.25 Benfica – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.009.50 2.10 1.70
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
10.08.25 Famalicao – Santa Clara 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.003.20 2.40 1.53
17.05.25 Farense – Santa Clara 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsSanta Clara wins
3matches
0.33goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.25P1 Santa Clara – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.40 1.53
23.02.25P1 Estrela – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.202.10 2.70 1.44
21.09.24P1 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 20 18 1 1 41 6 +35 55 WWWWWL
2 Sp Lisbon 20 16 3 1 54 11 +43 51 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 20 13 7 0 42 11 +31 46 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 20 10 6 4 41 18 +23 36 LDDWWW
5 Gil Vicente 20 9 7 4 29 16 +13 34 DDDWLW
6 Moreirense 20 9 3 8 26 27 -1 30 DWWLWL
7 Estoril 20 8 5 7 41 33 +8 29 WWLWWW
8 Famalicao 20 8 5 7 24 19 +5 29 LLLWWL
9 Guimaraes 20 8 4 8 21 27 -6 28 LDWLLW
10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20 34 -14 24 LLWWLD
11 Nacional 20 5 5 10 27 30 -3 20 DLDLWL
12 Estrela 20 4 8 8 24 37 -13 20 DWDLLD
13 Rio Ave 20 4 8 8 22 38 -16 20 DLWLLL
14 Arouca 20 5 5 10 23 44 -21 20 DDLWLW
15 Casa Pia 20 4 6 10 22 39 -17 18 WDLLDW
16 Santa Clara 20 4 5 11 16 25 -9 17 DLDLLL
17 Tondela 20 3 4 13 12 33 -21 13 LWLLLD
18 AVS 20 0 5 15 14 51 -37 5 DLLLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 32 4 +28 25 WWWWWW
2 Porto 9 8 1 0 19 2 +17 25 DWWWWW
3 Benfica 10 6 4 0 23 7 +16 22 WDDWWW
4 Gil Vicente 10 6 2 2 17 7 +10 20 WLDDWW
5 Moreirense 9 6 1 2 14 11 +3 19 WLDLWW
6 Estoril 10 5 3 2 21 14 +7 18 DWDWWW
7 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 15 14 +1 18 WDLWLW
8 Sp Braga 9 5 2 2 19 7 +12 17 LWWWDW
9 Alverca 11 5 2 4 10 15 -5 17 DWLWWD
10 Famalicao 10 4 2 4 16 8 +8 14 WLLWLW
11 Santa Clara 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11 LWDLLL
12 Nacional 9 3 1 5 16 17 -1 10 WLLWDW
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10 LDWDDL
14 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9 LDLWLL
15 Arouca 10 2 3 5 11 21 -10 9 DLLWDL
16 Casa Pia 10 1 5 4 12 19 -7 8 LLDDDW
17 Tondela 10 1 3 6 6 13 -7 6 LLLWLD
18 AVS 11 0 3 8 7 23 -16 3 DLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 11 10 0 1 22 4 +18 30 WWWWWL
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 22 7 +15 26 WWDWDW
3 Benfica 10 7 3 0 19 4 +15 24 WWWDWD
4 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 22 11 +11 19 WWLDWW
5 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 8 11 -3 15 WDLLWL
6 Gil Vicente 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14 WDDDDL
7 Estoril 10 3 2 5 20 19 +1 11 WLLLWW
8 Moreirense 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LDDWLL
9 Rio Ave 10 2 5 3 12 20 -8 11 WDWDLL
10 Arouca 10 3 2 5 12 23 -11 11 LLDLWW
11 Nacional 11 2 4 5 11 13 -2 10 DLDLLL
12 Guimaraes 9 3 1 5 6 13 -7 10 LLWWDL
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 11 20 -9 10 WLLWLD
14 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
15 Alverca 9 2 1 6 10 19 -9 7 WLWLLL
16 Tondela 10 2 1 7 6 20 -14 7 LDWLLL
17 Santa Clara 9 1 3 5 7 13 -6 6 LLDLDL
18 AVS 9 0 2 7 7 28 -21 2 LLLLLD

Estrela   Santa Clara

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 20 6 14 2.7 0.6 16 3 1 54 11 51 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 20 7 13 2.0 0.9 10 6 4 41 18 36 UOOUOO
