Dunfermline 3–1 Morton
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.80
fair 2.00
Draw
3.20
fair 4.00
Away
4.10
fair 4.00
Under 2.5
1.75
fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓
2.05
fair 2.03
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Dunfermline
Morton
16
Shots
8
7
Shots on target
4
6
Corners
4
12
Fouls
11
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (153 league matches this season so far).
Result
Dunfermline to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.93
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
50%
25%
25%
DunfermlineDrawMorton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
51%
49%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
48%
52%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
19%
1
25%
2
22%
3
15%
4
13%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9%
1–0 11.3%
2–1 9.5%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Dunfermline
before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.45scored / match
1.17conceded / match
11
7
11
WonDrawnLost
29 played · 42:34
Morton
before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.03scored / match
1.32conceded / match
8
12
11
WonDrawnLost
31 played · 32:41
Dunfermline all matches
all matches Morton
Per match
1.45
Goals scored
1.03
1.17
Goals conceded
1.32
2.62
Total goals
2.35
8.31
Shots
8.58
3.90
Shots on target
3.19
8.34
Shots faced
11.90
4.59
Corners
4.32
4.79
Corners against
5.97
10.62
Fouls
12.52
2.21
Yellow cards
2.48
0.72
1st-half goals scored
0.55
0.66
1st-half goals conceded
0.55
How often Full Time
38%
Wins
26%
24%
Draws
39%
38%
Losses
35%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
90%
72%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
48%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
10%
3%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
38%
Both teams scored
58%
41%
Clean sheets
23%
28%
Failed to score
29%
How often Half Time
38%
Wins
35%
24%
Draws
42%
38%
Losses
23%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
71%
41%
Over 1.5 goals
26%
10%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Dunfermline all matches
2
1
W
1
W
2
L
2
L
2
4
L
2
2
D
1
W
3
W
3
W
2
2
D
Morton all matches
1
1
D
2
1
W
D
2
W
2
3
L
1
3
L
2
L
1
2
L
1
W
2
1
W
Dunfermline
before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.40scored / match
1.07conceded / match
6
4
5
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 21:16
Morton
before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.13scored / match
1.53conceded / match
3
6
6
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 17:23
Dunfermline at home
away Morton
Per match
1.40
Goals scored
1.13
1.07
Goals conceded
1.53
2.47
Total goals
2.67
8.60
Shots
6.80
4.47
Shots on target
2.93
8.13
Shots faced
11.40
4.00
Corners
4.73
4.00
Corners against
6.33
10.87
Fouls
11.67
2.13
Yellow cards
2.20
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.53
0.67
1st-half goals conceded
0.53
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
20%
27%
Draws
40%
33%
Losses
40%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
73%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
47%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
7%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
33%
Both teams scored
67%
47%
Clean sheets
20%
27%
Failed to score
20%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
33%
27%
Draws
40%
33%
Losses
27%
87%
Over 0.5 goals
73%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
27%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Dunfermline at home
2
W
2
2
D
1
W
1
2
L
2
3
L
2
L
2
2
D
1
W
3
W
3
W
Morton away
1
2
L
1
1
D
3
W
1
L
5
L
2
3
L
1
1
D
2
3
L
1
3
L
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Dunfermline all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.26 | Ross County – Dunfermline | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 14.03.26 | Dunfermline – Raith Rvs | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 03.03.26 | Dunfermline – Ross County | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 28.02.26 | Dunfermline – Queens Park | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 3.90 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 24.02.26 | Dunfermline – Partick | 2–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 21.02.26 | Arbroath – Dunfermline | 4–2 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 17.02.26 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 31.01.26 | Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 24.01.26 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Raith Rvs – Dunfermline | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
Morton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.03.26 | Morton – Arbroath | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.03.26 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 13.03.26 | Morton – Partick | 1–2 (1–1) | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 07.03.26 | Morton – St Johnstone | 0–2 (0–0) | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 28.02.26 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.02.26 | Queens Park – Morton | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 17.02.26 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 14.02.26 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 31.01.26 | Morton – Ross County | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
Dunfermline at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.03.26 | Dunfermline – Raith Rvs | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 03.03.26 | Dunfermline – Ross County | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 28.02.26 | Dunfermline – Queens Park | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 3.90 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 24.02.26 | Dunfermline – Partick | 2–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 31.01.26 | Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 06.12.25 | Dunfermline – Arbroath | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 08.11.25 | Dunfermline – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 17.10.25 | Dunfermline – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.90 | 2.75 | 2.50 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
Morton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.26 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 28.02.26 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.02.26 | Queens Park – Morton | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 03.01.26 | Partick – Morton | 3–2 (0–2) | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 20.12.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 15.11.25 | Ross County – Morton | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 01.11.25 | Raith Rvs – Morton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 18.10.25 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 4 6
Dunfermline winsDrawsMorton wins
15matches
2.53goals / match
47%over 2.5
40%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.02.26SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 22.11.25SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 02.08.25SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.60 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
| 02.05.25SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 01.03.25SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 21.12.24SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 19.10.24SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 23.03.24SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 03.02.24SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 0–5 (0–2) | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.11.23SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 1–2 (0–2) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 23.09.23SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 18.03.22SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.87 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 08.01.22SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 5–0 (3–0) | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.11.21SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–3 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 31.07.21SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 54 | 23 | +31 | 62 |
| 2 | Partick | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 47 | 32 | +15 | 59 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 35 | +4 | 47 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | +8 | 40 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
| 6 | Morton | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 8 | Ayr | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 35 |
| 9 | Ross County | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 28 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 27 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 11 | +16 | 38 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 11 | +20 | 33 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 | Morton | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Ayr | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Ross County | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 | Partick | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 21 |
| 3 | Ayr | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 |
| 7 | Morton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 | Ross County | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 13 |
| 10 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 12 |
Dunfermline Morton
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 31 | 16 | 15 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 54 | 23 | 62 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 31 | 16 | 15 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 47 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | 9 | Ross County | 31 | 16 | 15 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 48 | 28 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 31 | 17 | 14 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 47 |
| 5 | 4 | Dunfermline | 29 | 15 | 14 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 40 |
| 6 | 7 | Queens Park | 31 | 17 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 43 | 36 |
| 7 | 6 | Morton | 31 | 18 | 13 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 41 | 36 |
| 8 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 31 | 19 | 12 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 36 |
| 9 | 8 | Ayr | 30 | 18 | 12 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 35 |
| 10 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 30 | 18 | 12 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 39 | 27 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 24 |
| 4 | 9 | Ross County | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 5 | 4 | Dunfermline | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 22 |
| 6 | 3 | Arbroath | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 28 |
| 7 | 6 | Morton | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | 7 | Queens Park | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | Ayr | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | 7 | Queens Park | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 3 | 1 | St Johnstone | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
| 5 | 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 18 |
| 6 | 6 | Morton | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 15 |
| 7 | 8 | Ayr | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | 9 | Ross County | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 15 |
| 10 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