3 7 Estoril 20 7 13 2.0 1.6 8 5 7 41 33 29 UOOOOO
4 13 Rio Ave 20 7 13 1.1 1.9 4 8 8 22 38 20 OOOUOO
5 14 Arouca 20 7 13 1.1 2.2 5 5 10 23 44 20 UOOUOO
6 18 AVS 20 7 13 0.7 2.5 0 5 15 14 51 5 OUUUOO
7 3 Benfica 20 8 12 2.1 0.6 13 7 0 42 11 46 UOOUOU
8 1 Porto 20 9 11 2.0 0.3 18 1 1 41 6 55 OUUUOO
9 6 Moreirense 20 9 11 1.3 1.4 9 3 8 26 27 30 UUUOUU
10 10 Alverca 20 9 11 1.0 1.7 7 3 10 20 34 24 OOUOOU
11 11 Nacional 20 9 11 1.4 1.5 5 5 10 27 30 20 OOOOOO
12 12 Estrela 20 9 11 1.2 1.9 4 8 8 24 37 20 UOOOOU
13 15 Casa Pia 20 9 11 1.1 1.9 4 6 10 22 39 18 OUOOOO
14 17 Tondela 20 9 11 0.6 1.6 3 4 13 12 33 13 OOUUOU
15 8 Famalicao 20 12 8 1.2 0.9 8 5 7 24 19 29 UOUUOO
16 9 Guimaraes 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 8 4 8 21 27 28 OUOUOU
17 5 Gil Vicente 20 13 7 1.4 0.8 9 7 4 29 16 34 OOUOOO
18 16 Santa Clara 20 13 7 0.8 1.2 4 5 11 16 25 17 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 1 1 32 4 25 UOOOOO
2 11 Nacional 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 3 1 5 16 17 10 OUOOOO
3 3 Benfica 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 6 4 0 23 7 22 OOUUOO
4 4 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.1 0.8 5 2 2 19 7 17 UOOUOO
5 6 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 6 1 2 14 11 19 OOOOUU
6 8 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.6 0.8 4 2 4 16 8 14 UUOOOO
7 9 Guimaraes 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 3 15 14 18 OUOOUU
8 12 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10 OUOUOO
9 13 Rio Ave 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9 OUUOUO
10 14 Arouca 10 4 6 1.1 2.1 2 3 5 11 21 9 UUOUOO
11 18 AVS 11 5 6 0.6 2.1 0 3 8 7 23 3 UOOUUO
12 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.1 0.2 8 1 0 19 2 25 UOUOUO
13 7 Estoril 10 5 5 2.1 1.4 5 3 2 21 14 18 UOOUOO
14 10 Alverca 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 4 10 15 17 UUOUOU
15 15 Casa Pia 10 6 4 1.2 1.9 1 5 4 12 19 8 OUUUOO
16 16 Santa Clara 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 2 6 9 12 11 OUUUUO
17 17 Tondela 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 3 6 6 13 6 UUOOUU
18 5 Gil Vicente 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 6 2 2 17 7 20 UUOUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 3 2 5 20 19 11 OUOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 11 4 7 2.0 1.0 5 4 2 22 11 19 OOUOUO
3 13 Rio Ave 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 5 3 12 20 11 OUOOOO
4 14 Arouca 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 3 2 5 12 23 11 OOUOUO
5 15 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
6 17 Tondela 10 3 7 0.6 2.0 2 1 7 6 20 7 OOUOUO
7 18 AVS 9 2 7 0.8 3.1 0 2 7 7 28 2 OUOOUO
8 1 Porto 11 5 6 2.0 0.4 10 0 1 22 4 30 UUOUUO
9 2 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.7 8 2 0 22 7 26 OOUOUO
10 3 Benfica 10 4 6 1.9 0.4 7 3 0 19 4 24 OOOOUU
11 10 Alverca 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 2 1 6 10 19 7 OUUUOO
12 6 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 OOUUOU
13 12 Estrela 10 5 5 1.1 2.0 2 4 4 11 20 10 OOOOOU
14 5 Gil Vicente 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14 OUUUOO
15 11 Nacional 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 5 11 13 10 UUOOOO
16 16 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 1 3 5 7 13 6 OUUUOU
17 8 Famalicao 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 4 3 3 8 11 15 UOUUUO
18 9 Guimaraes 9 7 2 0.7 1.4 3 1 5 6 13 10 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47